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Middlesbrough vs Millwall Result & Analysis

Date: 20/11/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Vs
49%
32%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Referee: O Langford
Match preview & prediction

Middlesbrough’s recent five-game run of WWLWW, highlighted by a 3-1 win over West Brom, gives them a slight lift at home, while Millwall’s last five of LLWWW, after two straight defeats, shows a team regaining form on the road. The model’s most confident pick is a home win, with a 49% chance, followed by a 32% draw and a 19% away win. The expected total is 1.9 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Middlesbrough, with a 17.3% probability. Middlesbrough averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded against similar-strength opponents, whereas Millwall scores 1.0 and concedes 1.5 on the road. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 91.3%, Under 3.5 goals at 87.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 81.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 75.9% (miss), Over 8.5 corners at 71.6%, Over 19.5 fouls at 71.4%, and Under 2.5 goals at 70.5% with a 12% edge.

Results analysis

A surprising draw left the pre-match favourite, a home win, disappointed. Middlesbrough’s recent two-game winning streak was halted as they fell 1-1 to Millwall, who had just recovered from two straight defeats. The model’s call was wrong, and the final result was a draw. The model had given the home side a 49% chance, while the draw probability was 32% and the away win 19%. The model’s other selections performed largely well: Under 5.5 cards hit at 91.3%, Under 3.5 hit at 87.5%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 81.0%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 71.6%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 71.4%, and Under 2.5 hit at 70.5%. Only Under 25.5 fouls missed, at 75.9%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middlesbrough win✗ Miss
48.8%
Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.19
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.5%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.19
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Millwall win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.59
Edge
-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L20W02L20W20W20W02L13L11DH·BLA18/09A·REA25/09H·SHE28/09A·HUL02/10H·PET16/10H·BAR20/10A·CAR23/10H·BIR30/10A·LUT02/11A·WES06/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.231.571.140.881.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.111.171.670.670.831.42
vs Weaker (12)1.331.331.501.501.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D10W10W02L21W21W01L10W11DH·COV18/09A·NOT25/09H·BRI29/09A·BAR02/10H·LUT16/10A·SHE19/10H·STO23/10A·HUD30/10H·REA02/11H·DER06/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.301.191.250.931.36
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (24)1.081.381.171.251.001.50
vs Weaker (5)1.000.401.330.330.500.50
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.7%
Under 1.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.5%
@ 2.26-12.4%
Under 2.5
70.5%
@ 1.63+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.5%
Under 3.5
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.6%
No
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.3%
0-0
16.2%
1-1 ✓
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Millwall goals →
01234
016%8.7%3.3%0.7%0.1%
117%13%4.1%0.9%0.1%
211%7.6%2.5%0.6%0.1%
34.7%3.1%1.0%0.2%0.0%
41.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fulham
1.96
Bournemouth
1.91
Huddersfield
1.78
Nottingham Forest
1.74
Luton
1.63
Sheffield United
1.63
Middlesbrough
1.52
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
West Brom
1.46
QPR
1.43
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.39
Stoke
1.35
Swansea
1.33
Blackpool
1.30
Bristol City
1.20
Derby
1.20
Cardiff
1.15
Hull
1.11
Reading
1.02
Birmingham
1.02
Peterboro
0.80
Barnsley
0.65
Middlesbrough is 0.02 points better than Millwall in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fulham
2.30
Bournemouth
1.61
Nottingham Forest
1.59
Huddersfield
1.39
Luton
1.37
Sheffield United
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Coventry
1.30
QPR
1.30
Middlesbrough
1.28
Blackburn
1.28
Swansea
1.26
Stoke
1.24
Reading
1.17
Blackpool
1.17
Millwall
1.15
Preston
1.13
West Brom
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Derby
0.98
Peterboro
0.93
Hull
0.89
Barnsley
0.72
Middlesbrough is 0.13 goals better than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bournemouth
0.85
Nottingham Forest
0.87
Fulham
0.93
Millwall
0.98
West Brom
0.98
Sheffield United
0.98
Huddersfield
1.02
Middlesbrough
1.09
Blackburn
1.09
Stoke
1.13
Derby
1.15
Hull
1.17
Luton
1.20
Preston
1.22
Blackpool
1.26
Coventry
1.28
QPR
1.28
Swansea
1.48
Cardiff
1.48
Barnsley
1.59
Birmingham
1.63
Bristol City
1.67
Reading
1.89
Peterboro
1.89
Middlesbrough is 0.11 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 0.98).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Swansea
64%
Fulham
61%
Sheffield United
57%
Bournemouth
57%
QPR
54%
Coventry
53%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Derby
51%
Nottingham Forest
50%
Preston
50%
Middlesbrough
49%
Huddersfield
48%
Peterboro
48%
Reading
48%
Millwall
46%
Hull
46%
Blackpool
46%
Cardiff
45%
Barnsley
45%
Blackburn
45%
Bristol City
45%
Luton
44%
Birmingham
44%
Middlesbrough is 2.8 percentage points better than Millwall in terms of average possession (49% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 5.3 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1803959144844311474266125918127211612A·WESA·LUTH·BIRA·CARH·BARH·PETA·HULH·SHEA·REAH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

7043343131124314243217734264673A·WESA·LUTH·BIRA·CARH·BARH·PETA·HULH·SHEA·REAH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

34013211214915111459811914961569734262425141923152116A·WESA·LUTH·BIRA·CARH·BARH·PETA·HULH·SHEA·REAH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

For 5.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

150534136104512385464384859109151310712H·DERH·REAA·HUDH·STOA·SHEH·LUTA·BARH·BRIA·NOTH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

502122321131312123223253443352H·DERH·REAA·HUDH·STOA·SHEH·LUTA·BARH·BRIA·NOTH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.3

⚠️ Fouls

28011710514891312111018510811121012718152222232815192219H·DERH·REAA·HUDH·STOA·SHEH·LUTA·BARH·BRIA·NOTH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.39.83.62.84.224.823.326.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)8.88.88.73.62.84.126.024.327.1
vs Weaker (20)11.911.812.13.52.84.623.122.324.1
% over line58%62%54%46%25%65%72%58%85%
% under line42%38%46%54%75%35%28%42%15%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.69.23.23.52.823.623.024.1
vs Stronger (2)9.04.014.03.54.03.022.021.023.0
vs Similar (39)8.78.98.53.13.42.824.223.924.5
vs Weaker (9)9.78.210.83.34.02.821.319.223.0
% over line42%44%40%30%36%24%72%64%80%
% under line58%56%60%70%64%76%28%36%20%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
West Brom
11.0
Sheffield United
10.5
Luton
10.3
Blackpool
10.0
Middlesbrough
10.0
QPR
10.0
Stoke
9.7
Fulham
9.6
Hull
9.5
Bournemouth
9.5
Nottingham Forest
9.4
Cardiff
9.4
Swansea
9.4
Barnsley
9.4
Preston
9.4
Coventry
9.4
Bristol City
9.3
Reading
9.0
Huddersfield
9.0
Peterboro
9.0
Millwall
8.9
Blackburn
8.6
Derby
8.6
Birmingham
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Middlesbrough
3.6
Coventry
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
Peterboro
3.5
Bournemouth
3.4
Blackburn
3.4
Huddersfield
3.4
Blackpool
3.3
Fulham
3.2
Reading
3.2
Sheffield United
3.2
Derby
3.2
Stoke
3.2
Millwall
3.2
Swansea
3.1
Hull
3.1
Barnsley
3.1
QPR
3.1
Birmingham
3.1
Luton
3.1
Cardiff
3.0
West Brom
3.0
Preston
2.8
Bristol City
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Coventry
25.6
Reading
25.0
Middlesbrough
24.8
Peterboro
24.8
Cardiff
24.6
Hull
24.6
Birmingham
24.5
Luton
24.4
Bournemouth
24.0
Blackpool
24.0
Nottingham Forest
23.8
Swansea
23.8
Derby
23.7
Millwall
23.6
Stoke
23.0
Blackburn
23.0
Huddersfield
22.8
Preston
22.7
Barnsley
22.6
QPR
22.4
Bristol City
22.3
Fulham
22.0
West Brom
21.7
Sheffield United
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.7%
Under 9.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.1%
Under 21.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W00D00D10W10W00D10W10WH·BLA18/09A·REA25/09H·SHE28/09A·HUL02/10H·PET16/10H·BAR20/10A·CAR23/10H·BIR30/10A·LUT02/11A·WES06/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.860.500.440.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.610.391.000.170.420.50
vs Weaker (12)0.670.580.750.750.500.25
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D10W00D00D01L11D01L00D00D11DH·COV18/09A·NOT25/09H·BRI29/09A·BAR02/10H·LUT16/10A·SHE19/10H·STO23/10A·HUD30/10H·REA02/11H·DER06/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.380.810.500.43
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (24)0.540.670.500.830.580.50
vs Weaker (5)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D02L20W10W10W02L03L01LH·BLA18/09A·REA25/09H·SHE28/09A·HUL02/10H·PET16/10H·BAR20/10A·CAR23/10H·BIR30/10A·LUT02/11A·WES06/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.710.640.440.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.780.670.500.420.92
vs Weaker (12)0.670.750.750.750.500.75
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W10W01L10W20W01L10W00DH·COV18/09A·NOT25/09H·BRI29/09A·BAR02/10H·LUT16/10A·SHE19/10H·STO23/10A·HUD30/10H·REA02/11H·DER06/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.810.440.430.93
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (24)0.540.710.670.420.421.00
vs Weaker (5)1.000.401.330.330.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards91.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.587.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards81.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls75.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners71.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls71.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.570.5%1.63-----+12.4%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Middlesbrough · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Will Lankshear80%
Jeremy Sarmiento40%
Alfie Jones33%
Kyle Joseph20%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Aidan Morris0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Lankshear40%
Myles Peart-Harris25%
Neto Borges20%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Riley McGree33%
Luke Ayling20%
Morgan Whittaker20%
Sebastian Berhalter20%
Jeremy Sarmiento20%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker40%
Will Lankshear40%
Leo Castledine25%
Sebastian Berhalter20%
Kyle Joseph20%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Radek Vitek0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Millwall · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luke Cundle40%
Josh Coburn25%
Tairyk Arconte25%
Jake Cooper20%
Mark Sykes20%
Casper De Norre0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Caleb Taylor0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Jenson Metcalfe0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kyrell Lisbie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jenson Metcalfe40%
Josh Coburn25%
Mark Sykes20%
Casper De Norre0%
Jake Cooper0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Caleb Taylor0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Tairyk Arconte0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kyrell Lisbie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zak Lovelace33%
Jake Cooper20%
Camiel Neghli20%
Jenson Metcalfe20%
Casper De Norre0%
Mark Sykes0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Josh Coburn0%
Caleb Taylor0%
Zak Sturge0%
Tairyk Arconte0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kyrell Lisbie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Coburn25%
Casper De Norre0%
Jake Cooper0%
Mark Sykes0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Caleb Taylor0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Jenson Metcalfe0%
Tairyk Arconte0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kyrell Lisbie0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (31)
€573m
NFO (28)
€551m
FUL (21)
€329m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
PET (23)
€7m
Middlesbrough's squad is €58m more valuable than Millwall's (€142m vs €85m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
FUL (9)
€178m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SWA (13)
€56m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
BAR (5)
€2m
Middlesbrough's attack is €44m more valuable than Millwall's (€74m vs €30m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (6)
€106m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
SHU (5)
€32m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PET (5)
€1m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €2m less valuable than Millwall's (€27m vs €29m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NFO (15)
€236m
BOU (14)
€182m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
Middlesbrough's defence is €16m more valuable than Millwall's (€41m vs €25m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
MID wins
0
Draws
1
MIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough vs Millwall · H/A from MID
DateH/AGameScore
20/03/21AMillwall Vs MID1-0
12/12/20HMID Vs Millwall3-0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/21AWest Brom Vs MID1-1
02/11/21ALuton Vs MID3-1
30/10/21HMID Vs Birmingham0-2
23/10/21ACardiff Vs MID0-2
20/10/21HMID Vs Barnsley2-0
16/10/21HMID Vs Peterboro2-0
02/10/21AHull Vs MID2-0
28/09/21HMID Vs Sheffield United2-0
25/09/21AReading Vs MID1-0
18/09/21HMID Vs Blackpool1-2

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/21HMIL Vs Derby1-1
02/11/21HMIL Vs Reading1-0
30/10/21AHuddersfield Vs MIL1-0
23/10/21HMIL Vs Stoke2-1
19/10/21ASheffield United Vs MIL1-2
16/10/21HMIL Vs Luton0-2
02/10/21ABarnsley Vs MIL0-1
29/09/21HMIL Vs Bristol City1-0
25/09/21ANottingham Forest Vs MIL1-1
18/09/21HMIL Vs Coventry1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.30
HomeLWWWL1.50
AwayLLWLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%31%
AVG goals2.562.672.46
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.241.381.12
Conceded1.321.291.35
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners10.0210.299.77
Cards3.562.834.23
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.36
HomeWLWWD1.52
AwayDDWWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.222.162.28
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %14%12%16%
Scored1.041.120.96
Conceded1.181.041.32
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners8.908.609.20
Cards3.163.522.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FulhamFulham4690
59%
2.0
10643+63
3.2
80%
54%
35%
10.4
57%
3.9
50%
21.1
43%
329
178281232.30.9
61%
2BournemouthBournemouth4688
54%
1.9
7439+35
2.5
74%
50%
20%
10.1
61%
4.2
59%
21.8
50%
573
2851061821.60.8
57%
3HuddersfieldHuddersfield4682
50%
1.8
6447+17
2.4
74%
43%
17%
9.4
46%
3.6
50%
19.5
30%
16
4481.41.0
48%
4Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest4680
50%
1.7
7340+33
2.5
78%
46%
20%
9.9
54%
4.7
72%
23.2
59%
551
263522361.60.9
50%
5Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4675
46%
1.6
6345+18
2.3
63%
41%
28%
9.8
50%
3.7
50%
20.6
48%
110
2932491.41.0
57%
6LutonLuton4675
46%
1.6
6355+8
2.6
72%
48%
26%
9.5
52%
3.9
52%
22.9
50%
29
134121.41.2
44%
7MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4670
43%
1.5
5950+9
2.4
76%
39%
20%
10.3
61%
4.6
67%
23.0
67%
142
7427411.31.1
49%
8BlackburnBlackburn4669
41%
1.5
5950+9
2.4
65%
43%
24%
9.3
54%
4.5
65%
22.0
57%
36
157141.31.1
45%
9MillwallMillwall4669
39%
1.5
5345+8
2.1
67%
37%
13%
10.4
59%
3.3
39%
21.1
48%
85
3029251.21.0
46%
10West BromWest Brom4667
39%
1.5
5245+7
2.1
63%
39%
20%
9.8
54%
3.5
50%
21.1
46%
52
1522151.11.0
52%
11QPRQPR4666
41%
1.4
6059+1
2.6
74%
52%
24%
10.0
50%
3.5
46%
21.6
43%
71
2915271.31.3
54%
12CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
6059+1
2.6
74%
48%
26%
10.6
63%
3.8
52%
21.1
43%
237
8552991.31.3
53%
13PrestonPreston4664
35%
1.4
5256-4
2.3
67%
48%
24%
9.9
54%
3.7
54%
21.7
43%
43
173221.11.2
50%
14StokeStoke4662
37%
1.3
5752+5
2.4
67%
46%
20%
10.2
54%
3.8
54%
20.5
39%
79
3511321.21.1
52%
15SwanseaSwansea4661
35%
1.3
5868-10
2.7
67%
52%
35%
8.9
48%
3.9
48%
21.7
43%
91
569261.31.5
64%
16BlackpoolBlackpool4660
35%
1.3
5458-4
2.4
70%
41%
20%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
21.5
48%
11
4341.21.3
46%
17DerbyDerby4655
30%
1.2
4553-8
2.1
63%
39%
17%
9.3
50%
4.1
59%
21.1
37%
57
2514181.01.2
51%
18Bristol CityBristol City4655
33%
1.2
6277-15
3.0
85%
61%
33%
10.1
52%
3.4
46%
20.6
41%
66
2919181.31.7
45%
19CardiffCardiff4653
33%
1.2
5068-18
2.6
72%
52%
22%
9.5
37%
3.8
52%
20.3
41%
29
154101.11.5
45%
20HullHull4651
30%
1.1
4154-13
2.1
67%
30%
13%
9.7
59%
3.3
43%
20.7
35%
105
2231520.91.2
46%
21BirminghamBirmingham4647
24%
1.0
5075-25
2.7
78%
54%
28%
9.7
52%
3.2
46%
21.4
50%
93
4612351.11.6
44%
22ReadingReading4647
28%
1.0
5487-33
3.1
74%
59%
35%
9.0
41%
3.8
52%
22.3
52%
10
3341.21.9
48%
23PeterboroPeterboro4637
20%
0.8
4387-44
2.8
80%
61%
30%
9.7
50%
3.5
43%
22.4
52%
7
3130.91.9
48%
24BarnsleyBarnsley4630
13%
0.7
3373-40
2.3
74%
37%
17%
9.8
52%
3.2
39%
21.1
46%
8
2330.71.6
45%
England: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches