Macva and Radnicki NIS will face off in the Serbia: Super Liga on August 22. Macva has been in a rut, coming off a win but suffering four consecutive losses prior to that, while Radnicki NIS is also on a high after a recent win. Despite this, Macva is the model's selection for the match result, with a 36% chance of winning at home. The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2 goals and a most likely score of 0-0 with a probability of 15.4%.
Macva has been conceding just 0.6 goals per match at home, while scoring 1.7 goals. Radnicki NIS has been scoring 1.25 goals and conceding 1.25 goals on the road against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (92.9%), Under 3.5 cards (86.4%), and Over 3.5 cards (77.6%). Macva has a 36% chance of winning, a 34% chance of drawing, and a 30% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The win extends Macva’s recent run, with a 1-0 triumph over Radnicki NIS confirming the model’s predicted home win, which had a 35 % probability. The final score of 1-0 matched the actual result, and the model’s favourite call was correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.9 %, Under 6.5 at 99.7 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0 %, Under 5.5 at 98.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.7 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.2 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1 %, and Over 19.5 fouls at 97.2 %. All picks settled in the model’s favour, underscoring its accurate assessment of a low-scoring, tightly contested match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Macva win✓ Hit
35.2%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.27
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.36
1xBet
3.30
Draw✗ Miss
34.8%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.10
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Dafabet
3.15
Radnicki NIS win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 43.2% · @ 2.09
Edge
-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Bet365
2.15
888Sport
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Macva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.97
1.64
0.64
0.56
1.25
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
3.33
1.00
3.00
0.00
3.50
vs Similar (25)
1.08
0.72
1.67
0.50
0.54
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki NIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnicki NIS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.17
1.07
1.07
1.00
1.25
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.11
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.19
1.30
1.10
1.00
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.1%
@ 1.34-11.0%
Under 1.5
42.9%
@ 2.87+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Under
Unibet
3.15
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.92
Superbet
2.92
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.8%
@ 2.09-15.3%
Under 2.5
71.2%
@ 1.65+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
Bet365
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Under
Unibet
1.74
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.0%
@ 3.68-12.8%
Under 3.5
88.0%
@ 1.22+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
888Sport
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Superbet
3.75
Under
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.1%
@ 1.83-11.7%
No
61.9%
@ 1.82+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
No
Unibet
1.95
Betfair
1.85
10Bet
1.83
William Hil
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.8%@ 7.27+10.7%
1-1
14.8%@ 5.85+7.2%
1-0 ✓
13.8%@ 8.43+8.5%
0-1
12.3%@ 6.35+5.4%
2-0
7.4%@ 15.34+4.5%
2-1
6.6%@ 11.18+2.6%
0-2
6.1%@ 9.26+1.3%
1-2
6.0%@ 8.54+0.8%
Macva goals ↓
Radnicki NIS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
12%
6.1%
1.8%
0.4%
1
14%
15%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
7.4%
6.6%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
3
2.4%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Macva goals (down), columns = Radnicki NIS goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
Macva is 0.17 points better than Radnicki NIS in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
Macva is 0.21 goals better than Radnicki NIS in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
Macva is 0.86 goals worse than Radnicki NIS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
Macva is 17.0 percentage points worse than Radnicki NIS in terms of average possession (38% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Macva
For 2.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 30.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radnicki NIS
For 4.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.4 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Macva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.4
7.0
7.7
0.6
0.6
0.5
30.4
33.5
28.3
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
7.0
8.5
7.7
12.0
5.5
26.7
31.0
24.5
vs Similar (45)
6.5
7.0
6.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
36.0
36.0
36.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
4%
4%
4%
80%
100%
67%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
96%
96%
96%
20%
0%
33%
This opponent (Radnicki NIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnicki NIS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.6
8.3
4.6
4.7
4.6
29.1
28.4
29.6
vs Stronger (12)
9.4
8.8
9.8
4.6
4.5
4.7
26.1
26.6
25.7
vs Similar (38)
8.1
8.5
7.8
4.6
4.7
4.5
30.0
28.9
30.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
32%
28%
74%
75%
73%
91%
86%
96%
% under line
70%
68%
72%
26%
25%
27%
9%
14%
4%
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.9
Mladost Lucani
9.6
Zemun
9.6
FK Partizan
9.1
Vojvodina
9.1
Radnicki 1923
9.0
Novi Pazar
8.9
OFK Beograd
8.9
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
