This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
2.17
1.20
1.87
1.00
2.47
vs Stronger (28)
1.04
2.18
1.14
1.93
0.93
2.43
vs Similar (2)
2.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Mantova is 0.08 points better than Salernitana in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Mantova is 0.29 goals better than Salernitana in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Mantova is 0.22 goals worse than Salernitana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Mantova is 10.1 percentage points better than Salernitana in terms of average possession (62% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mantova
For 5.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 25.7 · Total 35.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Salernitana
For 3.9 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mantova
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (3)
9.3
12.0
8.0
6.0
5.0
6.5
35.3
32.0
37.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
8.0
-
8.0
6.5
-
6.5
37.0
-
37.0
vs Weaker (1)
12.0
12.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
32.0
32.0
-
% over line
67%
100%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
33%
0%
50%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.5
11.3
3.8
4.8
2.9
25.2
25.9
24.5
vs Stronger (48)
10.9
10.4
11.4
3.8
4.6
2.9
25.0
25.4
24.5
vs Similar (2)
10.5
11.0
10.0
5.5
9.0
2.0
30.0
35.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
71%
67%
75%
52%
72%
32%
85%
95%
75%
% under line
29%
33%
25%
48%
28%
68%
15%
5%
25%
This opponent (Mantova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Juve Stabia
11.0
Salernitana
10.9
Sassuolo
10.7
Palermo
10.5
Frosinone
10.2
Cosenza
10.0
Cremonese
10.0
Brescia
10.0
Spezia
9.9
Cesena
9.8
Bari
9.6
Modena
9.4
Mantova
9.3
Catanzaro
9.3
Reggiana
9.0
Carrarese
9.0
Pisa
8.9
Cittadella
8.9
Sudtirol
8.8
Sampdoria
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Juve Stabia
6.6
Cosenza
6.3
Pisa
6.0
Mantova
6.0
Spezia
5.9
Bari
5.9
Sampdoria
5.7
Modena
5.7
Reggiana
5.5
Sudtirol
5.4
Cittadella
5.3
Catanzaro
5.2
Cremonese
5.0
Salernitana
5.0
Brescia
5.0
Palermo
5.0
Frosinone
4.7
Carrarese
4.7
Cesena
4.1
Sassuolo
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
35.3
Juve Stabia
32.9
Cittadella
30.8
Spezia
30.8
Reggiana
29.9
Sampdoria
29.8
Sudtirol
29.7
Bari
29.1
Modena
28.9
Cesena
28.8
Brescia
28.5
Pisa
28.3
Catanzaro
28.2
Palermo
27.9
Cosenza
27.7
Cremonese
26.6
Salernitana
26.1
Carrarese
26.0
Frosinone
24.9
Sassuolo
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
70.9%
Under 3.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.0%
Under 21.5
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mantova
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.17
0.33
0.93
0.53
1.40
vs Stronger (28)
0.43
1.14
0.36
0.93
0.50
1.36
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mantova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mantova
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.33
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.00
0.87
0.93
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (28)
0.61
1.04
0.79
1.00
0.43
1.07
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mantova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mantova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leonardo Mancuso23%
Davide Bragantini17%
Nicolò Radaelli15%
Alessandro Debenedetti14%
Alex Redolfi11%
Fabrizio Brignani10%
Matteo Solini9%
Francesco Ruocco9%
Mattia Aramu8%
Tommaso Maggioni7%
Francesco Galuppini6%
Simone Trimboli6%
Davis Mensah6%
Antonio Fiori6%
Salvatore Burrai4%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Marco Festa0%
Stefano Cella0%
Erik Panizzi0%
Mattia Muroni0%
Cristiano Bani0%
David Wieser0%
Federico Artioli0%
Simone Giordano0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Salvatore Burrai46%
Matteo Solini36%
Mattia Muroni33%
Nicolò Radaelli25%
Fabrizio Brignani24%
Stefano Cella23%
Simone Trimboli22%
Alex Redolfi21%
Erik Panizzi17%
Federico Artioli17%
Simone Giordano17%
Cristiano Bani15%
Sebastien De Maio14%
Antonio Fiori14%
Mattia Aramu12%
Davis Mensah11%
Francesco Galuppini9%
Marco Festa8%
Leonardo Mancuso8%
David Wieser7%
Davide Bragantini6%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Alessandro Debenedetti3%
Francesco Ruocco0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Davis Mensah17%
Antonio Fiori14%
Mattia Aramu12%
Salvatore Burrai11%
David Wieser10%
Nicolò Radaelli10%
Francesco Ruocco9%
Francesco Galuppini9%
Federico Artioli8%
Davide Bragantini6%
Cristiano Bani4%
Fabrizio Brignani3%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Simone Trimboli3%
Leonardo Mancuso3%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Marco Festa0%
Stefano Cella0%
Erik Panizzi0%
Mattia Muroni0%
Alex Redolfi0%
Matteo Solini0%
Simone Giordano0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leonardo Mancuso15%
Francesco Galuppini14%
Antonio Fiori8%
Mattia Aramu8%
Fabrizio Brignani7%
Simone Trimboli6%
Nicolò Radaelli5%
Stefano Cella5%
Salvatore Burrai4%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Davide Bragantini3%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Marco Festa0%
Erik Panizzi0%
Mattia Muroni0%
Davis Mensah0%
Alex Redolfi0%
Matteo Solini0%
Cristiano Bani0%
Francesco Ruocco0%
David Wieser0%
Federico Artioli0%
Simone Giordano0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Salernitana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Simy23%
Diego Valencia20%
Roberto Soriano12%
Jayden Braaf11%
Alberto Cerri11%
Franco Tongya10%
Gian Marco Ferrari9%
Daniele Verde8%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde8%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Antonio Raimondo8%
Yayah Kallon8%
Lorenzo Amatucci8%
Paolo Ghiglione7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Andrés Tello5%
Ajdin Hrustić4%
Petar Stojanović0%
Dylan Bronn0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Davide Gentile0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Fabio Ruggeri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrés Tello42%
Petar Stojanović34%
Tijs Velthuis30%
Ajdin Hrustić26%
Ernesto Torregrossa25%
Stefano Girelli25%
Fabrizio Caligara25%
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Fabio Ruggeri22%
Dylan Bronn20%
Nicola Dalmonte20%
Jayden Braaf17%
Alberto Cerri16%
Luka Lochoshvili16%
Paweł Jaroszyński15%
Szymon Włodarczyk15%
Yayah Kallon15%
Paolo Ghiglione15%
Giulio Maggiore14%
Lorenzo Amatucci13%
Roberto Soriano12%
Gian Marco Ferrari11%
Franco Tongya10%
Federico Zuccon9%
Antonio Raimondo8%
Lilian Njoh7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Oliver Christensen6%
Simy4%
Daniele Verde3%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Davide Gentile0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Tommaso Corazza21%
Daniele Verde8%
Simy8%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Paolo Ghiglione7%
Ajdin Hrustić4%
Fabio Ruggeri4%
Dylan Bronn4%
Lilian Njoh4%
Gian Marco Ferrari3%
Lorenzo Amatucci3%
Petar Stojanović0%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Roberto Soriano0%
Alberto Cerri0%
Andrés Tello0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Jayden Braaf0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Franco Tongya0%
Davide Gentile0%
Antonio Raimondo0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alberto Cerri37%
Jayden Braaf17%
Daniele Verde14%
Dylan Bronn12%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Paolo Ghiglione4%
Petar Stojanović0%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Roberto Soriano0%
Gian Marco Ferrari0%
Andrés Tello0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Simy0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Ajdin Hrustić0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Franco Tongya0%
Davide Gentile0%
Antonio Raimondo0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Fabio Ruggeri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →