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MFK Bytča vs Žilina II Prediction & Stats

Date: 03/10/2026
Time: 13:00
MFK Bytča
MFK Bytča
Vs
25%
25%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 50% probability, while a home win and a draw each sit at 25%. The expected total is 3.1 goals, but the most likely total number of goals is two, with a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with an 11.4% probability. MFK Byt\u010da, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages one goal scored and two conceded. Žilina II, on the road, averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Under 6.5 (95.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.9%), Under 5.5 (90.2%), Away +2 handicap (89.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.2%), Home under 2.5 goals (86.2%), and Away over 0.5 goals (84.4%). The home team has a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and the away side 50%. This match is set to be a low-scoring affair with Žilina II likely to edge out a narrow victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MFK Bytča win
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žilina II win
49.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MFK BytčaMFK Bytča

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L40W00D05L04L03L13L20W21W13LH·SPA16/10A·POK06/08A·NIT20/08H·LIP25/07A·PET02/08H·INT08/08A·POH14/08A·ROS19/08H·ZLA22/08A·MAL31/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.462.081.002.331.861.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.831.831.002.002.251.75
vs Weaker (7)1.142.291.002.501.332.00
Clean sheet %31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-524L11D25L40W02L10W21W00D21W12LA·SLO26/04H·MAL03/05A·LOK08/05H·SLÁ15/05H·PET26/07A·INT03/08H·POH09/08A·ZLA15/08H·MAL23/08A·ŠAM29/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.731.471.730.931.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.201.701.001.601.401.80
vs Weaker (20)1.201.751.701.800.701.70
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.6%
Under 2.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
MFK Bytča goals ↓
Žilina II goals →
01234
05.4%7.0%7.5%4.6%2.1%
14.5%11%9.6%5.9%2.7%
23.6%6.6%6.1%3.8%1.8%
31.5%2.8%2.6%1.6%0.8%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MFK Bytča goals (down), columns = Žilina II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
MFK Bytča is 1.17 points worse than Žilina II in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
MFK Bytča is 0.33 goals worse than Žilina II in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
MFK Bytča is 2.17 goals worse than Žilina II in terms of goals conceded per game (3.17 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
MFK Bytča or Draw
50.1%
Avg Implied -
25%
25%
50%
covers MFK Bytča + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča or Žilina II
75.2%
Avg Implied -
25%
25%
50%
covers MFK Bytča + Žilina II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Žilina II
74.6%
Avg Implied -
25%
25%
50%
covers Draw + Žilina II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5
Over
72.2%
Under
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5
Over
36.6%
Under
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5
Over
13.8%
Under
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 3.5
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5
Over
84.4%
Under
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5
Over
55.3%
Under
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5
Over
28.4%
Under
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 3.5
Over
11.8%
Under
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to MFK Bytča, so a minus line means MFK Bytča give that many goals of a start and Žilina II receive them. At -1, MFK Bytča must win by two or more to land; a one-goal MFK Bytča win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (MFK Bytča)
MFK Bytča -2
3.7%
Draw -2
7.4%
Žilina II +2
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (MFK Bytča)
MFK Bytča -1
11.0%
Draw -1
14.3%
Žilina II +1
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (MFK Bytča)
MFK Bytča +1
50.1%
Draw +1
21.3%
Žilina II -1
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (MFK Bytča)
MFK Bytča +2
71.4%
Draw +2
15.5%
Žilina II -2
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MFK BytčaMFK Bytča

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D00D02L01L03L13L10W21W12LH·SPA16/10A·POK06/08A·NIT20/08H·LIP25/07A·PET02/08H·INT08/08A·POH14/08A·ROS19/08H·ZLA22/08A·MAL31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.691.230.831.330.571.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.500.831.001.000.250.75
vs Weaker (7)0.861.570.751.501.001.67
Clean sheet %38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L10W01L10W00D10W10W00D10W01LA·SLO26/04H·MAL03/05A·LOK08/05H·SLÁ15/05H·PET26/07A·INT03/08H·POH09/08A·ZLA15/08H·MAL23/08A·ŠAM29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.730.930.270.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.900.400.800.401.00
vs Weaker (20)0.550.800.901.000.200.60
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MFK BytčaMFK Bytča

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L40W00D03L03L00D00D10W00D01LH·SPA16/10A·POK06/08A·NIT20/08H·LIP25/07A·PET02/08H·INT08/08A·POH14/08A·ROS19/08H·ZLA22/08A·MAL31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.850.171.001.290.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.331.000.001.002.001.00
vs Weaker (7)0.290.710.251.000.330.33
Clean sheet %54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L24L30W02L00D11D00D11D11DA·SLO26/04H·MAL03/05A·LOK08/05H·SLÁ15/05H·PET26/07A·INT03/08H·POH09/08A·ZLA15/08H·MAL23/08A·ŠAM29/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.730.800.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.800.800.600.801.000.80
vs Weaker (20)0.650.950.800.800.501.10
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.5%-------
Under 6.595.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.9%-------
Under 5.590.2%-------
Away +2 handicap89.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals88.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals86.2%-------
Away over 0.5 goals84.4%-------
Over 1.583.1%-------
Under 4.579.2%-------
Home or Away75.2%-------
Draw or Away74.6%-------
Away +1 handicap74.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals72.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals71.6%-------
Home +2 handicap71.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MB wins
0
Draws
0
ŽI wins

Head-to-head

MFK Bytča vs Žilina II · H/A from MB
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

MFK BytčaMFK Bytča

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26AMalženice Vs MB3-1
22/08/26HMB Vs Zlaté Moravce2-1
19/08/26ARosina Vs MB0-2
14/08/26APohronie Vs MB3-1
08/08/26HMB Vs Inter Bratislava0-3
02/08/26APetržalka Vs MB4-0
25/07/26HMB Vs Liptovský Mikuláš0-5
20/08/25ANitra Vs MB0-0
06/08/25APokrok Stará Bystrica Vs MB0-4
16/10/24HMB Vs Spartak Trnava1-4

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AŠamorín Vs ŽI2-1
23/08/26HŽI Vs Malženice2-1
15/08/26AZlaté Moravce Vs ŽI0-0
09/08/26HŽI Vs Pohronie2-1
03/08/26AInter Bratislava Vs ŽI0-1
26/07/26HŽI Vs Petržalka0-2
15/05/26HŽI Vs Slávia TU Košice4-0
08/05/26ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs ŽI5-2
03/05/26HŽI Vs Malženice1-1
26/04/26ASlovan Bratislava II Vs ŽI4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

MFK Bytča
MFK Bytča
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.46
HomeWLLLW1.50
AwayDLLWL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%43%
AVG goals3.543.333.71
Over 1.5 %85%83%86%
Over 2.5 %77%83%71%
Over 3.5 %54%33%71%
Scored1.461.001.86
Conceded2.082.331.86
BTTS46%50%43%
Clean Sheet31%17%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.20
HomeDWLWW1.52
AwayLLWDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals3.083.242.92
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored1.341.601.08
Conceded1.741.641.84
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetržalkaPetržalka618
100%
3.0
162+14
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.3
-
2ŠamorínŠamorín615
83%
2.5
136+7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.21.0
-
3Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom610
33%
1.7
118+3
3.2
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.3
-
4PohroniePohronie610
50%
1.7
1210+2
3.7
100%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.01.7
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica610
50%
1.7
1010+0
3.3
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.7
-
6Žilina IIŽilina II610
50%
1.7
66+0
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.0
-
7Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov610
50%
1.7
910-1
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
8Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš68
33%
1.3
106+4
2.7
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.0
-
9Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava67
33%
1.2
97+2
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.2
-
10MalženiceMalženice67
33%
1.2
1010+0
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.7
-
11GalantaGalanta67
33%
1.2
49-5
2.2
83%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
12HumennéHumenné66
33%
1.0
49-5
2.2
50%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
13Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II65
17%
0.8
910-1
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
14Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce65
17%
0.8
57-2
2.0
50%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.2
-
15Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen63
0%
0.5
47-3
1.8
50%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.71.2
-
16MFK BytčaMFK Bytča63
17%
0.5
419-15
3.8
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.2
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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