Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Afula Result & Analysis

The contest between Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa and Hapoel Afula is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are almost evenly split: 40% for a Jaffa victory, 26% for a draw and 34% for an Afula win. The expected total goals sit at 3.1, but the most probable total is two, with a 23% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries an 11.8% probability. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Hapoel Afula, on the road against a comparable side, averages 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. The model’s selection list includes an 82.9% chance of Over 1.5 goals, a hit. Recent form adds intrigue: Jaffa have three straight losses followed by two wins, while Afula come off a four-game winning streak. This balanced picture means the match could swing either way.

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, failed to materialise, ending in a 2-2 draw that surprised the model’s 40% probability for victory. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The only other selection was Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.9% chance, and it hit as the match produced four goals. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa’s recent form, after three straight defeats, was not enough to secure the win, while Hapoel Afula, riding a four-game winning streak, managed to hold their own at home. The final score of 2-2 matched the model’s most likely total of 2, but the outcome did not align with the predicted winner.