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Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 08:00
Final 1-3
Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chindia Targoviste
Chindia Targoviste
Romania: Liga II
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Metalul Buzău are the edge, with a 46 % chance of victory against Chindia Targoviste, who stand at 27 % and a draw at 27 %. The model expects 2.7 goals in total, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 13 %. Metalul Buzău, playing at home, averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similarly strong opposition, while Chindia Targoviste, away, averages 1.23 scored and 1.54 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4 %), Under 6.5 (97.8 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3 % with a 4 % edge), Under 5.5 (94.0 % with a 3 % edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (92.4 % with a 2 % edge).

Results analysis

The upset came as Metalul Buzău, the pre-match favourite with a 46% chance of victory, fell to a 27% probability of an away win. The match finished 1-3 in favour of Chindia Targoviste, so the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selection of a home win was missed, while every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Under 6.5 at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7%, Under 5.5 at 94.0%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0%. Metalul’s form, after two straight defeats, ended with a loss, while Chindia, coming off a win, secured the victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Metalul Buzău win✗ Miss
46.0%
Avg Implied 39.4% · @ 2.30
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.48
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.37
Dafabet
2.32
Betfair
2.30
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.19
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
Betfair
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
Chindia Targoviste win✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.81
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.05
Superbet
2.90
William Hil
2.90
Dafabet
2.90
BetVictor
2.88

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W13L30W00D31W42W10W00D02LH·POL18/04A·GLO25/04H·SLA02/05A·CEA09/05A·MET01/08H·CS 08/08A·BAI12/08A·CS 15/08A·GLO19/08A·SLA22/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.202.001.231.881.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.651.391.121.501.931.33
vs Weaker (7)2.860.573.400.801.500.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D33D11D01L31W21W30W11D12LH·COR09/05A·SEP16/05H·FAR23/05A·FAR31/05A·FC 04/08H·MET09/08A·FLA12/08A·CS 15/08A·CSM18/08H·CS 21/08← Liga ILiga II →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.501.571.121.50
vs Stronger (6)1.001.331.331.330.671.33
vs Similar (21)1.381.671.561.781.251.58
vs Weaker (3)1.331.001.501.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
@ 1.29+5.7%
Under 1.5
22.9%
@ 3.24-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.94+3.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
@ 1.79-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.83
BetVictor
1.81
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
@ 3.34+1.9%
Under 3.5
70.4%
@ 1.28-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.50
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
@ 1.72+2.2%
No
44.2%
@ 1.98-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.72
No
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 5.79+5.6%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.43+4.3%
1-0
9.0%@ 7.48+3.3%
2-0
8.1%@ 10.51+4.0%
0-0
7.6%@ 8.79+2.8%
1-2
6.9%@ 9.28+2.3%
0-1
6.3%@ 8.12+1.0%
2-2
5.4%@ 12.39+2.0%
Metalul Buzău goals ↓
Chindia Targoviste goals →
01234
07.6%6.3%4.3%1.7%0.5%
19.0%13%6.9%2.7%0.8%
28.1%9.4%5.4%2.1%0.6%
34.3%4.9%2.9%1.1%0.3%
41.7%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metalul Buzău goals (down), columns = Chindia Targoviste goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
Metalul Buzău is 0.40 points worse than Chindia Targoviste in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
Metalul Buzău is 1.00 goals worse than Chindia Targoviste in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
Metalul Buzău is 0.20 goals worse than Chindia Targoviste in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Metalul Buzău or Draw✗ Miss
73.2%
Avg Implied 67.5% · @ 1.36
Edge
+5.7%
46%
27%
27%
covers Metalul Buzău + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Metalul Buzău or Chindia Targoviste✓ Hit
72.7%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
+1.0%
46%
27%
27%
covers Metalul Buzău + Chindia Targoviste
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Draw or Chindia Targoviste✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied 60.8% · @ 1.51
Edge
-6.7%
46%
27%
27%
covers Draw + Chindia Targoviste
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
BetVictor
1.53

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.5%
@ 1.27+6.7%
Under
20.5%
@ 3.38-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Unibet
3.10
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.0%
@ 2.29+6.5%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.56-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.55
Unibet
2.48
Superbet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Under
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.2%
@ 4.83+2.0%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.15-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Metalul Buzău over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 11.00-0.9%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.7%
@ 1.34-0.2%
Under
31.3%
@ 2.98+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Under
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Unibet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.85
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.3%
@ 2.62-3.1%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.43+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.72
Superbet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
11.2%
@ 5.88-4.6%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.11+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
Betano
6.00
1xBet
5.40
Under
1xBet
1.12
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Chindia Targoviste over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 13.50-3.9%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Metalul Buzău, so a minus line means Metalul Buzău give that many goals of a start and Chindia Targoviste receive them. At -1, Metalul Buzău must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Metalul Buzău win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Metalul Buzău)Actual: Chindia Targoviste
Metalul Buzău -2
10.0%
@ 9.39+0.6%
Draw -2
14.3%
@ 6.22+0.2%
Chindia Targoviste +2
75.8%
@ 1.14-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
11.00
Superbet
9.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
6.40
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Metalul Buzău)Actual: Chindia Targoviste
Metalul Buzău -1
24.2%
@ 4.68+5.4%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 3.93-0.8%
Chindia Targoviste +1
54.0%
@ 1.51-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Superbet
4.45
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Unibet
3.90
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Away
Superbet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Unibet
1.46
Handicap +1 (Metalul Buzău)Actual: Chindia Targoviste
Metalul Buzău +1
73.2%
@ 1.38+9.2%
Draw +1
15.6%
@ 4.32-4.8%
Chindia Targoviste -1
11.2%
@ 5.65-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.42
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.32
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Unibet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.65
Unibet
5.40
Handicap +2 (Metalul Buzău)Actual: Draw
Metalul Buzău +2
88.8%
@ 1.11+8.5%
Draw +2
7.7%
@ 7.50-4.2%
Chindia Targoviste -2
3.5%
@ 11.50-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.11
Draw
Unibet
7.50
Away
Unibet
11.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L20W00D01L21W10W00D01LH·POL18/04A·GLO25/04H·SLA02/05A·CEA09/05A·MET01/08H·CS 08/08A·BAI12/08A·CS 15/08A·GLO19/08A·SLA22/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.630.690.621.120.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.910.780.500.881.130.73
vs Weaker (7)1.000.141.000.201.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W10W01L10W10W20W10W10WH·COR09/05A·SEP16/05H·FAR23/05A·FAR31/05A·FC 04/08H·MET09/08A·FLA12/08A·CS 15/08A·CSM18/08H·CS 21/08← Liga ILiga II →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.600.710.360.690.81
vs Stronger (6)0.330.330.330.000.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.760.760.780.560.750.92
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.3%
@ 1.38+2.4%
Under 0.5
30.7%
@ 2.79-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Under
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
Superbet
2.82
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.7%
@ 2.78+0.5%
Under 1.5
66.3%
@ 1.38-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.80
BetVictor
2.75
Under
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 6.85-0.7%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.08+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Superbet
6.90
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Under
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.0%
@ 2.01+6.1%
Under
48.0%
@ 1.71-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.10
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Unibet
1.63
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 6.17+2.7%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.09-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.00
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 15.25-3.0%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.2%
@ 2.17-5.2%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.60+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Unibet
2.14
1xBet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.61
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.57
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 7.03-4.4%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.07+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 18.50-3.8%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W11D10W00D30W21W00D00D01LH·POL18/04A·GLO25/04H·SLA02/05A·CEA09/05A·MET01/08H·CS 08/08A·BAI12/08A·CS 15/08A·GLO19/08A·SLA22/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.571.310.620.760.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.740.610.620.620.800.60
vs Weaker (7)1.860.432.400.600.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D23L01L00D21W11D10W01L02LH·COR09/05A·SEP16/05H·FAR23/05A·FAR31/05A·FC 04/08H·MET09/08A·FLA12/08A·CS 15/08A·CSM18/08H·CS 21/08← Liga ILiga II →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.791.210.440.69
vs Stronger (6)0.671.001.001.330.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.620.900.781.220.500.67
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.501.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.5%
@ 1.24+3.9%
Under 0.5
21.5%
@ 3.63-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.70
Betano
3.60
Marathonbet
3.34
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.4%
@ 2.15+1.3%
Under 1.5
55.6%
@ 1.63-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.35
Unibet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Unibet
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.4%
@ 4.35-1.9%
Under 2.5
80.6%
@ 1.18+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.65
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
62.0%
@ 1.68+7.0%
Under
38.0%
@ 2.06-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.00
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.7%
@ 4.25+2.0%
Under
76.3%
@ 1.18-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.55
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 11.38-1.3%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.02+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.01
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.9%
@ 1.87-3.8%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.84+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.82
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
12.0%
@ 5.15-5.9%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.12+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.25
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 13.00-4.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.6%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+3.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.8%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+2.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.7%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
---+4.9%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.0%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
---+3.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.7%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+3.0%✓ Hit
Under 5.594.0%1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-+2.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals93.0%1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.01
---+1.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals92.3%1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
---+0.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.2%1.07
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
--+4.4%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.8%1.11
Unibet
1.11
----+8.5%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals88.8%1.11
1xBet
1.12
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
-+4.6%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.0%1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
--+5.9%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals87.1%1.08
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
+0.7%✓ Hit
Under 4.585.6%1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+0.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.3%1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
---2.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals80.6%1.18
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
--+1.9%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals79.5%1.27
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
+6.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals78.8%1.15
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
--2.0%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals78.5%1.24
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
-+3.9%✓ Hit
Over 1.577.1%1.29
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+5.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals76.3%1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
---2.0%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap75.8%1.14
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.12
--0.9%✓ Hit
Home or Draw73.2%1.36
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
+5.7%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap73.2%1.38
Unibet
1.42
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.32
--+9.2%✗ Miss
Home or Away72.7%1.28
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+1.0%✓ Hit
Under 3.570.4%1.28
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
-1.9%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Metalul Buzău and Chindia Targoviste have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Metalul Buzău and Chindia Targoviste have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Metalul Buzău and Chindia Targoviste have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Metalul Buzău and Chindia Targoviste have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
MB wins
1
Draws
0
CT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste · H/A from MB
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26AChindia Targoviste Vs MB2-3
26/10/24AChindia Targoviste Vs MB0-0

