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Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919 Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-0
Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Vs
35%
28%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Odishi 1919
Odishi 1919
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

This match between Merani Martvili and Odishi 1919 in the Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 is finely balanced, with Merani Martvili's recent form a major storyline. After two straight defeats, they've struggled to score at home, averaging 0 goals per game, while conceding an average of 3 goals. Meanwhile, Odishi 1919 have found success away from home, scoring 1.33 goals and conceding just 1.33 goals per game against weaker opponents.

The model predicts an away win, with a 37% chance of Odishi 1919 taking the three points. The model's selection is an away win, with a 37% probability. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals (77.3%) and Under 3.5 goals (70.3%) as its selections. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.3% probability. Merani Martvili have a 35% chance of winning, while Odishi 1919 have a 37% chance of winning, with a 28% chance of a draw.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, Odishi 1919 secured a 0-0 draw against Merani Martvili, extending their away run and silencing the pre-match favourite. The model's selection, an away win, was incorrect, with the actual result being a draw. The model's call was wrong. The model's selection, an away win, had a pre-match probability of 37%. The model also suggested an Over 1.5, which missed, with a probability of 77.3%, and an Under 3.5, which hit, with a probability of 70.3%. The most likely score was a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13.3%, but the actual score remained goalless.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merani Martvili win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied 43.6% · @ 2.07
Edge
-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.10
Betano
2.10
Dafabet
2.09
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.23
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
10Bet
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Odishi 1919 win✗ Miss
36.8%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.18
Edge
+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.26
BetVictor
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
3.15

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D04L11D32W21W11D02L21W02L12LH·DIN07/11A·GON21/11H·MES25/11H·SAB29/11A·SAM06/12A·ARA29/05A·SIO13/06H·SAM17/06H·GOR22/06A·SHT08/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.531.271.400.531.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.841.481.331.420.381.54
vs Weaker (5)1.201.801.001.331.502.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W21W11D01L21W21WA·SAB11/12H·SAB15/12H·SHT30/05H·ARA13/06A·TEL17/06A·GAR22/06H·KOL08/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.141.751.001.331.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.801.201.671.002.001.50
vs Weaker (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.3%
@ 1.30+7.7%
Under 1.5
22.7%
@ 2.97-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
1xBet
2.97
Marathonbet
2.97
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.95+4.7%
Under 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.75-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.90
Under
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.7%
@ 3.34+2.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
@ 1.24-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Under
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.1%
@ 1.79+5.7%
No
42.9%
@ 1.88-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
No
BetVictor
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.86

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 5.90+6.2%
1-2
8.4%@ 10.30+4.4%
2-1
8.2%@ 8.00+3.0%
0-1
7.7%@ 8.50+2.8%
0-0 ✓
7.6%@ 9.00+3.0%
1-0
7.5%@ 6.60+1.2%
0-2
6.2%@ 14.40+3.3%
2-0
5.9%@ 8.80+1.2%
Merani Martvili goals ↓
Odishi 1919 goals →
01234
07.6%7.7%6.2%2.9%1.0%
17.5%13%8.4%3.9%1.4%
25.9%8.2%5.7%2.7%0.9%
32.7%3.7%2.6%1.2%0.4%
40.9%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Merani Martvili goals (down), columns = Odishi 1919 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Telavi
2.12
Gareji
1.75
Sioni
1.62
Samtredia
1.62
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Odishi 1919
1.38
Gori
1.25
Shturmi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.75
Merani Martvili
0.62
Merani Martvili is 0.75 points worse than Odishi 1919 in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Samtredia
2.00
Gareji
1.50
Sioni
1.38
Gori
1.38
Aragvi Dusheti
1.38
Telavi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Odishi 1919
0.88
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi
0.62
Merani Martvili is 0.25 goals worse than Odishi 1919 in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.38
Shturmi
1.12
Gori
1.12
Odishi 1919
1.12
Gareji
1.25
Kolkheti Poti
1.25
Aragvi Dusheti
1.25
Merani Martvili
1.38
Sioni
1.38
Samtredia
1.50
Merani Martvili is 0.25 goals worse than Odishi 1919 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D22D20W00D01L01L00D01LH·DIN07/11A·GON21/11H·MES25/11H·SAB29/11A·SAM06/12A·ARA29/05A·SIO13/06H·SAM17/06H·GOR22/06A·SHT08/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.600.600.270.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.400.600.670.670.150.54
vs Weaker (5)0.600.800.330.331.001.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W11D01L21W11DA·SAB11/12H·SAB15/12H·SHT30/05H·ARA13/06A·TEL17/06A·GAR22/06H·KOL08/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.861.000.750.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.000.801.000.671.001.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %14% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L11D10W01L11D01L20W02L11DH·DIN07/11A·GON21/11H·MES25/11H·SAB29/11A·SAM06/12A·ARA29/05A·SIO13/06H·SAM17/06H·GOR22/06A·SHT08/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.670.800.271.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.440.880.670.750.231.00
vs Weaker (5)0.601.000.671.000.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W00D00D00D00D10WA·SAB11/12H·SAB15/12H·SHT30/05H·ARA13/06A·TEL17/06A·GAR22/06H·KOL08/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.290.750.250.670.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.800.400.670.331.000.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %71% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.3%1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
---+7.7%✗ Miss
Under 3.570.3%1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
----2.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (3)
€0m
SAM (4)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (2)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (1)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (2)
€0m
KP (1)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MM wins
0
Draws
0
O1 wins

Head-to-head

Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919 · H/A from MM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AShturmi Vs MM2-1
22/06/26HMM Vs Gori0-2
17/06/26HMM Vs Samtredia2-1
13/06/26ASioni Vs MM2-0
29/05/26AAragvi Dusheti Vs MM1-1
06/12/25ASamtredia Vs MM1-2
29/11/25HMM Vs Saburtalo II3-2
25/11/25HMM Vs Meshakhte1-1
21/11/25AGonio Vs MM4-0
07/11/25HMM Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II2-2

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HO1 Vs Kolkheti Poti2-1
22/06/26AGareji Vs O11-2
17/06/26ATelavi Vs O11-0
13/06/26HO1 Vs Aragvi Dusheti1-1
30/05/26HO1 Vs Shturmi2-1
15/12/25HO1 Vs Saburtalo II2-1
11/12/25ASaburtalo II Vs O12-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.24
HomeDDWWL1.40
AwayLWDLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.963.122.80
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.141.440.84
Conceded1.821.681.96
BTTS58%68%48%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Odishi 1919
Odishi 1919
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW2.00
HomeWWDW2.50
AwayDLW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%75%33%
AVG goals2.712.752.67
Over 1.5 %86%100%67%
Over 2.5 %71%75%67%
Over 3.5 %14%0%33%
Scored1.571.751.33
Conceded1.141.001.33
BTTS86%100%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TelaviTelavi817
62%
2.1
83+5
1.4
38%
12%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.4
-
2GarejiGareji814
50%
1.8
1210+2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia813
50%
1.6
1612+4
3.5
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
4SioniSioni813
50%
1.6
1111+0
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti812
38%
1.5
1110+1
2.6
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Odishi 1919Odishi 1919811
38%
1.4
79-2
2.0
62%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
7GoriGori810
38%
1.2
119+2
2.5
62%
38%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
8ShturmiShturmi88
25%
1.0
59-4
1.8
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti86
0%
0.8
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
10Merani MartviliMerani Martvili85
12%
0.6
511-6
2.0
75%
38%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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