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Mika vs Sardarapat 2 Prediction & Stats

Date: 26/09/2026
Time: 13:00
Mika
Mika
Vs
70%
19%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sardarapat 2
Sardarapat 2
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Mika’s recent win over Lernayin Artsakh has lifted the team’s confidence, and the Pythia model rates a home win as the clear favourite, assigning a 71% probability. The model’s high confidence stems from Mika’s strong home form and the fact that Sardarapat 2, playing away against a stronger opponent, averages only 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The expected total goals is 3.3, with the most likely total being 3 goals at a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Mika, with a 10.7% chance. The probabilities for the match outcome are 71% home win, 18% draw, and 11% away win. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 7.5 (97.9%), Home +2 handicap (96.4%), Under 6.5 (94.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.0%), Home over 0.5 goals (91.4%), Home or Draw (89.1%) and Home +1 handicap (89.1%). Each selection is listed with its exact probability, and the edge percentages are omitted as they are not provided.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mika win
69.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
19.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 win
10.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MikaMika

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L13L32W12L01L32W24L13L31W11DH·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08H·PYU10/08A·BKM14/08H·LER18/08A·ARA01/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.971.201.871.272.07
vs Stronger (26)1.192.191.232.151.152.23
vs Similar (4)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sardarapat 2) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 2

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L12L01LA·SHI03/08A·OLY13/08H·NOA18/08A·PYU02/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.501.002.000.331.33
vs Stronger (4)0.501.501.002.000.331.33
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.8%
No
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.6%
4-0
5.2%
Mika goals ↓
Sardarapat 2 goals →
01234
05.6%2.9%1.5%0.4%0.1%
19.8%9.3%3.3%0.9%0.2%
212%9.6%3.8%1.0%0.2%
39.1%7.2%2.8%0.7%0.1%
45.2%4.1%1.6%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mika goals (down), columns = Sardarapat 2 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Mika is 0.20 points better than Sardarapat 2 in terms of average points per game (0.93 vs 0.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Mika is 0.22 goals better than Sardarapat 2 in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 0.85).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Noah II
1.93
Ararat II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Mika is 1.15 goals better than Sardarapat 2 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 3.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mika or Draw
89.3%
Avg Implied -
70%
19%
11%
covers Mika + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mika or Sardarapat 2
80.5%
Avg Implied -
70%
19%
11%
covers Mika + Sardarapat 2
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sardarapat 2
30.1%
Avg Implied -
70%
19%
11%
covers Draw + Sardarapat 2
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mika over/under 0.5
Over
89.6%
Under
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5
Over
66.1%
Under
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5
Over
39.4%
Under
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 3.5
Over
19.3%
Under
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 0.5
Over
54.6%
Under
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 1.5
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 2.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Mika, so a minus line means Mika give that many goals of a start and Sardarapat 2 receive them. At -1, Mika must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mika win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mika)
Mika -2
26.1%
Draw -2
21.1%
Sardarapat 2 +2
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Mika)
Mika -1
47.2%
Draw -1
22.7%
Sardarapat 2 +1
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Mika)
Mika +1
89.3%
Draw +1
7.4%
Sardarapat 2 -1
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Mika)
Mika +2
96.7%
Draw +2
2.6%
Sardarapat 2 -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MikaMika

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L11D01L00D20W01L01L21W01LH·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08H·PYU10/08A·BKM14/08H·LER18/08A·ARA01/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.600.870.270.87
vs Stronger (26)0.420.960.541.000.310.92
vs Similar (4)0.500.251.000.000.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sardarapat 2) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 2

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00DA·SHI03/08A·OLY13/08H·NOA18/08A·PYU02/09
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.500.000.000.000.67
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.000.000.000.67
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mika over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MikaMika

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L21W11D01L12L23L12L10W10WH·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08H·PYU10/08A·BKM14/08H·LER18/08A·ARA01/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.100.601.001.001.20
vs Stronger (26)0.771.230.691.150.851.31
vs Similar (4)1.000.250.000.002.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sardarapat 2) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 2

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L12L01LA·SHI03/08A·OLY13/08H·NOA18/08A·PYU02/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.001.002.000.330.67
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.002.000.330.67
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mika over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat 2 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.1%-------
Under 7.598.7%-------
Home +2 handicap96.7%-------
Under 6.596.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals95.4%-------
Under 5.591.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals89.6%-------
Home or Draw89.3%-------
Home +1 handicap89.3%-------
Over 1.581.7%-------
Away under 1.5 goals81.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals80.7%-------
Under 4.580.6%-------
Home or Away80.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Mika and Sardarapat 2 have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Mika and Sardarapat 2 have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Mika and Sardarapat 2 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Mika and Sardarapat 2 have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MIK wins
0
Draws
0
S2 wins

Head-to-head

Mika vs Sardarapat 2 · H/A from MIK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

MikaMika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs MIK1-1
18/08/26HMIK Vs Lernayin Artsakh3-1
14/08/26ABKMA II Vs MIK3-1
10/08/26HMIK Vs Pyunik II2-4
04/08/26ANoah II Vs MIK2-3
25/05/26HMIK Vs Noah II0-1
18/05/26AHayq Vs MIK2-1
12/05/26HMIK Vs Shirak II3-2
04/05/26AAraks Ararat Vs MIK3-1
27/04/26HMIK Vs Banants II2-3

Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 2

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26APyunik II Vs S21-0
18/08/26HS2 Vs Noah II1-2
13/08/26AOlympia Yerevan Vs S23-0
03/08/26AShirak II Vs S20-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD0.88
HomeLWLLW0.72
AwayLLWLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%16%28%
AVG goals3.383.043.72
Over 1.5 %86%76%96%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %52%44%60%
Scored1.180.961.40
Conceded2.202.082.32
BTTS58%44%72%
Clean Sheet12%16%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Sardarapat 2
Sardarapat 2
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLL0.75
HomeL0.00
AwayWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%0%33%
AVG goals2.003.001.67
Over 1.5 %50%100%33%
Over 2.5 %50%100%33%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.501.000.33
Conceded1.502.001.33
BTTS25%100%0%
Clean Sheet25%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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