Maribor vs Bravo Result & Analysis

Maribor are the clear favourites, their home form showing a solid 2.0 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded against similar opposition, while Bravo’s away average of 0.85 goals and 1.23 conceded highlights a defensive frailty. The model therefore rates a home win at 62%, a draw 24% and an away win 14%. The pick is a home win, and the expected total is 2.7 goals, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 at 12%. The match is predicted to see 2 goals in 25% of games. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls 92.6%, Over 2.5 cards 82.2%, Over 1.5 76.3%, Under 11.5 corners 72.5%, Under 3.5 71.3%, and Under 5.5 cards 71.0%. The model also notes a 73.0% chance of Over 23.5 fouls and an 84.7% chance of Over 21.5 fouls, both likely to miss. Maribor’s recent 2-game winning run against Nafta and Bravo’s fresh win over Mura set the stage for a competitive contest.

The pre-match favourite, Maribor, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised the model’s 62% home-win expectation. The model’s call was wrong, and the result was a stalemate. Over 19.5 fouls hit with 92.6% probability, over 2.5 cards also hit at 82.2%, and over 1.5 goals hit at 76.3%. Under 11.5 corners, under 3.5, and under 5.5 cards all hit, with probabilities of 72.5%, 71.3%, and 71.0% respectively. Over 21.5 fouls and over 23.5 fouls missed, each with 84.7% and 73.0% odds. Maribor’s 2-game winning run was halted, while Bravo returned from a win to secure a point.