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Metalul Buzău vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ Result & Analysis

Date: 27/08/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 4-0
Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău
Vs
21%
25%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Romania: Cupa României
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Metalul Buzău win✓ Hit
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ win✗ Miss
54.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W30W05L21W22D12L00D43W32W01LA·DUM05/04H·FOC12/04A·COR18/04H·U C26/04A·UNI03/05A·FC 02/08H·SEP09/08A·RÂM13/08A·SLA16/08H·COR23/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.031.190.751.211.36
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.501.50--
vs Similar (24)1.211.001.420.671.001.33
vs Weaker (4)1.501.000.500.502.501.50
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-800D11D23L12L42W10W11D20W08L30WA·SLA12/04H·CON18/04A·CHI26/04H·VII03/05A·MUS10/05A·POL05/08H·TUN09/08A·FC 14/08A·CON17/08H·CS 23/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.231.211.071.251.38
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)1.191.261.081.081.271.40
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
Metalul Buzău goals ↓
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ goals →
01234
06.5%9.0%9.2%5.6%2.6%
14.8%12%9.9%6.0%2.8%
23.1%5.7%5.3%3.2%1.5%
31.1%2.1%1.9%1.2%0.5%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metalul Buzău goals (down), columns = Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paşcani
2.57
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.33
Dumbrăviţa
2.33
CSM Reşiţa
2.29
Metalul Buzău
2.29
Minaur Baia Mare
2.25
FC Botosani
2.25
Csikszereda
2.20
AFC Hermannstadt
2.12
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.00
Slatina
2.00
Dunarea Calarasi
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
Bihor Oradea
2.00
U Craiova 1948
2.00
Alexandria
2.00
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.00
Focşani
2.00
Progresul Pecica
2.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
2.00
Sporting Lieşti
2.00
FCSB
2.00
Jiul Petroşani
2.00
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Petrolul Potcoava
2.00
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
2.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.00
Sănătatea Cluj
2.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
1.89
CS Afumati
1.83
Rapid
1.80
Minerul Lupeni
1.75
Universitatea Craiova
1.75
Politehnica Iasi
1.60
Farul Constanta
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Râmnicu Sărat
1.50
Pucioasa
1.50
Avântul Reghin
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Tunari
1.50
Braila
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.50
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.50
CSM Satu Mare
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
SCM Zalău
1.50
Blejoi
1.50
Metalurgistul Cugir
1.50
Gilortul
1.50
Gheorgheni
1.50
Gloria Băneasa
1.50
Gloria Bistriţa
1.50
Urban Titu
1.50
Viitorul Dăești
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.40
Arges Pitesti
1.40
Oţelul
1.33
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Timişul Şag
1.03
USV Iaşi
1.03
CIL Blaj
1.03
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
1.03
Victoria Cumpăna
1.03
Soimii Gura Humorului
1.03
Unirea Tășnad
1.03
Prima
1.03
Valenii de Munte
1.03
Viitorul Arad
1.03
Răuceşti
1.03
Săcele
1.03
Academica Balș
1.03
Olimpia Satu Mare
1.03
Sport Team Bucureşti
1.03
Sânandrei
1.03
Păușești
1.03
Speed Academy
1.03
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
1.03
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
1.03
CSM Fetești
1.03
Baicoi
1.03
Voinţa Livezile
1.03
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
1.03
Codlea
1.03
Medgidia
1.03
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.03
Covurluiul
1.03
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.00
Sânmartin
1.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
1.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.87
Agricola Borcea
0.86
Uta Arad
0.67
Crişul Sântandrei
0.50
Bucovina Rădăuţi
0.50
Aerostar Bacau
0.50
Concordia
0.50
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.33
CSM Adjud
0.00
Metaloglobus
0.00
ACS Mediaş 2022
0.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
0.00
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
0.00
Progresul Fundulea
0.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
0.00
Oltul Curtişoara
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
LPS HD Clinceni
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.00
Chindia Targoviste
0.00
Unirea Slobozia
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Flacăra Moreni
0.00
Avântul Periam
0.00
Viitorul Onesti
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Cetatea
0.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
0.00
Voința Limpeziș
0.00
Tricolorul Breaza
0.00
Viitorul Cluj
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Unirea Braniştea
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Municipal Braşov
0.00
Păuleşti
0.00
Sporting Roşiori
0.00
Vârfu Câmpului
0.00
Metalul Buzău is 0.89 points better than Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 1.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gilortul
5.50
Urban Titu
5.50
Viitorul Dăești
