Metaloglobus are the clear favourite, with the model assigning an 81% chance of a home win, 14% for a draw and 5% for a Popești-Leordeni victory. The prediction favours a 2-0 result, the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability, and the model expects an average of 3.3 goals, with the most probable total being three goals at 22%. Metaloglobus’ home form shows they score 1.67 goals and concede 1.33 against stronger opponents, while Popești-Leordeni, playing away, average 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded versus stronger sides. The model’s suggested picks include an away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), home +2 handicap (98.7%), under 7.5 (98.1%), away under 2.5 goals (97.7%), under 6.5 (95.1%), home or draw (94.7%), home +1 handicap (94.7%), and home over 0.5 goals (93.1%). Metaloglobus have recently lost but are still expected to dominate, while Popești-Leordeni have drawn their last match and struggle on the road.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Metaloglobus win
80.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
13.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni win
5.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Metaloglobus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
2.00
1.14
1.43
1.06
2.50
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
1.92
1.00
1.50
0.88
2.12
vs Similar (18)
1.22
2.06
1.20
1.40
1.25
2.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Popești-Leordeni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Popești-Leordeni
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.92
1.33
2.12
1.38
1.50
1.25
vs Stronger (10)
1.70
1.50
1.71
1.57
1.67
1.33
vs Similar (2)
3.00
0.50
5.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
8% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
42.3%
No
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.6%
3-0
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
Metaloglobus goals ↓
Popești-Leordeni goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
1.7%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.6%
6.7%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
2
14%
8.1%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
3
12%
7.2%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
8.1%
4.8%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metaloglobus goals (down), columns = Popești-Leordeni goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
Metaloglobus is 0.40 points worse than Popești-Leordeni in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
Metaloglobus is 0.60 goals worse than Popești-Leordeni in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
Metaloglobus is 0.40 goals worse than Popești-Leordeni in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Metaloglobus or Draw
94.7%
Avg Implied -
81%
14%
5%
covers Metaloglobus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus or Popești-Leordeni
86.1%
Avg Implied -
81%
14%
5%
covers Metaloglobus + Popești-Leordeni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Popești-Leordeni
19.2%
Avg Implied -
81%
14%
5%
covers Draw + Popești-Leordeni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5
Over
93.1%
Under
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5
Over
74.7%
Under
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5
Over
50.1%
Under
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 3.5
Over
28.1%
Under
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 0.5
Over
44.8%
Under
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 1.5
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 2.5
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 3.5
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Metaloglobus, so a minus line means Metaloglobus give that many goals of a start and Popești-Leordeni receive them. At -1, Metaloglobus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Metaloglobus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Metaloglobus)
Metaloglobus -2
38.3%
Draw -2
22.4%
Popești-Leordeni +2
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Metaloglobus)
Metaloglobus -1
60.7%
Draw -1
20.1%
Popești-Leordeni +1
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Metaloglobus)
Metaloglobus +1
94.7%
Draw +1
4.0%
Popești-Leordeni -1
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Metaloglobus)
Metaloglobus +2
98.7%
Draw +2
1.1%
Popești-Leordeni -2
0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metaloglobus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.43
0.71
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.62
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.39
1.06
0.30
0.80
0.50
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Popești-Leordeni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Popești-Leordeni
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
0.75
0.62
1.00
0.25
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.50
0.43
0.71
1.33
0.00
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metaloglobus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.71
0.71
0.50
1.56
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.42
0.25
1.00
0.25
1.62
vs Similar (18)
0.83
1.00
0.90
0.60
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Popești-Leordeni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Popești-Leordeni
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.08
0.83
1.38
0.75
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.00
1.29
0.86
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metaloglobus · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florin Purece29%
Yassine Zakir23%
Dragos Ionut Huiban15%
Daniel Popa14%
Stefan Visic12%
Ely Fernandes11%
Robert Bădescu10%
David Irimia8%
Adrian Sîrbu8%
Moses Abbey7%
Desley Ubbink5%
Damia Sabater3%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Alexandru Caramalău0%
Andrei Sava0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Christ Kouadio0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Omar Pasagić0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
Gabriel Dumitru0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nedelcovici50%
Mike Cestor50%
Gabriel Dumitru33%
David Irimia28%
Desley Ubbink26%
Cosmin Florin Achim25%
Endri Celaj25%
Moses Abbey24%
Aboubacar Camara24%
Bruno Carvalho21%
Tarek Aggoun20%
Damia Sabater18%
George Alexandru Caramalău18%
Christ Kouadio18%
Robert Neacsu16%
Alexandru Irimia15%
Benjamin Hadžić12%
Omar Pasagić11%
Yassine Zakir10%
Alexandru Țîrlea9%
Alexandru Gheorghe8%
Giovani Ghimfus8%
George Gavrilas8%
Ely Fernandes7%
Florin Purece7%
Andrei Sava7%
Marian Lis4%
Stefan Visic4%
Dragos Ionut Huiban3%
Daniel Popa0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Florin Purece21%
Christ Kouadio12%
Damia Sabater8%
Moses Abbey7%
Andrei Sava7%
Yassine Zakir6%
George Alexandru Caramalău6%
Omar Pasagić6%
Desley Ubbink5%
Stefan Visic4%
Dragos Ionut Huiban3%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Ely Fernandes0%
Daniel Popa0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
David Irimia0%
Gabriel Dumitru0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Popa14%
Stefan Visic8%
Gabriel Dumitru8%
Florin Purece7%
Yassine Zakir6%
Dragos Ionut Huiban5%
David Irimia4%
Ely Fernandes4%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Alexandru Caramalău0%
Andrei Sava0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Desley Ubbink0%
Christ Kouadio0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Damia Sabater0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Omar Pasagić0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
Moses Abbey0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Metaloglobus and Popești-Leordeni have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Metaloglobus and Popești-Leordeni have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Metaloglobus and Popești-Leordeni have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Metaloglobus and Popești-Leordeni have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →