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Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Prykarpattia Result & Analysis

Date: 19/10/2025
Time: 08:30
Final 0-3
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Vs
21%
27%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Prykarpattia
Prykarpattia
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Metalurh Zaporizhya win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia win✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W03L03L11D13L00D03L01L03LH·POD16/08A·VOR30/08H·UCS07/09A·CHO13/09H·YAR21/09H·MET25/09H·INH29/09A·AHR04/10H·PRO08/10A·VIK14/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.600.861.430.691.75
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (29)0.791.590.861.430.731.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Prykarpattia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W03L12L12L22D11D10W13L11DA·VIK01/08A·YAR11/08H·CHE17/08A·LIV29/08H·BUK05/09A·MET13/09H·NYV22/09H·VOR03/10A·UCS09/10H·CHO13/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.131.331.001.271.27
vs Stronger (5)0.401.600.501.500.331.67
vs Similar (25)1.481.041.460.921.501.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalurh Zaporizhya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.3%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
0-3 ✓
5.4%
Metalurh Zaporizhya goals ↓
Prykarpattia goals →
01234
09.0%11%10%5.4%2.1%
16.2%13%9.5%5.1%2.0%
23.5%5.6%4.5%2.4%1.0%
31.1%1.8%1.4%0.8%0.3%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metalurh Zaporizhya goals (down), columns = Prykarpattia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bukovyna
2.70
Chornomorets
2.14
Livyi Bereh
2.10
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.77
Inhulets
1.53
Metal Kharkiv
1.23
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Probiy Horodenka
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.17
Nyva Ternopil
1.17
Chernihiv
1.03
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.72
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.63
Metalurh Zaporizhya is 0.54 points worse than Prykarpattia in terms of average points per game (0.63 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bukovyna
2.47
Livyi Bereh
1.67
Chornomorets
1.41
Inhulets
1.37
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.23
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.03
Yarud Mariupol'
1.03
Metal Kharkiv
1.03
UCSA
1.00
Chernihiv
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.97
Nyva Ternopil
0.83
Vorskla Poltava
0.77
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.69
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.53
Metalurh Zaporizhya is 0.50 goals worse than Prykarpattia in terms of goals scored per game (0.53 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Chornomorets
0.69
Livyi Bereh
0.70
Bukovyna
0.70
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.93
Yarud Mariupol'
1.07
Inhulets
1.07
Nyva Ternopil
1.07
Prykarpattia
1.14
Metal Kharkiv
1.17
Vorskla Poltava
1.20
Chernihiv
1.20
Probiy Horodenka
1.23
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.27
UCSA
1.33
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.45
Metalurh Zaporizhya
2.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya is 0.90 goals worse than Prykarpattia in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D00D11D12L00D01L00D00DH·POD16/08A·VOR30/08H·UCS07/09A·CHO13/09H·YAR21/09H·MET25/09H·INH29/09A·AHR04/10H·PRO08/10A·VIK14/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.570.640.380.62
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.480.660.570.640.400.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Prykarpattia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W01L01L01L01L11D00D01L01LA·VIK01/08A·YAR11/08H·CHE17/08A·LIV29/08H·BUK05/09A·MET13/09H·NYV22/09H·VOR03/10A·UCS09/10H·CHO13/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.670.530.530.67
vs Stronger (5)0.000.800.000.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.720.560.770.540.670.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalurh Zaporizhya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L03L00D01L00D02L01L03LH·POD16/08A·VOR30/08H·UCS07/09A·CHO13/09H·YAR21/09H·MET25/09H·INH29/09A·AHR04/10H·PRO08/10A·VIK14/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.231.030.140.930.311.12
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (29)0.241.000.140.930.331.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Prykarpattia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L11D11D21W00D10W12L10WA·VIK01/08A·YAR11/08H·CHE17/08A·LIV29/08H·BUK05/09A·MET13/09H·NYV22/09H·VOR03/10A·UCS09/10H·CHO13/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.670.470.730.60
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.501.000.330.67
vs Similar (25)0.760.480.690.380.830.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalurh Zaporizhya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (25)
€9m
CHO (21)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (10)
€4m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
YM (6)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (10)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
MZ wins
0
Draws
2
PRY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Prykarpattia · H/A from MZ
DateH/AGameScore
30/05/25APrykarpattia Vs MZ4-1
26/04/25HMZ Vs Prykarpattia0-2

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/10/25AViktoriya Mykolaivka Vs MZ3-0
08/10/25HMZ Vs Probiy Horodenka0-1
04/10/25AAhrobiznes Volochysk Vs MZ3-0
29/09/25HMZ Vs Inhulets0-0
25/09/25HMZ Vs Metal Kharkiv1-3
21/09/25HMZ Vs Yarud Mariupol'1-1
13/09/25AChornomorets Vs MZ3-0
07/09/25HMZ Vs UCSA0-3
30/08/25AVorskla Poltava Vs MZ0-1
16/08/25HMZ Vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi1-1

PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/10/25HPRY Vs Chornomorets1-1
09/10/25AUCSA Vs PRY3-1
03/10/25HPRY Vs Vorskla Poltava1-0
22/09/25HPRY Vs Nyva Ternopil1-1
13/09/25AMetal Kharkiv Vs PRY2-2
05/09/25HPRY Vs Bukovyna1-2
29/08/25ALivyi Bereh Vs PRY2-1
17/08/25HPRY Vs Chernihiv0-3
11/08/25AYarud Mariupol' Vs PRY0-2
01/08/25AViktoriya Mykolaivka Vs PRY0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Metalurh Zaporizhya
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.70
HomeLDLDL0.80
AwayLWLLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%20%12%
AVG goals2.602.522.68
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored0.660.720.60
Conceded1.941.802.08
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Prykarpattia
Prykarpattia
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLD1.42
HomeLLDWD1.52
AwayWWLDL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.402.162.64
Over 1.5 %70%60%80%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %20%12%28%
Scored1.221.241.20
Conceded1.180.921.44
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BukovynaBukovyna3081
87%
2.7
7421+53
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4232.50.7
-
2Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh3063
63%
2.1
5021+29
2.4
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.7
-
3ChornomoretsChornomorets2962
62%
2.1
4120+21
2.1
62%
34%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.40.7
-
4Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk3053
53%
1.8
3628+8
2.1
53%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.20.9
-
5InhuletsInhulets3046
40%
1.5
4132+9
2.4
70%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.1
-
6Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv3037
33%
1.2
3135-4
2.2
73%
43%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.01.2
-
7Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka3036
33%
1.2
3738-1
2.5
77%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
8Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'3036
30%
1.2
3132-1
2.1
70%
33%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.1
-
9Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka3036
33%
1.2
2937-8
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
10UCSAUCSA3036
33%
1.2
3040-10
2.3
70%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.3
-
11PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia2934
28%
1.2
3033-3
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.1
-
12Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil2934
28%
1.2
2431-7
1.9
59%
34%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.1
-
13ChernihivChernihiv3031
27%
1.0
3036-6
2.2
67%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.2
-
14Vorskla PoltavaVorskla Poltava3030
23%
1.0
2336-13
2.0
73%
20%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi2921
14%
0.7
2042-22
2.1
72%
34%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.4
-
16Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya3019
13%
0.6
1661-45
2.6
70%
57%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
17Polissya IIPolissya II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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