Mardin 1969’s unbeaten run of five games, ending in a 2-2 draw with Sivasspor, gives the home side a solid defensive base, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding only 0.5 against similar opposition. Bodrum FK, however, has struggled to find the net, averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.08 conceded on the road, and their latest 0-0 draw with Manisa F.K. shows a cautious approach. The model’s most likely outcome is an away win, with a 38% chance, followed by a 32% home win and a 30% draw. The expected total is 2.4 goals, centring on a 2-goal total at 27% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3% chance. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 6.5 at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.3% with an 8% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.2% with a 7% edge, Under 5.5 at 96.5% with a 5% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.0% with a 5% edge, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.5% with a 4% edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Mardin 1969 win
31.5%
Avg Implied 48.7% · @ 1.87
Edge
-17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.04
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.90
Dafabet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
Draw
30.2%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.27
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.29
Bodrum FK win
38.2%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.91
Edge
+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.08
William Hil
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Mardin 1969
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.75
1.25
1.50
0.50
1.83
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.75
1.25
1.50
0.50
1.83
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodrum FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.03
1.18
1.00
1.46
1.08
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.19
1.11
1.07
1.13
1.33
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
2.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Mardin 1969) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.3%
@ 1.31+0.2%
Under 1.5
29.7%
@ 3.07-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
BetVictor
3.13
Unibet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.07
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.8%
@ 2.01-3.2%
Under 2.5
57.2%
@ 1.71+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
BetVictor
1.98
Under
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.0%
@ 3.48-4.3%
Under 3.5
78.0%
@ 1.24+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.70
Pinnacle
3.53
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
49.8%
@ 1.82-0.7%
No
50.2%
@ 1.86+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
No
Unibet
1.96
1xBet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.89+7.0%
0-0
10.4%@ 8.20+5.1%
0-1
10.3%@ 9.54+5.7%
1-0
9.0%@ 5.96+1.7%
1-2
8.2%@ 12.08+4.6%
2-1
7.3%@ 7.62+1.6%
0-2
7.3%@ 18.58+5.0%
2-0
5.8%@ 7.89+0.3%
Mardin 1969 goals ↓
Bodrum FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
10%
7.3%
3.1%
1.0%
1
9.0%
14%
8.2%
3.5%
1.1%
2
5.8%
7.3%
4.6%
2.0%
0.6%
3
2.2%
2.8%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mardin 1969 goals (down), columns = Bodrum FK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Mardin 1969 is 1.00 points better than Bodrum FK in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Mardin 1969 is 1.20 goals better than Bodrum FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 0.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Mardin 1969 is 0.20 goals better than Bodrum FK in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Mardin 1969 is 2.2 percentage points better than Bodrum FK in terms of average possession (49% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mardin 1969
For 6.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bodrum FK
For 4.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mardin 1969
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
8.6
8.5
8.7
2.5
5.0
1.7
25.6
27.5
24.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
8.6
8.5
8.7
2.5
5.0
1.7
25.6
27.5
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
20%
0%
33%
38%
100%
17%
80%
100%
67%
% under line
80%
100%
67%
62%
0%
83%
20%
0%
33%
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodrum FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
7.7
9.6
3.6
3.8
3.4
23.6
24.3
23.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
8.7
7.8
9.6
3.6
3.9
3.3
24.1
25.2
23.0
vs Weaker (7)
8.3
7.3
9.3
3.6
3.0
4.0
20.7
18.7
22.7
% over line
35%
23%
48%
48%
50%
46%
65%
68%
62%
% under line
65%
77%
52%
52%
50%
54%
35%
32%
38%
This opponent (Mardin 1969) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Iğdır FK
9.0
Bodrum FK
8.9
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Mardin 1969
8.6
İstanbulspor
8.4
Pendikspor
8.4
Boluspor
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.8
Muğlaspor
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.8
Batman Petrolspor
5.8
Antalyaspor
5.3
Pendikspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Vanspor FK
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.9
Bandırmaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.6
Bursaspor
4.5
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
30.8
Bursaspor
28.9
Fatih Karagümrük
28.7
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.4
Pendikspor
26.5
Batman Petrolspor
26.2
Mardin 1969
25.6
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
24.8
Bandırmaspor
24.2
Bodrum FK
23.9
Iğdır FK
23.8
Keçiörengücü
23.7
Sivasspor
23.7
