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Merani Tbilisi vs Gareji Result & Analysis

Date: 22/05/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
Merani Tbilisi
Merani Tbilisi
Vs
66%
22%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gareji
Gareji
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Merani Tbilisi win✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gareji win✗ Miss
12.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W32W11D40W01L10W03L22D30W24LH·MER26/03H·RUS01/04A·GAR06/04H·SHE11/04A·WIT16/04H·SAM21/04A·SHU28/04A·SPA05/05H·DIN10/05A·MER16/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.581.252.330.500.832.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.641.362.600.600.832.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarejiGareji

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L30W11D11D00D11D23L04L22D02LH·RUS26/03A·SHE01/04H·MER06/04H·WIT11/04A·SAM16/04H·SHU21/04A·SPA28/04A·DIN05/05H·MER10/05A·RUS17/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.501.171.330.831.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.091.641.171.331.002.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.1%
No
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
7.1%
3-1 ✓
6.5%
4-0
4.4%
Merani Tbilisi goals ↓
Gareji goals →
01234
07.1%3.7%1.8%0.4%0.1%
112%10%3.6%0.9%0.2%
213%9.6%3.6%0.9%0.2%
38.6%6.5%2.5%0.6%0.1%
44.4%3.3%1.3%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Merani Tbilisi goals (down), columns = Gareji goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kolkheti Khobi
3.00
Shukura
2.16
Spaeri
1.74
Samtredia
1.70
Merani Martvili
1.65
Gareji
1.29
Merani Tbilisi
1.29
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.23
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
WIT Georgia
0.88
Rustavi
0.81
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
Merani Tbilisi and Gareji are level in average points per game (both 1.29).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spaeri
2.03
Shukura
2.00
Merani Martvili
1.97
Samtredia
1.57
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.54
Gareji
1.35
Merani Tbilisi
1.32
Rustavi
1.16
WIT Georgia
1.09
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
Kolkheti Khobi
1.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.00
Merani Tbilisi is 0.03 goals worse than Gareji in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.35).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolkheti Khobi
0.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
Shukura
0.90
Samtredia
1.03
Gareji
1.32
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.38
Spaeri
1.42
Merani Martvili
1.71
Merani Tbilisi
1.84
Rustavi
1.84
WIT Georgia
1.94
Shevardeni 1906
2.15
Merani Tbilisi is 0.52 goals worse than Gareji in terms of goals conceded per game (1.84 vs 1.32).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D20W01L00D02L11D30W01LH·MER26/03H·RUS01/04A·GAR06/04H·SHE11/04A·WIT16/04H·SAM21/04A·SHU28/04A·SPA05/05H·DIN10/05A·MER16/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.580.830.170.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.641.000.200.331.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarejiGareji

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D00D00D01L13L02L01L00DH·RUS26/03A·SHE01/04H·MER06/04H·WIT11/04A·SAM16/04H·SHU21/04A·SPA28/04A·DIN05/05H·MER10/05A·RUS17/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.830.330.830.170.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.270.910.330.830.201.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %42% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W31W00D20W00D10W01L11D00D23LH·MER26/03H·RUS01/04A·GAR06/04H·SHE11/04A·WIT16/04H·SAM21/04A·SHU28/04A·SPA05/05H·DIN10/05A·MER16/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.500.330.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.000.731.600.400.501.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarejiGareji

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D30W00D11D00D10W10W02L21W02LH·RUS26/03A·SHE01/04H·MER06/04H·WIT11/04A·SAM16/04H·SHU21/04A·SPA28/04A·DIN05/05H·MER10/05A·RUS17/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.670.830.500.670.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.820.730.830.500.801.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
MT wins
1
Draws
0
GAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Merani Tbilisi vs Gareji · H/A from MT
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/22AGareji Vs MT1-1

Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/22AMerani Martvili Vs MT4-2
10/05/22HMT Vs Dinamo Zugdidi3-0
05/05/22ASpaeri Vs MT2-2
28/04/22AShukura Vs MT3-0
21/04/22HMT Vs Samtredia1-0
16/04/22AWIT Georgia Vs MT1-0
11/04/22HMT Vs Shevardeni 19064-0
06/04/22AGareji Vs MT1-1
01/04/22HMT Vs Rustavi3-2
26/03/22HMT Vs Merani Martvili2-1

GarejiGareji

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/22ARustavi Vs GAR2-0
10/05/22HGAR Vs Merani Martvili2-2
05/05/22ADinamo Zugdidi Vs GAR4-0
28/04/22ASpaeri Vs GAR3-2
21/04/22HGAR Vs Shukura1-1
16/04/22ASamtredia Vs GAR0-0
11/04/22HGAR Vs WIT Georgia1-1
06/04/22HGAR Vs Merani Tbilisi1-1
01/04/22AShevardeni 1906 Vs GAR0-3
26/03/22HGAR Vs Rustavi1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Merani Tbilisi
Merani Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.67
HomeWWWWW3.00
AwayDLLDL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%100%0%
AVG goals2.832.832.83
Over 1.5 %67%67%67%
Over 2.5 %58%67%50%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored1.582.330.83
Conceded1.250.502.00
BTTS42%33%50%
Clean Sheet33%67%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Gareji
Gareji
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL0.75
HomeLDDDD0.83
AwayWDLLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%0%17%
AVG goals2.502.502.50
Over 1.5 %83%100%67%
Over 2.5 %42%33%50%
Over 3.5 %25%17%33%
Scored1.001.170.83
Conceded1.501.331.67
BTTS58%100%17%
Clean Sheet17%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ShukuraShukura3167
68%
2.2
6228+34
2.9
81%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.9
-
2SpaeriSpaeri3154
52%
1.7
6344+19
3.5
90%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia3051
50%
1.7
4731+16
2.6
70%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3151
48%
1.6
6153+8
3.7
84%
81%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
5GarejiGareji3140
35%
1.3
4241+1
2.7
84%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
6Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi3140
39%
1.3
4157-16
3.2
77%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
7WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3329
21%
0.9
3664-28
3.0
82%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
8RustaviRustavi3226
22%
0.8
3759-22
3.0
88%
66%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
9Dinamo ZugdidiDinamo Zugdidi1316
31%
1.2
2018+2
2.9
69%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
10Shevardeni 1906Shevardeni 19061313
31%
1.0
1328-15
3.2
77%
77%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
11Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi26
100%
3.0
20+2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
12Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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