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Marisca Mersch vs Union Titus Petange Result & Analysis

Date: 18/05/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 1-4
Marisca Mersch
Marisca Mersch
Vs
35%
26%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Union Titus Petange
Union Titus Petange
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marisca Mersch win✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange win✓ Hit
39.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L21W01L14L02L34L13L23L20W13LH·FOL06/03H·MON10/03A·UN 17/03H·US 30/03A·FC 07/04H·F9114/04A·AS 20/04H·UNA28/04H·SCH05/05A·SWI12/05
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.392.001.641.861.142.14
vs Stronger (6)1.172.501.332.671.002.33
vs Similar (22)1.451.861.731.641.182.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W30W03L30W11D12L14L03L21WA·PRO03/03H·WIL09/03A·FOL17/03H·RAC30/03A·MON07/04H·UN 14/04A·US 20/04H·FC 28/04A·F9105/05H·AS 12/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.632.001.471.131.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.291.761.891.670.621.88
vs Weaker (13)1.921.462.171.171.711.71
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Marisca Mersch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.7%
Under 2.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.4%
Under 3.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.5%
No
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
Marisca Mersch goals ↓
Union Titus Petange goals →
01234
05.2%5.8%5.6%3.1%1.3%
15.3%12%8.7%4.8%2.0%
24.9%8.0%6.6%3.7%1.5%
32.5%4.1%3.4%1.9%0.8%
41.0%1.6%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Marisca Mersch goals (down), columns = Union Titus Petange goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Differdange 03
2.20
F91 Dudelange
2.03
Swift Hesperange
2.03
Progres Niederkorn
1.83
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.50
UNA Strassen
1.47
Victoria Rosport
1.47
Union Titus Petange
1.30
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.27
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.27
Wiltz
1.10
Mondercange
1.07
US Rumelange
1.00
US Hostert
1.00
Fola Esch
0.94
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.94
Marisca Mersch
0.87
Schifflange
0.83
Marisca Mersch is 0.43 points worse than Union Titus Petange in terms of average points per game (0.87 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Differdange 03
2.33
Swift Hesperange
2.20
US Rumelange
2.00
F91 Dudelange
1.97
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.83
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.70
Union Titus Petange
1.60
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.53
Victoria Rosport
1.50
Wiltz
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.33
Marisca Mersch
1.33
Schifflange
1.20
Fola Esch
1.13
Mondercange
1.10
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.03
US Hostert
1.00
Marisca Mersch is 0.27 goals worse than Union Titus Petange in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Differdange 03
0.77
US Hostert
1.00
Swift Hesperange
1.17
Progres Niederkorn
1.17
F91 Dudelange
1.20
UNA Strassen
1.27
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.37
Victoria Rosport
1.47
Union Titus Petange
1.57
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.61
Wiltz
1.73
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
Mondercange
1.90
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.93
Schifflange
1.97
US Rumelange
2.00
Fola Esch
2.03
Marisca Mersch
2.07
Marisca Mersch is 0.50 goals worse than Union Titus Petange in terms of goals conceded per game (2.07 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (21)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Marisca Mersch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Progres Niederkorn
10.8
FC Differdange 03
10.0
F91 Dudelange
9.3
Swift Hesperange
8.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
8.8
Progres Niederkorn
7.5
Fola Esch
7.0
Swift Hesperange
5.8
F91 Dudelange
5.1
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
48.0
Swift Hesperange
31.5
Progres Niederkorn
29.0
F91 Dudelange
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L03L01L01L11D10W10W00DH·FOL06/03H·MON10/03A·UN 17/03H·US 30/03A·FC 07/04H·F9114/04A·AS 20/04H·UNA28/04H·SCH05/05A·SWI12/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.680.500.640.360.71
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.330.670.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.450.590.550.640.360.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D30W01L10W01L02L11D01L00DA·PRO03/03H·WIL09/03A·FOL17/03H·RAC30/03A·MON07/04H·UN 14/04A·US 20/04H·FC 28/04A·F9105/05H·AS 12/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.701.000.400.471.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.590.711.110.440.001.00
vs Weaker (13)0.920.690.830.331.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Marisca Mersch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Marisca Mersch over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marisca Mersch over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marisca Mersch over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D11D01L33D02L13L10W13LH·FOL06/03H·MON10/03A·UN 17/03H·US 30/03A·FC 07/04H·F9114/04A·AS 20/04H·UNA28/04H·SCH05/05A·SWI12/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.961.321.141.210.791.43
vs Stronger (6)0.831.501.002.000.671.00
vs Similar (22)1.001.271.181.000.821.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D02L20W10W10W03L02L21WA·PRO03/03H·WIL09/03A·FOL17/03H·RAC30/03A·MON07/04H·UN 14/04A·US 20/04H·FC 28/04A·F9105/05H·AS 12/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.931.001.070.670.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.711.060.781.220.620.88
vs Weaker (13)1.000.771.330.830.710.71
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Marisca Mersch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Marisca Mersch over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marisca Mersch over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marisca Mersch over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
MM wins
0
Draws
1
UTP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Marisca Mersch vs Union Titus Petange · H/A from MM
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/23AUnion Titus Petange Vs MM4-1

Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24ASwift Hesperange Vs MM3-1
05/05/24HMM Vs Schifflange2-0
28/04/24HMM Vs UNA Strassen2-3
20/04/24AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs MM3-1
14/04/24HMM Vs F91 Dudelange3-4
07/04/24AFC Differdange 03 Vs MM2-0
30/03/24HMM Vs US Mondorf-les-bains1-4
17/03/24AUN Kaerjeng 97 Vs MM1-0
10/03/24HMM Vs Mondercange2-1
06/03/24HMM Vs Fola Esch0-1

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24HUTP Vs AS Jeunesse Esch2-1
05/05/24AF91 Dudelange Vs UTP3-0
28/04/24HUTP Vs FC Differdange 031-4
20/04/24AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs UTP2-1
14/04/24HUTP Vs UN Kaerjeng 971-1
07/04/24AMondercange Vs UTP0-3
30/03/24HUTP Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg0-3
17/03/24AFola Esch Vs UTP0-3
09/03/24HUTP Vs Wiltz1-0
03/03/24AProgres Niederkorn Vs UTP2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Marisca Mersch
Marisca Mersch
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL0.93
HomeWLLLW1.14
AwayLLLLL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%29%21%
AVG goals3.393.503.29
Over 1.5 %86%93%79%
Over 2.5 %68%71%64%
Over 3.5 %43%43%43%
Scored1.391.641.14
Conceded2.001.862.14
BTTS75%79%71%
Clean Sheet7%7%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Union Titus Petange
Union Titus Petange
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.68
HomeWLDLW1.88
AwayLWWLL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals3.123.442.80
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %36%48%24%
Scored1.762.081.44
Conceded1.361.361.36
BTTS52%68%36%
Clean Sheet28%16%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033066
63%
2.2
7023+47
3.1
90%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.30.8
-
2Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3061
60%
2.0
6635+31
3.4
90%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.2
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3061
63%
2.0
5936+23
3.2
80%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.2
-
4Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3055
53%
1.8
5435+19
3.0
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.2
-
5AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3045
43%
1.5
5141+10
3.1
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.4
-
6UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3044
37%
1.5
4038+2
2.6
77%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.3
-
7Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3044
40%
1.5
4544+1
3.0
80%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.5
-
8Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3039
37%
1.3
4847+1
3.2
83%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
9US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3038
33%
1.3
5553+2
3.6
97%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.81.8
-
10Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3038
37%
1.3
4658-12
3.5
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.9
-
11WiltzWiltz3033
23%
1.1
4352-9
3.2
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
12MondercangeMondercange3032
27%
1.1
3357-24
3.0
87%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973129
23%
0.9
3250-18
2.6
71%
52%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.6
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3129
26%
0.9
3563-28
3.2
77%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
15Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch3026
23%
0.9
4062-22
3.4
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
16SchifflangeSchifflange3025
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
17US RumelangeUS Rumelange11
0%
1.0
22+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
18US HostertUS Hostert11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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