Middlesbrough are the clear favourites, with a 58% chance of winning, a 23% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of Cardiff taking the points. The model expects 3.1 goals on average, but the most likely total is 2, with a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10.8%. Middlesbrough, playing at home against a weaker side, average 0.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Cardiff, in away form, are expected to score 0.75 and concede 0.5 against this opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Under 6.5 (96.0%), Home +2 handicap (92.6%), Under 5.5 (90.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.1%), Home over 0.5 goals (86.7%) and Home under 3.5 goals (85.4%). The recent form shows Middlesbrough on a two-game winning run after a 3-1 win over West Brom, while Cardiff are coming off a draw, 2-2 against Sheffield United.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Middlesbrough win
55.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cardiff win
20.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Middlesbrough
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.07
1.43
0.64
1.75
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.68
1.23
1.70
0.70
1.67
1.67
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.62
0.75
0.50
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.27
1.87
1.00
2.13
1.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.48
1.40
1.00
1.73
1.91
vs Weaker (8)
3.25
0.75
3.25
1.00
3.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Cardiff goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
4.7%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.1%
12%
5.6%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.4%
9.9%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.8%
6.1%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.7%
2.8%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Cardiff goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Middlesbrough is 0.38 points better than Cardiff in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Middlesbrough is 0.26 goals better than Cardiff in terms of goals scored per game (1.49 vs 1.23).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Middlesbrough is 0.36 goals better than Cardiff in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Middlesbrough
For 5.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cardiff
For 6.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.1 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Middlesbrough
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
12.4
9.7
3.0
2.6
3.4
21.8
22.0
21.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
11.0
12.8
9.3
3.1
2.6
3.6
21.8
21.9
21.8
vs Weaker (13)
11.0
11.3
10.7
2.9
2.8
3.0
21.8
22.3
21.2
% over line
60%
81%
41%
46%
38%
54%
44%
38%
50%
% under line
40%
19%
59%
54%
62%
46%
56%
62%
50%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.8
10.9
2.9
2.6
3.2
20.3
19.7
20.9
vs Stronger (3)
13.7
14.0
13.0
2.7
2.5
3.0
19.0
18.0
21.0
vs Similar (34)
11.3
11.5
11.1
2.9
2.5
3.2
20.6
19.9
21.2
vs Weaker (13)
9.2
8.6
9.8
3.0
2.9
3.2
19.9
19.7
20.2
% over line
63%
59%
67%
40%
36%
44%
35%
36%
33%
% under line
37%
41%
33%
60%
64%
56%
65%
64%
67%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
68.4%
Under 9.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.8%
Under 3.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
45.5%
Under 21.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Middlesbrough or Draw
81.3%
Avg Implied -
55%
25%
20%
covers Middlesbrough + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough or Cardiff
76.9%
Avg Implied -
55%
25%
20%
covers Middlesbrough + Cardiff
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Cardiff
41.8%
Avg Implied -
55%
25%
20%
covers Draw + Cardiff
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5
Over
86.7%
Under
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5
Over
59.9%
Under
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5
Over
32.9%
Under
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 3.5
Over
14.7%
Under
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5
Over
66.0%
Under
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Middlesbrough, so a minus line means Middlesbrough give that many goals of a start and Cardiff receive them. At -1, Middlesbrough must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Middlesbrough win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Middlesbrough)
Middlesbrough -2
17.8%
Draw -2
18.0%
Cardiff +2
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Middlesbrough)
Middlesbrough -1
35.8%
Draw -1
22.4%
Cardiff +1
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Middlesbrough)
Middlesbrough +1
81.3%
Draw +1
11.5%
Cardiff -1
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Middlesbrough)
Middlesbrough +2
92.8%
Draw +2
5.1%
Cardiff -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Middlesbrough
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.33
0.64
0.14
0.94
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.41
0.80
0.10
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.12
0.25
0.25
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
1.00
0.53
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.81
0.90
0.50
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.38
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Middlesbrough
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.79
0.50
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.82
0.90
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.25
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
0.87
0.47
1.20
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (8)
2.00
0.38
1.75
0.50
2.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.7%
-
-
-
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Over 8.5 corners
78.8%
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Home or Away
76.9%
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Under 4.5 cards
72.1%
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Away under 1.5 goals
70.7%
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Under 23.5 fouls
70.5%
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No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Will Lankshear67%
Jeremy Sarmiento40%
Alfie Jones25%
Aidan Morris25%
Kyle Joseph17%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Lankshear50%
Alfie Jones25%
Myles Peart-Harris25%
Neto Borges17%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastian Berhalter33%
Riley McGree25%
Morgan Whittaker20%
Jeremy Sarmiento20%
Luke Ayling17%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker40%
Will Lankshear33%
Leo Castledine20%
Sebastian Berhalter17%
Kyle Joseph17%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Radek Vitek0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yousef Salech50%
Jack Moylan33%
Cian Ashford33%
Rubin Colwill20%
Perry Ng17%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Perry Ng33%
Alex Robertson33%
Ollie Tanner20%
Rubin Colwill20%
Jack Moylan17%
Isaak Davies17%
Joel Colwill17%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Joel Bagan0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Yousef Salech0%
Cian Ashford0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cian Ashford33%
Ronan Kpakio25%
Ollie Tanner20%
Rubin Colwill20%
Yousef Salech17%
Perry Ng0%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Jack Moylan0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yousef Salech67%
Jack Moylan33%
Perry Ng17%
Cian Ashford17%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Rubin Colwill0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Middlesbrough's squad is €113m more valuable than Cardiff's (€142m vs €29m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Middlesbrough's attack is €59m more valuable than Cardiff's (€74m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €23m more valuable than Cardiff's (€27m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Middlesbrough's defence is €31m more valuable than Cardiff's (€41m vs €10m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Swansea
QPR
Charlton
Southampton
Wolves
Bristol City
West Brom
Birmingham
Sheffield United
Millwall
Wrexham
West Ham
Blackburn
Watford
Bolton
Derby
Lincoln
Norwich
Portsmouth
Stoke
Burnley
Preston