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26ASlatina Vs MB2-0
19/08/26AGloria Bistriţa Vs MB0-0
15/08/26ACS Dinamo București Vs MB0-1
12/08/26ABaicoi Vs MB2-4
08/08/26HMB Vs CS Afumati3-1
01/08/26AMetaloglobus Vs MB0-0
09/05/26ACeahlăul Piatra Neamţ Vs MB0-3
02/05/26HMB Vs Slatina1-3
25/04/26AGloria Bistriţa Vs MB0-1
18/04/26HMB Vs Politehnica Iasi2-0

Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HCT Vs CS Dinamo București1-2
18/08/26ACSM Ramnicu Valcea Vs CT1-1
15/08/26ACS Afumati Vs CT0-3
12/08/26AFlacăra Moreni Vs CT1-2
09/08/26HCT Vs Metaloglobus3-1
04/08/26AFC Politehnica Timisoara Vs CT1-0
31/05/26AFarul Constanta Vs CT1-1
23/05/26HCT Vs Farul Constanta3-3
16/05/26ASepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Vs CT1-1
09/05/26HCT Vs Corvinul Hunedoara1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.68
HomeWWWLW1.65
AwayDWWDL1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%52%52%
AVG goals2.982.743.19
Over 1.5 %70%70%70%
Over 2.5 %56%57%56%
Over 3.5 %34%30%37%
Scored1.681.611.74
Conceded1.301.131.44
BTTS46%43%48%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Chindia Targoviste
Chindia Targoviste
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.44
HomeLWDWL1.54
AwayDLWWD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%35%
AVG goals2.843.122.58
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %50%62%38%
Over 3.5 %34%42%27%
Scored1.521.791.27
Conceded1.321.331.31
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners12.00-12.00
Cards8.00-8.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Politehnica TimisoaraFC Politehnica Timisoara513
80%
2.6
112+9
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.4
-
2SlatinaSlatina513
80%
2.6
102+8
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1012.00.4
-
3ConcordiaConcordia512
80%
2.4
118+3
3.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.21.6
-
4CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa512
80%
2.4
96+3
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.81.2
-
5Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste59
60%
1.8
105+5
3.0
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2012.01.0
-
6Popești-LeordeniPopești-Leordeni59
40%
1.8
106+4
3.2
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.2
-
7Gloria BistriţaGloria Bistriţa59
60%
1.8
74+3
2.2
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.8
-
8FC BacauFC Bacau58
40%
1.6
105+5
3.0
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.01.0
-
9CSM Ramnicu ValceaCSM Ramnicu Valcea58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.0
-
10Cetatea SuceavaCetatea Suceava57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
11MetaloglobusMetaloglobus57
40%
1.4
78-1
3.0
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.6
-
12Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău57
40%
1.4
56-1
2.2
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.01.2
-
13CS AfumatiCS Afumati57
40%
1.4
69-3
3.0
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.8
-
14Bihor OradeaBihor Oradea56
20%
1.2
64+2
2.0
80%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.8
-
15ŞtefăneştiŞtefăneşti56
40%
1.2
410-6
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.82.0
-
16Viitorul ŞelimbărViitorul Şelimbăr55
20%
1.0
57-2
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.4
-
17ASA Targu MuresASA Targu Mures54
20%
0.8
38-5
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.61.6
-
18DumbrăviţaDumbrăviţa53
0%
0.6
46-2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.2
-
19CS Dinamo BucureștiCS Dinamo București53
20%
0.6
410-6
2.8
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.82.0
-
20CSM Satu MareCSM Satu Mare52
0%
0.4
16-5
1.4
60%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.21.2
-
21CSA Steaua BucureştiCSA Steaua Bucureşti51
0%
0.2
511-6
3.2
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.2
-
22Unirea SloboziaUnirea Slobozia51
0%
0.2
39-6
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.61.8
-
23AFC HermannstadtAFC Hermannstadt00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5250.00.0
-
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →

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