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MFK Bytča vs Humenné Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 13:00
MFK Bytča
MFK Bytča
Vs
79%
15%
6%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

MFK Bytča are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 79% chance of a home win. The team’s home form shows they score an average of one goal while conceding 2.5 against weaker opposition, and the recent two-game winning streak gives them confidence. Humenné, playing away, have a weaker record, conceding 1.86 goals and scoring 1.07 against stronger opponents, and they are coming off a defeat. The expected total goals is 3.4, and the most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Bytča, with a 12.4% probability. The model’s pick remains a home win, and the overall probabilities are 79% for a home win, 15% for a draw, and 6% for an away win. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals at 99.5%, Home +2 handicap at 98.2%, Under 7.5 at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.7%, Under 6.5 at 94.4%, Home or Draw at 93.5%, Home +1 handicap at 93.5%, and Home over 0.5 goals at 93.2%. Each selection is listed with its exact percentage.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MFK Bytča win
78.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Humenné win
6.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MFK BytčaMFK Bytča

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L40W00D05L04L03L13L20W21W13LH·SPA16/10A·POK06/08A·NIT20/08H·LIP25/07A·PET02/08H·INT08/08A·POH14/08A·ROS19/08H·ZLA22/08A·MAL31/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.462.081.002.331.861.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.831.831.002.002.251.75
vs Weaker (7)1.142.291.002.501.332.00
Clean sheet %31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L12L13L10W21W03L10W01L11DH·POH23/09H·POD21/10H·TAT25/07A·ŠAM01/08H·LOK08/08A·SNI11/08A·SLO17/08H·LIP22/08A·BAN29/08A·MSK02/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.301.000.801.071.80
vs Stronger (30)1.031.301.000.801.071.80
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.1%
No
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.4%
3-0
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.1%
MFK Bytča goals ↓
Humenné goals →
01234
04.1%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.0%
18.6%7.0%2.2%0.5%0.1%
212%8.5%2.9%0.7%0.1%
311%7.6%2.6%0.6%0.1%
47.4%5.1%1.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MFK Bytča goals (down), columns = Humenné goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
MFK Bytča is 0.50 points worse than Humenné in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
MFK Bytča and Humenné are level in goals scored per game (both 0.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
MFK Bytča is 1.67 goals worse than Humenné in terms of goals conceded per game (3.17 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
MFK Bytča or Draw
93.5%
Avg Implied -
79%
15%
6%
covers MFK Bytča + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča or Humenné
85.4%
Avg Implied -
79%
15%
6%
covers MFK Bytča + Humenné
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Humenné
21.1%
Avg Implied -
79%
15%
6%
covers Draw + Humenné
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5
Over
93.2%
Under
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5
Over
74.9%
Under
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5
Over
50.3%
Under
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 3.5
Over
28.3%
Under
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to MFK Bytča, so a minus line means MFK Bytča give that many goals of a start and Humenné receive them. At -1, MFK Bytča must win by two or more to land; a one-goal MFK Bytča win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (MFK Bytča)
MFK Bytča -2
36.8%
Draw -2
22.0%
Humenné +2
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (MFK Bytča)
MFK Bytča -1
58.8%
Draw -1
20.1%
Humenné +1
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (MFK Bytča)
MFK Bytča +1
93.5%
Draw +1
4.7%
Humenné -1
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (MFK Bytča)
MFK Bytča +2
98.2%
Draw +2
1.4%
Humenné -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MFK BytčaMFK Bytča

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D00D02L01L03L13L10W21W12LH·SPA16/10A·POK06/08A·NIT20/08H·LIP25/07A·PET02/08H·INT08/08A·POH14/08A·ROS19/08H·ZLA22/08A·MAL31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.691.230.831.330.571.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.500.831.001.000.250.75
vs Weaker (7)0.861.570.751.501.001.67
Clean sheet %38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D12L10W01L01L10W01L11DH·POH23/09H·POD21/10H·TAT25/07A·ŠAM01/08H·LOK08/08A·SNI11/08A·SLO17/08H·LIP22/08A·BAN29/08A·MSK02/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.530.070.401.13
vs Stronger (30)0.470.600.530.070.401.13
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MFK BytčaMFK Bytča