Cukaricki
8.8
Železničar Pančevo
8.5
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
Macva
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zemun
6.2
Macva
5.6
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.0
Vojvodina
4.9
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
FK Partizan
4.8
Novi Pazar
4.6
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Železničar Pančevo
4.4
Mladost Lucani
4.3
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.5
Macva
30.4
Radnicki 1923
30.2
IMT Novi Beograd
29.7
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.0
Cukaricki
29.0
Železničar Pančevo
27.6
Novi Pazar
27.2
Vojvodina
26.9
FK Partizan
26.2
Mladost Lucani
25.8
Zemun
25.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
31.6%
@ 2.88-0.2%
Under 9.5
68.4%
@ 1.34+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
2.97
Betano
2.85
Superbet
2.62
Under
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.2%
@ 1.34+8.6%
Under 3.5
23.8%
@ 2.80-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.34
Under
Superbet
2.80
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.3%
Under 21.5
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Macva or Draw✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied 56.3% · @ 1.63
Edge
+13.7%
35%
35%
30%
covers Macva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
888Sport
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Macva or Radnicki NIS✓ Hit
65.2%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.28
Edge
-6.7%
35%
35%
30%
covers Macva + Radnicki NIS
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Draw or Radnicki NIS✗ Miss
64.8%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.28
Edge
-7.0%
35%
35%
30%
covers Draw + Radnicki NIS
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Macva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.5%
@ 1.45-0.7%
Under
37.5%
@ 2.49+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Under
Unibet
2.65
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.51
Macva over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.8%
@ 3.13-3.5%
Under
74.2%
@ 1.30+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
888Sport
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Macva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 7.56-4.5%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.05+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
1xBet
8.90
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Macva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 16.50-4.0%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Radnicki NIS over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.8%
@ 1.26-13.9%
Under
41.2%
@ 3.35+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
Betano
3.40
Radnicki NIS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.3%
@ 2.22-18.9%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.55+18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
10Bet
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
Betano
2.27
Under
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Radnicki NIS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 4.92-12.5%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.12+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.50
1xBet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Radnicki NIS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 11.56-6.9%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Macva, so a minus line means Macva give that many goals of a start and Radnicki NIS receive them. At -1, Macva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Macva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Macva)Actual: Radnicki NIS
Macva -2
3.9%
@ 21.00-0.6%
Draw -2
9.8%
@ 11.00+1.4%
Radnicki NIS +2
86.3%
@ 1.07-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Handicap -1 (Macva)Actual: Draw
Macva -1
13.7%
@ 7.20+1.4%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 4.72+2.7%
Radnicki NIS +1
64.8%
@ 1.28-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
Handicap +1 (Macva)Actual: Macva
Macva +1
69.9%
@ 1.63+16.4%
Draw +1
19.2%
@ 3.57-5.2%
Radnicki NIS -1
10.8%
@ 3.95-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
10Bet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Handicap +2 (Macva)Actual: Macva
Macva +2
89.2%
@ 1.19+14.7%
Draw +2
8.0%
@ 5.92-6.9%
Radnicki NIS -2
2.8%
@ 8.43-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.85
Away
Superbet
8.50
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Macva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.93
0.29
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.36
1.00
0.25
0.38
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki NIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnicki NIS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.53
0.36
0.43
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
0.44
0.00
0.25
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.57
0.50
0.50
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.6%
@ 1.42+3.2%
Under 0.5
32.4%
@ 2.57-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Under
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.5%
@ 3.01-2.0%
Under 1.5
71.5%
@ 1.32+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.15
Pinnacle
3.07
Superbet
3.05
Under
William Hil
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.1%
@ 7.22-3.6%
Under 2.5
90.9%
@ 1.05+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Macva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.1%
@ 2.47-0.4%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.48+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Macva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 8.38-0.5%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.04+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.60
