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Merani Tbilisi vs Spaeri Result & Analysis

Date: 01/10/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-4
Merani Tbilisi
Merani Tbilisi
Vs
42%
27%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Merani Tbilisi win✗ Miss
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spaeri win✓ Hit
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W11D21W06L02L31W04L01L21W10WH·GAR22/05A·RUS27/05H·WIT20/06A·SAM26/06H·SHU01/07H·WIT20/08A·RUS28/08H·SHU03/09A·MER10/09H·GAR17/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.411.501.920.750.802.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.501.352.000.820.892.00
vs Weaker (2)0.503.001.000.000.006.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D21W21W11D02L11D51W20W20W24LA·SAM22/05H·SHU28/05H·RUS15/06H·MER26/06A·GAR01/07H·SAM21/08A·WIT28/08H·RUS04/09A·SHU10/09H·MER18/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.821.591.751.751.901.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.951.632.001.901.891.33
vs Weaker (3)1.001.330.501.002.002.00
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
Merani Tbilisi goals ↓
Spaeri goals →
01234
06.9%6.3%4.9%2.1%0.7%
17.7%13%7.6%3.3%1.1%
26.9%9.0%5.9%2.6%0.8%
33.6%4.7%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.4%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Merani Tbilisi goals (down), columns = Spaeri goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kolkheti Khobi
3.00
Shukura
2.16
Spaeri
1.74
Samtredia
1.70
Merani Martvili
1.65
Gareji
1.29
Merani Tbilisi
1.29
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.23
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
WIT Georgia
0.88
Rustavi
0.81
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
Merani Tbilisi is 0.45 points worse than Spaeri in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.74).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spaeri
2.03
Shukura
2.00
Merani Martvili
1.97
Samtredia
1.57
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.54
Gareji
1.35
Merani Tbilisi
1.32
Rustavi
1.16
WIT Georgia
1.09
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
Kolkheti Khobi
1.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.00
Merani Tbilisi is 0.71 goals worse than Spaeri in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 2.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolkheti Khobi
0.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
Shukura
0.90
Samtredia
1.03
Gareji
1.32
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.38
Spaeri
1.42
Merani Martvili
1.71
Merani Tbilisi
1.84
Rustavi
1.84
WIT Georgia
1.94
Shevardeni 1906
2.15
Merani Tbilisi is 0.42 goals worse than Spaeri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.84 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D10W04L00D20W03L01L21W00DH·GAR22/05A·RUS27/05H·WIT20/06A·SAM26/06H·SHU01/07H·WIT20/08A·RUS28/08H·SHU03/09A·MER10/09H·GAR17/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.730.670.170.401.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.600.600.730.180.441.11
vs Weaker (2)0.002.000.000.000.004.00
Clean sheet %55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W10W00D01L00D20W00D00D13LA·SAM22/05H·SHU28/05H·RUS15/06H·MER26/06A·GAR01/07H·SAM21/08A·WIT28/08H·RUS04/09A·SHU10/09H·MER18/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.910.641.000.670.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.950.681.200.800.670.56
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D11D02L02L11D01L00D00D10WH·GAR22/05A·RUS27/05H·WIT20/06A·SAM26/06H·SHU01/07H·WIT20/08A·RUS28/08H·SHU03/09A·MER10/09H·GAR17/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.771.250.580.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.900.751.270.640.440.89
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D11D01L11D31W20W20W11DA·SAM22/05H·SHU28/05H·RUS15/06H·MER26/06A·GAR01/07H·SAM21/08A·WIT28/08H·RUS04/09A·SHU10/09H·MER18/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.910.950.751.081.100.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.000.950.801.101.220.78
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.501.000.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Tbilisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
MT wins
1
Draws
0
SPA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Merani Tbilisi vs Spaeri · H/A from MT
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/22ASpaeri Vs MT2-2
01/03/22HMT Vs Spaeri1-0

Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/22HMT Vs Gareji1-0
10/09/22AMerani Martvili Vs MT1-2
03/09/22HMT Vs Shukura0-1
28/08/22ARustavi Vs MT4-0
20/08/22HMT Vs WIT Georgia3-1
01/07/22HMT Vs Shukura0-2
26/06/22ASamtredia Vs MT6-0
20/06/22HMT Vs WIT Georgia2-1
27/05/22ARustavi Vs MT1-1
22/05/22HMT Vs Gareji3-1

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/22HSPA Vs Merani Martvili2-4
10/09/22AShukura Vs SPA0-2
04/09/22HSPA Vs Rustavi2-0
28/08/22AWIT Georgia Vs SPA1-5
21/08/22HSPA Vs Samtredia1-1
01/07/22AGareji Vs SPA2-0
26/06/22HSPA Vs Merani Martvili1-1
15/06/22HSPA Vs Rustavi2-1
28/05/22HSPA Vs Shukura2-1
22/05/22ASamtredia Vs SPA2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Merani Tbilisi
Merani Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.64
HomeWLWLW2.50
AwayLDLLW0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%83%10%
AVG goals2.912.673.20
Over 1.5 %73%67%80%
Over 2.5 %59%58%60%
Over 3.5 %36%33%40%
Scored1.411.920.80
Conceded1.500.752.40
BTTS45%42%50%
Clean Sheet23%42%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.59
HomeWDDWL1.50
AwayWDLWW1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%42%50%
AVG goals3.413.503.30
Over 1.5 %91%92%90%
Over 2.5 %59%67%50%
Over 3.5 %45%42%50%
Scored1.821.751.90
Conceded1.591.751.40
BTTS73%83%60%
Clean Sheet14%8%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ShukuraShukura3167
68%
2.2
6228+34
2.9
81%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.9
-
2SpaeriSpaeri3154
52%
1.7
6344+19
3.5
90%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia3051
50%
1.7
4731+16
2.6
70%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3151
48%
1.6
6153+8
3.7
84%
81%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
5GarejiGareji3140
35%
1.3
4241+1
2.7
84%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
6Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi3140
39%
1.3
4157-16
3.2
77%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
7WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3329
21%
0.9
3664-28
3.0
82%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
8RustaviRustavi3226
22%
0.8
3759-22
3.0
88%
66%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
9Dinamo ZugdidiDinamo Zugdidi1316
31%
1.2
2018+2
2.9
69%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
10Shevardeni 1906Shevardeni 19061313
31%
1.0
1328-15
3.2
77%
77%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
11Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi26
100%
3.0
20+2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
12Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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