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Sarıyer
23.4
Ümraniyespor
23.2
İstanbulspor
23.1
Esenler Erokspor
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.2%
Under 9.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.7%
Under 3.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.7%
Under 21.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mardin 1969 or Draw
61.8%
Avg Implied 76.4% · @ 1.20
Edge
-14.6%
32%
30%
38%
covers Mardin 1969 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.17
Mardin 1969 or Bodrum FK
69.8%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.26
Edge
-3.1%
32%
30%
38%
covers Mardin 1969 + Bodrum FK
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Draw or Bodrum FK
68.5%
Avg Implied 50.8% · @ 1.81
Edge
+17.7%
32%
30%
38%
covers Draw + Bodrum FK
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mardin 1969 over/under 0.5
Over
67.6%
@ 1.20-9.3%
Under
32.4%
@ 3.99+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Pinnacle
3.93
Betano
3.85
Mardin 1969 over/under 1.5
Over
31.1%
@ 2.04-14.2%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.69+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Mardin 1969 over/under 2.5
Over
10.5%
@ 4.24-11.3%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.18+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.10
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Mardin 1969 over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
@ 9.07-7.5%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.04+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Bodrum FK over/under 0.5
Over
71.8%
@ 1.52+10.9%
Under
28.2%
@ 2.37-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
Betfair
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.42
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Bodrum FK over/under 1.5
Over
36.1%
@ 3.35+8.6%
Under
63.9%
@ 1.27-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.56
Pinnacle
3.54
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Under
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bodrum FK over/under 2.5
Over
13.5%
@ 9.30+3.5%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.04-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.80
Betfair
9.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Bodrum FK over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
@ 12.50-3.5%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Mardin 1969, so a minus line means Mardin 1969 give that many goals of a start and Bodrum FK receive them. At -1, Mardin 1969 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mardin 1969 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mardin 1969)
Mardin 1969 -2
4.1%
@ 7.45-7.9%
Draw -2
9.1%
@ 5.58-7.0%
Bodrum FK +2
86.8%
@ 1.25+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Away
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap -1 (Mardin 1969)
Mardin 1969 -1
13.2%
@ 3.35-12.3%
Draw -1
18.3%
@ 3.39-6.9%
Bodrum FK +1
68.5%
@ 1.74+19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
Unibet
3.30
Draw
Marathonbet
3.56
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.10
Away
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Unibet
1.58
Handicap +1 (Mardin 1969)
Mardin 1969 +1
61.8%
@ 1.20-4.6%
Draw +1
20.7%
@ 4.00+0.8%
Bodrum FK -1
17.5%
@ 5.83+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Unibet
3.90
Away
Marathonbet
6.15
Unibet
5.50
Handicap +2 (Mardin 1969)
Mardin 1969 +2
82.5%
Draw +2
11.5%
Bodrum FK -2
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mardin 1969
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodrum FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.59
0.59
0.62
0.23
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.48
0.53
0.67
0.67
0.25
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Mardin 1969) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.4%
@ 1.40-0.0%
Under 0.5
34.6%
@ 2.66+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Under
William Hil
2.80
Pinnacle
2.78
Betfair
2.75
Unibet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.59
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.4%
@ 2.95+1.1%
Under 1.5
67.6%
@ 1.34-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.04
Betfair
3.00
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.96
1xBet
2.96
Under
BetVictor
1.37
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 7.55-2.0%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.05+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
1xBet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mardin 1969 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.6%
@ 1.87-1.7%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.82+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Mardin 1969 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.3%
@ 5.45-0.7%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.11+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Mardin 1969 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.4%
@ 10.25-3.6%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bodrum FK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.3%
@ 2.63-1.7%
Under
66.7%
@ 1.42+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.63
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Bodrum FK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.3%
@ 9.47-3.6%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.04+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Bodrum FK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mardin 1969
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.83
0.83
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodrum FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.59
0.41
0.85
0.85
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.63
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Mardin 1969) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.3%
@ 1.25+3.0%
Under 0.5
23.7%
@ 3.44-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.45
William Hil
3.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.21-3.3%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.59+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Betano
2.15
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
William Hil
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 4.79-4.8%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.14+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mardin 1969 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.9%
@ 1.59+0.8%
Under
41.1%
@ 2.20-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Mardin 1969 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.7%
@ 3.83-4.3%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.21+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Mardin 1969 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.9%
@ 8.00-5.7%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.05+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bodrum FK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.7%
@ 2.15-3.1%
Under
60.3%
@ 1.61+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.10
Under
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Bodrum FK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.3%
@ 7.13-2.6%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.06+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Bodrum FK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.6%
@ 11.00-6.9%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+7.5%
Under 5.5
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
1.05
Betano
1.05
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+3.6%
Under 4.5
90.5%
1.06
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+3.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
1xBet
1.02
+2.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.7%
1.06
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
89.5%
1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+11.3%
Away +2 handicap
86.8%
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
-
+14.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-3.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.14
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+4.8%
Over 2.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+0.7%
Home +2 handicap
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.21
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+4.3%
Under 11.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.0%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+4.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
+3.0%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.8%
1.52
Pinnacle
1.54
Betfair
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
+10.9%
Over 1.5
70.3%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
+0.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mardin 1969
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olarenwaju Kayode75%
Zdravko Dimitrov25%
T. Teklić25%
Emre Taşdemir0%
Đorđe Denić0%
Erce Kardeşler0%
Bunyamin Balat0%
N. Yardımcı0%
Mustafa Sengul0%
A. Kabak0%
Uğur Adem Gezer0%
Muammer Denizhan Taskan0%
B. Alhassan0%
Ahmet Ülük0%
Eray Korkmaz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emre Taşdemir67%
Mustafa Sengul67%
Eray Korkmaz50%
Olarenwaju Kayode25%
Đorđe Denić25%
T. Teklić25%
Erce Kardeşler25%
A. Kabak25%
B. Alhassan25%
Zdravko Dimitrov0%
Bunyamin Balat0%
N. Yardımcı0%
Uğur Adem Gezer0%
Muammer Denizhan Taskan0%
Ahmet Ülük0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Olarenwaju Kayode25%
Bunyamin Balat25%
Emre Taşdemir0%
Đorđe Denić0%
Zdravko Dimitrov0%
T. Teklić0%
Erce Kardeşler0%
N. Yardımcı0%
Mustafa Sengul0%
A. Kabak0%
Uğur Adem Gezer0%
Muammer Denizhan Taskan0%
B. Alhassan0%
Ahmet Ülük0%
Eray Korkmaz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Olarenwaju Kayode75%
Đorđe Denić25%
Zdravko Dimitrov25%
T. Teklić25%
Emre Taşdemir0%
Erce Kardeşler0%
Bunyamin Balat0%
N. Yardımcı0%
Mustafa Sengul0%
A. Kabak0%
Uğur Adem Gezer0%
Muammer Denizhan Taskan0%
B. Alhassan0%
Ahmet Ülük0%
Eray Korkmaz0%
Bodrum FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ege Bilsel0%
B. Yavuzay0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ali Habeşoğlu0%
Ege Arslan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emre Kaplan33%
B. Yavuzay33%
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Ege Bilsel0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ali Habeşoğlu0%
Ege Arslan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ege Bilsel0%
B. Yavuzay0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ali Habeşoğlu0%
Ege Arslan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ege Bilsel33%
Ali Habeşoğlu33%
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Emre Kaplan0%
B. Yavuzay0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ege Arslan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Mardin 1969's squad is €7m less valuable than Bodrum FK's (€6m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Mardin 1969's attack is €3m less valuable than Bodrum FK's (€2m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Mardin 1969 and Bodrum FK have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Mardin 1969's defence is €2m less valuable than Bodrum FK's (€2m vs €4m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor