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Merani Martvili vs Sioni Prediction & Stats

Date: 16/09/2026
Time: 12:00
Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Vs
33%
29%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sioni
Sioni
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The clash between Merani Martvili and Sioni is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 35 % for a home victory, 29 % for a draw and 36 % for an away triumph, making the latter the most likely outcome. On average, the match should see 2.6 goals, with the most probable total being two, a 26 % chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 13.8 % probability, distinct from the total-goals expectation.

Merani Martvili, playing at home, typically scores 1.33 goals and concedes 1.25 against opponents of similar strength. Sioni, on the road, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.17 conceded versus comparable teams. Recent form shows Merani coming off a defeat, while Sioni enters after a win, adding to the uncertainty.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5 %), Under 6.5 (98.3 %), Home under 3.5 goals (95.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6 %), Under 5.5 (95.1 %), Under 4.5 (87.7 %), Home under 2.5 goals (85.9 %), and Away under 2.5 goals (85.4 %).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merani Martvili win
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sioni win
37.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W21W11D02L21W02L12L00D01L12LH·SAB29/11A·SAM06/12A·ARA29/05A·SIO13/06H·SAM17/06H·GOR22/06A·SHT08/08H·ODI15/08A·TEL22/08H·GAR29/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.431.201.330.531.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.801.361.251.330.381.38
vs Weaker (5)1.201.801.001.331.502.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SioniSioni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W50W00D20W23L32W14L01L10W21WA·DIN29/11H·GON06/12A·KOL30/05H·MER13/06A·ARA17/06H·SAM22/06A·GOR08/08H·SHT15/08A·ODI22/08H·TEL29/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.431.601.471.531.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.741.301.731.451.751.17
vs Weaker (7)1.001.861.251.500.672.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
Merani Martvili goals ↓
Sioni goals →
01234
08.5%8.6%6.7%3.0%1.0%
17.9%14%8.5%3.8%1.3%
25.8%7.9%5.4%2.4%0.8%
32.4%3.3%2.3%1.0%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Merani Martvili goals (down), columns = Sioni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Telavi
2.12
Gareji
1.75
Sioni
1.62
Samtredia
1.62
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Odishi 1919
1.38
Gori
1.25
Shturmi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.75
Merani Martvili
0.62
Merani Martvili is 1.00 points worse than Sioni in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Samtredia
2.00
Gareji
1.50
Sioni
1.38
Gori
1.38
Aragvi Dusheti
1.38
Telavi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Odishi 1919
0.88
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi
0.62
Merani Martvili is 0.75 goals worse than Sioni in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.38
Shturmi
1.12
Gori
1.12
Odishi 1919
1.12
Gareji
1.25
Kolkheti Poti
1.25
Aragvi Dusheti
1.25
Merani Martvili
1.38
Sioni
1.38
Samtredia
1.50
Merani Martvili and Sioni are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Merani Martvili or Draw
62.1%
Avg Implied -
33%
29%
38%
covers Merani Martvili + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili or Sioni
71.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
29%
38%
covers Merani Martvili + Sioni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sioni
66.7%
Avg Implied -
33%
29%
38%
covers Draw + Sioni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5
Over
71.7%
Under
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5
Over
36.0%
Under
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 0.5
Over
74.4%
Under
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 1.5
Over
39.5%
Under
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 2.5
Over
15.7%
Under
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 3.5
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Merani Martvili, so a minus line means Merani Martvili give that many goals of a start and Sioni receive them. At -1, Merani Martvili must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Merani Martvili win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Merani Martvili)
Merani Martvili -2
5.1%
Draw -2
9.9%
Sioni +2
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Merani Martvili)
Merani Martvili -1
15.0%
Draw -1
18.4%
Sioni +1
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Merani Martvili)
Merani Martvili +1
62.1%
Draw +1
19.9%
Sioni -1
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Merani Martvili)
Merani Martvili +2
82.0%
Draw +2
11.5%
Sioni -2
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D20W00D01L01L00D01L00D00D01LH·SAB29/11A·SAM06/12A·ARA29/05A·SIO13/06H·SAM17/06H·GOR22/06A·SHT08/08H·ODI15/08A·TEL22/08H·GAR29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.530.600.270.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.360.560.580.670.150.46
vs Weaker (5)0.600.800.330.331.001.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SioniSioni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D10W22D11D01L00D10W11DA·DIN29/11H·GON06/12A·KOL30/05H·MER13/06A·ARA17/06H·SAM22/06A·GOR08/08H·SHT15/08A·ODI22/08H·TEL29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.670.670.730.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.830.610.730.640.920.58
vs Weaker (7)0.290.710.500.750.000.67
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D01L20W02L11D00D01L11DH·SAB29/11A·SAM06/12A·ARA29/05A·SIO13/06H·SAM17/06H·GOR22/06A·SHT08/08H·ODI15/08A·TEL22/08H·GAR29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.670.730.270.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.440.800.670.670.230.92
vs Weaker (5)0.601.000.671.000.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SioniSioni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W40W00D10W01L21W13L01L00D10WA·DIN29/11H·GON06/12A·KOL30/05H·MER13/06A·ARA17/06H·SAM22/06A·GOR08/08H·SHT15/08A·ODI22/08H·TEL29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.930.800.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.910.701.000.820.830.58
vs Weaker (7)0.711.140.750.750.671.67
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Under 6.598.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.1%-------
Under 5.594.9%-------
Under 4.587.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals86.6%-------
Away +2 handicap85.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals84.3%-------
Home +2 handicap82.0%-------
Over 1.574.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals74.4%-------
Under 3.573.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals71.7%-------
Home or Away71.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (3)
€0m
SAM (4)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (2)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (1)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (2)
€0m
KP (1)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
MM wins
3
Draws
5
SIO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Merani Martvili vs Sioni · H/A from MM
DateH/AGameScore
13/06/26ASioni Vs MM2-0
21/10/25ASioni Vs MM1-0
25/08/25HMM Vs Sioni2-4
09/05/25ASioni Vs MM2-2
14/03/25HMM Vs Sioni1-1
27/11/23ASioni Vs MM9-1
16/09/23HMM Vs Sioni0-2
04/06/23ASioni Vs MM1-1

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HMM Vs Gareji1-2
22/08/26ATelavi Vs MM1-0
15/08/26HMM Vs Odishi 19190-0
08/08/26AShturmi Vs MM2-1
22/06/26HMM Vs Gori0-2
17/06/26HMM Vs Samtredia2-1
13/06/26ASioni Vs MM2-0
29/05/26AAragvi Dusheti Vs MM1-1
06/12/25ASamtredia Vs MM1-2
29/11/25HMM Vs Saburtalo II3-2

SioniSioni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HSIO Vs Telavi2-1
22/08/26AOdishi 1919 Vs SIO0-1
15/08/26HSIO Vs Shturmi0-1
08/08/26AGori Vs SIO4-1
22/06/26HSIO Vs Samtredia3-2
17/06/26AAragvi Dusheti Vs SIO3-2
13/06/26HSIO Vs Merani Martvili2-0
30/05/26AKolkheti Poti Vs SIO0-0
06/12/25HSIO Vs Gonio5-0
29/11/25ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs SIO1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.24
HomeWWLDL1.40
AwayWDLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.722.882.56
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored1.081.360.80
Conceded1.641.521.76
BTTS54%64%44%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Sioni
Sioni
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.40
HomeWWWLW1.48
AwayWDLLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.722.802.64
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.441.561.32
Conceded1.281.241.32
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TelaviTelavi817
62%
2.1
83+5
1.4
38%
12%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.4
-
2GarejiGareji814
50%
1.8
1210+2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia813
50%
1.6
1612+4
3.5
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
4SioniSioni813
50%
1.6
1111+0
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti812
38%
1.5
1110+1
2.6
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Odishi 1919Odishi 1919811
38%
1.4
79-2
2.0
62%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
7GoriGori810
38%
1.2
119+2
2.5
62%
38%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
8ShturmiShturmi88
25%
1.0
59-4
1.8
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti86
0%
0.8
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
10Merani MartviliMerani Martvili85
12%
0.6
511-6
2.0
75%
38%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
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Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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