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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Vs
60%
24%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: S Martin

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middlesbrough win✓ Hit
59.7%
Avg Implied 59.3% · @ 1.60
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.32
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
16.1%
Avg Implied 18.7% · @ 5.06
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W31W10W30W01L22D05L20W11D01LA·CAR27/04H·WAT04/05H·SWA10/08A·LEE14/08A·DER17/08H·POR24/08H·STO27/08A·CAR31/08H·PRE14/09A·SUN21/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.231.401.531.600.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.361.451.451.821.271.09
vs Weaker (8)1.880.621.250.752.500.50
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W10W20W03L12L50W10W01L11D13LH·BRI04/05H·COV10/08A·CAR13/08A·WAT17/08H·WES24/08A·MID27/08A·PLY31/08A·OXF14/09H·FLE17/09H·HUL20/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.271.201.331.201.20
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.330.330.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.361.451.451.641.271.27
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.59-7.5%
Under 2.5
47.7%
@ 2.36+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-0 ✓
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
07.3%4.5%2.5%0.7%0.2%
111%12%4.6%1.4%0.3%
211%9.9%4.4%1.3%0.3%
37.0%6.2%2.7%0.8%0.2%
43.3%2.9%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Middlesbrough is 0.28 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Middlesbrough is 0.41 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 0.98).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Middlesbrough is 0.13 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Middlesbrough is 8.9 percentage points better than Stoke in terms of average possession (56% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 6.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

170539264152836933141144681110171115651510A·SUNH·PREA·CARH·PORA·DERH·SWAH·WATA·CARH·LEEA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

5023512513141131225535452044A·SUNH·PREA·CARH·PORA·DERH·SWAH·WATA·CARH·LEEA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

27015862110131015513141295107141161123272325182614172517A·SUNH·PREA·CARH·PORA·DERH·SWAH·WATA·CARH·LEEA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 4.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1602564410254297567873187101476161115109H·HULA·OXFA·PLYH·WESA·WATH·COVH·BRIA·SOUH·PLYA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

70321312322211234415145430375H·HULA·OXFA·PLYH·WESA·WATH·COVH·BRIA·SOUH·PLYA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 9.0 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

31012106517141211151279115144141120922113123271616182529H·HULA·OXFA·PLYH·WESA·WATH·COVH·BRIA·SOUH·PLYA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.510.43.73.73.722.223.221.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (37)10.710.710.63.83.54.123.024.421.5
vs Weaker (13)11.713.89.93.54.52.620.019.720.3
% over line67%75%58%58%60%56%50%62%38%
% under line33%25%42%42%40%44%50%38%62%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.711.13.83.93.721.721.721.8
vs Stronger (8)10.110.89.04.04.63.022.922.823.0
vs Similar (39)11.110.611.63.93.93.921.421.321.6
vs Weaker (3)9.0-9.01.70.02.524.0-24.0
% over line49%48%50%62%62%62%55%61%50%
% under line51%52%50%38%38%38%45%39%50%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
12.4
Coventry
11.7
Derby
11.3
Luton
11.3
Blackburn
11.1
QPR
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
West Brom
10.9
Stoke
10.9
Sheffield Weds
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
Bristol City
10.7
Hull
10.7
Burnley
10.5
Leeds
10.4
Oxford
10.4
Swansea
10.3
Millwall
10.2
Norwich
10.2
Sunderland
10.0
Portsmouth
9.9
Watford
9.8
Preston
9.3
Cardiff
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Portsmouth
5.0
Sunderland
4.9
Burnley
4.4
QPR
4.4
Watford
4.4
Coventry
4.4
Leeds
4.3
Plymouth
4.3
Blackburn
4.3
Oxford
4.3
Hull
4.2
Stoke
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Sheffield Weds
4.1
Norwich
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Luton
3.9
Preston
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Derby
3.7
Cardiff
3.6
West Brom
3.5
Bristol City
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.9
Luton
23.7
Sunderland
23.4
Watford
23.2
Leeds
23.2
Preston
23.0
Swansea
23.0
Coventry
22.8
Millwall
22.8
QPR
22.6
Hull
22.6
Sheffield Weds
22.5
Stoke
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.1
Plymouth
22.0
Oxford
21.7
Derby
21.6
Burnley
21.5
Norwich
21.1
Bristol City
20.8
Blackburn
20.4
Cardiff
20.3
Sheffield United
19.8
West Brom
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.5%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.9%
Under 21.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W00D01L12L01L00D11D01LA·CAR27/04H·WAT04/05H·SWA10/08A·LEE14/08A·DER17/08H·POR24/08H·STO27/08A·CAR31/08H·PRE14/09A·SUN21/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.730.870.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.680.910.821.000.550.82
vs Weaker (8)0.380.250.500.500.250.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D00D00D12L10W00D00D00D10WH·BRI04/05H·COV10/08A·CAR13/08A·WAT17/08H·WES24/08A·MID27/08A·PLY31/08A·OXF14/09H·FLE17/09H·HUL20/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.600.600.330.53
vs Stronger (5)0.000.400.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.590.680.820.820.360.55
vs Weaker (3)0.330.000.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W21W00D30W00D10W04L20W00D00DA·CAR27/04H·WAT04/05H·SWA10/08A·LEE14/08A·DER17/08H·POR24/08H·STO27/08A·CAR31/08H·PRE14/09A·SUN21/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.500.670.671.130.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.680.550.640.820.730.27
vs Weaker (8)1.500.380.750.252.250.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W20W03L00D40W10W01L11D03LH·BRI04/05H·COV10/08A·CAR13/08A·WAT17/08H·WES24/08A·MID27/08A·PLY31/08A·OXF14/09H·FLE17/09H·HUL20/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.600.730.870.67
vs Stronger (5)0.400.600.330.330.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.770.770.640.820.910.73
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls93.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls86.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.577.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls76.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Latte Lath30%
Tommy Conway30%
Josh Coburn25%
Finn Azaz20%
Matthew Clarke12%
Ben Doak12%
Delano Burgzorg12%
Hayden Hackney12%
Alexander Gilbert11%
Anfernee Dijksteel9%
Kelechi Iheanacho7%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Riley McGree6%
Jonathan Howson5%
George Edmundson4%
Marcus Forss4%
Daniel Barlaser4%
Neto Borges3%
Lukas Engel0%
Ryan Giles0%
Mark Travers0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Aidan Morris0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Rav van den Berg0%
George McCormick0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
George Edmundson38%
Ben Doak29%
Hayden Hackney19%
Luke Ayling18%
Anfernee Dijksteel14%
Finn Azaz13%
Samuel Iling Junior12%
Riley McGree12%
Neto Borges11%
Alexander Gilbert11%
Rav van den Berg11%
Aidan Morris11%
Emmanuel Latte Lath10%
Lukas Engel9%
Daniel Barlaser8%
Mark Travers6%
Dael Fry5%
Delano Burgzorg5%
Jonathan Howson5%
Isaiah Jones4%
Marcus Forss4%
Tommy Conway3%
Kelechi Iheanacho0%
Ryan Giles0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Josh Coburn0%
Micah Hamilton0%
George McCormick0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Riley McGree29%
Josh Coburn25%
Finn Azaz22%
Ben Doak21%
Emmanuel Latte Lath10%
Neto Borges9%
Luke Ayling7%
Hayden Hackney7%
Kelechi Iheanacho7%
Morgan Whittaker6%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Aidan Morris5%
Delano Burgzorg5%
Jonathan Howson5%
Daniel Barlaser4%
Anfernee Dijksteel3%
Tommy Conway3%
Lukas Engel0%
George Edmundson0%
Ryan Giles0%
Mark Travers0%
Dael Fry0%
Marcus Forss0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Rav van den Berg0%
George McCormick0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Coburn25%
Emmanuel Latte Lath23%
Finn Azaz20%
Morgan Whittaker19%
Tommy Conway16%
Riley McGree12%
Delano Burgzorg12%
Hayden Hackney12%
Alexander Gilbert11%
Marcus Forss8%
Ben Doak8%
Matthew Clarke6%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Isaiah Jones4%
Anfernee Dijksteel3%
Aidan Morris3%
Neto Borges0%
Kelechi Iheanacho0%
Lukas Engel0%
George Edmundson0%
Ryan Giles0%
Mark Travers0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Rav van den Berg0%
George McCormick0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Cannon32%
Lewis Baker27%
Ryan Mmaee25%
Million Manhoef16%
Ali Al-Hamadi13%
Ben Gibson12%
Emre Tezgel12%
Andrew Moran10%
Lewis Koumas10%
Nathan Lowe10%
Sam Gallagher9%
Niall Ennis8%
Ben Wilmot7%
Jun-Ho Bae6%
Michael Rose4%
Ashley Phillips3%
Wouter Burger2%
Junior Tchamadeu2%
André Vidigal0%
Enda Stevens0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Josh Laurent0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Laurent75%
Ben Pearson36%
Jordan Thompson31%
Ben Gibson28%
Junior Tchamadeu27%
Andrew Moran26%
Wouter Burger24%
Sam Gallagher23%
Ben Wilmot21%
Nathan Lowe20%
Lewis Baker18%
Ashley Phillips15%
Enda Stevens14%
Ali Al-Hamadi13%
Lynden Gooch13%
Jun-Ho Bae12%
Michael Rose12%
Thomas Cannon12%
Viktor Johansson10%
Lewis Koumas10%
Emre Tezgel6%
Million Manhoef5%
Tatsuki Seko4%
Eric Bocat3%
André Vidigal0%
Ryan Mmaee0%
Niall Ennis0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Wilson-Esbrand29%
Souleymane Sidibe15%
Lewis Baker14%
Million Manhoef13%
Andrew Moran10%
Enda Stevens10%
Lynden Gooch9%
Jun-Ho Bae8%
Lewis Koumas6%
Eric Bocat6%
Sam Gallagher5%
Wouter Burger4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Thomas Cannon4%
Jordan Thompson4%
André Vidigal0%
Ryan Mmaee0%
Niall Ennis0%
Ben Gibson0%
Ben Pearson0%
Josh Laurent0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Michael Rose0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Ali Al-Hamadi0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Cannon36%
Lewis Baker14%
Million Manhoef11%
Lewis Koumas10%
Sam Gallagher9%
Niall Ennis8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Andrew Moran5%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
André Vidigal0%
Ryan Mmaee0%
Ben Gibson0%
Enda Stevens0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Josh Laurent0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Wouter Burger0%
Michael Rose0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Middlesbrough's squad is €64m more valuable than Stoke's (€142m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Middlesbrough's attack is €39m more valuable than Stoke's (€74m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €15m more valuable than Stoke's (€27m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Middlesbrough's defence is €9m more valuable than Stoke's (€41m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
MID wins
3
Draws
3
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough vs Stoke · H/A from MID
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/24HMID Vs Stoke0-5
02/03/24AStoke Vs MID2-0
28/10/23HMID Vs Stoke0-2
14/03/23HMID Vs Stoke1-1
17/08/22AStoke Vs MID2-2
30/04/22HMID Vs Stoke3-1
11/12/21AStoke Vs MID0-0
13/03/21HMID Vs Stoke3-0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24ASunderland Vs MID1-0
14/09/24HMID Vs Preston1-1
31/08/24ACardiff Vs MID0-2
27/08/24HMID Vs Stoke0-5
24/08/24HMID Vs Portsmouth2-2
17/08/24ADerby Vs MID1-0
14/08/24ALeeds Vs MID0-3
10/08/24HMID Vs Swansea1-0
04/05/24HMID Vs Watford3-1
27/04/24ACardiff Vs MID1-4

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/24HSTK Vs Hull1-3
17/09/24HSTK Vs Fleetwood Town1-1
14/09/24AOxford Vs STK1-0
31/08/24APlymouth Vs STK0-1
27/08/24AMiddlesbrough Vs STK0-5
24/08/24HSTK Vs West Brom1-2
17/08/24AWatford Vs STK3-0
13/08/24ACarlisle Vs STK0-2
10/08/24HSTK Vs Coventry1-0
04/05/24HSTK Vs Bristol City4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.58
HomeWWDLD1.52
AwayWWLWL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals2.802.603.00
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %50%40%60%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.541.321.76
Conceded1.261.281.24
BTTS54%44%64%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners10.9411.4610.42
Cards3.853.883.83
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.26
HomeWWLDL1.17
AwayWLWWL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%29%38%
AVG goals2.402.212.58
Over 1.5 %68%62%73%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.120.961.27
Conceded1.281.251.31
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners10.8910.6511.12
Cards4.004.043.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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