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Mika vs Araks Ararat Prediction & Stats

Date: 12/10/2026
Time: 13:00
Mika
Mika
Vs
33%
26%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Araks Ararat
Araks Ararat
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Mika and Araks Ararat is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The expected total is three goals, but the most probable total is two, and the single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 12.2% chance. Mika’s home form shows they average 1.23 goals for and concede 2.15 against stronger opponents, while Araks Ararat, playing away, averages 1.33 for and 1.33 against weaker opposition. The home win probability is 33%, a draw 26%, and an away win 41%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.8%), Under 6.5 (96.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (92.1%), Under 5.5 (91.4%), Away +2 handicap (84.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (82.9%), and Over 1.5 (81.5%). All selections are presented with their exact percentages, reflecting the model’s confidence in each outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mika win
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat win
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MikaMika

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L13L32W12L01L32W24L13L31W11DH·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08H·PYU10/08A·BKM14/08H·LER18/08A·ARA01/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.971.201.871.272.07
vs Stronger (26)1.192.191.232.151.152.23
vs Similar (4)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L42W01L31W02L32W17L31W11D12LA·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04H·BKM30/04H·MIK04/05A·HAY12/05H·ARA20/05A·AND26/05H·ARA09/08A·SHI15/08A·OLY01/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.771.601.471.072.07
vs Stronger (2)0.003.000.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.082.171.291.430.803.20
vs Weaker (16)1.691.312.141.291.331.33
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
Mika goals ↓
Araks Ararat goals →
01234
06.1%6.8%6.2%3.3%1.3%
16.0%12%8.8%4.6%1.8%
25.0%7.9%6.3%3.3%1.3%
32.4%3.8%3.0%1.6%0.6%
40.8%1.3%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mika goals (down), columns = Araks Ararat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Mika is 0.30 points worse than Araks Ararat in terms of average points per game (0.93 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Mika is 0.20 goals worse than Araks Ararat in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Noah II
1.93
Ararat II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Mika is 0.30 goals worse than Araks Ararat in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mika or Draw
59.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
26%
40%
covers Mika + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mika or Araks Ararat
73.5%
Avg Implied -
33%
26%
40%
covers Mika + Araks Ararat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Araks Ararat
66.7%
Avg Implied -
33%
26%
40%
covers Draw + Araks Ararat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mika over/under 0.5
Over
75.8%
Under
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5
Over
41.5%
Under
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 3.5
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5
Over
79.3%
Under
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5
Over
46.8%
Under
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5
Over
21.1%
Under
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 3.5
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Mika, so a minus line means Mika give that many goals of a start and Araks Ararat receive them. At -1, Mika must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mika win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mika)
Mika -2
5.8%
Draw -2
10.0%
Araks Ararat +2
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Mika)
Mika -1
15.8%
Draw -1
17.5%
Araks Ararat +1
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Mika)
Mika +1
59.8%
Draw +1
19.6%
Araks Ararat -1
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Mika)
Mika +2
79.3%
Draw +2
12.4%
Araks Ararat -2
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MikaMika

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L11D01L00D20W01L01L21W01LH·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08H·PYU10/08A·BKM14/08H·LER18/08A·ARA01/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.600.870.270.87
vs Stronger (26)0.420.960.541.000.310.92
vs Similar (4)0.500.251.000.000.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L21W00D10W01L21W12L00D01L11DA·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04H·BKM30/04H·MIK04/05A·HAY12/05H·ARA20/05A·AND26/05H·ARA09/08A·SHI15/08A·OLY01/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.670.730.600.93
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.002.000.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.920.430.860.601.00
vs Weaker (16)0.810.561.000.430.670.67
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mika over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MikaMika

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L21W11D01L12L23L12L10W10WH·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08H·PYU10/08A·BKM14/08H·LER18/08A·ARA01/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.100.601.001.001.20
vs Stronger (26)0.771.230.691.150.851.31
vs Similar (4)1.000.250.000.002.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W01L21W01L11D05L31W10W01LA·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04H·BKM30/04H·MIK04/05A·HAY12/05H·ARA20/05A·AND26/05H·ARA09/08A·SHI15/08A·OLY01/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.930.930.730.471.13
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (12)0.581.250.860.570.202.20
vs Weaker (16)0.880.751.140.860.670.67
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mika over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.8%-------
Under 6.596.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals92.4%-------
Under 5.591.6%-------
Away +2 handicap84.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.9%-------
Under 4.581.6%-------
Over 1.581.2%-------
Home +2 handicap79.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals79.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals78.9%-------
Home over 0.5 goals75.8%-------
Home or Away73.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
MIK wins
1
Draws
1
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mika vs Araks Ararat · H/A from MIK
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/26AAraks Ararat Vs MIK3-1
16/10/25HMIK Vs Araks Ararat1-1

MikaMika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs MIK1-1
18/08/26HMIK Vs Lernayin Artsakh3-1
14/08/26ABKMA II Vs MIK3-1
10/08/26HMIK Vs Pyunik II2-4
04/08/26ANoah II Vs MIK2-3
25/05/26HMIK Vs Noah II0-1
18/05/26AHayq Vs MIK2-1
12/05/26HMIK Vs Shirak II3-2
04/05/26AAraks Ararat Vs MIK3-1
27/04/26HMIK Vs Banants II2-3

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AOlympia Yerevan Vs AA2-1
15/08/26AShirak II Vs AA1-1
09/08/26HAA Vs Ararat II3-1
26/05/26AAndranik Vs AA7-1
20/05/26HAA Vs Ararat-Armenia II3-2
12/05/26AHayq Vs AA2-0
04/05/26HAA Vs Mika3-1
30/04/26HAA Vs BKMA II0-1
26/04/26HAA Vs Ararat II4-2
20/04/26ASardarapat Vs AA3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD0.88
HomeLWLLW0.72
AwayLLWLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%16%28%
AVG goals3.383.043.72
Over 1.5 %86%76%96%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %52%44%60%
Scored1.180.961.40
Conceded2.202.082.32
BTTS58%44%72%
Clean Sheet12%16%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Araks Ararat
Araks Ararat
Armenia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.24
HomeWLWWW1.62
AwayLLLDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%24%
AVG goals2.973.062.88
Over 1.5 %76%75%76%
Over 2.5 %52%62%41%
Over 3.5 %36%44%29%
Scored1.301.621.00
Conceded1.671.441.88
BTTS52%56%47%
Clean Sheet15%6%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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