Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Analysis

Maccabi Haifa are the clear favourites, with a 56% chance of victory, 25% for a draw and 19% for Hapoel Beer Sheva to win. The model predicts an average of 2.8 goals, most likely a 2-goal total. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.9% probability. Maccabi Haifa, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Hapoel Beer Sheva, on the road, average 0.25 goals scored and 2.75 conceded against similar opposition. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 89.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 87.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.0%, Over 1.5 at 78.6%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.2%, Over 21.5 fouls at 77.0% and Under 10.5 corners at 72.7%. The home side’s recent form shows a shaky start after a 1-3 loss to Maccabi Tel Aviv, while the visitors come off a 2-1 win over Hapoel Ramat Gan.

The upset came as Maccabi Haifa, fresh from a defeat, failed to convert the model’s favourite home win into a victory, while Hapoel Beer Sheva secured a 0-2 away win. The model had given the home side a 56% chance, but the result proved wrong. The suggested picks all hit: Over 2.5 cards at 89.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 87.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.0%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.6%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.2%, Over 21.5 fouls at 77.0% and Under 10.5 corners at 72.7%. The match delivered a lower total than the 2.8 expected, with the most likely scoreline of 2-0 never materialising.