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Marisca Mersch vs UN Kaerjeng 97 Result & Analysis

Date: 22/09/2023
Time: 18:00
Final 2-1
Marisca Mersch
Marisca Mersch
Vs
51%
23%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UN Kaerjeng 97
UN Kaerjeng 97
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marisca Mersch win✓ Hit
50.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L34L11D21W22D21WH·VIC06/08A·PRO13/08H·WIL20/08A·FOL27/08H·RAC03/09A·MON17/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.831.331.672.332.00
vs Stronger (1)3.004.00--3.004.00
vs Similar (5)1.601.401.331.672.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D21W32W32W12L12L35L01L14L11DH·MON07/05H·VIC14/05A·WIL21/05H·BET27/05H·MON06/08A·UNA13/08A·US 20/08H·FC 27/08A·F9103/09H·AS 17/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.601.072.671.272.53
vs Stronger (15)0.933.330.503.831.223.00
vs Similar (13)1.541.851.621.751.402.00
vs Weaker (2)0.502.000.003.001.001.00
Clean sheet %3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Marisca Mersch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.5%
Under 1.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.3%
Under 2.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.8%
Under 3.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.9%
No
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
2-1 ✓
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
Marisca Mersch goals ↓
UN Kaerjeng 97 goals →
01234
03.8%3.4%3.1%1.5%0.6%
15.2%9.8%6.5%3.1%1.1%
26.3%9.2%6.7%3.2%1.2%
34.3%6.3%4.6%2.2%0.8%
42.2%3.3%2.4%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Marisca Mersch goals (down), columns = UN Kaerjeng 97 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Differdange 03
2.20
F91 Dudelange
2.03
Swift Hesperange
2.03
Progres Niederkorn
1.83
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.50
UNA Strassen
1.47
Victoria Rosport
1.47
Union Titus Petange
1.30
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.27
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.27
Wiltz
1.10
Mondercange
1.07
US Rumelange
1.00
US Hostert
1.00
Fola Esch
0.94
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.94
Marisca Mersch
0.87
Schifflange
0.83
Marisca Mersch is 0.07 points worse than UN Kaerjeng 97 in terms of average points per game (0.87 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Differdange 03
2.33
Swift Hesperange
2.20
US Rumelange
2.00
F91 Dudelange
1.97
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.83
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.70
Union Titus Petange
1.60
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.53
Victoria Rosport
1.50
Wiltz
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.33
Marisca Mersch
1.33
Schifflange
1.20
Fola Esch
1.13
Mondercange
1.10
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.03
US Hostert
1.00
Marisca Mersch is 0.30 goals better than UN Kaerjeng 97 in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Differdange 03
0.77
US Hostert
1.00
Swift Hesperange
1.17
Progres Niederkorn
1.17
F91 Dudelange
1.20
UNA Strassen
1.27
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.37
Victoria Rosport
1.47
Union Titus Petange
1.57
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.61
Wiltz
1.73
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
Mondercange
1.90
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.93
Schifflange
1.97
US Rumelange
2.00
Fola Esch
2.03
Marisca Mersch
2.07
Marisca Mersch is 0.45 goals worse than UN Kaerjeng 97 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.07 vs 1.61).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Marisca Mersch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Progres Niederkorn
10.8
FC Differdange 03
10.0
F91 Dudelange
9.3
Swift Hesperange
8.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
8.8
Progres Niederkorn
7.5
Fola Esch
7.0
Swift Hesperange
5.8
F91 Dudelange
5.1
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
48.0
Swift Hesperange
31.5
Progres Niederkorn
29.0
F91 Dudelange
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W10W11D00DH·VIC06/08A·PRO13/08H·WIL20/08A·FOL27/08H·RAC03/09A·MON17/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.670.330.670.67
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (5)0.600.200.670.330.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D20W11D01L12L23L01L03L10WH·MON07/05H·VIC14/05A·WIL21/05H·BET27/05H·MON06/08A·UNA13/08A·US 20/08H·FC 27/08A·F9103/09H·AS 17/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.200.471.470.730.93
vs Stronger (15)0.601.730.332.330.781.33
vs Similar (13)0.690.690.620.880.800.40
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Marisca Mersch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Marisca Mersch over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marisca Mersch over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marisca Mersch over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L22D01L11D11D21WH·VIC06/08A·PRO13/08H·WIL20/08A·FOL27/08H·RAC03/09A·MON17/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.330.671.331.671.33
vs Stronger (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Similar (5)1.001.200.671.331.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W12L21W11D00D12L00D11D01LH·MON07/05H·VIC14/05A·WIL21/05H·BET27/05H·MON06/08A·UNA13/08A·US 20/08H·FC 27/08A·F9103/09H·AS 17/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.400.601.200.531.60
vs Stronger (15)0.331.600.171.500.441.67
vs Similar (13)0.851.151.000.880.601.60
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Marisca Mersch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Marisca Mersch over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marisca Mersch over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marisca Mersch over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MM wins
0
Draws
0
UK9 wins

