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Middlesbrough vs Millwall Result & Analysis

Date: 14/12/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Vs
51%
28%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Referee: G Eltringham

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middlesbrough win✓ Hit
50.6%
Avg Implied 57.6% · @ 1.64
Edge
-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.82
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Millwall win✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied 17.7% · @ 5.35
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W33D03L41W51W62W01L31W11D13LH·SHE23/10A·NOR27/10H·COV02/11A·QPR05/11H·LUT09/11A·OXF23/11H·BLA27/11H·HUL30/11A·BUR06/12A·LEE10/12
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.331.671.402.001.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.521.431.751.501.271.36
vs Weaker (7)2.861.001.331.004.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D10W10W10W10W11D11D11D01L01LH·DER19/10H·PLY23/10A·SWA26/10H·BUR03/11H·LEE06/11A·STO09/11H·SUN23/11A·OXF30/11H·COV07/12H·SHE11/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.831.190.750.790.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.070.781.270.730.830.83
vs Weaker (3)0.331.330.001.000.501.50
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.0%
@ 2.05-0.3%
Under 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.77+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0 ✓
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Millwall goals →
01234
09.3%6.5%3.6%1.1%0.3%
111%13%5.7%1.8%0.4%
29.9%9.4%4.5%1.4%0.3%
35.2%4.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
42.0%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Middlesbrough is 0.04 points worse than Millwall in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Middlesbrough is 0.37 goals better than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.02).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Middlesbrough is 0.15 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.07).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Middlesbrough is 13.1 percentage points better than Millwall in terms of average possession (56% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 5.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

15047311765396115868238611141381521314514A·LEEA·BURH·HULH·BLAA·OXFH·LUTA·QPRH·COVA·NORH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

6021112131142233313131452561A·LEEA·BURH·HULH·BLAA·OXFH·LUTA·QPRH·COVA·NORH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 10.3 · Total 18.9

⚠️ Fouls

2801711101291077896151184127157428221914172119162211A·LEEA·BURH·HULH·BLAA·OXFH·LUTA·QPRH·COVA·NORH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

For 6.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.8

🚩 Corners

160737811210229212236106295101513121114516814H·SHEH·COVA·OXFH·SUNA·STOH·LEEH·BURA·SWAH·PLYH·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

60221412222122415122343434562H·SHEH·COVA·OXFH·SUNA·STOH·LEEH·BURA·SWAH·PLYH·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

3001091111141014168131114171214131211121419222430212529272326H·SHEH·COVA·OXFH·SUNA·STOH·LEEH·BURA·SWAH·PLYH·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.711.110.33.73.93.520.821.220.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)10.310.410.13.93.93.921.321.920.6
vs Weaker (12)12.113.810.93.24.22.619.018.419.4
% over line58%62%54%56%60%52%44%50%38%
% under line42%38%46%44%40%48%56%50%62%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.510.74.04.04.023.424.022.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (46)10.610.710.54.14.23.923.424.022.7
vs Weaker (4)10.76.013.03.01.05.024.324.024.5
% over line65%68%61%60%58%62%67%76%57%
% under line35%32%39%40%42%38%33%24%43%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.6
QPR
11.5
Luton
11.5
Stoke
11.5
Sheffield United
11.3
Sheffield Weds
11.2
Plymouth
11.2
West Brom
11.1
Derby
10.8
Middlesbrough
10.7
Millwall
10.5
Swansea
10.5
Watford
10.5
Sunderland
10.5
Hull
10.5
Bristol City
10.4
Blackburn
10.4
Leeds
10.4
Norwich
10.3
Burnley
10.2
Portsmouth
10.2
Oxford
10.2
Cardiff
9.6
Preston
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Portsmouth
4.8
Watford
4.5
Sunderland
4.5
Coventry
4.3
QPR
4.3
Sheffield Weds
4.2
Burnley
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Plymouth
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Norwich
4.0
Leeds
4.0
Oxford
4.0
Luton
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Preston
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Hull
4.0
Middlesbrough
3.8
Derby
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
West Brom
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
25.0
Luton
24.3
Leeds
23.8
Preston
23.5
Watford
23.4
Millwall
23.4
Sunderland
23.3
Plymouth
23.0
Swansea
22.9
Sheffield Weds
22.7
QPR
22.5
Coventry
22.4
Hull
21.9
Burnley
21.7
Norwich
21.6
Oxford
21.5
Derby
21.4
Bristol City
21.2
Cardiff
21.0
Stoke
21.0
Middlesbrough
20.9
Blackburn
20.9
Sheffield United
20.7
West Brom
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.9%
Under 9.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.5%
Under 3.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.1%
Under 21.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W01L20W20W31W00D20W11D01LH·SHE23/10A·NOR27/10H·COV02/11A·QPR05/11H·LUT09/11A·OXF23/11H·BLA27/11H·HUL30/11A·BUR06/12A·LEE10/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.870.670.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.740.740.920.670.550.82
vs Weaker (7)1.140.430.670.671.500.25
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00D10W10W01L10W00D01LH·DER19/10H·PLY23/10A·SWA26/10H·BUR03/11H·LEE06/11A·STO09/11H·SUN23/11A·OXF30/11H·COV07/12H·SHE11/12
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.370.440.380.290.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.410.370.470.330.330.42
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L02L21W31W31W01L11D00D12LH·SHE23/10A·NOR27/10H·COV02/11A·QPR05/11H·LUT09/11A·OXF23/11H·BLA27/11H·HUL30/11A·BUR06/12A·LEE10/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.670.800.731.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.700.830.830.730.55
vs Weaker (7)1.710.570.670.332.500.75
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D10W10W00D01L10W01L01L00DH·DER19/10H·PLY23/10A·SWA26/10H·BUR03/11H·LEE06/11A·STO09/11H·SUN23/11A·OXF30/11H·COV07/12H·SHE11/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.750.380.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.670.410.800.400.500.42
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards77.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners76.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls70.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Latte Lath30%
Tommy Conway30%
Josh Coburn25%
Finn Azaz20%
Matthew Clarke12%
Ben Doak12%
Delano Burgzorg12%
Hayden Hackney12%
Alexander Gilbert11%
Anfernee Dijksteel9%
Kelechi Iheanacho7%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Riley McGree6%
Jonathan Howson5%
George Edmundson4%
Marcus Forss4%
Daniel Barlaser4%
Neto Borges3%
Lukas Engel0%
Ryan Giles0%
Mark Travers0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Aidan Morris0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Rav van den Berg0%
George McCormick0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
George Edmundson38%
Ben Doak29%
Hayden Hackney19%
Luke Ayling18%
Anfernee Dijksteel14%
Finn Azaz13%
Samuel Iling Junior12%
Riley McGree12%
Neto Borges11%
Alexander Gilbert11%
Rav van den Berg11%
Aidan Morris11%
Emmanuel Latte Lath10%
Lukas Engel9%
Daniel Barlaser8%
Mark Travers6%
Dael Fry5%
Delano Burgzorg5%
Jonathan Howson5%
Isaiah Jones4%
Marcus Forss4%
Tommy Conway3%
Kelechi Iheanacho0%
Ryan Giles0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Josh Coburn0%
Micah Hamilton0%
George McCormick0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Riley McGree29%
Josh Coburn25%
Finn Azaz22%
Ben Doak21%
Emmanuel Latte Lath10%
Neto Borges9%
Luke Ayling7%
Hayden Hackney7%
Kelechi Iheanacho7%
Morgan Whittaker6%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Aidan Morris5%
Delano Burgzorg5%
Jonathan Howson5%
Daniel Barlaser4%
Anfernee Dijksteel3%
Tommy Conway3%
Lukas Engel0%
George Edmundson0%
Ryan Giles0%
Mark Travers0%
Dael Fry0%
Marcus Forss0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Rav van den Berg0%
George McCormick0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Coburn25%
Emmanuel Latte Lath23%
Finn Azaz20%
Morgan Whittaker19%
Tommy Conway16%
Riley McGree12%
Delano Burgzorg12%
Hayden Hackney12%
Alexander Gilbert11%
Marcus Forss8%
Ben Doak8%
Matthew Clarke6%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Isaiah Jones4%
Anfernee Dijksteel3%
Aidan Morris3%
Neto Borges0%
Kelechi Iheanacho0%
Lukas Engel0%
George Edmundson0%
Ryan Giles0%
Mark Travers0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Rav van den Berg0%
George McCormick0%
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihailo Ivanović28%
Calum Scanlon25%
Josh Coburn24%
Romain Esse19%
Camiel Neghli17%
Duncan Watmore14%
Wes Harding12%
Femi Azeez8%
Casper De Norre8%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Raees Bangura-Williams8%
Jake Cooper8%
Aaron Connolly7%
Luke Cundle6%
Japhet Tanganga5%
George Honeyman4%
Ryan Wintle4%
Macaulay Langstaff3%
Joe Bryan2%
George Saville2%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Liam Roberts0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
Aaron Connolly21%
Ryan Leonard19%
Japhet Tanganga19%
Joe Bryan18%
Liam Roberts17%
George Saville16%
George Honeyman16%
Romain Esse15%
Danny McNamara13%
Ryan Wintle13%
Wes Harding12%
Jake Cooper12%
Casper De Norre12%
Luke Cundle11%
Aidomo Emakhu11%
Femi Azeez11%
Shaun Hutchinson9%
Murray Wallace8%
Tristan Crama5%
Mihailo Ivanović5%
Billy Mitchell5%
Lukas Jensen2%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
George Honeyman13%
Femi Azeez13%
Tristan Crama10%
Casper De Norre10%
Aidomo Emakhu7%
Joe Bryan7%
Macaulay Langstaff6%
Billy Mitchell5%
George Saville4%
Romain Esse4%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Jake Cooper2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Danny McNamara0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Mihailo Ivanović0%
George Evans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mihailo Ivanović18%
Camiel Neghli17%
Femi Azeez16%
Josh Coburn10%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Jake Cooper8%
Japhet Tanganga7%
Duncan Watmore7%
Romain Esse4%
George Honeyman2%
Casper De Norre2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Joe Bryan0%
George Saville0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Middlesbrough's squad is €58m more valuable than Millwall's (€142m vs €85m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Middlesbrough's attack is €44m more valuable than Millwall's (€74m vs €30m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €2m less valuable than Millwall's (€27m vs €29m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Middlesbrough's defence is €16m more valuable than Millwall's (€41m vs €25m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MID wins
2
Draws
3
MIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough vs Millwall · H/A from MID
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/24AMillwall Vs MID1-3
05/08/23HMID Vs Millwall0-1
14/01/23HMID Vs Millwall1-0
08/10/22AMillwall Vs MID2-0
12/03/22AMillwall Vs MID0-0
20/11/21HMID Vs Millwall1-1
20/03/21AMillwall Vs MID1-0
12/12/20HMID Vs Millwall3-0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/24ALeeds Vs MID3-1
06/12/24ABurnley Vs MID1-1
30/11/24HMID Vs Hull3-1
27/11/24HMID Vs Blackburn0-1
23/11/24AOxford Vs MID2-6
09/11/24HMID Vs Luton5-1
05/11/24AQPR Vs MID1-4
02/11/24HMID Vs Coventry0-3
27/10/24ANorwich Vs MID3-3
23/10/24HMID Vs Sheffield United1-0

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/24HMIL Vs Sheffield United0-1
07/12/24HMIL Vs Coventry0-1
30/11/24AOxford Vs MIL1-1
23/11/24HMIL Vs Sunderland1-1
09/11/24AStoke Vs MIL1-1
06/11/24HMIL Vs Leeds1-0
03/11/24HMIL Vs Burnley1-0
26/10/24ASwansea Vs MIL0-1
23/10/24HMIL Vs Plymouth1-0
19/10/24HMIL Vs Derby1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.52
HomeWLWLW1.40
AwayDWWDL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%40%48%
AVG goals2.902.763.04
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.581.361.80
Conceded1.321.401.24
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners10.7311.1210.33
Cards3.884.083.67
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL1.34
HomeWWDLL1.62
AwayLDWDD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals1.962.001.92
Over 1.5 %52%54%50%
Over 2.5 %24%23%25%
Over 3.5 %16%19%12%
Scored0.941.080.79
Conceded1.020.921.12
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet36%38%33%
Corners10.5810.4810.70
Cards4.154.164.13

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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