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Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Khust City Result & Analysis

Date: 23/03/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 1-4
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Vs
57%
26%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Khust City
Khust City
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Metalurh Zaporizhya win✗ Miss
56.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Khust City win✓ Hit
17.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W20W01L31W31W00D01L00D01LH·DIN24/09A·KRE01/10H·VIK07/10A·HIR13/10H·SK 22/10A·CHE29/10H·INH05/11A·LIV12/11H·YAR19/11A·DIN25/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.101.000.731.331.47
vs Stronger (6)1.000.670.330.671.670.67
vs Similar (24)1.211.211.170.751.251.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Khust City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Khust CityKhust City

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W03L13L12L03L12L14L01L14L12LA·MET23/09H·KAR01/10A·EPI07/10H·BUK14/10A·AHR21/10H·PRY28/10A·POD04/11H·NYV12/11A·NYV18/11H·MET24/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.851.900.801.400.902.40
vs Stronger (6)0.331.670.332.000.331.33
vs Similar (14)1.072.001.001.141.142.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalurh Zaporizhya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
Metalurh Zaporizhya goals ↓
Khust City goals →
01234
08.8%5.4%2.8%0.8%0.2%
112%12%4.8%1.4%0.3%
211%9.6%4.1%1.2%0.3%
36.4%5.5%2.4%0.7%0.1%
42.8%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metalurh Zaporizhya goals (down), columns = Khust City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UCSA
3.00
Inhulets
2.39
Karpaty
2.32
Zvyahel
2.00
Livyi Bereh
1.93
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.57
Bukovyna
1.46
Nyva Buzova
1.43
Prykarpattia
1.43
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.39
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.39
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.36
SK Poltava
1.32
Yarud Mariupol'
1.32
Nyva Ternopil
1.29
Metal Kharkiv
1.07
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.07
Khust City
1.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.93
Kremin'
0.89
Hirnyk-Sport
0.82
Chernihiv
0.82
Metalurh Zaporizhya is 0.07 points worse than Khust City in terms of average points per game (0.93 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
UCSA
3.50
Inhulets
2.14
Livyi Bereh
2.11
SK Poltava
1.75
Karpaty
1.75
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.39
Bukovyna
1.36
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.29
Prykarpattia
1.25
Chernihiv
1.21
Khust City
1.17
Nyva Buzova
1.14
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.11
Yarud Mariupol'
1.04
Nyva Ternopil
1.04
Zvyahel
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.96
Metal Kharkiv
0.96
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.93
Hirnyk-Sport
0.86
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.82
Kremin'
0.71
Metalurh Zaporizhya is 0.23 goals worse than Khust City in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zvyahel
0.50
UCSA
0.50
Inhulets
0.61
Karpaty
0.71
Livyi Bereh
0.75
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.93
Yarud Mariupol'
0.93
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.96
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.04
Bukovyna
1.04
Nyva Ternopil
1.04
Prykarpattia
1.07
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.18
Nyva Buzova
1.21
Metal Kharkiv
1.21
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.36
SK Poltava
1.61
Kremin'
1.71
Hirnyk-Sport
1.75
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.83
Khust City
1.83
Chernihiv
2.36
Metalurh Zaporizhya and Khust City are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W01L21W20W00D01L00D01LH·DIN24/09A·KRE01/10H·VIK07/10A·HIR13/10H·SK 22/10A·CHE29/10H·INH05/11A·LIV12/11H·YAR19/11A·DIN25/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.530.470.530.67
vs Stronger (6)0.330.330.000.330.670.33
vs Similar (24)0.580.620.670.500.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Khust City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Khust CityKhust City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L11D00D02L01L02L00D13L01LA·MET23/09H·KAR01/10A·EPI07/10H·BUK14/10A·AHR21/10H·PRY28/10A·POD04/11H·NYV12/11A·NYV18/11H·MET24/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.350.750.300.400.401.10
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.000.670.330.67
vs Similar (14)0.430.790.430.290.431.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalurh Zaporizhya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W11D10W00D10W11D00D00D00D00DH·DIN24/09A·KRE01/10H·VIK07/10A·HIR13/10H·SK 22/10A·CHE29/10H·INH05/11A·LIV12/11H·YAR19/11A·DIN25/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.470.270.800.80
vs Stronger (6)0.670.330.330.331.000.33
vs Similar (24)0.620.580.500.250.750.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Khust City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Khust CityKhust City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L02L12L01L11D12L01L01L11DA·MET23/09H·KAR01/10A·EPI07/10H·BUK14/10A·AHR21/10H·PRY28/10A·POD04/11H·NYV12/11A·NYV18/11H·MET24/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.150.501.000.501.30
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.331.330.000.67
vs Similar (14)0.641.210.570.860.711.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalurh Zaporizhya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (28)
€13m
BUK (25)
€9m
ED (23)
€6m
LB (25)
€5m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
LB (7)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (15)
€7m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MZ wins
0
Draws
0
KC wins

Head-to-head

Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Khust City · H/A from MZ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/23ADinaz Vyshhorod Vs MZ1-0
19/11/23HMZ Vs Yarud Mariupol'0-0
12/11/23ALivyi Bereh Vs MZ1-0
05/11/23HMZ Vs Inhulets0-0
29/10/23AChernihiv Vs MZ1-3
22/10/23HMZ Vs SK Poltava3-1
13/10/23AHirnyk-Sport Vs MZ1-0
07/10/23HMZ Vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka2-0
01/10/23AKremin' Vs MZ1-2
24/09/23HMZ Vs Dinaz Vyshhorod1-1

Khust CityKhust City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/23HKC Vs Metal Kharkiv1-2
18/11/23ANyva Ternopil Vs KC4-1
12/11/23HKC Vs Nyva Buzova0-1
04/11/23APodillya Khmelnytskyi Vs KC4-1
28/10/23HKC Vs Prykarpattia1-2
21/10/23AAhrobiznes Volochysk Vs KC3-0
14/10/23HKC Vs Bukovyna1-2
07/10/23AEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Vs KC3-1
01/10/23HKC Vs Karpaty0-3
23/09/23AMetal Kharkiv Vs KC0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Metalurh Zaporizhya
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.48
HomeDWWDD1.45
AwayWLWLL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%35%41%
AVG goals2.292.002.55
Over 1.5 %62%55%68%
Over 2.5 %38%25%50%
Over 3.5 %19%15%23%
Scored1.191.101.27
Conceded1.100.901.27
BTTS52%45%59%
Clean Sheet26%35%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Khust City
Khust City
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.75
HomeLLLLL0.70
AwayWLLLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals2.752.203.30
Over 1.5 %70%70%70%
Over 2.5 %60%50%70%
Over 3.5 %25%0%50%
Scored0.850.800.90
Conceded1.901.402.40
BTTS45%50%40%
Clean Sheet20%10%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InhuletsInhulets2867
75%
2.4
6017+43
2.8
75%
57%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.10.6
-
2KarpatyKarpaty2865
71%
2.3
4920+29
2.5
64%
54%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4271.80.7
-
3Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh2854
57%
1.9
5921+38
2.9
75%
54%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.8
-
4Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2844
39%
1.6
3933+6
2.6
79%
43%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1231.41.2
-
5BukovynaBukovyna2841
43%
1.5
3829+9
2.4
61%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4231.41.0
-
6PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia2840
36%
1.4
3530+5
2.3
61%
36%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
7Nyva BuzovaNyva Buzova2840
36%
1.4
3234-2
2.4
68%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi2839
32%
1.4
3626+10
2.2
75%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
9Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka2839
36%
1.4
2327-4
1.8
46%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.0
-
10Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk2838
36%
1.4
2729-2
2.0
64%
39%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.0
-
11SK PoltavaSK Poltava2837
36%
1.3
4945+4
3.4
89%
75%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.6
-
12Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'2837
29%
1.3
2926+3
2.0
64%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.9
-
13Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil2836
32%
1.3
2929+0
2.1
61%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod2830
29%
1.1
3138-7
2.5
75%
46%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv2830
25%
1.1
2734-7
2.2
64%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.01.2
-
16Khust CityKhust City3030
30%
1.0
3555-20
3.0
70%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
17Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya3028
23%
0.9
2855-27
2.8
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
18KreminKremin'2825
21%
0.9
2048-28
2.4
57%
46%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
19Hirnyk-SportHirnyk-Sport2823
21%
0.8
2449-25
2.6
68%
39%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
20ChernihivChernihiv2823
21%
0.8
3466-32
3.6
89%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.22.4
-
21UCSAUCSA26
100%
3.0
71+6
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.50.5
-
22ZvyahelZvyahel24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.5
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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