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Mika vs Pyunik II Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 2-4
Mika
Mika
Vs
27%
26%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pyunik II
Pyunik II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Mika faces Pyunik II in the Armenia: First League. The recent form storylines highlight Pyunik II's impressive 4-game winning streak, while Mika comes off a win, but their recent results have been inconsistent. The model predicts a 47% chance of an away win, with Pyunik II's strong recent form and Mika's inconsistent form contributing to this outcome.

The model's favoured match result is an Away win, with the expected total goals at 2.9, indicating a relatively high-scoring match. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.5% probability. Mika's home scoring has averaged 0.92 goals, while conceding 2.08 goals per match against stronger opponents. Pyunik II's away scoring has averaged 0.67 goals, while conceding 0.33 goals per match against weaker opponents.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, with an 79.4% probability. The home win percentage is 27%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 47%.

Results analysis

The win extends Mika's run of losses, their recent form now LWLLW after coming off a defeat against Pyunik II. However, Pyunik II's impressive away form, having won their last 5 games, continued as they secured an away win. The final score was 2-4 in favour of the away side. The model correctly predicted an away win, the favourite being Pyunik II with a pre-match probability of 47%. The model's selection of an away win was correct. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 79.4%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mika win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II win✓ Hit
47.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MikaMika

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D05L10W12L23L13L32W12L01L32WH·BEN29/03A·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.931.001.801.202.07
vs Stronger (27)1.042.111.002.081.072.14
vs Similar (3)1.670.331.000.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L20W22D32W31W01L32W20W10W10WA·SAR31/03H·ARA07/04A·ARA14/04H·HAY21/04A·ARA28/04H·AND06/05A·SYU11/05H·BEN19/05A·VAN26/05H·ARA04/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.401.691.311.141.50
vs Stronger (14)1.502.291.862.001.142.57
vs Similar (12)1.580.581.710.711.400.40
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.0%
Under 2.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
Mika goals ↓
Pyunik II goals →
01234
06.7%8.2%7.8%4.4%1.8%
15.6%12%9.5%5.3%2.2%
24.1%6.9%5.7%3.2%1.3%
31.7%2.8%2.3%1.3%0.5%
40.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mika goals (down), columns = Pyunik II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Mika is 0.53 points worse than Pyunik II in terms of average points per game (0.93 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Mika is 0.37 goals worse than Pyunik II in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Mika is 0.57 goals worse than Pyunik II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MikaMika

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D01L12L01L11D01L00D20WH·BEN29/03A·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.470.870.270.93
vs Stronger (27)0.331.000.381.000.291.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L20W11D00D10W00D00D10WA·SAR31/03H·ARA07/04A·ARA14/04H·HAY21/04A·ARA28/04H·AND06/05A·SYU11/05H·BEN19/05A·VAN26/05H·ARA04/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.810.500.290.64
vs Stronger (14)0.500.790.710.710.290.86
vs Similar (12)0.830.421.140.430.400.40
vs Weaker (4)0.000.250.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mika over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MikaMika

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L10W11D11D12L21W11D01L12LH·BEN29/03A·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.030.530.930.931.13
vs Stronger (27)0.701.110.621.080.791.14
vs Similar (3)1.000.330.000.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W21W12L20W01L22D20W10W00DA·SAR31/03H·ARA07/04A·ARA14/04H·HAY21/04A·ARA28/04H·AND06/05A·SYU11/05H·BEN19/05A·VAN26/05H·ARA04/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.830.880.810.860.86
vs Stronger (14)1.001.501.141.290.861.71
vs Similar (12)0.750.170.570.291.000.00
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mika over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Mika and Pyunik II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Mika and Pyunik II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Mika and Pyunik II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Mika and Pyunik II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
MIK wins
1
Draws
5
PI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mika vs Pyunik II · H/A from MIK
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/26APyunik II Vs MIK0-2
28/10/25HMIK Vs Pyunik II0-0
21/04/25HMIK Vs Pyunik II0-2
29/11/24APyunik II Vs MIK3-2
05/12/23APyunik II Vs MIK5-0
05/08/23HMIK Vs Pyunik II1-3
16/04/23APyunik II Vs MIK0-1
31/10/22HMIK Vs Pyunik II0-1

MikaMika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/26ANoah II Vs MIK2-3
25/05/26HMIK Vs Noah II0-1
18/05/26AHayq Vs MIK2-1
12/05/26HMIK Vs Shirak II3-2
04/05/26AAraks Ararat Vs MIK3-1
27/04/26HMIK Vs Banants II2-3
20/04/26AArarat II Vs MIK2-1
13/04/26HMIK Vs Van II1-0
07/04/26ASardarapat Vs MIK5-0
29/03/26HMIK Vs Bentonit Ijevan0-0

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/26HPI Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-0
26/05/26AVan II Vs PI0-1
19/05/26HPI Vs Bentonit Ijevan2-0
11/05/26ASyunik Vs PI2-3
06/05/26HPI Vs Andranik0-1
28/04/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs PI1-3
21/04/26HPI Vs Hayq3-2
14/04/26AAraks Ararat Vs PI2-2
07/04/26HPI Vs Ararat II2-0
31/03/26ASardarapat Vs PI4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW0.92
HomeDWLWL0.84
AwayLLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%20%28%
AVG goals3.362.883.84
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %48%36%60%
Scored1.140.961.32
Conceded2.221.922.52
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Pyunik II
Pyunik II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.60
HomeWWLWW1.80
AwayLDWWW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals3.023.282.76
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %46%56%36%
Scored1.641.921.36
Conceded1.381.361.40
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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