Manisa F.K. enters the Turkey 1. Lig clash at home after an unbeaten run of five matches, ending in a 0-0 draw against Bodrum FK, while Bursaspor, fresh from a win over Kayserispor, will travel. The model sees a 38% chance of a home win, a 29% draw, and a 33% away victory, making a Manisa win the favourite outcome. With an expected 2.6 goals, the average total of two goals is the most likely, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% probability. Manisa’s home form shows they average 2.36 goals scored and 0.57 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Bursaspor’s away record is 0.92 scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.1% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.3% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.0% with a 9% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (94.9% with a 2% edge), Under 5.5 (94.8% with a 5% edge), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.4% with a 7% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manisa F.K. win
38.1%
Avg Implied 21.2% · @ 4.30
Edge
+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.50
Betfair
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Marathonbet
4.33
Draw
28.6%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.60
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.70
Betano
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Bursaspor win
33.3%
Avg Implied 53.5% · @ 1.71
Edge
-20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.78
Betano
1.72
Dafabet
1.71
1xBet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manisa F.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.27
2.20
0.60
1.20
1.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.76
1.28
2.36
0.57
1.20
1.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bursaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.03
1.64
0.93
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.67
0.75
1.25
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.05
0.95
1.29
0.86
0.92
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
2.80
0.60
3.67
0.67
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.4%
@ 1.22+0.8%
Under 1.5
24.6%
@ 3.58-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.68
Betano
3.55
Unibet
3.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.77-2.9%
Under 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.93+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Unibet
1.76
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Unibet
1.87
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.4%
@ 2.85-4.6%
Under 3.5
72.6%
@ 1.34+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Unibet
2.85
Betano
2.80
Under
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Both teams to score
Yes
55.0%
@ 1.71+1.1%
No
45.0%
@ 1.99-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Unibet
1.68
No
Unibet
2.00
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 6.30+6.9%
1-0
8.5%@ 11.69+4.9%
2-1
8.5%@ 12.19+5.0%
0-0
8.3%@ 10.35+4.2%
1-2
7.9%@ 7.03+1.8%
0-1
7.8%@ 6.50+1.2%
2-0
6.7%@ 22.75+4.8%
0-2
5.7%@ 7.50+0.0%
Manisa F.K. goals ↓
Bursaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
7.8%
5.7%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.5%
14%
7.9%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.7%
8.5%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.1%
3.9%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manisa F.K. goals (down), columns = Bursaspor goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Manisa F.K. is 0.80 points worse than Bursaspor in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Manisa F.K. and Bursaspor are level in goals scored per game (both 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Manisa F.K. is 1.00 goals worse than Bursaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Manisa F.K. is 4.2 percentage points worse than Bursaspor in terms of average possession (55% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manisa F.K.
For 3.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 13.6 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bursaspor
For 5.9 · Against 3.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 10.7 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manisa F.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.2
8.9
4.7
4.9
4.6
23.9
24.3
23.4
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
8.0
8.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
25.3
31.0
22.5
vs Similar (47)
8.6
8.2
9.0
4.8
4.8
4.8
23.8
24.0
23.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
35%
44%
70%
79%
62%
65%
65%
64%
% under line
60%
65%
56%
30%
21%
38%
35%
35%
36%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bursaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.2
9.2
3.8
3.9
3.8
28.3
29.1
27.5
vs Stronger (14)
8.6
9.1
8.1
4.9
5.4
4.3
28.1
28.6
27.6
vs Similar (31)
9.7
9.5
9.9
3.4
3.6
3.2
28.5
29.8
27.3
vs Weaker (5)
6.5
6.0
7.0
3.6
1.7
6.5
27.0
24.0
30.0
% over line
35%
38%
32%
58%
67%
50%
86%
90%
82%
% under line
65%
62%
68%
42%
33%
50%
14%
10%
18%
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Iğdır FK
9.0
Bodrum FK
8.9
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Mardin 1969
8.6
İstanbulspor
8.4
Pendikspor
8.4
Boluspor
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.8
Muğlaspor
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.8
Batman Petrolspor
5.8
Antalyaspor
5.3
Pendikspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Vanspor FK
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.9
Bandırmaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.6
Bursaspor
4.5
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
30.8
Bursaspor
28.9
Fatih Karagümrük
28.7
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.4
Pendikspor
26.5
Batman Petrolspor
26.2
Mardin 1969
25.6
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
24.8
Bandırmaspor
24.2
Bodrum FK
23.9
Iğdır FK
23.8
Keçiörengücü
23.7
Sivasspor
23.7
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Sarıyer
23.4
Ümraniyespor
23.2
İstanbulspor
23.1
Esenler Erokspor
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.2%
Under 9.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.8%
Under 3.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.0%
Under 21.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Manisa F.K. or Draw
66.7%
Avg Implied 46.4% · @ 1.97
Edge
+20.2%
38%
29%
33%
covers Manisa F.K. + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.10
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Unibet
1.79
Manisa F.K. or Bursaspor
71.4%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.22
Edge
-3.5%
38%
29%
33%
covers Manisa F.K. + Bursaspor
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Draw or Bursaspor
61.9%
Avg Implied 78.7% · @ 1.16
Edge
-16.8%
38%
29%
33%
covers Draw + Bursaspor
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5
Over
74.7%
@ 1.45+11.2%
Under
25.3%
@ 2.52-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.48
1xBet
2.48
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5
Over
39.9%
@ 3.28+11.7%
Under
60.1%
@ 1.29-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Betfair
3.25
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5
Over
16.0%
@ 9.03+5.7%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.04-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.60
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Manisa F.K. over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
@ 12.50-2.4%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bursaspor over/under 0.5
Over
71.9%
@ 1.14-9.9%
Under
28.1%
@ 5.12+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Under
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.15
Betano
4.70
Bursaspor over/under 1.5
Over
36.3%
@ 1.74-16.8%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.97+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.95
Unibet
1.82
Bursaspor over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
@ 3.28-14.4%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.28+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Betfair
3.25
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Bursaspor over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
@ 6.93-9.3%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.07+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Manisa F.K., so a minus line means Manisa F.K. give that many goals of a start and Bursaspor receive them. At -1, Manisa F.K. must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Manisa F.K. win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Manisa F.K.)
Manisa F.K. -2
6.6%
Draw -2
11.6%
Bursaspor +2
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Manisa F.K.)
Manisa F.K. -1
18.2%
@ 6.55+6.1%
Draw -1
19.9%
@ 4.30+1.5%
Bursaspor +1
61.9%
@ 1.14-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap +1 (Manisa F.K.)
Manisa F.K. +1
66.7%
@ 1.92+22.2%
Draw +1
18.3%
@ 3.32-7.5%
Bursaspor -1
15.0%
@ 2.88-14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Unibet
1.79
Draw
Marathonbet
3.56
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
3.00
Away
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
Unibet
2.75
Handicap +2 (Manisa F.K.)
Manisa F.K. +2
85.0%
@ 1.31+17.3%
Draw +2
9.9%
@ 5.10-7.5%
Bursaspor -2
5.1%
@ 5.95-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Away
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manisa F.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.93
0.47
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.83
0.69
1.00
0.43
0.67
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bursaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.37
0.57
0.29
0.44
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.32
0.43
0.29
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.2%
@ 1.33+1.1%
Under 0.5
29.8%
@ 2.98-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
2.91
1xBet
2.91
Betano
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.5%
@ 2.58-1.0%
Under 1.5
65.5%
@ 1.42+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.59
Marathonbet
2.59
Unibet
2.48
Under
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.0%
@ 6.17-1.9%
Under 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.08+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.3%
@ 2.52-0.3%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.45+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.54
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.2%
@ 8.60-3.5%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.03+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bursaspor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.3%
@ 1.69+2.8%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.03-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Bursaspor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.2%
@ 4.42-1.6%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.16+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.80
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Under
1xBet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
Bursaspor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.8%
@ 9.00-5.5%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manisa F.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.27
0.13
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.93
0.59
1.36
0.14
0.53
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bursaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.07
0.64
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.63
0.86
0.57
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.60
2.67
0.67
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.18+1.6%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 4.05-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
3.95
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.6%
@ 1.96-4.6%
Under 1.5
57.4%
@ 1.75+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.5%
@ 3.95-2.6%
Under 2.5
79.5%
@ 1.19+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.5%
@ 2.09+3.4%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.65-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.09
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.8%
@ 6.73-0.9%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.06+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.10
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 10.75-6.3%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bursaspor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.5%
@ 1.47-0.8%
Under
37.5%
@ 2.52+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.50
Bursaspor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.5%
@ 3.18-6.4%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.29+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Bursaspor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.6%
@ 7.60-6.5%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.05+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+9.3%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
Under 5.5
94.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.2%
1.06
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+0.9%
Under 4.5
87.1%
1.10
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+4.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
+1.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.4%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
+14.4%
Home +2 handicap
85.0%
1.31
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
-
-
-
+17.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
84.0%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-5.7%
Over 2.5 cards
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
80.8%
1.16
1xBet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+1.6%
Under 11.5 corners
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+2.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+1.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.29
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
+6.4%
Over 1.5
75.4%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
+0.8%
Home over 0.5 goals
74.7%
1.45
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.40
+11.2%
Under 3.5
72.6%
1.34
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
+4.6%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.9%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-9.9%
Home or Away
71.4%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
-3.5%
Under 10.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.2%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
-
+1.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manisa F.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julien Anziani67%
Yusuf Talum33%
Y. Benrahou0%
B. Touré0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
K. Yurdakul0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Y. Benrahou33%
B. Touré33%
K. Yurdakul33%
Julien Anziani0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Y. Benrahou33%
C. Sylla33%
B. Touré0%
Julien Anziani0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
K. Yurdakul0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani67%
Y. Benrahou0%
B. Touré0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
K. Yurdakul0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Bursaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Ịheanachọ100%
Halil Akbunar33%
Lincoln25%
Alperen Babacan25%
Toral Bayramov0%
Lewis Baker0%
Amine Boutrah0%
Soner Aydoğdu0%
R. Berişbek0%
Juergen Elitim0%
B. Gök0%
Taha Batuhan Yayikci0%
B. Başyiğit0%
Eyüp Akcan0%
K. Matisli0%
Hüseyin Maldar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alperen Babacan50%
Toral Bayramov33%
Halil Akbunar33%
Lincoln25%
Juergen Elitim25%
B. Gök25%
Taha Batuhan Yayikci25%
K. Ịheanachọ0%
Lewis Baker0%
Amine Boutrah0%
Soner Aydoğdu0%
R. Berişbek0%
B. Başyiğit0%
Eyüp Akcan0%
K. Matisli0%
Hüseyin Maldar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
K. Ịheanachọ50%
Lincoln50%
R. Berişbek33%
Toral Bayramov0%
Lewis Baker0%
Amine Boutrah0%
Soner Aydoğdu0%
Halil Akbunar0%
Alperen Babacan0%
Juergen Elitim0%
B. Gök0%
Taha Batuhan Yayikci0%
B. Başyiğit0%
Eyüp Akcan0%
K. Matisli0%
Hüseyin Maldar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
K. Ịheanachọ100%
Lincoln50%
Toral Bayramov0%
Lewis Baker0%
Amine Boutrah0%
Soner Aydoğdu0%
Halil Akbunar0%
R. Berişbek0%
Alperen Babacan0%
Juergen Elitim0%
B. Gök0%
Taha Batuhan Yayikci0%
B. Başyiğit0%
Eyüp Akcan0%
K. Matisli0%
Hüseyin Maldar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Manisa F.K.'s squad is €10m less valuable than Bursaspor's (€9m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Manisa F.K.'s attack is €8m less valuable than Bursaspor's (€2m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Manisa F.K.'s midfield is €1m less valuable than Bursaspor's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Manisa F.K. and Bursaspor have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor