Lyngby and Odense face a finely balanced clash, with the model favouring a home win. The odds show a 38 % chance for Lyngby, 28 % for a draw and 33 % for Odense. The expected goal total sits at 2.7, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 13.4 %. Lyngby’s home form shows they average 2.45 goals scored and 0.91 conceded against similar opposition, while Odense, on the road, averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.31 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 % with a 7 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.9 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.2 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6 % with a 5 % edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.5 % with a 5 % edge). Both sides have recently struggled, Lyngby coming off a defeat and Odense a draw, adding to the uncertainty.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Lyngby, fell short as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The upset came at a time when both sides were coming off draws, with Lyngby’s recent form noted as “coming off a draw” and Odense similarly “coming off a draw.” The model had given Lyngby a 38% chance of victory, yet the outcome was a stalemate. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Under 6.5 (97.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6%) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.5%). All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each selection’s result was noted.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lyngby win✗ Miss
38.4%
Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.08
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Dafabet
2.14
SBO
2.12
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.69
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.96
Bet365
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Odense win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.15
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.36
Bet365
3.30
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Dafabet
3.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lyngby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.27
2.27
1.07
1.67
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.67
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
2.00
1.16
2.45
0.91
1.64
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.40
1.46
1.46
1.47
1.35
vs Stronger (6)
1.83
2.50
1.50
2.75
2.50
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.12
1.44
0.89
1.33
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
@ 1.17-3.8%
Under 1.5
23.3%
@ 4.83+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.27
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.1%
@ 1.57-9.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
@ 2.38+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Unibet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.50
Betfair
2.45
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Betano
2.37
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.0%
@ 2.38-10.2%
Under 3.5
71.0%
@ 1.54+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Unibet
2.50
Betano
2.47
Superbet
2.47
Pinnacle
2.42
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
@ 1.48-6.2%
No
43.6%
@ 2.48+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
No
Betfair
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.4%@ 7.05+7.0%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.16+3.1%
1-0
8.1%@ 9.91+3.5%
1-2
7.9%@ 10.41+3.6%
0-0
7.8%@ 14.36+4.7%
0-1
7.4%@ 12.48+3.8%
2-0
6.6%@ 11.73+2.7%
2-2
5.6%@ 10.58+1.4%
Lyngby goals ↓
Odense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
7.4%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.1%
13%
7.9%
3.5%
1.1%
2
6.6%
8.6%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.1%
4.1%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyngby goals (down), columns = Odense goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Lyngby is 0.33 points worse than Odense in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby is 0.33 goals better than Odense in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Lyngby is 0.67 goals worse than Odense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Lyngby is 0.7 percentage points better than Odense in terms of average possession (52% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lyngby
For 6.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 15.2 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Odense
For 6.2 · Against 6.5 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 9.3 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lyngby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.8
9.1
1.1
1.2
1.0
24.2
26.5
22.5
vs Stronger (6)
10.4
10.3
10.5
3.5
3.8
3.0
29.4
33.0
24.0
vs Similar (42)
8.2
7.3
8.7
0.8
0.7
0.8
21.3
20.0
22.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
50%
62%
16%
22%
11%
57%
67%
50%
% under line
43%
50%
38%
84%
78%
89%
43%
33%
50%
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.7
11.1
2.2
2.2
2.1
21.8
22.1
21.5
vs Stronger (10)
9.3
9.0
9.6
3.6
4.2
3.0
21.8
22.6
21.0
vs Similar (38)
11.5
11.4
11.6
1.9
1.8
2.0
21.8
21.9
21.6
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
65%
72%
58%
26%
26%
26%
54%
56%
53%
% under line
35%
28%
42%
74%
74%
74%
46%
44%
47%
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.9
AC Horsens
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.5
FC Nordsjaelland
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.7
FC Midtjylland
4.4
AC Horsens
3.8
Aarhus
3.8
Lyngby
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.7
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.2
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.9
Viborg
24.9
Brondby
24.5
Lyngby
24.0
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Aarhus
23.6
Sonderjyske
22.0
Randers FC
21.9
Odense
21.6
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
AC Horsens
19.9
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.4%
@ 1.59+1.1%
Under 9.5
40.6%
@ 2.21-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.55
Under
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
2.20
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.9%
@ 1.82+1.3%
Under 3.5
48.1%
@ 1.87-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Under
Unibet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.3%
Under 21.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lyngby or Draw✓ Hit
66.5%
Avg Implied 70.1% · @ 1.34
Edge
-3.6%
38%
28%
33%
covers Lyngby + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Lyngby or Odense✗ Miss
71.9%
Avg Implied 75.1% · @ 1.25
Edge
-3.2%
38%
28%
33%
covers Lyngby + Odense
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or Odense✓ Hit
61.6%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.71
Edge
+6.8%
38%
28%
33%
covers Draw + Odense
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lyngby over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.7%
@ 1.15-5.3%
Under
24.3%
@ 4.88+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Lyngby over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.3%
@ 1.78-11.3%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.97+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.79
Under
Pinnacle
2.09
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Lyngby over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 3.44-10.1%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.28+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.55
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.43
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Lyngby over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 7.39-7.0%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.06+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Odense over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.9%
@ 1.26-0.8%
Under
27.1%
@ 3.53+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.77
Betano
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Odense over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.5%
@ 2.30-3.1%
Under
62.5%
@ 1.57+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Odense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 5.22-3.4%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.13+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Odense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 11.21-4.1%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lyngby, so a minus line means Lyngby give that many goals of a start and Odense receive them. At -1, Lyngby must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lyngby win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lyngby)Actual: Odense
Lyngby -2
6.9%
@ 7.65-4.8%
Draw -2
11.7%
@ 5.90-3.5%
