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Millwall vs Bristol City Result & Analysis

Date: 04/03/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 0-2
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
36%
31%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bristol City
Bristol City
England: Championship
Referee: M Donohue

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✗ Miss
35.9%
Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.70
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.93
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bristol City win✓ Hit
33.2%
Avg Implied 32.3% · @ 2.95
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D10W10W21W20W15L11D11D10W13LH·CAR21/01A·LUT25/01A·POR28/01H·QPR01/02A·LEE08/02A·PLY12/02H·WES15/02A·PRE18/02A·DER22/02A·CRY01/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.901.000.710.881.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.860.930.850.770.881.06
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L01L22D21W11D01L20W11D21WH·DER04/01H·WOL11/01A·COV18/01A·SHE22/01H·BLA25/01A·OXF01/02H·SWA09/02H·STO12/02A·CAR15/02H·MID21/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.971.310.691.211.29
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.321.001.400.731.231.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.6%
@ 2.92+8.1%
Under 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.41-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2 ✓
6.3%
Millwall goals ↓
Bristol City goals →
01234
011%9.9%6.3%2.4%0.7%
110%15%7.5%2.8%0.8%
26.9%7.8%4.4%1.7%0.5%
32.7%3.1%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Bristol City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Millwall is 0.04 points worse than Bristol City in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.48).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Millwall is 0.26 goals worse than Bristol City in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Millwall is 0.13 goals better than Bristol City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Millwall is 8.6 percentage points worse than Bristol City in terms of average possession (42% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 3.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

13044475262211375742132481178131012646A·DERA·PREH·WESA·PLYH·QPRA·PORA·LUTH·CARH·HULA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

60241211224211312431326024A·DERA·PREH·WESA·PLYH·QPRA·PORA·LUTH·CARH·HULA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

3308101610151510191012159191110111316171618263029222430212933A·DERA·PREH·WESA·PLYH·QPRA·PORA·LUTH·CARH·HULA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bristol CityBristol City

For 4.7 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

1404154211133517475367615931488118137H·MIDA·CARH·STOH·SWAA·OXFH·BLAA·SHEA·COVH·DERA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

80222224414223112440854041H·MIDA·CARH·STOH·SWAA·OXFH·BLAA·SHEA·COVH·DERA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

270101391212998149819812113712121223212117232720141924H·MIDA·CARH·STOH·SWAA·OXFH·BLAA·SHEA·COVH·DERA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.310.63.02.83.324.224.324.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (46)10.310.310.33.13.03.224.224.324.0
vs Weaker (4)13.0-13.02.50.05.024.5-24.5
% over line64%68%61%42%29%54%69%73%65%
% under line36%32%39%58%71%46%31%27%35%
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bristol CityBristol City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.910.23.63.24.021.821.122.4
vs Stronger (4)10.513.09.74.24.04.321.521.021.7
vs Similar (45)10.19.910.33.63.24.022.021.422.5
vs Weaker (1)7.07.0-3.03.0-15.015.0-
% over line54%54%54%52%38%67%56%46%67%
% under line46%46%46%48%62%33%44%54%33%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield Weds
11.6
Coventry
11.6
QPR
11.3
Luton
11.1
Sheffield United
10.9
Leeds
10.7
West Brom
10.7
Stoke
10.7
Portsmouth
10.6
Millwall
10.5
Swansea
10.3
Derby
10.3
Hull
10.3
Middlesbrough
10.2
Plymouth
10.2
Sunderland
10.2
Oxford
10.2
Norwich
10.1
Watford
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
Burnley
9.8
Cardiff
9.6
Preston
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.5
Portsmouth
4.3
Watford
4.3
Luton
4.1
Burnley
4.1
Norwich
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Oxford
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Preston
3.8
Swansea
3.8
Blackburn
3.8
Cardiff
3.8
Leeds
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Bristol City
3.7
QPR
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.6
Hull
3.6
West Brom
3.5
Millwall
3.5
Plymouth
3.5
Derby
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Luton
24.8
Portsmouth
24.4
Millwall
24.2
Preston
24.2
Sunderland
23.8
Watford
23.7
Leeds
23.5
Plymouth
23.4
Sheffield Weds
23.3
Blackburn
22.9
Burnley
22.8
Swansea
22.8
Hull
22.4
QPR
22.4
Norwich
22.2
Coventry
22.2
Oxford
21.9
Cardiff
21.9
Bristol City
21.8
Derby
21.5
Stoke
21.3
Sheffield United
21.0
Middlesbrough
20.3
West Brom
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.8%
Under 9.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.1%
Under 3.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
64.2%
Under 21.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D10W21W10W02L11D10W00D12LH·CAR21/01A·LUT25/01A·POR28/01H·QPR01/02A·LEE08/02A·PLY12/02H·WES15/02A·PRE18/02A·DER22/02A·CRY01/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.570.360.380.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.450.480.540.380.380.56
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bristol CityBristol City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L00D01L11D00D00D10W00D01LH·DER04/01H·WOL11/01A·COV18/01A·SHE22/01H·BLA25/01A·OXF01/02H·SWA09/02H·STO12/02A·CAR15/02H·MID21/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.430.440.380.360.50
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.430.460.470.400.380.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D00D10W13L00D01L10W01LH·CAR21/01A·LUT25/01A·POR28/01H·QPR01/02A·LEE08/02A·PLY12/02H·WES15/02A·PRE18/02A·DER22/02A·CRY01/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.430.360.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.410.450.310.380.500.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bristol CityBristol City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L21W10W11D01L10W11D20WH·DER04/01H·WOL11/01A·COV18/01A·SHE22/01H·BLA25/01A·OXF01/02H·SWA09/02H·STO12/02A·CAR15/02H·MID21/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.880.310.860.79
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.890.540.930.330.850.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners74.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihailo Ivanović28%
Calum Scanlon25%
Josh Coburn24%
Romain Esse19%
Camiel Neghli17%
Duncan Watmore14%
Wes Harding12%
Femi Azeez8%
Casper De Norre8%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Raees Bangura-Williams8%
Jake Cooper8%
Aaron Connolly7%
Luke Cundle6%
Japhet Tanganga5%
George Honeyman4%
Ryan Wintle4%
Macaulay Langstaff3%
Joe Bryan2%
George Saville2%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Liam Roberts0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
Aaron Connolly21%
Ryan Leonard19%
Japhet Tanganga19%
Joe Bryan18%
Liam Roberts17%
George Saville16%
George Honeyman16%
Romain Esse15%
Danny McNamara13%
Ryan Wintle13%
Wes Harding12%
Jake Cooper12%
Casper De Norre12%
Luke Cundle11%
Aidomo Emakhu11%
Femi Azeez11%
Shaun Hutchinson9%
Murray Wallace8%
Tristan Crama5%
Mihailo Ivanović5%
Billy Mitchell5%
Lukas Jensen2%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
George Honeyman13%
Femi Azeez13%
Tristan Crama10%
Casper De Norre10%
Aidomo Emakhu7%
Joe Bryan7%
Macaulay Langstaff6%
Billy Mitchell5%
George Saville4%
Romain Esse4%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Jake Cooper2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Danny McNamara0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Mihailo Ivanović0%
George Evans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mihailo Ivanović18%
Camiel Neghli17%
Femi Azeez16%
Josh Coburn10%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Jake Cooper8%
Japhet Tanganga7%
Duncan Watmore7%
Romain Esse4%
George Honeyman2%
Casper De Norre2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Joe Bryan0%
George Saville0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Bristol City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nahki Wells21%
Harry Cornick20%
Anis Mehmeti20%
Scott Twine16%
Ross McCrorie15%
Fally Mayulu12%
Luke McNally11%
Mark Sykes11%
Sinclair Armstrong8%
Jason Knight6%
George Tanner6%
Robert Dickie5%
Yu Hirakawa5%
George Earthy5%
Haydon Roberts3%
Max Bird2%
Zak Vyner2%
Cameron Pring0%
Max O'Leary0%
Kal Naismith0%
Joe Williams0%
Marcus McGuane0%
Sam Bell0%
Elijah Morrison0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ross McCrorie35%
Elijah Morrison33%
Cameron Pring24%
Joe Williams23%
Harry Cornick20%
Luke McNally19%
Mark Sykes18%
Scott Twine16%
Haydon Roberts15%
Kal Naismith14%
Robert Dickie14%
Jason Knight12%
Marcus McGuane8%
George Earthy8%
Nahki Wells7%
Anis Mehmeti7%
Max O'Leary6%
Zak Vyner6%
George Tanner6%
Sinclair Armstrong5%
Max Bird2%
Fally Mayulu0%
Sam Bell0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joe Williams15%
Max Bird14%
Mark Sykes14%
Jason Knight10%
Nahki Wells9%
Cameron Pring9%
Scott Twine8%
Yu Hirakawa5%
Luke McNally4%
Haydon Roberts3%
Robert Dickie3%
George Earthy2%
Anis Mehmeti2%
Ross McCrorie0%
Max O'Leary0%
Kal Naismith0%
Zak Vyner0%
Harry Cornick0%
Marcus McGuane0%
George Tanner0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Sam Bell0%
Elijah Morrison0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Scott Twine16%
Anis Mehmeti13%
Fally Mayulu12%
Nahki Wells12%
Sinclair Armstrong11%
Sam Bell9%
Ross McCrorie8%
Max Bird6%
Jason Knight4%
Luke McNally4%
George Tanner3%
Robert Dickie3%
George Earthy2%
Cameron Pring0%
Max O'Leary0%
Kal Naismith0%
Zak Vyner0%
Joe Williams0%
Harry Cornick0%
Mark Sykes0%
Marcus McGuane0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Elijah Morrison0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Millwall's squad is €19m more valuable than Bristol City's (€85m vs €66m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Millwall's attack is €1m more valuable than Bristol City's (€30m vs €29m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Millwall's midfield is €10m more valuable than Bristol City's (€29m vs €19m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Millwall's defence is €7m more valuable than Bristol City's (€25m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
MIL wins
1
Draws
3
BRC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs Bristol City · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/24ABristol City Vs MIL4-3
01/01/24ABristol City Vs MIL0-1
12/08/23HMIL Vs Bristol City0-1
29/12/22HMIL Vs Bristol City0-0
15/10/22ABristol City Vs MIL1-2
02/01/22ABristol City Vs MIL3-2
29/09/21HMIL Vs Bristol City1-0
01/05/21HMIL Vs Bristol City4-1

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25ACrystal Palace Vs MIL3-1
22/02/25ADerby Vs MIL0-1
18/02/25APreston Vs MIL1-1
15/02/25HMIL Vs West Brom1-1
12/02/25APlymouth Vs MIL5-1
08/02/25ALeeds Vs MIL0-2
01/02/25HMIL Vs QPR2-1
28/01/25APortsmouth Vs MIL0-1
25/01/25ALuton Vs MIL0-1
21/01/25HMIL Vs Cardiff2-2

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/25HBRC Vs Middlesbrough2-1
15/02/25ACardiff Vs BRC1-1
12/02/25HBRC Vs Stoke2-0
09/02/25HBRC Vs Swansea0-1
01/02/25AOxford Vs BRC1-1
25/01/25HBRC Vs Blackburn2-1
22/01/25ASheffield Weds Vs BRC2-2
18/01/25ACoventry Vs BRC1-0
11/01/25HBRC Vs Wolves1-2
04/01/25HBRC Vs Derby1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.48
HomeWLDWD1.71
AwayWLDWL1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%31%
AVG goals1.961.961.96
Over 1.5 %48%46%50%
Over 2.5 %26%29%23%
Over 3.5 %16%17%15%
Scored1.041.210.88
Conceded0.920.751.08
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners10.4210.2710.57
Cards3.383.003.74
Bristol City
Bristol City
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.34
HomeLWLWW1.73
AwayDLDDD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%50%17%
AVG goals2.302.122.50
Over 1.5 %70%58%83%
Over 2.5 %38%35%42%
Over 3.5 %18%12%25%
Scored1.181.380.96
Conceded1.120.731.54
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet30%42%17%
Corners10.049.8810.21
Cards3.753.464.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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