This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.84
0.88
1.54
0.46
2.17
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.31
1.29
0.43
1.67
2.33
vs Weaker (12)
2.25
0.42
1.83
0.50
2.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.9%
Under 1.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
72.8%
Under 2.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
72.7%
No
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-3
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-2
4.3%
Maribor goals ↓
Olimpija Ljubljana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.1%
3.8%
4.6%
3.1%
1.5%
1
3.2%
8.9%
8.1%
5.4%
2.7%
2
3.6%
7.2%
7.2%
4.8%
2.4%
3
2.1%
4.3%
4.3%
2.9%
1.4%
4
0.9%
1.9%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maribor goals (down), columns = Olimpija Ljubljana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
Maribor is 0.31 points worse than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 2.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
Maribor is 0.28 goals better than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
Maribor is 0.11 goals worse than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
Maribor is 7.8 percentage points worse than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of average possession (51% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Maribor
For 4.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olimpija Ljubljana
For 5.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maribor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
8.7
9.8
7.4
2.0
1.7
2.3
24.8
23.0
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
8.6
9.4
7.8
2.3
2.0
2.6
25.0
26.5
23.5
vs Weaker (12)
8.8
10.3
6.5
1.6
1.4
1.8
24.6
20.7
30.5
% over line
40%
50%
29%
21%
13%
29%
89%
80%
100%
% under line
60%
50%
71%
79%
87%
71%
11%
20%
0%
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
9.9
9.8
10.2
2.4
2.2
2.7
26.3
27.5
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
10.6
9.6
12.3
3.0
2.6
3.5
30.2
30.0
31.0
vs Weaker (12)
9.0
10.0
8.0
1.8
1.8
1.8
23.7
25.0
22.3
% over line
50%
50%
50%
24%
23%
25%
90%
100%
75%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
76%
77%
75%
10%
0%
25%
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.9
Mura
9.7
Gorica
9.6
Celje
9.4
Koper
9.4
Tabor Sežana
8.9
Bravo
8.8
NK Domzale
8.7
Maribor
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.4
Celje
5.0
Mura
4.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Koper
4.2
Gorica
3.9
Maribor
3.9
Tabor Sežana
3.7
Bravo
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.7
Celje
26.4
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.3
Bravo
26.2
Mura
25.4
Maribor
24.8
Gorica
23.6
Koper
22.9
Tabor Sežana
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.1%
Under 9.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.8%
Under 3.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.4%
Under 21.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Maribor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.45
1.00
0.67
0.93
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.29
0.62
0.38
0.44
0.22
vs Weaker (12)
1.58
0.67
1.43
1.00
1.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.40
0.31
0.31
0.83
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.46
0.29
0.29
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
72% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maribor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
0.66
0.60
0.60
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.24
0.65
0.00
0.50
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.67
1.29
0.71
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.28
0.48
1.23
0.15
1.33
0.83
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.85
1.00
0.14
0.83
1.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.67
0.08
1.50
0.17
1.83
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Olimpija Ljubljana · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Blanco43%
Peter Agba17%
Ivan Durdov14%
Marko Brest12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović0%
Agustín Doffo0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko Ristić0%
Dino Kojić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reda Boultam50%
David Sualehe38%
Peter Agba33%
Jorge Silva29%
Marko Brest25%
Marko Ristić25%
Manuel Pedreno20%
Thalisson20%
Justas Lasickas17%
Raul Florucz17%
Agustín Doffo14%
Álex Blanco14%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović12%
Matevž Vidovšek12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Dino Kojić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raul Florucz33%
Marko Brest25%
Marko Ristić25%
Agustín Doffo14%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Álex Blanco0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Dino Kojić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Álex Blanco14%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović12%
Antonio Marin0%
Agustín Doffo0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Marko Brest0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko Ristić0%
Dino Kojić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
Maribor's squad is €2m less valuable than Olimpija Ljubljana's (€10m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
Maribor's attack is €1m less valuable than Olimpija Ljubljana's (€5m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
Maribor and Olimpija Ljubljana have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
Maribor's defence is €2m less valuable than Olimpija Ljubljana's (€3m vs €5m).
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celje
NK Domzale
Mura
Koper
Radomlje
Bravo
Gorica
Tabor Sežana
Aluminij