PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Stats

Date: 20/09/2026
Time: 18:45
Marseille
Marseille
Vs
33%
25%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Paris Saint Germain’s recent form, coming off a 2-2 draw, gives them a slight edge in this Ligue 1 clash, and the model confirms an away win as the most likely outcome. The probabilities are 41% for Paris to triumph, 34% for Marseille to win, and 26% for a draw. The expected total goals hover at 3.2, with a 22% chance that the match will finish 3-goal total. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.6% probability.

Marseille’s home performance shows a solid defensive record, conceding fewer than two goals on average against stronger opposition, while Paris, playing away against a weaker side, averages 2.08 goals scored and only one conceded. This suggests a balanced contest where both sides can find the net.

The model’s selections include a 97.8% chance of Under 7.5 goals, 94.4% for Under 6.5, 92.1% for Home under 3.5 goals, 89.6% for Away under 3.5 goals, 87.4% for Under 5.5 goals, 83.7% for Under 5.5 cards, 83.5% for Over 1.5 goals, and 83.4% for Under 25.5 fouls. These picks reflect the expectation of a tightly contested match with limited scoring opportunities.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marseille win
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain win
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L31W02L11D03L10W31W40W02LH·LIL22/03A·MON05/04H·MET10/04A·LOR18/04H·NIC26/04A·NAN02/05A·LE 10/05H·REN17/05H·STR21/08A·MON30/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.501.931.271.871.73
vs Stronger (1)0.005.00--0.005.00
vs Similar (16)1.691.502.101.201.002.00
vs Weaker (13)2.311.231.601.402.751.12
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W54W22D11D10W20W12L11D22D22DA·ANG25/04H·BAY28/04H·LOR02/05A·BAY06/05H·STA10/05A·LEN13/05A·PAR17/05H·ARS30/05A·REN23/08A·LIL28/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.102.531.201.931.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)2.001.332.671.671.331.00
vs Weaker (24)2.291.042.501.082.081.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.3%
Under 2.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.5%
No
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
1-3
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
Marseille goals ↓
Paris Saint Germain goals →
01234
04.8%5.7%5.8%3.4%1.5%
14.8%11%8.8%5.1%2.2%
24.4%7.7%6.7%3.9%1.7%
32.2%3.9%3.4%2.0%0.9%
40.9%1.5%1.3%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Marseille goals (down), columns = Paris Saint Germain goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Marseille
1.74
Rennes
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Estac Troyes
1.04
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Le Mans
0.83
Marseille is 0.50 points worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 2.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.11
Auxerre
1.00
Le Havre
0.94
Le Mans
0.88
Angers
0.85
Marseille is 0.32 goals worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of goals scored per game (1.85 vs 2.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Le Havre
1.29
Auxerre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Estac Troyes
1.85
Le Mans
2.32
Marseille is 0.47 goals worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 0.85).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Angers
42%
Marseille is 11.9 percentage points worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of average possession (57% vs 69%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MarseilleMarseille

For 5.6 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

1506534411387717174864117153158811810A·MONH·STRH·RENA·LE A·NANH·NICA·LORH·META·MONH·LIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

604133124314131222134446453344A·MONH·STRH·RENA·LE A·NANH·NICA·LORH·META·MONH·LIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

4201096121110222011121471061289148619182142232116202314A·MONH·STRH·RENA·LE A·NANH·NICA·LORH·META·MONH·LIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

For 7.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

150510113333613281122254551014691591479A·LILA·RENH·ARSA·PARA·LENH·STAA·BAYH·LORH·BAYA·ANG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

6012222421331133213462162333A·LILA·RENH·ARSA·PARA·LENA·BAYH·LORH·BAYA·ANGH·NAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.7 · Against 10.1 · Total 17.8

⚠️ Fouls

280711671117983951212119712103918132817121723162212A·LILA·RENH·ARSA·PARA·LENH·STAA·BAYH·LORH·BAYA·ANG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MarseilleMarseille

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.99.18.63.94.33.523.523.723.3
vs Stronger (4)8.08.08.05.24.05.725.523.026.3
vs Similar (27)9.59.39.83.74.43.022.823.521.8
vs Weaker (19)8.38.97.83.84.23.523.924.023.8
% over line40%48%32%64%71%58%53%52%55%
% under line60%52%68%36%29%42%47%48%45%
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.88.92.72.82.618.519.317.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)9.48.810.33.94.03.721.321.521.0
vs Weaker (43)9.310.08.72.52.52.418.018.817.2
% over line44%55%35%30%38%23%22%23%22%
% under line56%45%65%70%62%77%78%77%78%
This opponent (Marseille) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Nice
10.5
Rennes
10.5
Lens
10.3
Auxerre
10.0
Lyon
9.9
Stade Brestois 29
9.7
Lille
9.6
Monaco
9.6
Paris FC
9.4
Paris Saint Germain
9.3
Le Mans
9.3
Toulouse
9.3
Angers
9.2
Marseille
9.1
Le Havre
9.0
Strasbourg
8.9
Lorient
8.9
Estac Troyes
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Auxerre
4.8
Lyon
4.6
Marseille
4.5
Lens
4.5
Le Mans
4.4
Lille
4.4
Toulouse
4.3
Monaco
4.3
Rennes
4.3
Strasbourg
4.2
Le Havre
4.0
Nice
4.0
Lorient
4.0
Estac Troyes
3.9
Paris FC
3.9
Stade Brestois 29
3.7
Angers
3.4
Paris Saint Germain
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
27.1
Estac Troyes
27.0
Le Havre
26.8
Auxerre
25.7
Toulouse
25.4
Lyon
25.1
Stade Brestois 29
25.0
Lens
24.8
Rennes
24.0
Lille
24.0
Monaco
23.5
Strasbourg
23.5
Nice
23.4
Marseille
23.4
Lorient
22.8
Angers
22.7
Paris FC
22.3
Paris Saint Germain
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.6%
Under 9.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.3%
Under 3.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
44.5%
Under 21.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Marseille or Draw
60.2%
Avg Implied -
33%
25%
42%
covers Marseille + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Marseille or Paris Saint Germain
75.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
25%
42%
covers Marseille + Paris Saint Germain
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Paris Saint Germain
64.5%
Avg Implied -
33%
25%
42%
covers Draw + Paris Saint Germain
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Marseille over/under 0.5
Over
80.4%
Under
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5
Over
48.4%
Under
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5
Over
22.4%
Under
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 3.5
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5
Over
82.3%
Under
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5
Over
51.7%
Under
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 3.5
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Marseille, so a minus line means Marseille give that many goals of a start and Paris Saint Germain receive them. At -1, Marseille must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Marseille win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Marseille)
Marseille -2
7.3%
Draw -2
10.8%
Paris Saint Germain +2
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Marseille)
Marseille -1
18.1%
Draw -1
17.4%
Paris Saint Germain +1
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Marseille)
Marseille +1
60.2%
Draw +1
18.6%
Paris Saint Germain -1
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Marseille)
Marseille +2
78.7%
Draw +2
12.2%
Paris Saint Germain -2
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MarseilleMarseille

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W01L00D00D00D20W00D01LH·LIL22/03A·MON05/04H·MET10/04A·LOR18/04H·NIC26/04A·NAN02/05A·LE 10/05H·REN17/05H·STR21/08A·MON30/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.600.330.870.73
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (16)0.620.440.700.200.500.83
vs Weaker (13)0.920.540.400.601.250.50
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W32W11D10W00D10W00D01L02L01LA·ANG25/04H·BAY28/04H·LOR02/05A·BAY06/05H·STA10/05A·LEN13/05A·PAR17/05H·ARS30/05A·REN23/08A·LIL28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.601.130.730.730.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.830.501.331.000.330.00
vs Weaker (24)0.960.621.080.670.830.58
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Marseille over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MarseilleMarseille

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L21W01L11D03L10W11D40W01LH·LIL22/03A·MON05/04H·MET10/04A·LOR18/04H·NIC26/04A·NAN02/05A·LE 10/05H·REN17/05H·STR21/08A·MON30/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.971.330.931.001.00
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (16)1.061.061.401.000.501.17
vs Weaker (13)1.380.691.200.801.500.62
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D11D01L10W10W12L10W20W21WA·ANG25/04H·BAY28/04H·LOR02/05A·BAY06/05H·STA10/05A·LEN13/05A·PAR17/05H·ARS30/05A·REN23/08A·LIL28/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.501.400.471.200.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.170.831.330.671.001.00
vs Weaker (24)1.330.421.420.421.250.42
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Marseille over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.8%-------
Under 6.594.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals90.2%-------
Under 5.587.5%-------
Over 1.584.7%-------
Under 5.5 cards83.9%-------
Under 25.5 fouls83.6%-------
Away over 0.5 goals82.3%-------
Away +2 handicap81.9%-------
Home over 0.5 goals80.4%-------
Home +2 handicap78.7%-------
Under 11.5 corners77.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals77.6%-------
Home or Away75.3%-------
Under 4.575.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals74.8%-------
Under 23.5 fouls71.3%-------
Over 2.5 cards70.4%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Marseille · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mason Greenwood41%
Neal Maupay33%
Amine Gouiri33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang28%
Igor Paixão27%
Angel Gomes20%
Ethan Nwaneri18%
Hamed Junior Traorè17%
Tadjidine Mmadi17%
Robinio Vaz16%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Amir Murillo8%
Tim Weah8%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley6%
Nayef Aguerd5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Bilal Nadir4%
Leonardo Balerdi3%
Benjamin Pavard3%
Geoffrey Kondogbia0%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Facundo Medina0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Tochukwu Nnadi0%
Darryl Bakola0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Medina32%
Quinten Timber31%
Nayef Aguerd27%
Geoffrey Kondogbia25%
Benjamin Pavard22%
Himad Abdelli22%
Amir Murillo21%
Leonardo Balerdi20%
Angel Gomes20%
Ethan Nwaneri18%
Bilal Nadir18%
Ulisses Garcia17%
Tim Weah15%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg14%
Mason Greenwood14%
Matt O'Riley12%
Tochukwu Nnadi12%
Emerson Palmieri11%
Darryl Bakola10%
Gerónimo Rulli8%
Arthur Vermeeren8%
Amine Gouiri7%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley6%
Hamed Junior Traorè6%
Robinio Vaz5%
Igor Paixão5%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang2%
Neal Maupay0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Tadjidine Mmadi0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matt O'Riley21%
Amine Gouiri19%
Mason Greenwood18%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang18%
Tadjidine Mmadi17%
Igor Paixão15%
Bilal Nadir14%
Tochukwu Nnadi12%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Hamed Junior Traorè11%
Robinio Vaz11%
Tim Weah10%
Darryl Bakola10%
Ethan Nwaneri9%
Benjamin Pavard8%
Amir Murillo8%
Arthur Vermeeren8%
Geoffrey Kondogbia6%
Emerson Palmieri6%
Angel Gomes5%
Facundo Medina4%
Leonardo Balerdi3%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Neal Maupay0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mason Greenwood48%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang22%
Igor Paixão22%
Amine Gouiri19%
Leonardo Balerdi6%
Hamed Junior Traorè6%
Tim Weah5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg2%
Angel Gomes0%
Geoffrey Kondogbia0%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Benjamin Pavard0%
Amir Murillo0%
Facundo Medina0%
Neal Maupay0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley0%
Bilal Nadir0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Tochukwu Nnadi0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Darryl Bakola0%
Tadjidine Mmadi0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Paris Saint Germain · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ousmane Dembélé35%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia31%
Désiré Doué29%
Bradley Barcola26%
Gonçalo Ramos21%
Nuno Mendes16%
Senny Mayulu15%
João Neves14%
Ibrahim Mbaye11%
Vitinha11%
Kang-in Lee8%
Lucas Beraldo8%
Dro Fernández8%
Quentin Ndjantou7%
Marquinhos7%
Achraf Hakimi6%
Fabián Ruiz6%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Willian Pacho5%
Ilya Zabarnyi3%
Lucas Hernández0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Zabarnyi19%
Achraf Hakimi16%
Nuno Mendes13%
Lucas Hernández11%
Fabián Ruiz10%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia9%
Kang-in Lee8%
Lucas Beraldo8%
Quentin Ndjantou7%
Gonçalo Ramos7%
Marquinhos7%
Bradley Barcola7%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Senny Mayulu5%
Matvey Safonov4%
João Neves3%
Désiré Doué3%
Vitinha2%
Ousmane Dembélé0%
Willian Pacho0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Ibrahim Mbaye0%
Dro Fernández0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ousmane Dembélé27%
Achraf Hakimi26%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia22%
Nuno Mendes18%
Désiré Doué18%
Fabián Ruiz16%
Quentin Ndjantou14%
Vitinha13%
João Neves11%
Bradley Barcola11%
Kang-in Lee11%
Senny Mayulu10%
Warren Zaïre-Emery10%
Lucas Hernández8%
Lucas Beraldo4%
Ibrahim Mbaye4%
Willian Pacho2%
Gonçalo Ramos2%
Marquinhos0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Dro Fernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ousmane Dembélé35%
Désiré Doué26%
Gonçalo Ramos26%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia24%
Bradley Barcola20%
Senny Mayulu15%
Vitinha15%
Nuno Mendes11%
Fabián Ruiz10%
Kang-in Lee8%
Ibrahim Mbaye7%
Achraf Hakimi6%
João Neves6%
Lucas Beraldo4%
Warren Zaïre-Emery2%
Lucas Hernández0%
Marquinhos0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Willian Pacho0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Quentin Ndjantou0%
Dro Fernández0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
LM (26)
€24m
Marseille's squad is €1252m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€225m vs €1477m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
LM (6)
€4m
Marseille's attack is €547m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€91m vs €638m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
LM (8)
€5m
Marseille's midfield is €362m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€68m vs €430m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
Marseille's defence is €343m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€66m vs €409m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
MAR wins
0
Draws
7
PSG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/26AParis Saint Germain Vs MAR5-0
22/09/25HMAR Vs Paris Saint Germain1-0
16/03/25AParis Saint Germain Vs MAR3-1
27/10/24HMAR Vs Paris Saint Germain0-3
31/03/24HMAR Vs Paris Saint Germain0-2
24/09/23AParis Saint Germain Vs MAR4-0
26/02/23HMAR Vs Paris Saint Germain0-3
16/10/22AParis Saint Germain Vs MAR1-0

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AMonaco Vs MAR2-0
21/08/26HMAR Vs Strasbourg4-0
17/05/26HMAR Vs Rennes3-1
10/05/26ALe Havre Vs MAR0-1
02/05/26ANantes Vs MAR3-0
26/04/26HMAR Vs Nice1-1
18/04/26ALorient Vs MAR2-0
10/04/26HMAR Vs Metz3-1
05/04/26AMonaco Vs MAR2-1
22/03/26HMAR Vs Lille1-2

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ALille Vs PSG2-2
23/08/26ARennes Vs PSG2-2
30/05/26HPSG Vs Arsenal1-1
17/05/26AParis FC Vs PSG2-1
13/05/26ALens Vs PSG0-2
10/05/26HPSG Vs Stade Brestois 291-0
06/05/26ABayern München Vs PSG1-1
02/05/26HPSG Vs Lorient2-2
28/04/26HPSG Vs Bayern München5-4
25/04/26AAngers Vs PSG0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Marseille
Marseille
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.74
HomeLWDWW2.12
AwayLLLWL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%64%44%
AVG goals3.423.563.28
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %70%76%64%
Over 3.5 %44%56%32%
Scored2.102.401.80
Conceded1.321.161.48
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.069.049.08
Cards4.524.444.61
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDD2.02
HomeWWDWD2.08
AwayDWLDD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%58%
AVG goals3.343.673.04
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %66%71%62%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored2.262.502.04
Conceded1.081.171.00
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Corners9.289.589.00
Cards3.213.133.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LilleLille37
67%
2.3
52+3
2.3
67%
33%
33%
8.0
33%
2.7
33%
22.3
67%
312
133102761.70.7
56%
2MonacoMonaco26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
11.0
100%
4.5
100%
22.0
50%
326
14884931.50.0
54%
3Paris FCParis FC24
50%
2.0
30+3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
5.5
0%
1.5
0%
14.0
0%
176
5954621.50.0
50%
4LyonLyon24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.0
100%
2.0
0%
22.0
50%
293
12282891.50.5
55%
5RennesRennes24
50%
2.0
54+1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
21.5
50%
241
87441092.52.0
54%
6Estac TroyesEstac Troyes24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
6.0
0%
1.0
0%
17.0
0%
36
711171.00.5
-
7LensLens23
50%
1.5
64+2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.0
50%
187
52241123.02.0
51%
8MarseilleMarseille23
50%
1.5
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
9.0
50%
4.0
100%
18.5
0%
225
9168662.01.0
57%
9AngersAngers23
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
13.5
100%
4.5
100%
23.0
100%
73
3011321.51.5
42%
10StrasbourgStrasbourg23
50%
1.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
8.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.5
0%
304
112561361.02.5
54%
11Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2922
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
6.5
0%
3.0
50%
28.0
50%
64
2520192.02.0
43%
12Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
7.5
50%
3.5
50%
15.5
0%
1477
6384304092.02.0
69%
13Le MansLe Mans21
0%
0.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
4.0
50%
25.0
50%
24
45152.02.5
-
14Le HavreLe Havre21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
10.5
100%
3.5
50%
24.0
100%
55
923230.51.0
47%
15LorientLorient21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
8.0
0%
0.5
0%
18.0
0%
87
2032350.51.0
45%
16ToulouseToulouse31
0%
0.3
25-3
2.3
67%
33%
33%
9.0
33%
2.3
33%
27.3
67%
115
3039460.71.7
42%
17NiceNice21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
1.0
0%
15.0
0%
152
6231600.01.5
47%
18AuxerreAuxerre20
0%
0.0
38-5
5.5
100%
100%
100%
13.5
100%
4.0
50%
24.5
100%
84
2328331.54.0
44%
France: Ligue 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

← all matches