The clash between Malšnice and Tatran Prešov sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring an away win. The odds are almost even: a 33% chance for a home victory, 31% for a draw and 36% for Tatran to come away with the win, making the latter the single most likely outcome. The expected total is 2.3 goals, with the most probable total of two goals at 28%. The scoreline that the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 14.5% probability.
Malšnice, playing at home against a stronger side, averages one goal scored and one conceded. Tatran Prešov, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.4 goals scored and one conceded. Recent form shows Malšnice struggling after three straight defeats, while Tatran is coming off a loss.
The model’s selections are overwhelmingly low-scoring: Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.1%), Under 5.5 (96.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7%), Under 4.5 (91.3%), Home under 2.5 goals (89.3%) and Away under 2.5 goals (88.1%).
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Malženice win
35.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov win
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Malženice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.67
1.00
1.33
1.67
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
1.71
1.50
1.25
1.33
2.33
vs Similar (23)
1.52
1.22
1.73
0.91
1.33
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tatran Prešov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.20
1.31
1.15
1.35
1.24
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
1.22
1.39
0.86
1.29
1.45
1.45
vs Weaker (11)
1.64
1.00
1.83
1.00
1.40
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.4%
Under 2.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
Malženice goals ↓
Tatran Prešov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.6%
6.5%
2.5%
0.8%
1
9.8%
14%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.6%
7.8%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.6%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malženice goals (down), columns = Tatran Prešov goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Malženice is 0.50 points worse than Tatran Prešov in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Malženice is 0.17 goals better than Tatran Prešov in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Malženice and Tatran Prešov are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Malženice or Draw
65.6%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
34%
covers Malženice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Malženice or Tatran Prešov
69.6%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
34%
covers Malženice + Tatran Prešov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Tatran Prešov
64.8%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
34%
covers Draw + Tatran Prešov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Malženice over/under 0.5
Over
69.8%
Under
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5
Over
33.6%
Under
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 3.5
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 0.5
Over
69.3%
Under
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 1.5
Over
33.1%
Under
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 2.5
Over
11.6%
Under
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 3.5
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Malženice, so a minus line means Malženice give that many goals of a start and Tatran Prešov receive them. At -1, Malženice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Malženice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Malženice)
Malženice -2
5.1%
Draw -2
10.4%
Tatran Prešov +2
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Malženice)
Malženice -1
15.4%
Draw -1
19.7%
Tatran Prešov +1
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Malženice)
Malženice +1
65.6%
Draw +1
19.4%
Tatran Prešov -1
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Malženice)
Malženice +2
85.0%
Draw +2
10.1%
Tatran Prešov -2
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Malženice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.60
0.53
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.86
0.75
0.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.48
0.55
0.55
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tatran Prešov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.85
0.54
0.53
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.83
0.57
0.71
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.36
1.17
0.33
0.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.3%
Under 0.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.0%
Under 1.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.1%
Under 2.5
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malženice over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.6%
Under
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.3%
Under
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.9%
Under
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Malženice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.77
1.07
0.47
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.86
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.74
1.18
0.36
0.83
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tatran Prešov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.46
0.62
0.82
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.29
0.57
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.64
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.4%
Under 0.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.4%
Under 1.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.1%
Under 2.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Malženice over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.3%
Under
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.6%
Under
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.3%
Under
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.7%
Under
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tatran Prešov · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Regáli25%
Denys Taraduda17%
Stanislav Olejník14%
Andy Masaryk12%
Michal Sipľak7%
Pavol Bajza0%
Moritz Römling0%
Łukasz Wolsztyński0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Jan Bernát0%
Roman Begala0%
Jozef Menich0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Filip Souček0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Gabriel Barbosa0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Václav Míka0%
Dominique Simon0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Helder Morim0%
Landing Sagna0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Václav Míka33%
Filip Souček29%
Stanislav Olejník29%
Severin Tatolna29%
Patrik Šimko27%
Martin Regáli25%
Helder Morim25%
Roman Begala24%
Taras Bondarenko20%
Denys Taraduda17%
Gabriel Barbosa17%
Michal Sipľak14%
Landing Sagna13%
Jozef Menich11%
Daniels Balodis11%
Dominique Simon8%
Pavol Bajza6%
Andy Masaryk6%
Juraj Kotula6%
Moritz Römling0%
Łukasz Wolsztyński0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Jan Bernát0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Łukasz Wolsztyński20%
Jan Bernát20%
Michal Sipľak14%
Severin Tatolna14%
Ioan-Calin Revenco8%
Stanislav Olejník7%
Roman Begala6%
Denys Taraduda0%
Pavol Bajza0%
Moritz Römling0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Martin Regáli0%
Jozef Menich0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Filip Souček0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Gabriel Barbosa0%
Václav Míka0%
Dominique Simon0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Helder Morim0%
Landing Sagna0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanislav Olejník29%
Łukasz Wolsztyński20%
Gabriel Barbosa17%
Dominique Simon8%
Landing Sagna7%
Martin Regáli6%
Denys Taraduda0%
Pavol Bajza0%
Moritz Römling0%
Michal Sipľak0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Jan Bernát0%
Roman Begala0%
Jozef Menich0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Filip Souček0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Václav Míka0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Helder Morim0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Malženice's squad is €1m less valuable than Tatran Prešov's (€1m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Malženice and Tatran Prešov have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Malženice and Tatran Prešov have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Malženice and Tatran Prešov have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Šamorín
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Pohronie
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Liptovský Mikuláš
Inter Bratislava
Galanta
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Zlaté Moravce
Lokomotíva Zvolen
MFK Bytča