Odense +2
81.4%
@ 1.23+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Unibet
5.75
Away
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Handicap -1 (Lyngby)Actual: Odense
Lyngby -1
18.6%
@ 3.63-6.1%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 4.00-2.6%
Odense +1
61.6%
@ 1.70+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
10Bet
3.90
Away
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Unibet
1.71
Superbet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
Handicap +1 (Lyngby)Actual: Lyngby
Lyngby +1
66.5%
@ 1.34-0.6%
Draw +1
18.2%
@ 4.88-0.2%
Odense -1
15.3%
@ 6.20+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Draw
Marathonbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Unibet
4.75
Away
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.20
10Bet
6.00
Handicap +2 (Lyngby)Actual: Lyngby
Lyngby +2
84.7%
@ 1.10+3.1%
Draw +2
10.0%
@ 8.01-1.2%
Odense -2
5.3%
@ 12.45-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
13.00
Marathonbet
6.80
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lyngby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
1.00
0.40
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.33
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.64
1.18
0.36
0.50
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.46
0.92
0.71
0.59
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.83
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.46
0.56
0.44
0.80
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.26-4.8%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 3.54+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.1%
@ 2.27-9.1%
Under 1.5
67.9%
@ 1.59+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.35
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.32
Unibet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.62
10Bet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
BetVictor
1.59
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 5.15-7.8%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.14+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.20
Unibet
5.20
1xBet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.4%
@ 1.72-10.7%
Under
56.6%
@ 2.03+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 4.48-8.2%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.17+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
Unibet
4.60
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.16
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 11.83-6.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Odense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.3%
@ 2.00-3.2%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.74+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
Unibet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.72
Odense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 6.01-4.6%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.09+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
Unibet
6.25
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Odense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 17.50-3.8%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lyngby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.63
1.27
0.67
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.20
0.52
1.27
0.55
1.14
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
1.00
0.54
0.76
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
1.67
0.67
1.25
0.75
2.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.67
0.89
0.44
0.53
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.16-3.4%
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 4.79+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
Superbet
4.80
William Hil
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.5%
@ 1.80-7.6%
Under 1.5
55.5%
@ 1.95+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Unibet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Marathonbet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.7%
@ 3.46-10.2%
Under 2.5
83.3%
@ 1.27+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.7%
@ 1.52-8.5%
Under
47.3%
@ 2.39+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.53
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.32
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 3.38-9.0%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.27+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.50
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 8.65-7.5%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.04+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
1xBet
8.60
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Odense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.2%
@ 1.70-5.3%
Under
50.8%
@ 2.04+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Under
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.04
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Odense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 4.44-5.8%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.17+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
Betano
4.45
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Under
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Odense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 11.67-5.4%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.14
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.17
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.16
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.0%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.6%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.17
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.27
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.0%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.32
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.1%
1.21
Betano
1.21
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.27
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.4%
1.23
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.2%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.7%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.7%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.14
-5.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.9%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.26
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.6%
1.35
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.32
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.9%
1.25
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-3.2%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
1.34
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.0%
1.54
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
+10.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lyngby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Casper Winther17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Renzo Tytens17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cornelius Allen40%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Casper Winther33%
Munashe Garananga33%
Renzo Tytens33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Lauge Sandgrav17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Diego Kochen0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Colyn17%
Oskar Buur17%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Colyn50%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson50%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Oskar Buur0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Odense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fiete Arp25%
Jacob Bonde17%
Noah Ganaus17%
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Topi Keskinen0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Gomez50%
Julius Berthel Askou40%
Ulrik Jenssen33%
Marcus McCoy33%
Rasmus Falk20%
Peter Therkildsen17%
Topi Keskinen17%
Ismahila Ouédraogo17%
Jacob Bonde0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Fiete Arp0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Noah Ganaus0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Fiete Arp0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Topi Keskinen0%
James Gomez0%
Noah Ganaus0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Ganaus33%
Fiete Arp25%
Topi Keskinen17%
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Lyngby's squad is €5m less valuable than Odense's (€13m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Lyngby's attack is €5m less valuable than Odense's (€3m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Lyngby's midfield is €2m more valuable than Odense's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Lyngby's defence is €2m less valuable than Odense's (€5m vs €7m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Sonderjyske