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Middlesbrough vs Watford Result & Analysis

Date: 15/02/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Vs
55%
24%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: A Herczeg

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middlesbrough win✗ Miss
54.6%
Avg Implied 59.2% · @ 1.60
Edge
-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.18
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✓ Hit
21.3%
Avg Implied 18.1% · @ 5.23
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D00D10W11D01L12L20W12L23L13LH·SHE26/12H·BUR29/12A·HUL01/01H·CAR04/01H·BLA11/01A·POR18/01H·WES21/01A·PRE25/01H·SUN03/02A·SHE12/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.501.311.381.861.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.361.551.421.331.301.80
vs Weaker (8)2.121.381.001.503.251.25
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L12L14L11D20W12L12L01L22D04LA·QPR01/01H·SHE04/01A·FUL09/01A·CAR14/01A·DER18/01H·PRE21/01A·COV25/01H·NOR01/02A·SUN08/02H·LEE11/02
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.671.071.141.312.12
vs Stronger (5)1.202.201.002.501.332.00
vs Similar (25)1.201.561.080.921.312.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.3%
@ 1.69+2.9%
Under 2.5
40.7%
@ 2.18-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
05.7%4.3%3.0%1.2%0.3%
17.9%11%5.8%2.2%0.6%
28.6%9.9%5.6%2.2%0.6%
35.5%6.3%3.6%1.4%0.4%
42.7%3.1%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Middlesbrough is 0.15 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Middlesbrough is 0.24 goals better than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Middlesbrough is 0.11 goals better than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Middlesbrough is 3.0 percentage points better than Watford in terms of average possession (56% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 3.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1404101546555744731419631461010128105109A·SHEH·SUNA·PREH·WESA·PORH·CARA·HULH·BURH·SHEA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

5032231312123121312225541353434A·SHEH·SUNA·PREH·WESA·PORH·CARA·HULH·BURH·SHEA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

26011111115611137911915614101211128822261720202420222316A·SHEH·SUNA·PREH·WESA·PORH·CARA·HULH·BURH·SHEA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 4.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1407737463542843746242141010861210486H·LEEA·SUNH·NORA·COVH·PREA·DERA·CARH·SHEA·QPRH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

8015443231212144230647243385H·LEEA·SUNH·NORA·COVH·PREA·DERA·CARH·SHEA·QPRH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

340126201214812108141111148981816151218322222222222173427H·LEEA·SUNH·NORA·COVH·PREA·DERA·CARH·SHEA·QPRH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.110.73.73.93.520.421.519.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (37)10.09.410.53.84.03.620.721.919.6
vs Weaker (13)11.712.011.33.43.63.219.820.519.0
% over line62%57%67%56%60%52%43%57%29%
% under line38%43%33%44%40%48%57%43%71%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.810.24.04.13.923.723.324.2
vs Stronger (8)10.610.810.32.21.53.022.720.026.3
vs Similar (41)9.89.610.14.34.64.123.924.023.8
vs Weaker (1)13.0-13.03.0-3.024.0-24.0
% over line54%48%61%58%64%52%65%61%70%
% under line46%52%39%42%36%48%35%39%30%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield Weds
11.5
QPR
11.5
Coventry
11.3
Luton
11.3
Stoke
11.0
Sheffield United
10.9
Portsmouth
10.7
West Brom
10.6
Leeds
10.5
Millwall
10.5
Middlesbrough
10.4
Hull
10.3
Plymouth
10.3
Derby
10.3
Swansea
10.3
Blackburn
10.2
Norwich
10.1
Sunderland
10.1
Watford
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Oxford
10.0
Burnley
9.8
Cardiff
9.6
Preston
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.5
Watford
4.4
Portsmouth
4.3
Norwich
4.0
Luton
4.0
Preston
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Burnley
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Swansea
3.8
Oxford
3.8
Cardiff
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.7
Hull
3.7
Coventry
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bristol City
3.7
Leeds
3.6
West Brom
3.6
Plymouth
3.6
Millwall
3.5
Derby
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Luton
24.7
Portsmouth
24.3
Millwall
24.2
Preston
24.1
Sunderland
24.0
Watford
23.7
Leeds
23.6
Plymouth
23.3
Sheffield Weds
23.3
Swansea
22.7
Blackburn
22.6
Hull
22.6
Burnley
22.4
Norwich
22.4
QPR
22.3
Coventry
22.2
Oxford
21.9
Bristol City
21.7
Derby
21.7
Cardiff
21.6
Stoke
21.0
Sheffield United
20.9
Middlesbrough
20.5
West Brom
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.1%
Under 9.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.1%
Under 3.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
62.3%
Under 21.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D00D11D00D10W10W01L11D11DH·SHE26/12H·BUR29/12A·HUL01/01H·CAR04/01H·BLA11/01A·POR18/01H·WES21/01A·PRE25/01H·SUN03/02A·SHE12/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.810.440.790.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.640.590.750.500.500.70
vs Weaker (8)1.250.251.000.251.500.25
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D11D00D10W01L01L01L11D03LA·QPR01/01H·SHE04/01A·FUL09/01A·CAR14/01A·DER18/01H·PRE21/01A·COV25/01H·NOR01/02A·SUN08/02H·LEE11/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.870.290.710.441.00
vs Stronger (5)0.401.600.501.500.331.67
vs Similar (25)0.360.720.250.580.460.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D10W00D01L02L10W11D12L02LH·SHE26/12H·BUR29/12A·HUL01/01H·CAR04/01H·BLA11/01A·POR18/01H·WES21/01A·PRE25/01H·SUN03/02A·SHE12/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.000.500.941.071.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.730.950.670.830.801.10
vs Weaker (8)0.881.120.001.251.751.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L03L11D10W11D11D00D11D01LA·QPR01/01H·SHE04/01A·FUL09/01A·CAR14/01A·DER18/01H·PRE21/01A·COV25/01H·NOR01/02A·SUN08/02H·LEE11/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.790.430.881.12
vs Stronger (5)0.800.600.501.001.000.33
vs Similar (25)0.840.840.830.330.851.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards79.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls77.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards75.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Latte Lath30%
Tommy Conway30%
Josh Coburn25%
Finn Azaz20%
Matthew Clarke12%
Ben Doak12%
Delano Burgzorg12%
Hayden Hackney12%
Alexander Gilbert11%
Anfernee Dijksteel9%
Kelechi Iheanacho7%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Riley McGree6%
Jonathan Howson5%
George Edmundson4%
Marcus Forss4%
Daniel Barlaser4%
Neto Borges3%
Lukas Engel0%
Ryan Giles0%
Mark Travers0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Aidan Morris0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Rav van den Berg0%
George McCormick0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
George Edmundson38%
Ben Doak29%
Hayden Hackney19%
Luke Ayling18%
Anfernee Dijksteel14%
Finn Azaz13%
Samuel Iling Junior12%
Riley McGree12%
Neto Borges11%
Alexander Gilbert11%
Rav van den Berg11%
Aidan Morris11%
Emmanuel Latte Lath10%
Lukas Engel9%
Daniel Barlaser8%
Mark Travers6%
Dael Fry5%
Delano Burgzorg5%
Jonathan Howson5%
Isaiah Jones4%
Marcus Forss4%
Tommy Conway3%
Kelechi Iheanacho0%
Ryan Giles0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Josh Coburn0%
Micah Hamilton0%
George McCormick0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Riley McGree29%
Josh Coburn25%
Finn Azaz22%
Ben Doak21%
Emmanuel Latte Lath10%
Neto Borges9%
Luke Ayling7%
Hayden Hackney7%
Kelechi Iheanacho7%
Morgan Whittaker6%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Aidan Morris5%
Delano Burgzorg5%
Jonathan Howson5%
Daniel Barlaser4%
Anfernee Dijksteel3%
Tommy Conway3%
Lukas Engel0%
George Edmundson0%
Ryan Giles0%
Mark Travers0%
Dael Fry0%
Marcus Forss0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Rav van den Berg0%
George McCormick0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Coburn25%
Emmanuel Latte Lath23%
Finn Azaz20%
Morgan Whittaker19%
Tommy Conway16%
Riley McGree12%
Delano Burgzorg12%
Hayden Hackney12%
Alexander Gilbert11%
Marcus Forss8%
Ben Doak8%
Matthew Clarke6%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Isaiah Jones4%
Anfernee Dijksteel3%
Aidan Morris3%
Neto Borges0%
Kelechi Iheanacho0%
Lukas Engel0%
George Edmundson0%
Ryan Giles0%
Mark Travers0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Rav van den Berg0%
George McCormick0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mileta Rajović40%
Kwadwo Baah16%
Edo Kayembe15%
Moussa Sissoko15%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo14%
Tom Dele-Bashiru13%
Rocco Vata11%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Thomas Ince8%
Ryan Porteous8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Matthew Pollock6%
Imrân Louza5%
Festy Ebosele5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze5%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mileta Rajović40%
Festy Ebosele37%
Antonio Tikvić33%
Imrân Louza30%
Francisco Sierralta29%
Ryan Porteous28%
Edo Kayembe24%
James Morris19%
Jeremy Ngakia17%
Matthew Pollock17%
Kwadwo Baah16%
James Abankwah16%
Daniel Jebbison15%
Giorgi Chakvetadze15%
Moussa Sissoko12%
Egil Selvik12%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo12%
Pierre Dwomoh9%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Ryan Andrews7%
Yasser Larouci7%
Daniel Bachmann5%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Thomas Ince3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Rocco Vata0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Tikvić33%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Imrân Louza14%
Caleb Wiley10%
Kwadwo Baah10%
Yasser Larouci10%
Matthew Pollock9%
Rocco Vata8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Ken Sema6%
Thomas Ince6%
Festy Ebosele5%
Ryan Porteous4%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Edo Kayembe2%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mileta Rajović20%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo19%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Edo Kayembe13%
Rocco Vata11%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Thomas Ince3%
Imrân Louza3%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Ryan Andrews2%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Middlesbrough's squad is €54m more valuable than Watford's (€142m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Middlesbrough's attack is €46m more valuable than Watford's (€74m vs €28m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €12m less valuable than Watford's (€27m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Middlesbrough's defence is €19m more valuable than Watford's (€41m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
MID wins
1
Draws
3
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough vs Watford · H/A from MID
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24AWatford Vs MID2-1
04/05/24HMID Vs Watford3-1
30/09/23AWatford Vs MID2-3
28/01/23HMID Vs Watford2-0
30/08/22AWatford Vs MID2-1
05/04/21HMID Vs Watford1-1
11/09/20AWatford Vs MID1-0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/02/25ASheffield United Vs MID3-1
03/02/25HMID Vs Sunderland2-3
25/01/25APreston Vs MID2-1
21/01/25HMID Vs West Brom2-0
18/01/25APortsmouth Vs MID2-1
11/01/25HMID Vs Blackburn0-1
04/01/25HMID Vs Cardiff1-1
01/01/25AHull Vs MID0-1
29/12/24HMID Vs Burnley0-0
26/12/24HMID Vs Sheffield Weds3-3

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/25HWAT Vs Leeds0-4
08/02/25ASunderland Vs WAT2-2
01/02/25HWAT Vs Norwich0-1
25/01/25ACoventry Vs WAT2-1
21/01/25HWAT Vs Preston1-2
18/01/25ADerby Vs WAT0-2
14/01/25ACardiff Vs WAT1-1
09/01/25AFulham Vs WAT4-1
04/01/25HWAT Vs Sheffield United1-2
01/01/25AQPR Vs WAT3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.50
HomeDDLWL1.56
AwayDWLLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.922.763.08
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %48%40%56%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.601.481.72
Conceded1.321.281.36
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners10.4010.0910.71
Cards3.944.223.67
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.26
HomeLLLLL1.68
AwayLDWLD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%20%
AVG goals2.682.283.08
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %26%12%40%
Scored1.281.321.24
Conceded1.400.961.84
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet28%40%16%
Corners10.029.8310.22
Cards4.334.434.22

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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