PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Merani Martvili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II Result & Analysis

Date: 07/11/2025
Time: 10:00
Final 2-2
Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Vs
42%
26%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Merani Martvili win✗ Miss
41.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D20W10W00D11D03L01L11D00DH·SPA11/09A·DIN15/09H·GON20/09A·MES27/09A·SAB01/10H·SAM05/10H·RUS17/10A·SIO21/10H·LOK26/10A·SPA01/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.401.271.530.801.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.041.371.311.690.791.07
vs Weaker (3)1.001.671.000.501.004.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D22D03L21W13L21W20W21W21WA·MES11/09H·MER15/09A·SAM19/09H·RUS27/09A·SIO02/10H·LOK05/10H·SPA17/10H·SAB21/10A·GON26/10H·MES01/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.901.001.621.212.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.041.960.931.601.172.42
vs Weaker (3)1.671.332.002.001.501.00
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.6%
Under 3.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-2 ✓
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
Merani Martvili goals ↓
Dinamo Tbilisi II goals →
01234
05.4%5.3%4.6%2.3%0.8%
16.1%12%7.8%3.8%1.4%
26.0%8.9%6.5%3.2%1.2%
33.4%5.0%3.7%1.8%0.7%
41.4%2.1%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Merani Martvili goals (down), columns = Dinamo Tbilisi II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Odishi 1919
2.00
Rustavi
1.97
Spaeri
1.78
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Meshakhte
1.44
Merani Martvili
1.39
Sioni
1.33
Samtredia
1.28
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.26
Saburtalo II
1.13
Gonio
1.03
Dinamo Tbilisi II
0.78
Merani Martvili is 0.61 points better than Dinamo Tbilisi II in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 0.78).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Odishi 1919
2.00
Rustavi
1.72
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.50
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Spaeri
1.50
Sioni
1.39
Samtredia
1.22
Gonio
1.17
Merani Martvili
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.14
Saburtalo II
1.13
Meshakhte
0.94
Merani Martvili and Dinamo Tbilisi II are level in goals scored per game (both 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Meshakhte
0.69
Rustavi
0.83
Spaeri
0.94
Samtredia
1.17
Sioni
1.22
Saburtalo II
1.26
Odishi 1919
1.50
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.53
Merani Martvili
1.53
Gonio
1.58
Dinamo Tbilisi II
2.11
Merani Martvili is 0.58 goals better than Dinamo Tbilisi II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 2.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D00D00D00D10W01L00D01L00DH·SPA11/09A·DIN15/09H·GON20/09A·MES27/09A·SAB01/10H·SAM05/10H·RUS17/10A·SIO21/10H·LOK26/10A·SPA01/11
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.530.530.330.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.480.540.620.360.36
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.500.000.003.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D11D03L10W11D10W00D00D11DA·MES11/09H·MER15/09A·SAM19/09H·RUS27/09A·SIO02/10H·LOK05/10H·SPA17/10H·SAB21/10A·GON26/10H·MES01/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.030.501.000.501.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.441.070.401.000.501.17
vs Weaker (3)1.000.672.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D20W10W00D01L02L01L10W00DH·SPA11/09A·DIN15/09H·GON20/09A·MES27/09A·SAB01/10H·SAM05/10H·RUS17/10A·SIO21/10H·LOK26/10A·SPA01/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.731.000.470.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.890.771.080.430.71
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D00D11D02L11D20W21W10WA·MES11/09H·MER15/09A·SAM19/09H·RUS27/09A·SIO02/10H·LOK05/10H·SPA17/10H·SAB21/10A·GON26/10H·MES01/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.500.620.711.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.890.530.600.671.25
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MES (5)
€1m
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
MM wins
2
Draws
2
DTI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Merani Martvili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II · H/A from MM
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/25ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs MM1-1
24/05/25HMM Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II2-1
06/04/25ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs MM0-1
02/12/23HMM Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II2-2
22/09/23ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs MM4-2
09/06/23HMM Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II1-2
26/04/23ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs MM2-3

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25ASpaeri Vs MM0-0
26/10/25HMM Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi1-1
21/10/25ASioni Vs MM1-0
17/10/25HMM Vs Rustavi0-3
05/10/25HMM Vs Samtredia1-1
01/10/25ASaburtalo II Vs MM0-0
27/09/25AMeshakhte Vs MM0-1
20/09/25HMM Vs Gonio2-0
15/09/25ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs MM1-1
11/09/25HMM Vs Spaeri1-1

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25HDTI Vs Meshakhte2-1
26/10/25AGonio Vs DTI1-2
21/10/25HDTI Vs Saburtalo II2-0
17/10/25HDTI Vs Spaeri2-1
05/10/25HDTI Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi1-3
02/10/25ASioni Vs DTI1-2
27/09/25HDTI Vs Rustavi0-3
19/09/25ASamtredia Vs DTI2-2
15/09/25HDTI Vs Merani Martvili1-1
11/09/25AMeshakhte Vs DTI3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.08
HomeDWDLD1.12
AwayDWDLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals3.163.173.15
Over 1.5 %76%83%69%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %34%38%31%
Scored1.101.250.96
Conceded2.061.922.19
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet24%17%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW0.96
HomeLLWWW1.04
AwayLLDWW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%27%21%
AVG goals3.142.923.38
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %68%65%71%
Over 3.5 %38%35%42%
Scored1.161.151.17
Conceded1.981.772.21
BTTS62%65%58%
Clean Sheet8%4%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RustaviRustavi3671
58%
2.0
6230+32
2.6
81%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
2SpaeriSpaeri3664
47%
1.8
5434+20
2.4
72%
44%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.50.9
-
3MeshakhteMeshakhte3652
36%
1.4
3425+9
1.6
47%
28%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.90.7
-
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3650
36%
1.4
4155-14
2.7
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
5SioniSioni3648
33%
1.3
5044+6
2.6
67%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi3848
32%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
79%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
-
7SamtrediaSamtredia3646
31%
1.3
4442+2
2.4
72%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
8Saburtalo IISaburtalo II3843
26%
1.1
4348-5
2.4
74%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9GonioGonio3637
25%
1.0
4257-15
2.8
83%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
10Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II3628
17%
0.8
4176-35
3.2
89%
72%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.1
-
11Odishi 1919Odishi 191924
50%
2.0
43+1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
12Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti23
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

← all matches