PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Millwall vs Middlesbrough Result & Analysis

Date: 12/03/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
33%
38%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Referee: R Jones
Match preview & prediction

Millwall’s recent form, a string of two losses before a three-game winning run, suggests a team still finding rhythm at home, while Middlesbrough, fresh from a two-game winning streak, appears more settled on the road. The model’s probabilities place a draw at 38%, with home and away win chances of 33% and 29% respectively, making a draw the favoured outcome. The expected total of 1.6 goals aligns with the model’s most likely total of one goal, a 30% chance, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 21.4% probability. Millwall averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.67 conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents; Middlesbrough averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded away versus similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 (92%), Under 5.5 cards (86.6%), Over 19.5 fouls (81.7% miss), Over 8.5 corners (79.8%), Under 2.5 (78.2% with a 19% edge), and Under 4.5 cards (73.8% miss).

Results analysis

The 0-0 draw extended Millwall’s run of wins after two straight defeats and capped Middlesbrough’s two-game winning streak. The model’s favourite was a Draw at 38% and it proved correct. The most likely score was 0-0 with a 21.4% chance, and the predicted total of 1.6 goals materialised as a single goalless tie. The model’s selections performed largely well: Under 3.5 goals hit at 92%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 86.6%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 79.8%, and Under 2.5 hit at 78.2%. However, Over 19.5 fouls missed at 81.7% and Under 4.5 cards missed at 73.8%. Overall, the model delivered a balanced and largely accurate post-match assessment.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.91
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
37.8%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.14
Edge
+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 36.9% · @ 2.58
Edge
-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W00D03L21W20W21W10W10W00DA·BLA22/01H·WES29/01H·PRE01/02A·FUL08/02H·CAR12/02H·QPR15/02A·DER23/02H·SHE26/02A·REA05/03A·BLA08/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.871.210.640.881.06
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (23)1.130.911.250.671.001.18
vs Weaker (6)0.670.671.000.000.600.80
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W01L10W22D41W12L21W23L21W14LH·REA15/01A·BLA24/01H·COV29/01A·QPR09/02H·DER12/02A·BRI19/02H·WES22/02A·BAR26/02H·LUT05/03A·SHE08/03
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.131.600.731.071.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.211.161.550.730.751.75
vs Weaker (11)1.551.091.750.751.431.29
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%30%21%030%127%214%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.0%
Under 1.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.8%
@ 2.31-19.3%
Under 2.5
78.2%
@ 1.61+19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.0%
Under 3.5
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
31.7%
No
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
21.4%
1-0
15.5%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
14.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
Millwall goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
01234
021%14%5.9%1.5%0.3%
116%14%5.0%1.3%0.2%
27.0%5.4%2.1%0.5%0.1%
32.0%1.5%0.6%0.1%0.0%
40.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fulham
1.96
Bournemouth
1.91
Huddersfield
1.78
Nottingham Forest
1.74
Luton
1.63
Sheffield United
1.63
Middlesbrough
1.52
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
West Brom
1.46
QPR
1.43
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.39
Stoke
1.35
Swansea
1.33
Blackpool
1.30
Bristol City
1.20
Derby
1.20
Cardiff
1.15
Hull
1.11
Reading
1.02
Birmingham
1.02
Peterboro
0.80
Barnsley
0.65
Millwall is 0.02 points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fulham
2.30
Bournemouth
1.61
Nottingham Forest
1.59
Huddersfield
1.39
Luton
1.37
Sheffield United
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Coventry
1.30
QPR
1.30
Middlesbrough
1.28
Blackburn
1.28
Swansea
1.26
Stoke
1.24
Reading
1.17
Blackpool
1.17
Millwall
1.15
Preston
1.13
West Brom
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Derby
0.98
Peterboro
0.93
Hull
0.89
Barnsley
0.72
Millwall is 0.13 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bournemouth
0.85
Nottingham Forest
0.87
Fulham
0.93
Millwall
0.98
West Brom
0.98
Sheffield United
0.98
Huddersfield
1.02
Middlesbrough
1.09
Blackburn
1.09
Stoke
1.13
Derby
1.15
Hull
1.17
Luton
1.20
Preston
1.22
Blackpool
1.26
Coventry
1.28
QPR
1.28
Swansea
1.48
Cardiff
1.48
Barnsley
1.59
Birmingham
1.63
Bristol City
1.67
Reading
1.89
Peterboro
1.89
Millwall is 0.11 goals better than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (0.98 vs 1.09).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Swansea
64%
Fulham
61%
Sheffield United
57%
Bournemouth
57%
QPR
54%
Coventry
53%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Derby
51%
Nottingham Forest
50%
Preston
50%
Middlesbrough
49%
Huddersfield
48%
Peterboro
48%
Reading
48%
Millwall
46%
Hull
46%
Blackpool
46%
Cardiff
45%
Barnsley
45%
Blackburn
45%
Bristol City
45%
Luton
44%
Birmingham
44%
Millwall is 2.8 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (46% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 2.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

12021026421925654623242612861071110568A·BLAA·REAH·SHEA·DERH·QPRH·CARA·FULH·PREH·WESA·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

40212241121131311113442314421A·BLAA·REAH·SHEA·DERH·QPRH·CARA·FULH·PREH·WESA·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

290133131171311117101410141288161310816242022172426162918A·BLAA·REAH·SHEA·DERH·QPRH·CARA·FULH·PREH·WESA·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 6.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

14035421222313678368765586145131311141310A·SHEH·LUTA·BARH·WESA·BRIH·DERA·QPRH·COVA·BLAH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

10033233231232121641365353513104A·SHEH·LUTA·BARH·WESA·BRIH·DERA·QPRH·COVA·BLAH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 14.5 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

30071510201214168619131210910171414111722302624252519272828A·SHEH·LUTA·BARH·WESA·BRIH·DERA·QPRH·COVA·BLAH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.29.63.23.13.322.220.923.5
vs Stronger (2)6.06.0-3.53.5-22.522.5-
vs Similar (39)9.49.49.43.12.93.222.721.523.8
vs Weaker (9)10.310.310.33.94.33.720.216.022.3
% over line46%46%46%36%29%42%60%46%73%
% under line54%54%54%64%71%58%40%54%27%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.510.63.93.34.523.322.823.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)9.99.810.14.03.54.524.423.924.9
vs Weaker (19)11.611.611.63.83.14.621.621.222.0
% over line62%65%58%52%42%62%64%58%71%
% under line38%35%42%48%58%38%36%42%29%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Middlesbrough
10.5
West Brom
10.4
QPR
10.1
Luton
10.0
Sheffield United
10.0
Fulham
10.0
Stoke
9.9
Bristol City
9.6
Bournemouth
9.6
Nottingham Forest
9.4
Barnsley
9.4
Millwall
9.4
Preston
9.4
Coventry
9.4
Reading
9.3
Cardiff
9.3
Peterboro
9.2
Huddersfield
9.2
Hull
9.2
Blackpool
9.1
Blackburn
9.0
Derby
8.9
Swansea
8.8
Birmingham
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Blackburn
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Middlesbrough
3.9
Derby
3.7
Stoke
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Blackpool
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Swansea
3.5
Peterboro
3.5
Reading
3.5
Sheffield United
3.4
Preston
3.4
Hull
3.4
Luton
3.3
Huddersfield
3.3
West Brom
3.3
Barnsley
3.3
Bristol City
3.2
Fulham
3.2
Millwall
3.2
QPR
3.2
Birmingham
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Nottingham Forest
23.5
Middlesbrough
23.3
Reading
23.3
Coventry
23.1
Peterboro
22.8
Bournemouth
22.8
Blackburn
22.7
Luton
22.7
Preston
22.6
Birmingham
22.4
Blackpool
22.3
Derby
22.3
Hull
22.3
Millwall
22.2
Swansea
22.1
Stoke
22.0
Cardiff
22.0
West Brom
21.9
Barnsley
21.5
QPR
21.4
Fulham
21.0
Bristol City
20.9
Huddersfield
20.2
Sheffield United
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
69.7%
Under 9.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.9%
Under 3.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
68.3%
Under 21.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L00D00D20W00D10W00DA·BLA22/01H·WES29/01H·PRE01/02A·FUL08/02H·CAR12/02H·QPR15/02A·DER23/02H·SHE26/02A·REA05/03A·BLA08/03
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.330.290.360.620.31
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (23)0.520.390.330.330.730.45
vs Weaker (6)0.330.000.000.000.400.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D11D31W01L01L02L10W02LH·REA15/01A·BLA24/01H·COV29/01A·QPR09/02H·DER12/02A·BRI19/02H·WES22/02A·BAR26/02H·LUT05/03A·SHE08/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.300.800.200.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.680.320.910.270.380.38
vs Weaker (11)0.550.270.500.000.570.43
Clean sheet %77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D02L21W20W01L10W00D00DA·BLA22/01H·WES29/01H·PRE01/02A·FUL08/02H·CAR12/02H·QPR15/02A·DER23/02H·SHE26/02A·REA05/03A·BLA08/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.930.290.250.75
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (23)0.610.520.920.330.270.73
vs Weaker (6)0.330.671.000.000.200.80
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L10W11D10W11D20W21W11D12LH·REA15/01A·BLA24/01H·COV29/01A·QPR09/02H·DER12/02A·BRI19/02H·WES22/02A·BAR26/02H·LUT05/03A·SHE08/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.800.530.601.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.530.840.640.450.381.38
vs Weaker (11)1.000.821.250.750.860.86
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.592.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards86.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls81.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners79.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.578.2%1.61-----+19.3%✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luke Cundle40%
Josh Coburn25%
Tairyk Arconte25%
Jake Cooper20%
Mark Sykes20%
Casper De Norre0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Caleb Taylor0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Jenson Metcalfe0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kyrell Lisbie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jenson Metcalfe40%
Josh Coburn25%
Mark Sykes20%
Casper De Norre0%
Jake Cooper0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Caleb Taylor0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Tairyk Arconte0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kyrell Lisbie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zak Lovelace33%
Jake Cooper20%
Camiel Neghli20%
Jenson Metcalfe20%
Casper De Norre0%
Mark Sykes0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Josh Coburn0%
Caleb Taylor0%
Zak Sturge0%
Tairyk Arconte0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kyrell Lisbie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Coburn25%
Casper De Norre0%
Jake Cooper0%
Mark Sykes0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Caleb Taylor0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Jenson Metcalfe0%
Tairyk Arconte0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kyrell Lisbie0%
Middlesbrough · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Will Lankshear80%
Jeremy Sarmiento40%
Alfie Jones33%
Kyle Joseph20%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Aidan Morris0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Lankshear40%
Myles Peart-Harris25%
Neto Borges20%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Riley McGree33%
Luke Ayling20%
Morgan Whittaker20%
Sebastian Berhalter20%
Jeremy Sarmiento20%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker40%
Will Lankshear40%
Leo Castledine25%
Sebastian Berhalter20%
Kyle Joseph20%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Radek Vitek0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (31)
€573m
NFO (28)
€551m
FUL (21)
€329m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
PET (23)
€7m
Millwall's squad is €58m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€85m vs €142m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
FUL (9)
€178m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SWA (13)
€56m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
BAR (5)
€2m
Millwall's attack is €44m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€30m vs €74m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (6)
€106m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
SHU (5)
€32m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PET (5)
€1m
Millwall's midfield is €2m more valuable than Middlesbrough's (€29m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NFO (15)
€236m
BOU (14)
€182m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
Millwall's defence is €16m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€25m vs €41m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
MIL wins
1
Draws
1
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs Middlesbrough · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/21AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL1-1
20/03/21HMIL Vs Middlesbrough1-0
12/12/20AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL3-0

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/22ABlackburn Vs MIL0-0
05/03/22AReading Vs MIL0-1
26/02/22HMIL Vs Sheffield United1-0
23/02/22ADerby Vs MIL1-2
15/02/22HMIL Vs QPR2-0
12/02/22HMIL Vs Cardiff2-1
08/02/22AFulham Vs MIL3-0
01/02/22HMIL Vs Preston0-0
29/01/22HMIL Vs West Brom2-0
22/01/22ABlackpool Vs MIL1-0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/22ASheffield United Vs MID4-1
05/03/22HMID Vs Luton2-1
26/02/22ABarnsley Vs MID3-2
22/02/22HMID Vs West Brom2-1
19/02/22ABristol City Vs MID2-1
12/02/22HMID Vs Derby4-1
09/02/22AQPR Vs MID2-2
29/01/22HMID Vs Coventry1-0
24/01/22ABlackburn Vs MID1-0
15/01/22HMID Vs Reading2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.46
HomeWDWWW1.83
AwayLLWWD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%54%27%
AVG goals2.262.252.27
Over 1.5 %66%71%62%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %14%12%15%
Scored1.081.250.92
Conceded1.181.001.35
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet30%33%27%
Corners9.429.219.62
Cards3.223.123.31
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.46
HomeWWWWW1.88
AwayLDLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%58%25%
AVG goals2.542.622.46
Over 1.5 %84%88%79%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.301.581.00
Conceded1.241.041.46
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners10.5410.4610.62
Cards3.903.354.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FulhamFulham4690
59%
2.0
10643+63
3.2
80%
54%
35%
10.4
57%
3.9
50%
21.1
43%
329
178281232.30.9
61%
2BournemouthBournemouth4688
54%
1.9
7439+35
2.5
74%
50%
20%
10.1
61%
4.2
59%
21.8
50%
573
2851061821.60.8
57%
3HuddersfieldHuddersfield4682
50%
1.8
6447+17
2.4
74%
43%
17%
9.4
46%
3.6
50%
19.5
30%
16
4481.41.0
48%
4Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest4680
50%
1.7
7340+33
2.5
78%
46%
20%
9.9
54%
4.7
72%
23.2
59%
551
263522361.60.9
50%
5Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4675
46%
1.6
6345+18
2.3
63%
41%
28%
9.8
50%
3.7
50%
20.6
48%
110
2932491.41.0
57%
6LutonLuton4675
46%
1.6
6355+8
2.6
72%
48%
26%
9.5
52%
3.9
52%
22.9
50%
29
134121.41.2
44%
7MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4670
43%
1.5
5950+9
2.4
76%
39%
20%
10.3
61%
4.6
67%
23.0
67%
142
7427411.31.1
49%
8BlackburnBlackburn4669
41%
1.5
5950+9
2.4
65%
43%
24%
9.3
54%
4.5
65%
22.0
57%
36
157141.31.1
45%
9MillwallMillwall4669
39%
1.5
5345+8
2.1
67%
37%
13%
10.4
59%
3.3
39%
21.1
48%
85
3029251.21.0
46%
10West BromWest Brom4667
39%
1.5
5245+7
2.1
63%
39%
20%
9.8
54%
3.5
50%
21.1
46%
52
1522151.11.0
52%
11QPRQPR4666
41%
1.4
6059+1
2.6
74%
52%
24%
10.0
50%
3.5
46%
21.6
43%
71
2915271.31.3
54%
12CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
6059+1
2.6
74%
48%
26%
10.6
63%
3.8
52%
21.1
43%
237
8552991.31.3
53%
13PrestonPreston4664
35%
1.4
5256-4
2.3
67%
48%
24%
9.9
54%
3.7
54%
21.7
43%
43
173221.11.2
50%
14StokeStoke4662
37%
1.3
5752+5
2.4
67%
46%
20%
10.2
54%
3.8
54%
20.5
39%
79
3511321.21.1
52%
15SwanseaSwansea4661
35%
1.3
5868-10
2.7
67%
52%
35%
8.9
48%
3.9
48%
21.7
43%
91
569261.31.5
64%
16BlackpoolBlackpool4660
35%
1.3
5458-4
2.4
70%
41%
20%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
21.5
48%
11
4341.21.3
46%
17DerbyDerby4655
30%
1.2
4553-8
2.1
63%
39%
17%
9.3
50%
4.1
59%
21.1
37%
57
2514181.01.2
51%
18Bristol CityBristol City4655
33%
1.2
6277-15
3.0
85%
61%
33%
10.1
52%
3.4
46%
20.6
41%
66
2919181.31.7
45%
19CardiffCardiff4653
33%
1.2
5068-18
2.6
72%
52%
22%
9.5
37%
3.8
52%
20.3
41%
29
154101.11.5
45%
20HullHull4651
30%
1.1
4154-13
2.1
67%
30%
13%
9.7
59%
3.3
43%
20.7
35%
105
2231520.91.2
46%
21BirminghamBirmingham4647
24%
1.0
5075-25
2.7
78%
54%
28%
9.7
52%
3.2
46%
21.4
50%
93
4612351.11.6
44%
22ReadingReading4647
28%
1.0
5487-33
3.1
74%
59%
35%
9.0
41%
3.8
52%
22.3
52%
10
3341.21.9
48%
23PeterboroPeterboro4637
20%
0.8
4387-44
2.8
80%
61%
30%
9.7
50%
3.5
43%
22.4
52%
7
3130.91.9
48%
24BarnsleyBarnsley4630
13%
0.7
3373-40
2.3
74%
37%
17%
9.8
52%
3.2
39%
21.1
46%
8
2330.71.6
45%
England: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches