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Maribor vs Radomlje Result & Analysis

Date: 02/11/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 1-0
Maribor
Maribor
Vs
61%
24%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Maribor win✓ Hit
61.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radomlje win✗ Miss
15.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MariborMaribor

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L41W20W12L30W30W12L10W11DH·OLI25/08H·DJU29/08H·PRI01/09H·KOP15/09A·CEL18/09A·NAF22/09A·NK 29/09H·CEL06/10A·BRA20/10A·MUR26/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.932.270.871.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.431.051.730.911.101.20
vs Weaker (9)2.670.673.750.751.800.60
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L11D01L11D02L01L20W10W41W42WA·CEL11/08H·MAR18/08A·MUR24/08H·BRA31/08H·OLI14/09A·KOP29/09H·NAF04/10A·PRI12/10A·NK 20/10H·CEL27/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.171.131.131.001.20
vs Stronger (13)1.081.621.141.571.001.67
vs Similar (17)1.060.821.120.751.000.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
1-0 ✓
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
Maribor goals ↓
Radomlje goals →
01234
07.1%4.3%2.3%0.7%0.1%
111%11%4.5%1.3%0.3%
211%9.9%4.3%1.3%0.3%
37.2%6.3%2.8%0.8%0.2%
43.5%3.0%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maribor goals (down), columns = Radomlje goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.06
Maribor
1.86
Koper
1.83
Celje
1.69
Bravo
1.53
Triglav
1.50
Primorje
1.19
Radomlje
0.97
Mura
0.97
NK Domzale
0.84
Nafta
0.78
Maribor is 0.89 points better than Radomlje in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 0.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.11
Triglav
2.00
Maribor
1.78
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.75
Koper
1.67
Bravo
1.44
Primorje
1.14
NK Domzale
1.05
Radomlje
1.03
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.92
Maribor is 0.75 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.56
Maribor
0.89
Koper
0.97
Bravo
1.22
Celje
1.42
Mura
1.42
Primorje
1.69
NK Domzale
1.84
Nafta
1.92
Radomlje
1.92
Triglav
2.50
Maribor is 1.03 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.92).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MariborMaribor

For 1.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1001910A·DJU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

604433446A·DJUH·BOTA·BOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 18.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

18012618A·DJU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RadomljeRadomlje

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MariborMaribor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.57.69.21.51.41.624.025.322.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)8.46.810.01.81.72.026.127.624.6
vs Weaker (17)8.69.58.00.80.61.019.819.520.0
% over line40%29%50%24%19%29%67%71%62%
% under line60%71%50%76%81%71%33%29%38%
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Celje
9.9
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.5
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Maribor
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.6
Celje
4.3
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
24.6
Mura
24.2
Celje
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.2%
Under 9.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.9%
Under 3.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.9%
Under 21.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MariborMaribor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L31W10W01L00D20W10W00D01LH·OLI25/08H·DJU29/08H·PRI01/09H·KOP15/09A·CEL18/09A·NAF22/09A·NK 29/09H·CEL06/10A·BRA20/10A·MUR26/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.371.070.270.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.570.380.730.180.400.60
vs Weaker (9)1.330.332.000.500.800.20
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D01L00D00D10W00D31W01LA·CEL11/08H·MAR18/08A·MUR24/08H·BRA31/08H·OLI14/09A·KOP29/09H·NAF04/10A·PRI12/10A·NK 20/10H·CEL27/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.200.470.530.60
vs Stronger (13)0.230.620.140.570.330.67
vs Similar (17)0.470.470.250.380.670.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MariborMaribor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W10W11D30W10W02L10W10WH·OLI25/08H·DJU29/08H·PRI01/09H·KOP15/09A·CEL18/09A·NAF22/09A·NK 29/09H·CEL06/10A·BRA20/10A·MUR26/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.571.200.600.800.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.860.671.000.730.700.60
vs Weaker (9)1.330.331.750.251.000.40
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D10W01L10W02L01L10W10W10W41WA·CEL11/08H·MAR18/08A·MUR24/08H·BRA31/08H·OLI14/09A·KOP29/09H·NAF04/10A·PRI12/10A·NK 20/10H·CEL27/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.930.670.470.60
vs Stronger (13)0.851.001.001.000.671.00
vs Similar (17)0.590.350.880.380.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls84.3%--------
Over 2.5 cards79.3%--------
Over 1.577.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards74.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners73.2%--------
Over 21.5 fouls71.9%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Maribor's squad is €4m more valuable than Radomlje's (€10m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Maribor's attack is €3m more valuable than Radomlje's (€5m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Maribor and Radomlje have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Maribor and Radomlje have a similar defence value (both €3m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
MAR wins
3
Draws
0
RAD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Maribor vs Radomlje · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/24ARadomlje Vs MAR1-1
29/03/24HMAR Vs Radomlje1-0
11/12/23ARadomlje Vs MAR2-2
28/09/23HMAR Vs Radomlje3-1
23/07/23ARadomlje Vs MAR0-4
18/03/23ARadomlje Vs MAR1-1
06/12/22HMAR Vs Radomlje7-0
18/09/22ARadomlje Vs MAR0-5

MariborMaribor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/24AMura Vs MAR1-1
20/10/24ABravo Vs MAR0-1
06/10/24HMAR Vs Celje1-2
29/09/24ANK Domzale Vs MAR0-3
22/09/24ANafta Vs MAR0-3
18/09/24ACelje Vs MAR2-1
15/09/24HMAR Vs Koper2-0
01/09/24HMAR Vs Primorje4-1
29/08/24HMAR Vs Djurgardens IF0-1
25/08/24HMAR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana1-1

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/24HRAD Vs Celje4-2
20/10/24ANK Domzale Vs RAD1-4
12/10/24APrimorje Vs RAD0-1
04/10/24HRAD Vs Nafta2-0
29/09/24AKoper Vs RAD1-0
14/09/24HRAD Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-2
31/08/24HRAD Vs Bravo1-1
24/08/24AMura Vs RAD1-0
18/08/24HRAD Vs Maribor1-1
11/08/24ACelje Vs RAD4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.82
HomeDLWWL2.31
AwayLWWWD1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%73%29%
AVG goals2.763.152.33
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %56%69%42%
Over 3.5 %26%38%12%
Scored1.842.351.29
Conceded0.920.811.04
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners8.477.579.25
Cards4.414.504.33
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.06
HomeDDLWW1.08
AwayLLLWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals2.362.542.17
Over 1.5 %72%81%62%
Over 2.5 %34%38%29%
Over 3.5 %22%27%17%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.341.501.17
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet22%19%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3674
58%
2.1
6320+43
2.3
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.80.6
-
2MariborMaribor3667
53%
1.9
6432+32
2.7
83%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.80.9
-
3KoperKoper3666
53%
1.8
6035+25
2.6
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.71.0
-
4CeljeCelje3661
47%
1.7
7651+25
3.5
81%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.11.4
-
5BravoBravo3655
39%
1.5
5244+8
2.7
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.2
-
6PrimorjePrimorje3643
31%
1.2
4161-20
2.8
83%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
7MuraMura3635
25%
1.0
3751-14
2.4
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.4
-
8RadomljeRadomlje3635
28%
1.0
3769-32
2.9
75%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.9
-
9NK DomzaleNK Domzale3832
21%
0.8
4070-30
2.9
74%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10NaftaNafta3628
17%
0.8
3369-36
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
11TriglavTriglav23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.5
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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