Metaloglobus look set to defend their home ground with a tight, low-scoring outlook. Their recent win, a 3-1 triumph over Viitorul Șelimbăr, gives them a slight lift, while Concordia, after a 1-5 loss to FC Politehnica Timișoara, will be eager to rebound. The model favours a home win, with a 39 % chance, a draw at 32 %, and an away win at 29 %. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a modest affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.6 % probability. Metaloglobus average 1.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Concordia averages 1.08 scored and 1.0 conceded away. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8 %), Under 5.5 (97.5 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 % with a 7 % edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.0 % with a 6 % edge).
Results analysis
The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 39% chance, failed to deliver. Metaloglobus, after a shaky run of LWWLL and a recent 1-3 defeat to Concordia, could not keep the momentum. Concordia, on the other hand, riding a strong streak of WLWWW and a 3-1 win over the hosts, turned the tables for a 1-3 away victory. The model’s selection for Under 7.5 goals, hit at 99.8%, proved accurate, as did the other eight picks: Under 6.5 (99.3% hit), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6% hit), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1% hit), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9% hit), Under 5.5 (97.5% hit), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4% hit), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.8% hit). The final score of 1-3 confirmed Concordia’s triumph and highlighted the model’s misjudgment of the favourite.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Metaloglobus win✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.60
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.77
Dafabet
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Betano
2.62
William Hil
2.62
Draw✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.01
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Bet365
3.10
Concordia win✓ Hit
29.4%
Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.56
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.66
Betano
2.65
William Hil
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Dafabet
2.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Metaloglobus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.93
1.14
1.29
1.06
2.50
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
1.92
1.00
1.50
0.88
2.12
vs Similar (18)
1.22
1.94
1.20
1.20
1.25
2.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Concordia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Concordia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.13
1.62
1.31
1.43
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
4.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.08
1.50
1.17
1.08
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
2.75
1.25
2.67
1.67
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.9%
@ 1.35-2.4%
Under 1.5
34.1%
@ 2.90+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
BetVictor
2.88
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.7%
@ 2.13-5.8%
Under 2.5
62.3%
@ 1.64+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.12
Under
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betfair
1.65
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.1%
@ 3.79-6.2%
Under 3.5
81.9%
@ 1.22+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Unibet
4.00
Betfair
3.80
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.70
Under
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.5%
@ 1.82-4.9%
No
54.5%
@ 1.85+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.89
BetVictor
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.82
No
Betfair
1.95
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 5.60+7.0%
0-0
12.4%@ 7.67+6.8%
1-0
11.9%@ 7.13+5.9%
0-1
9.8%@ 7.04+3.7%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.20+3.3%
2-0
7.9%@ 11.34+4.2%
1-2
6.7%@ 9.03+2.0%
0-2
5.6%@ 11.12+1.7%
Metaloglobus goals ↓
Concordia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.8%
5.6%
1.9%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.2%
0.6%
2
7.9%
8.0%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.2%
3.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metaloglobus goals (down), columns = Concordia goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
Metaloglobus is 1.00 points worse than Concordia in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
Metaloglobus is 0.80 goals worse than Concordia in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
Metaloglobus and Concordia are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Metaloglobus or Draw✗ Miss
70.6%
Avg Implied 64.7% · @ 1.42
Edge
+5.9%
39%
32%
29%
covers Metaloglobus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Metaloglobus or Concordia✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied 70.5% · @ 1.30
Edge
-2.2%
39%
32%
29%
covers Metaloglobus + Concordia
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Draw or Concordia✓ Hit
61.0%
Avg Implied 64.7% · @ 1.42
Edge
-3.8%
39%
32%
29%
covers Draw + Concordia
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.8%
@ 1.34+0.9%
Under
30.2%
@ 2.98-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.20
Betano
2.95
Superbet
2.95
10Bet
2.90
1xBet
2.88
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.6%
@ 2.67-1.0%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.41+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.61
Under
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 6.20-3.1%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.10+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.60
1xBet
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Metaloglobus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 14.25-3.3%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Concordia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.4%
@ 1.33-6.2%
Under
36.6%
@ 3.04+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.88
Concordia over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.6%
@ 2.63-8.6%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.43+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Betano
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.64
Betfair
2.63
Under
Superbet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Concordia over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.1%
@ 6.28-6.7%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.09+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.10
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Concordia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 13.50-5.1%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Metaloglobus, so a minus line means Metaloglobus give that many goals of a start and Concordia receive them. At -1, Metaloglobus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Metaloglobus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Metaloglobus)Actual: Concordia
Metaloglobus -2
5.8%
@ 15.00-0.3%
Draw -2
11.6%
@ 8.00+0.3%
Concordia +2
82.6%
@ 1.10+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
15.00
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Away
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Metaloglobus)Actual: Concordia
Metaloglobus -1
17.4%
@ 5.42+1.1%
Draw -1
21.6%
@ 4.02-0.3%
Concordia +1
61.0%
@ 1.42-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Handicap +1 (Metaloglobus)Actual: Concordia
Metaloglobus +1
70.6%
@ 1.43+8.9%
Draw +1
18.0%
@ 4.08-3.6%
Concordia -1
11.4%
@ 5.27-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.49
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Draw
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
Away
