This highly anticipated matchup between Metalul Buzău and CS Afumati in the Romania: Liga II on August 8, 2026, is finely balanced, with the home side coming off a draw against Metaloglobus and the away side having just won against CS Dinamo București. The home win percentage stands at 38%, the draw percentage at 27%, and the away win percentage at 35%. The model's selection is a home win.
The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 12.9%. The home side has been scoring an average of 0.75 goals at home and conceding 1.25 goals, while the away side has been scoring 1.22 goals away and conceding 1.67 goals.
The model's selection for the score is the Over 1.5, with a probability of 78.8% and a 6% edge.
The win extends Metalul Buzău's run, having come off a victory against CS Afumati just last time out. In the end, it was a convincing 3-1 scoreline, with the home side emerging victorious. The model correctly predicted a home win, a favourite with a 38% probability of occurring. Metalul Buzău's recent form, particularly coming off a win, likely contributed to the model's call being correct. The model's selection, a home win, was the favourite. The model's suggested picks largely came in, with 'Over 1.5' hitting with a probability of 78.8% and no other selections being named.
Metalul Buzău| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.93 | 1.13 | 1.87 | 1.07 | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.74 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 2.57 | 0.57 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+5pp vs league) | |||||
CS Afumati| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 1.23 | 1.00 | 1.27 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.29 | 1.57 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.32 | 1.14 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
| CS Afumati goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 13% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Metalul Buzău| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.57 | 0.73 | 0.47 | 1.13 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.91 | 0.74 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 1.15 | 0.77 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
CS Afumati| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.33 | 0.47 | 0.80 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
Metalul Buzău| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 0.57 | 1.13 | 0.60 | 0.87 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.83 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.85 | 0.62 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.57 | 0.57 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
CS Afumati| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.71 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.77 | 0.59 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.42 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78.8% | 1.26 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +5.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 23/11/24 | H | 1-0 |
Metalul Buzău| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 4-2 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 08/03/26 | H | 1-4 |
CS Afumati| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 07/03/26 | H | 0-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |