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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 30/09/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 0-0
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Vs
51%
28%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: D Webb

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middlesbrough win✗ Miss
50.6%
Avg Implied 50.8% · @ 1.85
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.53
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 4.15
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L10W04L30W21W10W22D21W11DH·NOR26/04A·COV03/05H·SWA09/08H·DON12/08A·MIL16/08A·NOR23/08H·SHE30/08A·PRE13/09H·WES19/09A·SOU27/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.171.071.001.201.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.141.051.100.701.171.33
vs Weaker (8)1.121.501.001.601.331.33
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W00D30W21W03L01L10W01L11DA·DER03/05H·DER09/08H·WAL12/08A·SHE16/08A·SOU23/08H·BRA26/08H·WES30/08H·BIR13/09A·QPR20/09H·NOR27/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.371.191.061.071.71
vs Stronger (2)1.004.50--1.004.50
vs Similar (27)1.191.191.271.131.081.25
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.6%
@ 1.97-3.0%
Under 2.5
55.4%
@ 1.79+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.1%
0-0 ✓
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
09.8%6.7%3.6%1.1%0.3%
112%13%5.6%1.7%0.4%
210%9.3%4.3%1.3%0.3%
35.2%4.8%2.2%0.7%0.2%
42.0%1.8%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Middlesbrough is 0.48 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Middlesbrough is 0.38 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.49 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Middlesbrough is 0.22 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Middlesbrough is 7.5 percentage points better than Stoke in terms of average possession (59% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 5.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

160362343593510672725510395714816991013A·SOUH·WESA·PREH·SHEA·NORA·MILH·DONH·SWAA·COVH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

90623133154132513128043494743A·SOUH·WESA·PREH·SHEA·NORA·MILH·DONH·SWAA·COVH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

3001711377135131411111613161515612121528102018252729301827A·SOUH·WESA·PREH·SHEA·NORA·MILH·DONH·SWAA·COVH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 5.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

14012263535547377646734514981011101310109H·NORA·QPRH·BIRH·WESH·BRAA·SOUA·SHEH·WALH·DERA·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

80335311224132112123843253333H·NORA·QPRH·BIRH·WESH·BRAA·SOUA·SHEH·WALH·DERA·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

260119138111171112141261012813121491020212218261822212619H·NORA·QPRH·BIRH·WESH·BRAA·SOUA·SHEH·WALH·DERA·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.510.03.73.54.021.620.722.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)9.59.49.64.04.04.021.820.722.8
vs Weaker (12)10.69.811.62.82.13.620.920.821.0
% over line49%42%56%52%44%60%55%50%60%
% under line51%58%44%48%56%40%45%50%40%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.410.33.73.63.821.222.220.1
vs Stronger (6)11.012.010.32.75.51.218.022.015.3
vs Similar (43)10.310.310.33.83.54.221.622.220.8
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-21.021.0-
% over line60%60%59%56%58%54%45%52%36%
% under line40%40%41%44%42%46%55%48%64%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.2
Portsmouth
11.0
Sheffield Weds
10.8
Sheffield United
10.7
QPR
10.6
Southampton
10.4
Millwall
10.3
Ipswich
10.2
Stoke
10.2
Norwich
10.2
Watford
10.2
Oxford
10.2
Hull
10.2
West Brom
9.9
Derby
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Middlesbrough
9.8
Bristol City
9.6
Blackburn
9.6
Swansea
9.5
Preston
9.5
Charlton
9.4
Wrexham
9.3
Birmingham
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.5
Portsmouth
4.2
Southampton
4.2
Blackburn
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Ipswich
4.0
Preston
3.9
Charlton
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Coventry
3.8
Leicester
3.7
QPR
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Hull
3.7
Derby
3.6
Sheffield Weds
3.6
Oxford
3.6
Bristol City
3.5
Wrexham
3.4
Millwall
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
24.8
Blackburn
24.6
Millwall
24.3
Charlton
24.1
Southampton
24.0
Sheffield Weds
23.5
Portsmouth
23.5
Swansea
23.4
QPR
23.0
Watford
23.0
Ipswich
22.9
Preston
22.8
Sheffield United
22.5
Norwich
22.3
Leicester
21.7
Middlesbrough
21.7
Hull
21.7
Oxford
21.6
West Brom
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Stoke
21.3
Derby
21.3
Bristol City
20.8
Wrexham
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.6%
Under 9.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.2%
Under 3.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.7%
Under 21.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D02L00D20W00D01L10W00DH·NOR26/04A·COV03/05H·SWA09/08H·DON12/08A·MIL16/08A·NOR23/08H·SHE30/08A·PRE13/09H·WES19/09A·SOU27/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.400.530.600.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.410.450.400.400.420.50
vs Weaker (8)0.750.500.400.801.330.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W00D02L01L10W00D01LA·DER03/05H·DER09/08H·WAL12/08A·SHE16/08A·SOU23/08H·BRA26/08H·WES30/08H·BIR13/09A·QPR20/09H·NOR27/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.440.500.360.93
vs Stronger (2)0.003.50--0.003.50
vs Similar (27)0.440.520.470.530.420.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W02L30W01L10W21W11D11DH·NOR26/04A·COV03/05H·SWA09/08H·DON12/08A·MIL16/08A·NOR23/08H·SHE30/08A·PRE13/09H·WES19/09A·SOU27/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.670.470.600.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.730.590.700.300.750.83
vs Weaker (8)0.381.000.600.800.001.33
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W00D20W21W01L00D00D01L10WA·DER03/05H·DER09/08H·WAL12/08A·SHE16/08A·SOU23/08H·BRA26/08H·WES30/08H·BIR13/09A·QPR20/09H·NOR27/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.750.560.710.79
vs Stronger (2)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.740.670.800.600.670.75
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls86.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls74.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards71.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Whittaker27%
David Strelec23%
Tommy Conway22%
Riley McGree21%
Hayden Hackney15%
Alan Browne10%
Leo Castledine9%
Dael Fry9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
Matt Targett7%
Sontje Hansen5%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
Luke Ayling2%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
George Edmundson0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Gilbert27%
Adilson Malanda20%
Abdoulaye Kanté20%
Luke Ayling19%
Callum Brittain16%
Riley McGree14%
George Edmundson14%
Tommy Conway14%
Alfie Jones13%
Samuel Silvera13%
Matt Targett11%
Hayden Hackney10%
Sverre Nypan10%
Morgan Whittaker9%
Aidan Morris9%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
David Strelec6%
Sontje Hansen5%
Jeremy Sarmiento5%
Alan Browne5%
Dael Fry3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
Alex Bangura0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Whittaker16%
Hayden Hackney15%
Callum Brittain11%
Riley McGree11%
Luke Ayling10%
Tommy Conway10%
Matt Targett9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Alan Browne7%
Aidan Morris7%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
David Strelec3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Dael Fry0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker31%
Leo Castledine18%
Hayden Hackney12%
Riley McGree11%
Alan Browne10%
David Strelec9%
Aidan Morris7%
Tommy Conway6%
Delano Burgzorg4%
Dael Fry3%
Callum Brittain2%
Matt Targett2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Alex Bangura0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Samuel Silvera0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven​ N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven​ N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Middlesbrough's squad is €64m more valuable than Stoke's (€142m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Middlesbrough's attack is €39m more valuable than Stoke's (€74m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €15m more valuable than Stoke's (€27m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Middlesbrough's defence is €9m more valuable than Stoke's (€41m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MID wins
2
Draws
3
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough vs Stoke · H/A from MID
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/25AStoke Vs MID1-3
28/09/24HMID Vs Stoke2-0
27/08/24HMID Vs Stoke0-5
02/03/24AStoke Vs MID2-0
28/10/23HMID Vs Stoke0-2
14/03/23HMID Vs Stoke1-1
17/08/22AStoke Vs MID2-2
30/04/22HMID Vs Stoke3-1

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25ASouthampton Vs MID1-1
19/09/25HMID Vs West Brom2-1
13/09/25APreston Vs MID2-2
30/08/25HMID Vs Sheffield United1-0
23/08/25ANorwich Vs MID1-2
16/08/25AMillwall Vs MID0-3
12/08/25HMID Vs Doncaster0-4
09/08/25HMID Vs Swansea1-0
03/05/25ACoventry Vs MID2-0
26/04/25HMID Vs Norwich0-0

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25HSTK Vs Norwich1-1
20/09/25AQPR Vs STK1-0
13/09/25HSTK Vs Birmingham1-0
30/08/25HSTK Vs West Brom0-1
26/08/25HSTK Vs Bradford0-3
23/08/25ASouthampton Vs STK1-2
16/08/25ASheffield Weds Vs STK0-3
12/08/25HSTK Vs Walsall0-0
09/08/25HSTK Vs Derby3-1
03/05/25ADerby Vs STK0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.46
HomeDWLWW1.72
AwayLWWDD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%52%32%
AVG goals2.642.283.00
Over 1.5 %66%56%76%
Over 2.5 %50%40%60%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.401.241.56
Conceded1.241.041.44
BTTS50%36%64%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners9.789.5410.00
Cards3.803.623.96
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.16
HomeDLLWD1.38
AwayLDWWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%31%21%
AVG goals2.322.152.50
Over 1.5 %70%65%75%
Over 2.5 %38%35%42%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.301.081.54
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners10.3610.4410.27
Cards3.913.764.09

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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