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Macva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 36.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
36.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnicki NIS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.3%
@ 2.00-2.8%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.72+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Radnicki NIS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 6.07-1.2%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.09+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Radnicki NIS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 17.92-2.4%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Macva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.71
0.36
0.25
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.40
0.36
0.67
0.25
0.15
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki NIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnicki NIS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.71
0.64
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.62
0.80
0.60
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.1%
Under 0.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.9%
Under 1.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.8%
Under 2.5
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Macva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.7%
Under
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnicki NIS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.3%
Under
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnicki NIS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnicki NIS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.9%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+12.5%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
92.3%
1.05
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.2%
1.19
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
+14.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
88.0%
1.22
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+12.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
86.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.0%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
78.9%
1.19
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
77.7%
1.55
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
+18.9%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.2%
1.34
Superbet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
74.2%
1.30
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.5%
1.32
William Hil
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
71.2%
1.65
Unibet
1.74
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
+15.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Macva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Vidakov50%
Đorđe Đorđić17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Ristivojević50%
Kristijan Tojčić50%
Sani Abdullahi50%
Milan Vidakov33%
Luka Pejović33%
Slobodan Sladojević33%
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Boško Vraštanović20%
Darko Terzić20%
Vladimir Ilić20%
Vladimir Rakić17%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Slobodan Sladojević17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Milan Vidakov0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milan Vidakov33%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Radnicki NIS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandr Shestyuk33%
Issah Abass17%
Luka Izderić17%
Damjan Krajišnik0%
Radomir Milosavljević0%
Franck Kanouté0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Stefan Veličković0%
Igor Ivanović0%
Marko Mijailović0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Miloš Spasić0%
Uroš Vitas0%
Ranko Jokić0%
Kwaku Bonsu Osei Gaucho0%
Aleksandar Vidović0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Nikola Zečević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Mijailović50%
Uroš Vitas50%
Ranko Jokić40%
Issah Abass33%
Radomir Milosavljević33%
Kwaku Bonsu Osei Gaucho33%
Aleksandar Vidović33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Nikola Zečević25%
Damjan Krajišnik20%
Franck Kanouté20%
Miloš Spasić20%
Ivan Kostić0%
Stefan Veličković0%
Igor Ivanović0%
Aleksandr Shestyuk0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Luka Izderić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miloš Spasić40%
Damjan Krajišnik0%
Issah Abass0%
Radomir Milosavljević0%
Franck Kanouté0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Stefan Veličković0%
Igor Ivanović0%
Marko Mijailović0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Uroš Vitas0%
Ranko Jokić0%
Kwaku Bonsu Osei Gaucho0%
Aleksandar Vidović0%
Aleksandr Shestyuk0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Nikola Zečević0%
Luka Izderić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Issah Abass50%
Franck Kanouté40%
Aleksandr Shestyuk33%
Damjan Krajišnik0%
Radomir Milosavljević0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Stefan Veličković0%
Igor Ivanović0%
Marko Mijailović0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Miloš Spasić0%
Uroš Vitas0%
Ranko Jokić0%
Kwaku Bonsu Osei Gaucho0%
Aleksandar Vidović0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Nikola Zečević0%
Luka Izderić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Macva's squad is €6m less valuable than Radnicki NIS's (€4m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Macva's attack is €2m less valuable than Radnicki NIS's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Macva and Radnicki NIS have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Macva's defence is €4m less valuable than Radnicki NIS's (€2m vs €5m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Cukaricki
Železničar Pančevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
Zemun