This opponent (Doncaster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doncaster
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.03
1.80
1.00
1.47
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.69
1.08
1.85
1.00
1.54
1.15
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.4%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.2%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Doncaster goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
3.8%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
1
12%
11%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.6%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
8.4%
6.4%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
4
4.2%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Doncaster goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Coventry
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Watford
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Cardiff
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.76
Oldham
0.70
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Accrington
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Hull
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Middlesbrough and Doncaster are level in average points per game (both 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Stevenage
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Cardiff
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Sheffield United
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Reading
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Preston
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Brentford
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Coventry
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Hull
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Derby
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.99
Oldham
0.92
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Middlesbrough is 0.50 goals better than Doncaster in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Fulham
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Coventry
0.67
Blackpool
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bristol City
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Preston
1.00
Luton
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Crystal Palace
1.25
Brentford
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Salford
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Hull
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
Barnet
2.54
Barnsley
2.67
Oldham
2.73
Cheltenham
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Wrexham
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Middlesbrough is 1.00 goals worse than Doncaster in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Middlesbrough
For 6.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 14.5 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Doncaster
For 5.1 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.0 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Middlesbrough
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.2
10.0
3.5
3.7
3.4
21.7
21.6
21.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
9.7
9.8
9.6
3.8
4.2
3.3
22.0
22.1
21.9
vs Weaker (13)
11.2
11.2
11.3
2.8
2.3
3.5
20.8
20.2
21.3
% over line
57%
50%
65%
50%
50%
50%
57%
58%
57%
% under line
43%
50%
35%
50%
50%
50%
43%
42%
43%
This opponent (Doncaster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doncaster
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.2
11.0
3.5
2.9
4.0
23.7
23.5
23.8
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
10.6
10.3
11.0
3.8
3.0
4.5
23.7
23.6
23.7
vs Weaker (3)
10.3
9.0
11.0
3.7
2.0
4.5
24.0
22.0
25.0
% over line
47%
45%
48%
48%
30%
63%
69%
68%
70%
% under line
53%
55%
52%
52%
70%
37%
31%
32%
30%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.6
Tottenham
11.3
Sheffield Weds
11.3
Barnsley
11.2
Bournemouth
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Huddersfield
11.0
Oldham
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Portsmouth
10.9
Harrogate
10.8
QPR
10.8
Luton
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Doncaster
10.6
Hull
10.6
Everton
10.5
Millwall
10.5
Bromley
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Liverpool
10.4
Oxford
10.4
Reading
10.4
West Brom
10.3
Barnet
10.3
Stoke
10.3
Leeds
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Crawley Town
10.2
Ipswich
10.2
Derby
10.2
Aston Villa
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Southampton
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.1
Bristol Rvs
10.0
Shrewsbury
10.0
Middlesbrough
10.0
Manchester City
10.0
Stevenage
10.0
Blackburn
9.9
Newport County
9.9
Bolton
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Cheltenham
9.9
Plymouth
9.9
Exeter
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Watford
9.8
Rotherham
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Chesterfield
9.8
Bristol City
9.8
Walsall
9.8
Blackpool
9.8
Crewe
9.8
Grimsby
9.7
Port Vale
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Notts County
9.7
Swindon
9.7
Swansea
9.7
Arsenal
9.7
Barrow
9.6
Wolves
9.6
Chelsea
9.6
Fleetwood Town
9.6
Burton
9.6
Lincoln
9.5
Charlton
9.5
Mansfield
9.5
Cardiff
9.5
Wigan
9.4
Leyton Orient
9.4
Birmingham
9.4
Preston
9.3
Salford
9.3
Colchester
9.2
Burnley
9.2
Bradford
9.2
AFC Wimbledon
9.2
Cambridge
9.2
Wrexham
9.2
Wycombe
9.1
Northampton
9.1
Tranmere
9.1
Accrington
9.1
Milton Keynes Dons
8.5
Stockport
8.5
Gillingham
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.1
Bournemouth
4.9
Accrington
4.8
Bradford
4.8
Chelsea
4.8
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Gillingham
4.6
Aston Villa
4.5
Watford
4.5
Sunderland
4.5
Colchester
4.5
Salford
4.5
Brighton
4.4
Crewe
4.4
Manchester United
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Wolves
4.3
Grimsby
4.3
Chesterfield
4.3
Barrow
4.3
Portsmouth
4.2
Tranmere
4.2
Cambridge
4.2
Luton
4.2
Stevenage
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Crawley Town
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Stockport
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Preston
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Exeter
4.0
Burnley
3.9
Lincoln
3.9
Liverpool
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Arsenal
3.9
Walsall
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Charlton
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Bromley
3.9
Peterboro
3.9
AFC Wimbledon
3.9
QPR
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Barnet
3.8
Fleetwood Town
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Shrewsbury
3.8
Burton
3.8
West Brom
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Notts County
3.8
Oxford
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Wycombe
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Wigan
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Barnsley
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Milton Keynes Dons
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Bristol Rvs
3.6
Northampton
3.6
Newport County
3.6
Cheltenham
3.6
Cardiff
3.5
Hull
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
Leyton Orient
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Everton
3.5
Plymouth
3.4
Blackpool
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Reading
3.4
Derby
3.3
Harrogate
3.3
Rotherham
3.2
Millwall
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oldham
31.7
Bolton
25.5
Stevenage
25.4
Cheltenham
25.2
Birmingham
25.0
Accrington
25.0
Salford
25.0
Stockport
24.9
Cambridge
24.8
Exeter
24.8
Colchester
24.6
Wycombe
24.6
Crewe
24.6
Luton
24.5
Grimsby
24.4
Bradford
24.4
Bournemouth
24.3
Gillingham
24.3
Portsmouth
24.2
Wolves
24.1
Lincoln
24.0
Millwall
24.0
Milton Keynes Dons
24.0
Doncaster
24.0
Wigan
24.0
Preston
23.9
Blackburn
23.7
Southampton
23.7
Rotherham
23.7
Tottenham
23.6
Peterboro
23.6
Shrewsbury
23.5
Mansfield
23.5
Swansea
23.5
Sunderland
23.4
Sheffield Weds
23.4
Charlton
23.3
Barnet
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.3
Aston Villa
23.1
Brighton
23.0
Watford
23.0
Burnley
23.0
Reading
23.0
QPR
23.0
Blackpool
22.9
Tranmere
22.9
Leeds
22.8
Plymouth
22.8
Newport County
22.7
Huddersfield
22.6
Cardiff
22.6
Ipswich
22.6
Northampton
22.6
Fleetwood Town
22.5
Barrow
22.5
Norwich
22.5
Crawley Town
22.5
Newcastle
22.4
Port Vale
22.3
Bristol Rvs
22.3
West Ham
22.2
Chesterfield
22.1
Hull
22.1
Chelsea
22.0
Sheffield United
22.0
Harrogate
21.9
West Brom
21.8
Leicester
21.8
Manchester United
21.7
Wrexham
21.7
Crystal Palace
21.7
Walsall
21.6
Notts County
21.6
Everton
21.6
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Oxford
21.5
Swindon
21.5
Middlesbrough
21.5
Bromley
21.5
Burton
21.5
Leyton Orient
21.3
Derby
21.3
Stoke
21.3
Coventry
21.3
Barnsley
21.2
Bristol City
21.0
Arsenal
21.0
Fulham
20.9
Liverpool
20.9
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
66.6%
Under 9.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.9%
Under 21.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Middlesbrough or Draw✗ Miss
87.5%
Avg Implied -
65%
22%
12%
covers Middlesbrough + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough or Doncaster✓ Hit
77.8%
Avg Implied -
65%
22%
12%
covers Middlesbrough + Doncaster
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Doncaster✓ Hit
34.7%
Avg Implied -
65%
22%
12%
covers Draw + Doncaster
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
86.5%
Under
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
59.5%
Under
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.4%
Under
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.3%
Under
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
53.6%
Under
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Middlesbrough, so a minus line means Middlesbrough give that many goals of a start and Doncaster receive them. At -1, Middlesbrough must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Middlesbrough win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Middlesbrough)Actual: Doncaster
Middlesbrough -2
20.9%
Draw -2
20.4%
Doncaster +2
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Middlesbrough)Actual: Doncaster
Middlesbrough -1
41.3%
Draw -1
24.0%
Doncaster +1
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Middlesbrough)Actual: Doncaster
Middlesbrough +1
87.5%
Draw +1
8.6%
Doncaster -1
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Middlesbrough)Actual: Doncaster
Middlesbrough +2
96.2%
Draw +2
3.0%
Doncaster -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Middlesbrough
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.60
0.40
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.55
0.40
0.40
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.25
1.00
0.40
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Doncaster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doncaster
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
0.73
0.33
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.38
0.77
0.31
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Middlesbrough
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.53
0.47
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.59
0.50
0.20
0.67
0.92
vs Weaker (8)
0.38
1.12
0.60
1.00
0.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Doncaster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doncaster
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
1.07
0.67
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.69
1.08
0.69
0.77
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Whittaker27%
David Strelec23%
Tommy Conway22%
Riley McGree21%
Hayden Hackney15%
Alan Browne10%
Leo Castledine9%
Dael Fry9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
Matt Targett7%
Sontje Hansen5%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
Luke Ayling2%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
George Edmundson0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Gilbert27%
Adilson Malanda20%
Abdoulaye Kanté20%
Luke Ayling19%
Callum Brittain16%
Riley McGree14%
George Edmundson14%
Tommy Conway14%
Alfie Jones13%
Samuel Silvera13%
Matt Targett11%
Hayden Hackney10%
Sverre Nypan10%
Morgan Whittaker9%
Aidan Morris9%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
David Strelec6%
Sontje Hansen5%
Jeremy Sarmiento5%
Alan Browne5%
Dael Fry3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
Alex Bangura0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Whittaker16%
Hayden Hackney15%
Callum Brittain11%
Riley McGree11%
Luke Ayling10%
Tommy Conway10%
Matt Targett9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Alan Browne7%
Aidan Morris7%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
David Strelec3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Dael Fry0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker31%
Leo Castledine18%
Hayden Hackney12%
Riley McGree11%
Alan Browne10%
David Strelec9%
Aidan Morris7%
Tommy Conway6%
Delano Burgzorg4%
Dael Fry3%
Callum Brittain2%
Matt Targett2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Alex Bangura0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Samuel Silvera0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Doncaster
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Owen Bailey25%
Francis Okoronkwo25%
Luke Molyneux18%
Elliott Lee17%
Billy Sharp12%
Brandon Hanlan12%
Ben Close12%
Hakeeb Adelakun10%
Jordan Gibson7%
Oyindamola Ajayi7%
Matty Pearson6%
Tom Nixon6%
Harry Clifton5%
Jay McGrath3%
Glenn Middleton3%
Robbie Gotts3%
George Broadbent2%
Jack Senior2%
Joe Sbarra0%
Neill Byrne0%
Ian Lawlor0%
Zander Clark0%
Jamie Sterry0%
James Maxwell0%
Thimothee Lo-Tutala0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Sean Grehan0%
Darren Robinson0%
Connor O'Riordan0%
Charlie Crew0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Gotts33%
Jay McGrath25%
Jack Senior22%
Neill Byrne21%
George Broadbent20%
Joe Sbarra17%
Owen Bailey16%
Sean Grehan15%
Jamie Sterry15%
Darren Robinson14%
Connor O'Riordan14%
James Maxwell14%
Luke Molyneux13%
Thimothee Lo-Tutala11%
Glenn Middleton10%
Harry Clifton10%
Billy Sharp10%
Brandon Hanlan10%
Charlie Crew10%
Matty Pearson9%
Ben Close8%
Oyindamola Ajayi7%
Tom Nixon6%
Elliott Lee6%
Jordan Gibson0%
Hakeeb Adelakun0%
Ian Lawlor0%
Zander Clark0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luke Molyneux20%
Owen Bailey12%
Elliott Lee11%
Hakeeb Adelakun10%
Charlie Crew10%
James Maxwell9%
Glenn Middleton8%
Robbie Gotts8%
George Broadbent8%
Jay McGrath6%
Billy Sharp5%
Jordan Gibson4%
Jamie Sterry3%
Harry Clifton3%
Brandon Hanlan2%
Joe Sbarra0%
Neill Byrne0%
Jack Senior0%
Matty Pearson0%
Ben Close0%
Ian Lawlor0%
Zander Clark0%
Thimothee Lo-Tutala0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Tom Nixon0%
Sean Grehan0%
Darren Robinson0%
Connor O'Riordan0%
Oyindamola Ajayi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luke Molyneux18%
Owen Bailey12%
Harry Clifton10%
Hakeeb Adelakun10%
Glenn Middleton8%
Elliott Lee6%
Brandon Hanlan5%
Jordan Gibson4%
Billy Sharp2%
George Broadbent2%
Joe Sbarra0%
Neill Byrne0%
Jack Senior0%
Robbie Gotts0%
Matty Pearson0%
Ben Close0%
Ian Lawlor0%
Zander Clark0%
Jamie Sterry0%
James Maxwell0%
Thimothee Lo-Tutala0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Tom Nixon0%
Jay McGrath0%
Sean Grehan0%
Darren Robinson0%
Connor O'Riordan0%
Charlie Crew0%
Oyindamola Ajayi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Middlesbrough's squad is €136m more valuable than Doncaster's (€142m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Middlesbrough's attack is €73m more valuable than Doncaster's (€74m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €25m more valuable than Doncaster's (€27m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Middlesbrough's defence is €38m more valuable than Doncaster's (€41m vs €3m).
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Southampton
Hull
Wrexham
Derby
Norwich
Birmingham
Swansea
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Preston
QPR
Watford
Stoke
Portsmouth
West Brom
Charlton
Leicester
Blackburn
Oxford
Sheffield Weds
Lincoln
Cardiff
Bolton
Stockport
Bradford
Stevenage
Luton
Plymouth
Huddersfield
Mansfield
Wycombe
Reading
Blackpool
Barnsley
Wigan
Burton
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
Exeter
Port Vale
Rotherham
Northampton