4.50
Progresul Pecica
4.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
3.56
Slatina
3.50
Avântul Reghin
3.50
CSM Satu Mare
3.50
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3.50
Paşcani
3.00
Bihor Oradea
3.00
Tunari
3.00
Gheorgheni
3.00
Ştefăneşti
2.80
Minaur Baia Mare
2.75
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
2.67
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.67
Minerul Lupeni
2.50
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.50
Sănătatea Cluj
2.43
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2.33
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.33
Alexandria
2.33
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.33
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.33
Farul Constanta
2.20
Râmnicu Sărat
2.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
2.00
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
2.00
Sporting Lieşti
2.00
FCSB
2.00
LPS HD Clinceni
2.00
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.00
Sânmartin
2.00
Flacăra Moreni
2.00
Viitorul Onesti
2.00
SCM Zalău
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
2.00
Blejoi
2.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
2.00
Vârfu Câmpului
2.00
AFC Hermannstadt
1.88
Metalul Buzău
1.86
Rapid
1.80
Oţelul
1.67
Dumbrăviţa
1.67
Timişul Şag
1.62
USV Iaşi
1.62
CIL Blaj
1.62
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
1.62
Victoria Cumpăna
1.62
Soimii Gura Humorului
1.62
Unirea Tășnad
1.62
Prima
1.62
Valenii de Munte
1.62
Viitorul Arad
1.62
Răuceşti
1.62
Săcele
1.62
Academica Balș
1.62
Olimpia Satu Mare
1.62
Sport Team Bucureşti
1.62
Sânandrei
1.62
Păușești
1.62
Speed Academy
1.62
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
1.62
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
1.62
CSM Fetești
1.62
Baicoi
1.62
Voinţa Livezile
1.62
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
1.62
Codlea
1.62
Medgidia
1.62
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.62
Covurluiul
1.62
Crişul Sântandrei
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Braila
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Jiul Petroşani
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
CSM Reşiţa
1.43
CS Dinamo București
1.36
Focşani
1.33
CS Afumati
1.33
Popești-Leordeni
1.33
Petrolul Potcoava
1.33
FC Botosani
1.25
Universitatea Craiova
1.25
Arges Pitesti
1.20
Csikszereda
1.20
CSM Adjud
1.00
Metaloglobus
1.00
ACS Mediaş 2022
1.00
Pucioasa
1.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
1.00
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
Progresul Fundulea
1.00
U Craiova 1948
1.00
Politehnica Iasi
1.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
1.00
Progresul Spartac
1.00
Aerostar Bacau
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
1.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
Avântul Periam
1.00
Cetatea
1.00
Voința Limpeziș
1.00
Agricola Borcea
1.00
Tricolorul Breaza
1.00
Viitorul Cluj
1.00
Filiaşi
1.00
Unirea Braniştea
1.00
Păuleşti
1.00
Gloria Bistriţa
1.00
Sporting Roşiori
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.80
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.60
Gloria Băneasa
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.33
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
0.00
Oltul Curtişoara
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.00
Chindia Targoviste
0.00
Unirea Slobozia
0.00
Concordia
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Municipal Braşov
0.00
Metalul Buzău is 1.06 goals better than Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.00
Csikszereda
0.40
Dunarea Calarasi
0.50
Avântul Reghin
0.50
U Craiova 1948
0.50
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0.50
FC Botosani
0.50
Universitatea Craiova
0.50
SCM Zalău
0.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.60
Politehnica Iasi
0.60
Universitatea Alba Iulia
0.67
Petrolul Potcoava
0.67
Metalul Buzău
0.71
AFC Hermannstadt
0.75
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.75
Unirea Alba Iulia
0.78
Rapid
0.80
CSM Reşiţa
0.86
Paşcani
1.00
Slatina
1.00
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
Oltul Curtişoara
1.00
Unirea Dej
1.00
FCSB
1.00
Jiul Petroşani
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
Axiopolis
1.00
Universitatea Cluj
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Dumbrăviţa
1.00
CS Afumati
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
Concordia
1.00
Gloria Băneasa
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Sănătatea Cluj
1.14
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.17
Minerul Lupeni
1.25
Alexandria
1.33
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
1.33
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
1.33
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.33
Oţelul
1.33
Popești-Leordeni
1.33
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.33
Farul Constanta
1.40
Plopeni
1.50
Minaur Baia Mare
1.50
Tunari
1.50
Progresul Pecica
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
Blejoi
1.50
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
1.50
Arges Pitesti
1.60
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.60
Focşani
1.67
Sporting Lieşti
1.67
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
1.67
Agricola Borcea
1.71
Crişul Sântandrei
2.00
Metaloglobus
2.00
Râmnicu Sărat
2.00
Pucioasa
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
Bihor Oradea
2.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
2.00
Progresul Spartac
2.00
Aerostar Bacau
2.00
Târgu Secuiesc
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
2.00
Sânmartin
2.00
Avântul Periam
2.00
Înainte Modelu
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
2.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.00
Tricolorul Breaza
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Unirea Braniştea
2.00
Gloria Bistriţa
2.00
Urban Titu
2.00
Sporting Roşiori
2.00
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.33
Uta Arad
2.33
Timişul Şag
2.34
USV Iaşi
2.34
CIL Blaj
2.34
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
2.34
Victoria Cumpăna
2.34
Soimii Gura Humorului
2.34
Unirea Tășnad
2.34
Prima
2.34
Valenii de Munte
2.34
Viitorul Arad
2.34
Răuceşti
2.34
Săcele
2.34
Academica Balș
2.34
Olimpia Satu Mare
2.34
Sport Team Bucureşti
2.34
Sânandrei
2.34
Păușești
2.34
Speed Academy
2.34
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
2.34
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
2.34
CSM Fetești
2.34
Baicoi
2.34
Voinţa Livezile
2.34
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
2.34
Codlea
2.34
Medgidia
2.34
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
2.34
Covurluiul
2.34
CSM Satu Mare
2.50
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.50
Gilortul
2.50
Viitorul Dăești
2.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2.67
CS Dinamo București
2.78
Olimpic Zărneşti
3.00
Braila
3.00
Viitorul Onesti
3.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
3.00
Voința Limpeziș
3.00
Filiaşi
3.00
Stiinta Miroslava
3.00
Păuleşti
3.00
CSM Adjud
3.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
4.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
4.00
Unirea Bascov
4.00
LPS HD Clinceni
4.00
Flacăra Moreni
4.00
Cetatea
4.00
Viitorul Cluj
4.00
Municipal Braşov
4.00
Vârfu Câmpului
4.00
Progresul Fundulea
5.00
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
7.00
Metalul Buzău is 0.11 goals worse than Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 0.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Metalul Buzău or Draw✓ Hit
45.8%
Avg Implied -
21%
25%
54%
covers Metalul Buzău + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău or Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ✓ Hit
75.1%
Avg Implied -
21%
25%
54%
covers Metalul Buzău + Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ✗ Miss
79.2%
Avg Implied -
21%
25%
54%
covers Draw + Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.7%
Under
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.0%
Under
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
84.1%
Under
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
54.8%
Under
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Metalul Buzău, so a minus line means Metalul Buzău give that many goals of a start and Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ receive them. At -1, Metalul Buzău must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Metalul Buzău win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Metalul Buzău)Actual: Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău -2
2.3%
Draw -2
5.8%
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ +2
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Metalul Buzău)Actual: Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău -1
8.1%
Draw -1
12.7%
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ +1
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Metalul Buzău)Actual: Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău +1
45.8%
Draw +1
22.6%
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ -1
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Metalul Buzău)Actual: Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău +2
68.4%
Draw +2
16.9%
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ -2
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L01L01L11D00D21W00D00DA·DUM05/04H·FOC12/04A·COR18/04H·U C26/04A·UNI03/05A·FC 02/08H·SEP09/08A·RÂM13/08A·SLA16/08H·COR23/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.380.250.430.57
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (24)0.330.460.420.330.250.58
vs Weaker (4)1.000.250.500.001.500.50
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L22D10W21W00D00D10W03L20WA·SLA12/04H·CON18/04A·CHI26/04H·VII03/05A·MUS10/05A·POL05/08H·TUN09/08A·FC 14/08A·CON17/08H·CS 23/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.500.640.690.81
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.740.420.670.730.80
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W03L20W21W01L00D22D32W01LA·DUM05/04H·FOC12/04A·COR18/04H·U C26/04A·UNI03/05A·FC 02/08H·SEP09/08A·RÂM13/08A·SLA16/08H·COR23/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.810.500.790.79
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.501.50--
vs Similar (24)0.880.541.000.330.750.75
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.000.501.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D10W01L02L21W10W11D10W05L10WA·SLA12/04H·CON18/04A·CHI26/04H·VII03/05A·MUS10/05A·POL05/08H·TUN09/08A·FC 14/08A·CON17/08H·CS 23/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.710.430.560.56
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.520.670.420.530.60
