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Malženice vs Lokomotíva Zvolen Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2024
Time: 08:30
Final 4-0
Malženice
Malženice
Vs
55%
26%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malženice win✓ Hit
55.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MalženiceMalženice

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W13L14L01L22D31W21W20W35L31WH·HUM27/07A·POV03/08H·LIP10/08H·ŽIL18/08H·POH25/08A·SLO28/08H·ŠAM01/09H·STA21/09A·SPA25/09A·PÚC28/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.731.621.061.362.50
vs Stronger (10)1.302.200.751.501.672.67
vs Similar (17)1.651.532.000.901.142.43
vs Weaker (3)1.331.331.501.001.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L03L21W13L31W01L00D33D13L10WH·PET27/07A·TAT02/08H·HUM10/08A·POV17/08H·LIP24/08A·PAR28/08A·ŽIL01/09H·POH14/09A·ŠAM22/09H·SLO28/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.801.801.600.402.00
vs Stronger (3)0.001.33--0.001.33
vs Similar (6)1.502.171.751.751.003.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.1%
No
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
Malženice goals ↓
Lokomotíva Zvolen goals →
01234
07.7%5.2%3.0%1.0%0.2%
111%12%5.3%1.7%0.4%
210%9.8%4.7%1.5%0.4%
36.0%5.7%2.8%0.9%0.2%
42.6%2.5%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malženice goals (down), columns = Lokomotíva Zvolen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Malženice and Lokomotíva Zvolen are level in average points per game (both 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Malženice is 0.12 goals better than Lokomotíva Zvolen in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Malženice is 0.04 goals better than Lokomotíva Zvolen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MalženiceMalženice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D10W01L00D01L00D20W04L00DH·HUM27/07A·POV03/08H·LIP10/08H·ŽIL18/08H·POH25/08A·SLO28/08H·ŠAM01/09H·STA21/09A·SPA25/09A·PÚC28/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.901.060.440.361.43
vs Stronger (10)0.301.300.501.000.171.50
vs Similar (17)1.000.711.300.200.571.43
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.000.500.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D02L20W01L00D02L11D00DH·PET27/07A·TAT02/08H·HUM10/08A·POV17/08H·LIP24/08A·PAR28/08A·ŽIL01/09H·POH14/09A·ŠAM22/09H·SLO28/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.600.800.201.00
vs Stronger (3)0.000.67--0.000.67
vs Similar (6)0.501.000.500.750.501.50
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malženice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MalženiceMalženice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L04L00D22D30W21W00D31W31WH·HUM27/07A·POV03/08H·LIP10/08H·ŽIL18/08H·POH25/08A·SLO28/08H·ŠAM01/09H·STA21/09A·SPA25/09A·PÚC28/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.830.560.621.001.07
vs Stronger (10)1.000.900.250.501.501.17
vs Similar (17)0.650.820.700.700.571.00
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L10W11D11D00D00D31W02L10WH·PET27/07A·TAT02/08H·HUM10/08A·POV17/08H·LIP24/08A·PAR28/08A·ŽIL01/09H·POH14/09A·ŠAM22/09H·SLO28/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.901.200.800.201.00
vs Stronger (3)0.000.67--0.000.67
vs Similar (6)1.001.171.251.000.501.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Malženice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Malženice and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Malženice and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Malženice and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Malženice and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MAL wins
0
Draws
0
LZ wins

Head-to-head

Malženice vs Lokomotíva Zvolen · H/A from MAL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

MalženiceMalženice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24APúchov Vs MAL1-3
25/09/24ASpartak Myjava Vs MAL5-3
21/09/24HMAL Vs Stará Ľubovňa2-0
01/09/24HMAL Vs Šamorín2-1
28/08/24ASlovan Dubovce Vs MAL1-3
25/08/24HMAL Vs Pohronie2-2
18/08/24HMAL Vs Žilina II0-1
10/08/24HMAL Vs Liptovský Mikuláš1-4
03/08/24APovažská Bystrica Vs MAL3-1
27/07/24HMAL Vs Humenné2-1

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HLZ Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-0
22/09/24AŠamorín Vs LZ3-1
14/09/24HLZ Vs Pohronie3-3
01/09/24AŽilina II Vs LZ0-0
28/08/24APartizán Ľubeľa Vs LZ1-0
24/08/24HLZ Vs Liptovský Mikuláš3-1
17/08/24APovažská Bystrica Vs LZ3-1
10/08/24HLZ Vs Humenné2-1
02/08/24ATatran Prešov Vs LZ3-0
27/07/24HLZ Vs Petržalka0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Malženice
Malženice
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.10
HomeLLDWW1.52
AwayLLWLW0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%43%16%
AVG goals3.052.483.68
Over 1.5 %82%76%89%
Over 2.5 %60%52%68%
Over 3.5 %38%24%53%
Scored1.381.431.32
Conceded1.681.052.37
BTTS55%52%58%
Clean Sheet20%29%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.10
HomeLWWDW2.00
AwayLLLDL0.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%60%0%
AVG goals2.903.402.40
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %70%80%60%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.101.800.40
Conceded1.801.602.00
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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