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.00
Handicap +2 (Metaloglobus)Actual: Draw
Metaloglobus +2
88.6%
@ 1.11+7.6%
Draw +2
8.2%
@ 7.45-3.9%
Concordia -2
3.2%
@ 13.00-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
6.90
Away
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
11.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metaloglobus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.43
0.64
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.62
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.39
1.00
0.30
0.70
0.50
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Concordia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Concordia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.62
0.69
0.36
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.62
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.4%
@ 1.44+3.3%
Under 0.5
32.6%
@ 2.57-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Superbet
2.62
William Hil
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.3%
@ 3.08+1.4%
Under 1.5
68.7%
@ 1.32-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Pinnacle
3.12
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Under
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 7.93-1.3%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.05+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
9.00
BetVictor
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.80
1xBet
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.5%
@ 2.23+4.9%
Under
53.5%
@ 1.59-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 7.23-1.0%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.06+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 19.12-2.9%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
Concordia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.1%
@ 2.21-3.5%
Under
61.9%
@ 1.57+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Concordia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 7.20-2.2%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.07+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Concordia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 18.12-3.9%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metaloglobus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.13
0.71
0.64
0.50
1.56
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.42
0.25
1.00
0.25
1.62
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.94
0.90
0.50
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Concordia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Concordia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.50
1.00
0.62
1.07
0.36
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
4.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.46
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.42
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
1.33
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.27+2.7%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 3.33-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.9%
@ 2.27+0.3%
Under 1.5
59.1%
@ 1.55-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.25
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 4.93-5.3%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.14+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.25
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.4%
@ 1.87+2.9%
Under
47.6%
@ 1.83-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.80
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 5.22-2.1%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.12+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 13.88-3.7%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Concordia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.3%
@ 1.83-0.1%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.87+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Concordia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
13.0%
@ 5.03-5.4%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.13+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.20
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Concordia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 13.00-4.7%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.9%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
-
+6.7%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.6%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-
+7.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.0%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-
-
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.5%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+5.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.12
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.6%
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.9%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.1%
1.27
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.4%
1.43
Superbet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
+8.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
70.6%
1.42
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
70.6%
1.43
Superbet
1.49
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
-
-
+8.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metaloglobus · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florin Purece29%
Yassine Zakir23%
Dragos Ionut Huiban15%
Daniel Popa14%
Stefan Visic12%
Ely Fernandes11%
Robert Bădescu10%
David Irimia8%
Adrian Sîrbu8%
Moses Abbey7%
Desley Ubbink5%
Damia Sabater3%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Alexandru Caramalău0%
Andrei Sava0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Christ Kouadio0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Omar Pasagić0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
Gabriel Dumitru0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nedelcovici50%
Mike Cestor50%
Gabriel Dumitru33%
David Irimia28%
Desley Ubbink26%
Cosmin Florin Achim25%
Endri Celaj25%
Moses Abbey24%
Aboubacar Camara24%
Bruno Carvalho21%
Tarek Aggoun20%
Damia Sabater18%
George Alexandru Caramalău18%
Christ Kouadio18%
Robert Neacsu16%
Alexandru Irimia15%
Benjamin Hadžić12%
Omar Pasagić11%
Yassine Zakir10%
Alexandru Țîrlea9%
Alexandru Gheorghe8%
Giovani Ghimfus8%
George Gavrilas8%
Ely Fernandes7%
Florin Purece7%
Andrei Sava7%
Marian Lis4%
Stefan Visic4%
Dragos Ionut Huiban3%
Daniel Popa0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Florin Purece21%
Christ Kouadio12%
Damia Sabater8%
Moses Abbey7%
Andrei Sava7%
Yassine Zakir6%
George Alexandru Caramalău6%
Omar Pasagić6%
Desley Ubbink5%
Stefan Visic4%
Dragos Ionut Huiban3%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Ely Fernandes0%
Daniel Popa0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
David Irimia0%
Gabriel Dumitru0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Popa14%
Stefan Visic8%
Gabriel Dumitru8%
Florin Purece7%
Yassine Zakir6%
Dragos Ionut Huiban5%
David Irimia4%
Ely Fernandes4%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Alexandru Caramalău0%
Andrei Sava0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Desley Ubbink0%
Christ Kouadio0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Damia Sabater0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Omar Pasagić0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
Moses Abbey0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Metaloglobus's squad is €3m less valuable than Concordia's (€1m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Metaloglobus's attack is €1m less valuable than Concordia's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Metaloglobus's midfield is €1m less valuable than Concordia's (€0m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Metaloglobus and Concordia have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →