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Millwall vs Middlesbrough Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
33%
30%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Referee: T Nield

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 43.1% · @ 2.19
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.26
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win✓ Hit
36.9%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.39
Edge
+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L21W10W10W14L31W10W13L21W10WA·SUN29/03H·POR05/04A·SHE08/04H·MID12/04A·BLA18/04H·NOR21/04H·SWA26/04A·BUR03/05A·NOR09/08A·NEW12/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.171.330.831.061.39
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.111.251.180.911.061.47
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W01L01L21W12L00D02L10W04LH·OXF29/03A·BLA04/04H·LEE08/04A·MIL12/04H·PLY18/04A·SHE21/04H·NOR26/04A·COV03/05H·SWA09/08H·DON12/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.301.061.061.071.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.951.140.900.601.001.64
vs Weaker (9)1.331.671.331.831.331.33
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.1%
@ 2.13+1.2%
Under 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.67-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
Millwall goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
01234
09.7%9.4%6.8%2.9%0.9%
18.8%14%8.2%3.5%1.1%
26.1%7.7%4.9%2.1%0.7%
32.4%3.1%2.0%0.8%0.3%
40.7%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Millwall is 0.08 points better than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Millwall is 0.16 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.49).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Millwall is 0.06 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Millwall is 11.8 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (48% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 4.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

15072564747546824411114169111111914615157A·NEWA·NORA·BURH·SWAH·NORA·BLAH·MIDA·SHEH·PORA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

70241111131114342512411147A·NEWA·NORA·BURH·SWAH·NORA·BLAH·MIDA·SHEH·PORA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 8.7 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

33011915516511910920821101852013131420202120192831233327A·NEWA·NORA·BURH·SWAH·NORA·BLAH·MIDA·SHEH·PORA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 6.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

16072725510365121424434115991013111368716H·DONH·SWAA·COVH·NORA·SHEH·PLYA·MILH·LEEA·BLAH·OXF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

7013251312433111224743731222H·DONH·SWAA·COVH·NORA·SHEH·PLYA·MILH·LEEA·BLAH·OXF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 14.3 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

31013161515612121591581210211111101551129301827242031222516H·DONH·SWAA·COVH·NORA·SHEH·PLYA·MILH·LEEA·BLAH·OXF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.010.52.82.72.824.425.123.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (47)10.310.010.62.93.02.924.525.124.0
vs Weaker (3)9.0-9.00.70.02.020.0-20.0
% over line63%64%62%38%29%46%67%73%62%
% under line37%36%38%62%71%54%33%27%38%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.910.03.53.63.421.721.721.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)9.69.59.63.74.13.321.921.821.9
vs Weaker (14)11.110.911.32.92.53.521.421.421.3
% over line55%46%65%50%50%50%57%58%57%
% under line45%54%35%50%50%50%43%42%43%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.6
Sheffield Weds
11.2
Portsmouth
11.1
QPR
11.0
Sheffield United
10.6
Hull
10.5
Oxford
10.4
Millwall
10.4
West Brom
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Stoke
10.3
Southampton
10.2
Norwich
10.2
Derby
10.1
Watford
9.9
Blackburn
9.9
Middlesbrough
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Swansea
9.8
Bristol City
9.7
Charlton
9.5
Preston
9.4
Birmingham
9.2
Wrexham
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Portsmouth
4.3
Blackburn
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Southampton
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Charlton
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Preston
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
QPR
3.8
Leicester
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Oxford
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Bristol City
3.5
Hull
3.5
Derby
3.4
Millwall
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
24.9
Portsmouth
24.2
Millwall
24.0
Preston
23.8
Blackburn
23.8
Southampton
23.8
Charlton
23.4
Sheffield Weds
23.4
Swansea
23.3
QPR
23.0
Watford
22.8
Ipswich
22.6
Norwich
22.5
Sheffield United
22.1
Hull
22.0
Wrexham
21.6
Middlesbrough
21.6
Leicester
21.5
West Brom
21.5
Oxford
21.5
Coventry
21.3
Stoke
21.2
Derby
21.2
Bristol City
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.2%
Under 9.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.4%
Under 3.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.7%
Under 21.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D12L21W10W11D00D00DA·SUN29/03H·POR05/04A·SHE08/04H·MID12/04A·BLA18/04H·NOR21/04H·SWA26/04A·BUR03/05A·NOR09/08A·NEW12/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.750.330.390.72
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.540.610.730.360.410.76
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W01L00D11D10W00D01L00D02LH·OXF29/03A·BLA04/04H·LEE08/04A·MIL12/04H·PLY18/04A·SHE21/04H·NOR26/04A·COV03/05H·SWA09/08H·DON12/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.560.500.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.330.520.400.400.270.64
vs Weaker (9)1.000.440.830.671.330.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D10W02L10W00D02L21W10WA·SUN29/03H·POR05/04A·SHE08/04H·MID12/04A·BLA18/04H·NOR21/04H·SWA26/04A·BUR03/05A·NOR09/08A·NEW12/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.580.500.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.570.640.450.550.650.71
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D01L10W02L00D01L10W02LH·OXF29/03A·BLA04/04H·LEE08/04A·MIL12/04H·PLY18/04A·SHE21/04H·NOR26/04A·COV03/05H·SWA09/08H·DON12/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.500.560.571.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.620.620.500.200.731.00
vs Weaker (9)0.331.220.501.170.001.33
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners74.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls70.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Coburn29%
Femi Azeez27%
Kamarl Grant25%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Luke Cundle12%
Ryan Leonard11%
Caleb Taylor10%
Camiel Neghli10%
Macaulay Langstaff10%
Massimo Luongo9%
Jake Cooper8%
Aidomo Emakhu6%
Tristan Crama6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Casper De Norre3%
Thierno Ballo3%
Zak Sturge2%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Leonard25%
Kamarl Grant25%
Joe Bryan24%
Jake Cooper20%
Billy Mitchell20%
Thierno Ballo20%
Zak Sturge19%
Massimo Luongo18%
Tristan Crama18%
Danny McNamara18%
Tom Watson17%
Raees Bangura-Williams17%
Femi Azeez16%
Casper De Norre16%
Alfie Doughty14%
Derek Mazou-Sacko12%
Camiel Neghli8%
Josh Coburn6%
Barry Bannan6%
Macaulay Langstaff5%
Mihailo Ivanović4%
Caleb Taylor3%
Luke Cundle3%
Max Crocombe0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Howland33%
Femi Azeez19%
Alfie Doughty18%
Casper De Norre12%
Thierno Ballo11%
Tristan Crama10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Camiel Neghli8%
Ryan Leonard7%
Caleb Taylor7%
Mihailo Ivanović6%
Barry Bannan6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Billy Mitchell3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Luke Cundle0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Femi Azeez24%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Aidomo Emakhu13%
Thierno Ballo11%
Josh Coburn10%
Caleb Taylor7%
Camiel Neghli4%
Casper De Norre3%
Luke Cundle3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tristan Crama0%
Zak Sturge0%
Derek Mazou-Sacko0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Whittaker27%
David Strelec23%
Tommy Conway22%
Riley McGree21%
Hayden Hackney15%
Alan Browne10%
Leo Castledine9%
Dael Fry9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
Matt Targett7%
Sontje Hansen5%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
Luke Ayling2%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
George Edmundson0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Gilbert27%
Adilson Malanda20%
Abdoulaye Kanté20%
Luke Ayling19%
Callum Brittain16%
Riley McGree14%
George Edmundson14%
Tommy Conway14%
Alfie Jones13%
Samuel Silvera13%
Matt Targett11%
Hayden Hackney10%
Sverre Nypan10%
Morgan Whittaker9%
Aidan Morris9%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
David Strelec6%
Sontje Hansen5%
Jeremy Sarmiento5%
Alan Browne5%
Dael Fry3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
Alex Bangura0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Whittaker16%
Hayden Hackney15%
Callum Brittain11%
Riley McGree11%
Luke Ayling10%
Tommy Conway10%
Matt Targett9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Alan Browne7%
Aidan Morris7%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
David Strelec3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Dael Fry0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker31%
Leo Castledine18%
Hayden Hackney12%
Riley McGree11%
Alan Browne10%
David Strelec9%
Aidan Morris7%
Tommy Conway6%
Delano Burgzorg4%
Dael Fry3%
Callum Brittain2%
Matt Targett2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Alex Bangura0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Samuel Silvera0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Millwall's squad is €58m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€85m vs €142m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Millwall's attack is €44m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€30m vs €74m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Millwall's midfield is €2m more valuable than Middlesbrough's (€29m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Millwall's defence is €16m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€25m vs €41m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MIL wins
2
Draws
3
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs Middlesbrough · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25HMIL Vs Middlesbrough1-0
14/12/24AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL1-0
13/01/24HMIL Vs Middlesbrough1-3
05/08/23AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL0-1
14/01/23AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL1-0
08/10/22HMIL Vs Middlesbrough2-0
12/03/22HMIL Vs Middlesbrough0-0
20/11/21AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL1-1

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/25ANewport County Vs MIL0-1
09/08/25ANorwich Vs MIL1-2
03/05/25ABurnley Vs MIL3-1
26/04/25HMIL Vs Swansea1-0
21/04/25HMIL Vs Norwich3-1
18/04/25ABlackburn Vs MIL4-1
12/04/25HMIL Vs Middlesbrough1-0
08/04/25ASheffield United Vs MIL0-1
05/04/25HMIL Vs Portsmouth2-1
29/03/25ASunderland Vs MIL1-0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/25HMID Vs Doncaster0-4
09/08/25HMID Vs Swansea1-0
03/05/25ACoventry Vs MID2-0
26/04/25HMID Vs Norwich0-0
21/04/25ASheffield Weds Vs MID2-1
18/04/25HMID Vs Plymouth2-1
12/04/25AMillwall Vs MID1-0
08/04/25HMID Vs Leeds0-1
04/04/25ABlackburn Vs MID0-2
29/03/25HMID Vs Oxford2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.56
HomeWWWWW1.79
AwayWLLWW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals1.961.882.04
Over 1.5 %50%46%54%
Over 2.5 %30%29%31%
Over 3.5 %16%12%19%
Scored1.021.170.88
Conceded0.940.711.15
BTTS40%33%46%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners10.2810.0510.50
Cards3.022.953.08
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.34
HomeLWDWL1.50
AwayDWLLL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%33%
AVG goals2.662.462.88
Over 1.5 %66%62%71%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.341.191.50
Conceded1.321.271.38
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners9.989.9210.04
Cards3.723.923.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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