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 6.597.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap91.9%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals90.6%-------✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals88.5%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals84.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.583.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.7%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away79.2%-------✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap79.2%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away75.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals72.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals71.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
PP (5)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
MB wins
0
Draws
0
CPN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Metalul Buzău vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ · H/A from MB
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/24HMB Vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ2-0

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25HMB Vs Corvinul Hunedoara0-1
16/08/25ASlatina Vs MB2-3
13/08/25ARâmnicu Sărat Vs MB3-4
09/08/25HMB Vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe0-0
02/08/25AFC Voluntari Vs MB2-1
03/05/25AUnirea Ungheni Vs MB2-2
26/04/25HMB Vs U Craiova 19482-1
18/04/25ACorvinul Hunedoara Vs MB5-0
12/04/25HMB Vs Focşani3-0
05/04/25ADumbrăviţa Vs MB0-1

Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25HCPN Vs CS Dinamo București3-0
17/08/25AConcordia Vs CPN8-0
14/08/25AFC Bacau Vs CPN0-2
09/08/25HCPN Vs Tunari1-1
05/08/25APolitehnica Iasi Vs CPN0-1
10/05/25AMuscelul Câmpulung Elite Vs CPN2-4
03/05/25HCPN Vs Viitorul Şelimbăr1-2
26/04/25AChindia Targoviste Vs CPN3-2
18/04/25HCPN Vs Concordia1-1
12/04/25ASlatina Vs CPN0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău
Romania: Cupa României
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.55
HomeLWWDL1.58
AwayLDLWW1.53
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%47%42%
AVG goals2.501.893.11
Over 1.5 %61%53%68%
Over 2.5 %50%37%63%
Over 3.5 %29%11%47%
Scored1.371.111.63
Conceded1.130.791.47
BTTS37%21%53%
Clean Sheet45%53%37%
Corners---
Cards---
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Romania: Cupa României
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.52
HomeWDLDW1.57
AwayLWWWL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%43%41%
AVG goals2.622.522.70
Over 1.5 %80%87%74%
Over 2.5 %44%48%41%
Over 3.5 %22%17%26%
Scored1.421.611.26
Conceded1.200.911.44
BTTS48%43%52%
Clean Sheet38%39%37%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara3169
68%
2.2
5021+29
2.3
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.60.7
-
2FC VoluntariFC Voluntari3164
61%
2.1
5124+27
2.4
68%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.60.8
-
3Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe3064
63%
2.1
4923+26
2.4
77%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.60.8
-
4ASA Targu MuresASA Targu Mures2851
54%
1.8
5329+24
2.9
79%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău2850
57%
1.8
4932+17
2.9
71%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.81.1
-
6Bihor OradeaBihor Oradea3150
48%
1.6
5645+11
3.3
87%
71%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.5
-
7CSA Steaua BucureştiCSA Steaua Bucureşti3149
48%
1.6
4946+3
3.1
81%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
8SlatinaSlatina2843
43%
1.5
4032+8
2.6
79%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.1
-
9FC BacauFC Bacau2842
43%
1.5
3537-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
10ConcordiaConcordia2841
43%
1.5
3929+10
2.4
68%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.41.0
-
11Politehnica IasiPolitehnica Iasi2841
43%
1.5
3228+4
2.1
61%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
12CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa2840
43%
1.4
4139+2
2.9
82%
46%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.51.4
-
13Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste3040
40%
1.3
4241+1
2.8
77%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.4
-
14CS AfumatiCS Afumati2837
39%
1.3
3835+3
2.6
71%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.2
-
15Gloria BistriţaGloria Bistriţa2834
32%
1.2
3937+2
2.7
82%
57%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.3
-
16Viitorul ŞelimbărViitorul Şelimbăr3034
30%
1.1
3842-4
2.7
73%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
17DumbrăviţaDumbrăviţa2832
32%
1.1
3140-9
2.5
64%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
18CSM Satu MareCSM Satu Mare2828
29%
1.0
3554-19
3.2
79%
57%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.9
-
19TunariTunari2827
21%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
86%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
20CS Dinamo BucureștiCS Dinamo București3026
20%
0.9
2948-19
2.6
83%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
21Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ2820
18%
0.7
2462-38
3.1
86%
61%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
22Muscelul Câmpulung EliteMuscelul Câmpulung Elite2811
7%
0.4
1472-58
3.1
71%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
Romania: Liga II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →

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