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L40W00D03L03L00D00D10W00D01LH·SPA16/10A·POK06/08A·NIT20/08H·LIP25/07A·PET02/08H·INT08/08A·POH14/08A·ROS19/08H·ZLA22/08A·MAL31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.850.171.001.290.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.331.000.001.002.001.00
vs Weaker (7)0.290.710.251.000.330.33
Clean sheet %54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L12L01L00D20W02L00D00D00DH·POH23/09H·POD21/10H·TAT25/07A·ŠAM01/08H·LOK08/08A·SNI11/08A·SLO17/08H·LIP22/08A·BAN29/08A·MSK02/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.470.730.670.67
vs Stronger (30)0.570.700.470.730.670.67
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.5%-------
Home +2 handicap98.2%-------
Under 7.597.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals96.7%-------
Under 6.594.4%-------
Home or Draw93.5%-------
Home +1 handicap93.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals93.2%-------
Under 5.587.4%-------
Over 1.585.7%-------
Home or Away85.4%-------
Away under 1.5 goals84.8%-------
Home win78.9%-------
Home over 1.5 goals74.9%-------
Under 4.574.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals71.7%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MB wins
0
Draws
0
HUM wins

Head-to-head

MFK Bytča vs Humenné · H/A from MB
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

MFK BytčaMFK Bytča

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26AMalženice Vs MB3-1
22/08/26HMB Vs Zlaté Moravce2-1
19/08/26ARosina Vs MB0-2
14/08/26APohronie Vs MB3-1
08/08/26HMB Vs Inter Bratislava0-3
02/08/26APetržalka Vs MB4-0
25/07/26HMB Vs Liptovský Mikuláš0-5
20/08/25ANitra Vs MB0-0
06/08/25APokrok Stará Bystrica Vs MB0-4
16/10/24HMB Vs Spartak Trnava1-4

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26AMSK Tesla Stropkov Vs HUM1-1
29/08/26ABaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom Vs HUM1-0
22/08/26HHUM Vs Liptovský Mikuláš1-0
17/08/26ASlovan Bratislava II Vs HUM3-0
11/08/26ASnina Vs HUM1-2
08/08/26HHUM Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen1-0
01/08/26AŠamorín Vs HUM3-1
25/07/26HHUM Vs Tatran Prešov1-2
21/10/25HHUM Vs Podbrezová1-2
23/09/25HHUM Vs Pohronie2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

MFK Bytča
MFK Bytča
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.46
HomeWLLLW1.50
AwayDLLWL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%43%
AVG goals3.543.333.71
Over 1.5 %85%83%86%
Over 2.5 %77%83%71%
Over 3.5 %54%33%71%
Scored1.461.001.86
Conceded2.082.331.86
BTTS46%50%43%
Clean Sheet31%17%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.28
HomeWLLWW1.61
AwayLWLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%22%
AVG goals2.341.872.74
Over 1.5 %72%61%81%
Over 2.5 %40%22%56%
Over 3.5 %16%4%26%
Scored1.141.041.22
Conceded1.200.831.52
BTTS44%35%52%
Clean Sheet32%43%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetržalkaPetržalka618
100%
3.0
162+14
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.3
-
2ŠamorínŠamorín615
83%
2.5
136+7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.21.0
-
3Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom610
33%
1.7
118+3
3.2
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.3
-
4PohroniePohronie610
50%
1.7
1210+2
3.7
100%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.01.7
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica610
50%
1.7
1010+0
3.3
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.7
-
6Žilina IIŽilina II610
50%
1.7
66+0
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.0
-
7Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov610
50%
1.7
910-1
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
8Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš68
33%
1.3
106+4
2.7
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.0
-
9Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava67
33%
1.2
97+2
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.2
-
10MalženiceMalženice67
33%
1.2
1010+0
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.7
-
11GalantaGalanta67
33%
1.2
49-5
2.2
83%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
12HumennéHumenné66
33%
1.0
49-5
2.2
50%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
13Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II65
17%
0.8
910-1
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
14Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce65
17%
0.8
57-2
2.0
50%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.2
-
15Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen63
0%
0.5
47-3
1.8
50%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.71.2
-
16MFK BytčaMFK Bytča63
17%
0.5
419-15
3.8
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.2
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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