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Merani Martvili vs Gori Result & Analysis

Date: 22/06/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gori
Gori
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Merani Martvili a 41% win probability against Gori in the Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 on 2026-06-22, with 29% for the draw and 30% for Gori. The model estimates around 2.6 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.7%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (74%), Under 3.5 (74%).

Results analysis

Merani Martvili finished 0-2 against Gori (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 41% home win, 29% draw and 30% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (74%), Under 3.5 (74%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Merani Martvili win✗ Miss
40.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gori win✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D22D04L11D32W21W11D02L21WH·LOK26/10A·SPA01/11H·DIN07/11A·GON21/11H·MES25/11H·SAB29/11A·SAM06/12A·ARA29/05A·SIO13/06H·SAM17/06
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.501.401.330.601.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.921.461.381.380.461.54
vs Weaker (4)1.501.751.501.001.502.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gori) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GoriGori

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L11DA·TEL30/05H·GAR13/06A·KOL17/06
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.671.003.000.501.00
vs Stronger (3)0.671.671.003.000.501.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-2 ✓
5.3%
Merani Martvili goals ↓
Gori goals →
01234
08.8%7.6%5.3%2.1%0.6%
19.3%14%7.4%2.9%0.9%
27.4%8.8%5.2%2.0%0.6%
33.5%4.1%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.2%1.4%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Merani Martvili goals (down), columns = Gori goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Telavi
2.43
Odishi 1919
1.57
Gareji
1.57
Aragvi Dusheti
1.57
Sioni
1.43
Samtredia
1.43
Shturmi
1.14
Gori
1.00
Merani Martvili
0.71
Kolkheti Poti
0.71
Merani Martvili is 0.29 points worse than Gori in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Samtredia
1.86
Gareji
1.43
Aragvi Dusheti
1.43
Sioni
1.29
Gori
1.14
Telavi
1.00
Odishi 1919
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Merani Martvili
0.57
Shturmi
0.57
Merani Martvili is 0.57 goals worse than Gori in terms of goals scored per game (0.57 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.14
Shturmi
0.86
Odishi 1919
0.86
Gori
1.14
Merani Martvili
1.29
Gareji
1.29
Kolkheti Poti
1.29
Aragvi Dusheti
1.29
Sioni
1.43
Samtredia
1.71
Merani Martvili is 0.14 goals worse than Gori in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.14).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D20W01L00D22D20W00D01L01LH·LOK26/10A·SPA01/11H·DIN07/11A·GON21/11H·MES25/11H·SAB29/11A·SAM06/12A·ARA29/05A·SIO13/06H·SAM17/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.670.600.330.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.460.540.690.620.230.46
vs Weaker (4)0.751.000.500.501.001.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Gori) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GoriGori

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L01LA·TEL30/05H·GAR13/06A·KOL17/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.001.002.000.000.50
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.002.000.000.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gori over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gori over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gori over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D02L03L11D10W01L11D01L20WH·LOK26/10A·SPA01/11H·DIN07/11A·GON21/11H·MES25/11H·SAB29/11A·SAM06/12A·ARA29/05A·SIO13/06H·SAM17/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.730.730.271.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.460.920.690.770.231.08
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.000.500.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Gori) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GoriGori

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L10WA·TEL30/05H·GAR13/06A·KOL17/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.670.001.000.500.50
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gori over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gori over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gori over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (23)
€0m
SAM (31)
€0m
GOR (27)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GOR (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
SAM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GOR (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
SAM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GOR (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
SAM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 14. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MM wins
0
Draws
0
GOR wins

Head-to-head

Merani Martvili vs Gori · H/A from MM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/06/26HMM Vs Samtredia2-1
13/06/26ASioni Vs MM2-0
29/05/26AAragvi Dusheti Vs MM1-1
06/12/25ASamtredia Vs MM1-2
29/11/25HMM Vs Saburtalo II3-2
25/11/25HMM Vs Meshakhte1-1
21/11/25AGonio Vs MM4-0
07/11/25HMM Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II2-2
01/11/25ASpaeri Vs MM0-0
26/10/25HMM Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi1-1

GoriGori

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/06/26AKolkheti Poti Vs GOR1-1
13/06/26HGOR Vs Gareji1-3
30/05/26ATelavi Vs GOR1-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.28
HomeDDDWW1.50
AwayDLWDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals3.083.212.96
Over 1.5 %78%88%69%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.201.540.88
Conceded1.881.672.08
BTTS60%75%46%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Gori
Gori
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLD0.33
HomeL0.00
AwayLD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals2.334.001.50
Over 1.5 %67%100%50%
Over 2.5 %33%100%0%
Over 3.5 %33%100%0%
Scored0.671.000.50
Conceded1.673.001.00
BTTS67%100%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TelaviTelavi717
71%
2.4
71+6
1.1
29%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.1
-
2GarejiGareji711
43%
1.6
109+1
2.7
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti711
43%
1.6
109+1
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
4Odishi 1919Odishi 1919711
43%
1.6
76+1
1.9
57%
43%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.9
-
5SamtrediaSamtredia710
43%
1.4
1312+1
3.6
71%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
6SioniSioni710
43%
1.4
910-1
2.7
57%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
7ShturmiShturmi78
29%
1.1
46-2
1.4
43%
29%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.9
-
8GoriGori77
29%
1.0
88+0
2.3
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti75
0%
0.7
79-2
2.3
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10Merani MartviliMerani Martvili75
14%
0.7
49-5
1.9
71%
29%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.3
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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