Head-to-head

Marisca Mersch vs UN Kaerjeng 97 · H/A from MM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/23AMondercange Vs MM1-2
03/09/23HMM Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg2-2
27/08/23AFola Esch Vs MM1-2
20/08/23HMM Vs Wiltz1-1
13/08/23AProgres Niederkorn Vs MM4-3
06/08/23HMM Vs Victoria Rosport1-2

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/23HUK9 Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-1
03/09/23AF91 Dudelange Vs UK94-1
27/08/23HUK9 Vs FC Differdange 030-1
20/08/23AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs UK95-3
13/08/23AUNA Strassen Vs UK92-1
06/08/23HUK9 Vs Mondercange1-2
27/05/23HUK9 Vs Bettembourg3-2
21/05/23AWiltz Vs UK92-3
14/05/23HUK9 Vs Victoria Rosport2-1
07/05/23HUK9 Vs Mondercange2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Marisca Mersch
Marisca Mersch
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDW1.33
HomeLDD0.67
AwayLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%0%67%
AVG goals3.673.004.33
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %83%67%100%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored1.831.332.33
Conceded1.831.672.00
BTTS100%100%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
UN Kaerjeng 97
UN Kaerjeng 97
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.78
HomeWWLLD0.74
AwayLWLLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%16%17%
AVG goals3.413.473.33
Over 1.5 %84%84%83%
Over 2.5 %59%63%56%
Over 3.5 %43%42%44%
Scored1.080.951.22
Conceded2.322.532.11
BTTS62%58%67%
Clean Sheet11%5%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033066
63%
2.2
7023+47
3.1
90%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.30.8
-
2Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3061
60%
2.0
6635+31
3.4
90%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.2
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3061
63%
2.0
5936+23
3.2
80%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.2
-
4Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3055
53%
1.8
5435+19
3.0
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.2
-
5AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3045
43%
1.5
5141+10
3.1
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.4
-
6UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3044
37%
1.5
4038+2
2.6
77%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.3
-
7Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3044
40%
1.5
4544+1
3.0
80%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.5
-
8Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3039
37%
1.3
4847+1
3.2
83%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
9US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3038
33%
1.3
5553+2
3.6
97%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.81.8
-
10Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3038
37%
1.3
4658-12
3.5
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.9
-
11WiltzWiltz3033
23%
1.1
4352-9
3.2
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
12MondercangeMondercange3032
27%
1.1
3357-24
3.0
87%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973129
23%
0.9
3250-18
2.6
71%
52%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.6
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3129
26%
0.9
3563-28
3.2
77%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
15Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch3026
23%
0.9
4062-22
3.4
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
16SchifflangeSchifflange3025
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
17US RumelangeUS Rumelange11
0%
1.0
22+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
18US HostertUS Hostert11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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