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Malženice vs Slovan Bratislava II Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026
Time: 08:30
Final 4-2
Malženice
Malženice
Vs
51%
27%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Mal\u017eenice is expected to win, coming off a draw and boasting a strong recent form at home. They have scored 1.67 goals on average at home against similar opponents, while conceding 0.83 goals. Slovan Bratislava II, on the other hand, have struggled away from home, scoring 1.17 goals on average against similar opponents and conceding 1.58 goals.

The model predicts a 51% chance of a home win, 27% chance of a draw, and 22% chance of an away win. The expected total goals are 2.6, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.9% probability.

The model's selection is the Home win, with a 51% probability. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a 75.1% probability and a 1% edge, and Under 3.5, with a 72.8% probability and a 4% edge. The home win percentage is 51%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 22%.

Results analysis

Mal\u017eenice's win extends their run, but the final score was a far cry from the model's expectations. The actual result was a home win, which aligns with the model's pick, a 51% probability call that proved correct. The model's selection was the favourite, but the margin of victory was significantly higher than anticipated. The suggested picks were also off the mark, as the model predicted a 75.1% chance of "Over 1.5" goals, which hit, but "Under 3.5" goals, with a 72.8% probability, missed. The model's most likely scores were 1-1, 1-0, and 2-1, with the latter having a 9.6% probability, but the actual score was 4-2.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malženice win✓ Hit
50.5%
Avg Implied 46.1% · @ 1.97
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Dafabet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.35
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
10Bet
3.45
BetVictor
3.40
Slovan Bratislava II win✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.38
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.55
Unibet
3.55
Dafabet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MalženiceMalženice

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W42W11D10W00D11D23L21W02LA·LIP04/04H·ZLA07/04H·POV12/04A·SLO19/04H·SLÁ22/04H·LOK26/04A·ŽIL03/05H·ŠAM08/05A·STA15/05A·ŠAM27/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.331.291.071.441.56
vs Stronger (6)1.171.671.001.331.332.00
vs Similar (24)1.421.251.361.001.461.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W11D41W11D21W42W11D51W12L01LH·LIP28/03A·POV04/04H·SLÁ12/04H·MAL19/04A·LOK22/04H·ŽIL26/04A·ŠAM02/05H·STA08/05A·POH15/05H·ZLA26/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.601.881.311.001.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.471.601.881.311.001.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
@ 1.23+1.0%
Under 1.5
24.9%
@ 3.51-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.65
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
@ 1.80-2.3%
Under 2.5
50.9%
@ 1.90+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Unibet
1.84
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Under
Betfair
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.2%
@ 2.90-4.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
@ 1.33+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.05
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.97
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Under
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
@ 1.66-2.9%
No
47.7%
@ 2.04+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.67
BetVictor
1.67
1xBet
1.66
No
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
1xBet
2.05

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.14+6.2%
1-0
10.5%@ 7.25+4.8%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.70+4.2%
2-0
9.5%@ 8.60+4.7%
0-0
8.3%@ 9.97+4.2%
0-1
6.1%@ 9.93+1.9%
1-2
5.9%@ 10.48+2.0%
3-1
5.2%@ 13.33+2.1%
Malženice goals ↓
Slovan Bratislava II goals →
01234
08.3%6.1%3.7%1.2%0.3%
110%13%5.9%2.0%0.5%
29.5%9.6%4.8%1.6%0.4%
35.1%5.2%2.6%0.9%0.2%
42.1%2.1%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malženice goals (down), columns = Slovan Bratislava II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.40
Žilina II
2.00
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Pohronie
1.40
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.40
Humenné
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Malženice
0.80
Slovan Bratislava II
0.80
Galanta
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.40
Malženice and Slovan Bratislava II are level in average points per game (both 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.80
Šamorín
2.20
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
2.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Inter Bratislava
1.60
Tatran Prešov
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Malženice
1.40
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Humenné
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.60
Galanta
0.60
Malženice is 0.20 goals worse than Slovan Bratislava II in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.40
Žilina II
0.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
0.80
Šamorín
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Tatran Prešov
1.40
Humenné
1.60
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Malženice
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Slovan Bratislava II
1.80
Galanta
1.80
MFK Bytča
3.20
Malženice and Slovan Bratislava II are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MalženiceMalženice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D00D10W00D01L03L10W00DA·LIP04/04H·ZLA07/04H·POV12/04A·SLO19/04H·SLÁ22/04H·LOK26/04A·ŽIL03/05H·ŠAM08/05A·STA15/05A·ŠAM27/07
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.360.500.440.62
vs Stronger (6)0.330.830.330.330.331.33
vs Similar (24)0.420.500.360.550.460.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L30W00D11D40W01L21W00D00DH·LIP28/03A·POV04/04H·SLÁ12/04H·MAL19/04A·LOK22/04H·ŽIL26/04A·ŠAM02/05H·STA08/05A·POH15/05H·ZLA26/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.940.440.361.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.670.700.940.440.361.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malženice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MalženiceMalženice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W31W11D00D00D10W20W11D02LA·LIP04/04H·ZLA07/04H·POV12/04A·SLO19/04H·SLÁ22/04H·LOK26/04A·ŽIL03/05H·ŠAM08/05A·STA15/05A·ŠAM27/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.770.930.571.000.94
vs Stronger (6)0.830.830.671.001.000.67
vs Similar (24)1.000.751.000.451.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W11D11D10W02L10W30W12L01LH·LIP28/03A·POV04/04H·SLÁ12/04H·MAL19/04A·LOK22/04H·ŽIL26/04A·ŠAM02/05H·STA08/05A·POH15/05H·ZLA26/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.900.940.880.640.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.800.900.940.880.640.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Malženice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.1%1.23
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+1.0%✓ Hit
Under 3.572.8%1.33
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.30
+4.2%✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (33)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
MAL wins
3
Draws
1
SBI wins

Head-to-head

Malženice vs Slovan Bratislava II · H/A from MAL
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26ASlovan Bratislava II Vs MAL1-1
28/09/25HMAL Vs Slovan Bratislava II3-0
06/04/25ASlovan Bratislava II Vs MAL2-2
11/10/24HMAL Vs Slovan Bratislava II2-0
24/04/24ASlovan Bratislava II Vs MAL3-2
08/10/23HMAL Vs Slovan Bratislava II0-0

MalženiceMalženice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/26AŠamorín Vs MAL2-0
15/05/26AStará Ľubovňa Vs MAL1-2
08/05/26HMAL Vs Šamorín2-3
03/05/26AŽilina II Vs MAL1-1
26/04/26HMAL Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen0-0
22/04/26HMAL Vs Slávia TU Košice1-0
19/04/26ASlovan Bratislava II Vs MAL1-1
12/04/26HMAL Vs Považská Bystrica4-2
07/04/26HMAL Vs Zlaté Moravce1-0
04/04/26ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs MAL0-0

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HSBI Vs Zlaté Moravce0-1
15/05/26APohronie Vs SBI2-1
08/05/26HSBI Vs Stará Ľubovňa5-1
02/05/26AŠamorín Vs SBI1-1
26/04/26HSBI Vs Žilina II4-2
22/04/26ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs SBI1-2
19/04/26HSBI Vs Malženice1-1
12/04/26HSBI Vs Slávia TU Košice4-1
04/04/26APovažská Bystrica Vs SBI1-1
28/03/26HSBI Vs Liptovský Mikuláš3-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Malženice
Malženice
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL1.28
HomeWWWDL1.86
AwayDDDWL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%57%17%
AVG goals2.662.622.69
Over 1.5 %74%67%79%
Over 2.5 %52%62%45%
Over 3.5 %30%24%34%
Scored1.221.381.10
Conceded1.441.241.59
BTTS58%52%62%
Clean Sheet26%38%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.18
HomeWDWWL1.46
AwayDDWDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%21%
AVG goals2.902.922.88
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %34%38%29%
Scored1.321.621.00
Conceded1.581.311.88
BTTS62%65%58%
Clean Sheet12%15%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetržalkaPetržalka515
100%
3.0
142+12
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
2ŠamorínŠamorín512
80%
2.4
115+6
3.2
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov510
60%
2.0
87+1
3.0
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.4
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II510
60%
2.0
54+1
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica59
60%
1.8
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
6Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš58
40%
1.6
104+6
2.8
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.8
-
7Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom57
20%
1.4
108+2
3.6
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
8PohroniePohronie57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava56
40%
1.2
86+2
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
10HumennéHumenné56
40%
1.2
48-4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
11Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce55
20%
1.0
56-1
2.2
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II54
20%
0.8
89-1
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
13MalženiceMalženice54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14GalantaGalanta54
20%
0.8
39-6
2.4
100%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.8
-
15MFK BytčaMFK Bytča53
20%
0.6
316-13
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
16Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen52
0%
0.4
36-3
1.8
40%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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