Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa Result & Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 62% chance of a home win, 24% for a draw and 14% for a Maccabi Haifa victory. The prediction favours a 1-0 scoreline, the most likely result with a 12.8% probability, and expects an average of 2.6 goals, with 2 goals the most common total at 26%. Tel Aviv’s home form shows they average 1.67 goals scored and concede none against similarly strong opponents, while Haifa’s away form shows 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 87%, Under 25.5 fouls at 76.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 74.2% (miss), Under 3.5 at 74.1% (hit), Over 1.5 at 73.8% (hit), Over 3.5 cards at 72.6% (hit) and Over 19.5 fouls at 70.7%. The model’s favourite result is a home win, reflecting Tel Aviv’s strong home record and Haifa’s comparatively weaker away defence.

The draw shocked the pundits, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, did not materialise. Maccabi Tel Aviv, coming off a win, had a 62% chance to triumph, yet the match finished 1-1, a result that the model had not predicted. The model’s selection for a home win was therefore wrong. The other selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit at 87%, Under 3.5 hit at 74.1%, Over 1.5 hit at 73.8%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 72.6%, while Under 11.5 corners missed at 74.2%. The most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 12.8% and 2-0 at 12.6% were both off the mark, as was the expected total of 2.6 goals.