PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Middlesbrough vs Southampton Result & Analysis

Date: 04/01/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 4-0
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Vs
52%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Referee: O Langford

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middlesbrough win✓ Hit
51.6%
Avg Implied 42.6% · @ 2.21
Edge
+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.60
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Southampton win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 3.02
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D24L21W41W21W31W02L00D01L01LA·OXF22/11H·COV25/11H·DER29/11A·HUL05/12A·CHA09/12H·QPR13/12A·BRI20/12H·BLA26/12H·HUL29/12A·DER01/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.171.201.071.201.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.271.141.250.921.301.40
vs Weaker (8)1.001.251.001.671.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W30W23L31W32W12L11D12L11D00DA·CHA22/11H·LEI25/11A·MIL29/11H·BIR06/12H·WES09/12A·NOR13/12H·COV20/12A·OXF26/12A·BIR29/12H·MIL01/01
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.331.381.001.531.59
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.331.331.270.911.381.69
vs Weaker (4)2.501.003.001.002.331.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.69+4.5%
Under 2.5
40.1%
@ 2.10-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Southampton goals →
01234
05.5%4.5%3.4%1.4%0.4%
17.4%11%6.3%2.6%0.8%
27.9%9.7%5.9%2.4%0.7%
35.0%6.1%3.7%1.5%0.5%
42.3%2.8%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Southampton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Middlesbrough is 0.03 points worse than Southampton in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Middlesbrough is 0.24 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals scored per game (1.49 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Middlesbrough is 0.19 goals better than Southampton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Middlesbrough is 3.1 percentage points better than Southampton in terms of average possession (59% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 8.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 11.6

🚩 Corners

170941024413394555298838113128161310717119A·DERH·HULH·BLAA·BRIH·QPRA·CHAA·HULH·DERH·COVA·OXF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

502214223211412234545151205A·DERH·HULH·BLAA·BRIH·QPRA·CHAA·HULH·DERH·COVA·OXF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

28091211111195613851811179131216121621222011212328222828A·DERH·HULH·BLAA·BRIH·QPRA·CHAA·HULH·DERH·COVA·OXF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SouthamptonSouthampton

For 6.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

15066527572562978691134312712911111515147H·MILA·BIRA·OXFH·COVA·NORH·WESH·BIRA·MILH·LEIA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

4013211212222211211144333442324H·MILA·BIRA·OXFH·COVA·NORH·WESH·BIRA·MILH·LEIA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

250611151091410111015121391161181361517252321252520172121H·MILA·BIRA·OXFH·COVA·NORH·WESH·BIRA·MILH·LEIA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.49.93.52.84.222.221.622.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)10.110.49.83.63.14.222.521.623.3
vs Weaker (14)10.210.310.03.22.34.121.521.521.6
% over line53%50%56%52%40%64%59%58%60%
% under line47%50%44%48%60%36%41%42%40%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.69.33.52.94.122.921.823.8
vs Stronger (9)10.614.07.82.71.83.418.815.521.4
vs Similar (37)9.79.99.63.63.14.223.823.224.4
vs Weaker (4)10.09.010.34.54.04.724.224.024.3
% over line54%68%42%52%46%58%58%55%62%
% under line46%32%58%48%54%42%42%45%38%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
10.9
Oxford
10.7
Norwich
10.6
Sheffield Weds
10.6
Sheffield United
10.5
Portsmouth
10.3
Millwall
10.2
Hull
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.1
Derby
10.1
QPR
10.1
Leicester
9.9
Blackburn
9.9
Stoke
9.9
Preston
9.9
Southampton
9.8
West Brom
9.7
Ipswich
9.7
Watford
9.6
Birmingham
9.5
Bristol City
9.4
Wrexham
9.4
Swansea
9.3
Charlton
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.3
Stoke
4.1
Portsmouth
4.0
Ipswich
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Swansea
3.8
QPR
3.7
Blackburn
3.7
Southampton
3.7
Charlton
3.6
Derby
3.6
Norwich
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Hull
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Coventry
3.5
Sheffield United
3.5
Preston
3.5
Leicester
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Wrexham
3.3
Millwall
3.3
Bristol City
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Blackburn
23.7
Birmingham
23.2
Swansea
23.0
Southampton
22.9
Millwall
22.8
QPR
22.4
Portsmouth
22.4
Charlton
22.3
Middlesbrough
22.2
Sheffield Weds
22.2
Ipswich
22.2
Sheffield United
22.0
Norwich
21.8
Leicester
21.7
Stoke
21.7
Hull
21.7
West Brom
21.6
Watford
21.4
Oxford
21.3
Preston
21.2
Derby
21.1
Coventry
20.8
Bristol City
20.1
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.1%
Under 9.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.8%
Under 21.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L01L40W20W20W01L00D01L00DA·OXF22/11H·COV25/11H·DER29/11A·HUL05/12A·CHA09/12H·QPR13/12A·BRI20/12H·BLA26/12H·HUL29/12A·DER01/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.530.600.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.550.590.500.580.600.60
vs Weaker (8)0.750.500.670.670.800.40
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W30W00D20W30W00D01L11D00D00DA·CHA22/11H·LEI25/11A·MIL29/11H·BIR06/12H·WES09/12A·NOR13/12H·COV20/12A·OXF26/12A·BIR29/12H·MIL01/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.770.380.710.59
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.580.420.730.270.460.54
vs Weaker (4)2.000.752.001.002.000.67
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L20W01L01L11D01L00D00D01LA·OXF22/11H·COV25/11H·DER29/11A·HUL05/12A·CHA09/12H·QPR13/12A·BRI20/12H·BLA26/12H·HUL29/12A·DER01/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.670.470.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.730.550.750.330.700.80
vs Weaker (8)0.250.750.331.000.200.60
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D23L11D02L12L10W01L11D00DA·CHA22/11H·LEI25/11A·MIL29/11H·BIR06/12H·WES09/12A·NOR13/12H·COV20/12A·OXF26/12A·BIR29/12H·MIL01/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.620.620.821.00
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.750.920.550.640.921.15
vs Weaker (4)0.500.251.000.000.330.33
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Whittaker27%
David Strelec23%
Tommy Conway22%
Riley McGree21%
Hayden Hackney15%
Alan Browne10%
Leo Castledine9%
Dael Fry9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
Matt Targett7%
Sontje Hansen5%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
Luke Ayling2%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
George Edmundson0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Gilbert27%
Adilson Malanda20%
Abdoulaye Kanté20%
Luke Ayling19%
Callum Brittain16%
Riley McGree14%
George Edmundson14%
Tommy Conway14%
Alfie Jones13%
Samuel Silvera13%
Matt Targett11%
Hayden Hackney10%
Sverre Nypan10%
Morgan Whittaker9%
Aidan Morris9%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
David Strelec6%
Sontje Hansen5%
Jeremy Sarmiento5%
Alan Browne5%
Dael Fry3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
Alex Bangura0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Whittaker16%
Hayden Hackney15%
Callum Brittain11%
Riley McGree11%
Luke Ayling10%
Tommy Conway10%
Matt Targett9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Alan Browne7%
Aidan Morris7%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
David Strelec3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Dael Fry0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker31%
Leo Castledine18%
Hayden Hackney12%
Riley McGree11%
Alan Browne10%
David Strelec9%
Aidan Morris7%
Tommy Conway6%
Delano Burgzorg4%
Dael Fry3%
Callum Brittain2%
Matt Targett2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Alex Bangura0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Samuel Silvera0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin41%
Ross Stewart30%
Adam Armstrong28%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Finn Azaz21%
Kuryu Matsuki18%
Cameron Archer17%
Leo Scienza16%
Shea Charles16%
Ryan Manning16%
James Bree12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Jay Robinson7%
Flynn Downes7%
Jack Stephens6%
Ryan Fraser6%
Caspar Jander5%
Cameron Bragg5%
Nathan Wood2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Flynn Downes37%
Oriol Romeu29%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis23%
Cyle Larin18%
Cameron Bragg18%
Joshua Quarshie17%
Caspar Jander16%
Shea Charles16%
Jack Stephens16%
Finn Azaz15%
Joe Aribo14%
Ryan Manning14%
Nathan Wood13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Daniel Peretz12%
Kuryu Matsuki11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Cameron Archer8%
Ronnie Edwards7%
Damion Downs7%
Ross Stewart6%
Gavin Bazunu5%
Tom Fellows5%
James Bree4%
Leo Scienza2%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Elias Jelert0%
Jay Robinson0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateus Fernandes25%
Leo Scienza20%
Tom Fellows19%
Finn Azaz15%
James Bree12%
Ryan Manning12%
Ryan Fraser11%
Cameron Archer11%
Samuel Edozie11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Adam Armstrong9%
Ross Stewart9%
Elias Jelert9%
Damion Downs7%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Joshua Quarshie6%
Shea Charles5%
Cyle Larin5%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis4%
Jay Robinson4%
Flynn Downes2%
Caspar Jander2%
Nathan Wood2%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong44%
Leo Scienza25%
Finn Azaz17%
Cyle Larin9%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Ross Stewart6%
Jay Robinson4%
Jack Stephens3%
Cameron Archer3%
Shea Charles3%
Tom Fellows2%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis2%
Ryan Manning2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Nathan Wood0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Caspar Jander0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Mateus Fernandes0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Middlesbrough's squad is €63m less valuable than Southampton's (€142m vs €205m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Middlesbrough's attack is €2m more valuable than Southampton's (€74m vs €72m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €26m less valuable than Southampton's (€27m vs €53m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Middlesbrough's defence is €38m less valuable than Southampton's (€41m vs €79m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
MID wins
2
Draws
0
SOU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough vs Southampton · H/A from MID
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25ASouthampton Vs MID1-1
29/03/24ASouthampton Vs MID1-1
23/09/23HMID Vs Southampton2-1

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26ADerby Vs MID1-0
29/12/25HMID Vs Hull0-1
26/12/25HMID Vs Blackburn0-0
20/12/25ABristol City Vs MID2-0
13/12/25HMID Vs QPR3-1
09/12/25ACharlton Vs MID1-2
05/12/25AHull Vs MID1-4
29/11/25HMID Vs Derby2-1
25/11/25HMID Vs Coventry2-4
22/11/25AOxford Vs MID1-1

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26HSOU Vs Millwall0-0
29/12/25ABirmingham Vs SOU1-1
26/12/25AOxford Vs SOU2-1
20/12/25HSOU Vs Coventry1-1
13/12/25ANorwich Vs SOU2-1
09/12/25HSOU Vs West Brom3-2
06/12/25HSOU Vs Birmingham3-1
29/11/25AMillwall Vs SOU3-2
25/11/25HSOU Vs Leicester3-0
22/11/25ACharlton Vs SOU1-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.42
HomeLWWDL1.68
AwayDWWLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals2.242.122.36
Over 1.5 %64%56%72%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %16%16%16%
Scored1.121.121.12
Conceded1.121.001.24
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners10.1210.389.88
Cards3.592.964.20
Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDD0.96
HomeWWWDD1.04
AwayWLLLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%23%
AVG goals2.942.623.23
Over 1.5 %88%79%96%
Over 2.5 %68%62%73%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored1.221.081.35
Conceded1.721.541.88
BTTS68%54%81%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners9.9210.649.31
Cards3.693.184.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches