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Mika vs Noah II Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Mika
Mika
Vs
36%
27%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Noah II
Noah II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Mika a 36% win probability against Noah II in the Armenia: First League on 2026-05-25, with 27% for the draw and 36% for Noah II. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.9%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (79%).

Results analysis

Mika finished 0-1 against Noah II (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 36% home win, 27% draw and 36% away win. Missed: Over 1.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mika win✗ Miss
36.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Noah II win✓ Hit
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MikaMika

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L20W00D05L10W12L23L13L32W12LH·SYU18/03A·PYU23/03H·BEN29/03A·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.001.071.861.192.12
vs Stronger (28)1.112.111.152.001.072.20
vs Similar (2)1.500.500.000.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D02L15L24L13L10W00D13L30WA·ARA15/03H·ARA24/03A·HAY31/03H·ARA07/04H·SYU22/04A·BEN28/04H·VAN05/05A·BAN11/05A·AND15/05H·SHI21/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.001.731.470.932.53
vs Stronger (10)0.402.800.602.400.203.20
vs Similar (13)1.381.851.831.171.002.43
vs Weaker (7)2.571.143.000.752.001.67
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.0%
0-1 ✓
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
Mika goals ↓
Noah II goals →
01234
06.9%7.0%5.8%2.8%1.0%
17.0%13%8.4%4.0%1.4%
25.9%8.4%6.0%2.9%1.0%
32.8%4.0%2.9%1.4%0.5%
41.0%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mika goals (down), columns = Noah II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Mika is 0.10 points worse than Noah II in terms of average points per game (0.93 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Mika is 0.23 goals worse than Noah II in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Mika is 0.07 goals worse than Noah II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (27)
€2m
BI (40)
€2m
HAY (36)
€1m
AND (40)
€1m
SYU (27)
€1m
NI (44)
€1m
BI (46)
€1m
SI (51)
€1m
PI (38)
€1m
LA (55)
€0m
BI (47)
€0m
MIK (42)
€0m
AI (34)
€0m
Mika and Noah II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Mika vs Noah II · H/A from MIK
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25ANoah II Vs MIK4-0
30/04/25HMIK Vs Noah II1-2
22/10/24ANoah II Vs MIK8-0
26/05/24ANoah II Vs MIK1-0
08/11/23HMIK Vs Noah II2-2

MikaMika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/26AHayq Vs MIK2-1
12/05/26HMIK Vs Shirak II3-2
04/05/26AAraks Ararat Vs MIK3-1
27/04/26HMIK Vs Banants II2-3
20/04/26AArarat II Vs MIK2-1
13/04/26HMIK Vs Van II1-0
07/04/26ASardarapat Vs MIK5-0
29/03/26HMIK Vs Bentonit Ijevan0-0
23/03/26APyunik II Vs MIK0-2
18/03/26HMIK Vs Syunik0-3

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/26HNI Vs Shirak II3-0
15/05/26AAndranik Vs NI3-1
11/05/26ABanants II Vs NI0-0
05/05/26HNI Vs Van II1-0
28/04/26ABentonit Ijevan Vs NI3-1
22/04/26HNI Vs Syunik2-4
07/04/26HNI Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-5
31/03/26AHayq Vs NI2-0
24/03/26HNI Vs Araks Ararat0-0
15/03/26AArarat II Vs NI0-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL0.88
HomeLDWLW0.88
AwayWLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%20%24%
AVG goals3.362.923.80
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %48%36%60%
Scored1.121.001.24
Conceded2.241.922.56
BTTS54%44%64%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Noah II
Noah II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.42
HomeDLLWW1.46
AwayWLLDL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%42%
AVG goals3.283.273.29
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %58%50%67%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.661.881.42
Conceded1.621.381.88
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.13.0
-
Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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