PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Millwall vs Preston Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
52%
29%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Preston
Preston
England: Championship
Referee: D Bond

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✓ Hit
51.8%
Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.97
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.29
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Preston win✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.16
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W23L10W34L00D01L30W01L11DH·PLY27/04A·SWA04/05H·WAT10/08A·POR13/08A·BRI17/08A·HUL24/08H·LEY27/08H·SHE31/08H·LUT14/09A·QPR21/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.131.071.130.871.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.041.111.141.140.921.08
vs Weaker (3)0.331.330.001.000.501.50
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrestonPreston

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L02L20W03L10W50W13L11D11D00DA·WES04/05H·SHE09/08H·SUN13/08A·SWA17/08H·LUT24/08A·HAR27/08A·OXF31/08A·MID14/09H·FUL17/09H·BLA22/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.171.401.001.001.33
vs Stronger (6)1.671.172.001.001.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.821.271.091.090.551.45
vs Weaker (2)4.000.003.000.005.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.0%
@ 2.41+1.7%
Under 2.5
59.0%
@ 1.56-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.9%
No
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
Millwall goals ↓
Preston goals →
01234
011%6.9%3.4%0.9%0.2%
113%13%5.0%1.4%0.3%
211%9.1%3.8%1.0%0.2%
35.5%4.5%1.9%0.5%0.1%
42.0%1.7%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Preston goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Millwall is 0.35 points better than Preston in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Millwall is 0.02 goals worse than Preston in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.04).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Millwall is 0.22 goals better than Preston in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Millwall is 5.7 percentage points worse than Preston in terms of average possession (42% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 6.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

1801056466754555549941164151012129109181510A·QPRH·LUTH·SHEA·HULA·BRIH·WATA·SWAH·PLYA·SUNH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

501223212221233123313534354054A·QPRH·LUTH·SHEA·HULA·BRIH·WATA·SWAH·PLYA·SUNH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

2901298201613151112111115939891110721282926232612172017A·QPRH·LUTH·SHEA·HULA·BRIH·WATA·SWAH·PLYA·SUNH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PrestonPreston

For 2.4 · Against 5.9 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

15044295221335361515355811715896685H·BLAA·MIDA·OXFH·LUTA·SWAH·SHEA·WESH·LEIA·QPRA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 1.1 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

10055532613111442210557411462H·BLAA·MIDA·OXFH·LUTA·SWAH·SHEA·WESH·LEIA·QPRA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 9.6 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

32010162162181610211111141589716912726272926322523162519H·BLAA·MIDA·OXFH·LUTA·SWAH·SHEA·WESH·LEIA·QPRA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.310.13.93.84.023.023.222.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (45)10.210.69.94.14.24.022.823.022.5
vs Weaker (5)9.86.513.02.81.35.025.226.024.5
% over line54%58%50%58%60%56%60%71%50%
% under line46%42%50%42%40%44%40%29%50%
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrestonPreston

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.38.43.63.73.522.822.922.6
vs Stronger (9)10.011.39.03.22.24.525.928.024.2
vs Similar (38)9.310.58.13.84.13.422.422.022.8
vs Weaker (3)8.04.012.03.04.02.519.526.013.0
% over line45%50%39%54%62%46%57%58%57%
% under line55%50%61%46%38%54%43%42%43%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
12.4
Coventry
11.7
Derby
11.3
Luton
11.3
Blackburn
11.1
QPR
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
West Brom
10.9
Stoke
10.9
Sheffield Weds
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
Bristol City
10.7
Hull
10.7
Burnley
10.5
Leeds
10.4
Oxford
10.4
Swansea
10.3
Millwall
10.2
Norwich
10.2
Sunderland
10.0
Portsmouth
9.9
Watford
9.8
Preston
9.3
Cardiff
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Portsmouth
5.0
Sunderland
4.9
Burnley
4.4
QPR
4.4
Watford
4.4
Coventry
4.4
Leeds
4.3
Plymouth
4.3
Blackburn
4.3
Oxford
4.3
Hull
4.2
Stoke
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Sheffield Weds
4.1
Norwich
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Luton
3.9
Preston
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Derby
3.7
Cardiff
3.6
West Brom
3.5
Bristol City
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.9
Luton
23.7
Sunderland
23.4
Watford
23.2
Leeds
23.2
Preston
23.0
Swansea
23.0
Coventry
22.8
Millwall
22.8
QPR
22.6
Hull
22.6
Sheffield Weds
22.5
Stoke
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.1
Plymouth
22.0
Oxford
21.7
Derby
21.6
Burnley
21.5
Norwich
21.1
Bristol City
20.8
Blackburn
20.4
Cardiff
20.3
Sheffield United
19.8
West Brom
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.6%
Under 9.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.6%
Under 21.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W02L00D01L00D01L11DH·PLY27/04A·SWA04/05H·WAT10/08A·POR13/08A·BRI17/08A·HUL24/08H·LEY27/08H·SHE31/08H·LUT14/09A·QPR21/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.470.730.330.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.630.500.710.380.54
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrestonPreston

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L10W01L10W40W11D11D10W00DA·WES04/05H·SHE09/08H·SUN13/08A·SWA17/08H·LUT24/08A·HAR27/08A·OXF31/08A·MID14/09H·FUL17/09H·BLA22/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.800.330.930.80
vs Stronger (6)1.500.501.670.001.331.00
vs Similar (22)0.450.640.360.450.550.82
vs Weaker (2)3.500.003.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W22D00D32W00D00D30W00D00DH·PLY27/04A·SWA04/05H·WAT10/08A·POR13/08A·BRI17/08A·HUL24/08H·LEY27/08H·SHE31/08H·LUT14/09A·QPR21/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.600.400.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.480.640.430.540.54
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrestonPreston

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L10W02L00D10W02L00D01L00DA·WES04/05H·SHE09/08H·SUN13/08A·SWA17/08H·LUT24/08A·HAR27/08A·OXF31/08A·MID14/09H·FUL17/09H·BLA22/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.600.600.670.070.53
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.331.000.000.33
vs Similar (22)0.360.640.730.640.000.64
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls88.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards81.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls78.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihailo Ivanović28%
Calum Scanlon25%
Josh Coburn24%
Romain Esse19%
Camiel Neghli17%
Duncan Watmore14%
Wes Harding12%
Femi Azeez8%
Casper De Norre8%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Raees Bangura-Williams8%
Jake Cooper8%
Aaron Connolly7%
Luke Cundle6%
Japhet Tanganga5%
George Honeyman4%
Ryan Wintle4%
Macaulay Langstaff3%
Joe Bryan2%
George Saville2%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Liam Roberts0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
Aaron Connolly21%
Ryan Leonard19%
Japhet Tanganga19%
Joe Bryan18%
Liam Roberts17%
George Saville16%
George Honeyman16%
Romain Esse15%
Danny McNamara13%
Ryan Wintle13%
Wes Harding12%
Jake Cooper12%
Casper De Norre12%
Luke Cundle11%
Aidomo Emakhu11%
Femi Azeez11%
Shaun Hutchinson9%
Murray Wallace8%
Tristan Crama5%
Mihailo Ivanović5%
Billy Mitchell5%
Lukas Jensen2%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
George Honeyman13%
Femi Azeez13%
Tristan Crama10%
Casper De Norre10%
Aidomo Emakhu7%
Joe Bryan7%
Macaulay Langstaff6%
Billy Mitchell5%
George Saville4%
Romain Esse4%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Jake Cooper2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Danny McNamara0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Mihailo Ivanović0%
George Evans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mihailo Ivanović18%
Camiel Neghli17%
Femi Azeez16%
Josh Coburn10%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Jake Cooper8%
Japhet Tanganga7%
Duncan Watmore7%
Romain Esse4%
George Honeyman2%
Casper De Norre2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Joe Bryan0%
George Saville0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Preston
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milutin Osmajić22%
Emil Riis Jacobsen22%
Sam Greenwood14%
Will Keane13%
Brad Potts12%
Ryan Ledson9%
Ryan Porteous9%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen7%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson7%
Lewis Gibson5%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden4%
Robbie Brady3%
Alistair McCann3%
Duane Holmes3%
Jordan Storey2%
Liam Lindsay2%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Andrew Hughes0%
David Cornell0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Jack Whatmough0%
Benjamin Whiteman0%
Ched Evans0%
Josh Bowler0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kian Best0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benjamin Whiteman34%
Robbie Brady28%
Ryan Ledson28%
Alistair McCann27%
Jack Whatmough21%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen20%
Andrew Hughes19%
Liam Lindsay19%
Ryan Porteous18%
Sam Greenwood18%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson17%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden16%
Jordan Storey15%
Freddie Woodman14%
Milutin Osmajić12%
Duane Holmes12%
Brad Potts12%
Lewis Gibson9%
Jayden Meghoma7%
Emil Riis Jacobsen4%
Will Keane3%
Jeppe Okkels0%
David Cornell0%
Ched Evans0%
Josh Bowler0%
Kian Best0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ched Evans18%
Brad Potts15%
Robbie Brady12%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen11%
Milutin Osmajić8%
Jayden Meghoma7%
Sam Greenwood7%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden6%
Duane Holmes6%
Jack Whatmough5%
Benjamin Whiteman5%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson4%
Andrew Hughes4%
Emil Riis Jacobsen4%
Ryan Ledson3%
Alistair McCann3%
Jordan Storey2%
Liam Lindsay2%
Jeppe Okkels0%
David Cornell0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Will Keane0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Josh Bowler0%
Lewis Gibson0%
Kian Best0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Bowler25%
Sam Greenwood20%
Milutin Osmajić15%
Emil Riis Jacobsen14%
Ryan Porteous9%
Will Keane3%
Robbie Brady3%
Alistair McCann3%
Jordan Storey2%
Liam Lindsay2%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen0%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Andrew Hughes0%
David Cornell0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Duane Holmes0%
Ryan Ledson0%
Brad Potts0%
Jack Whatmough0%
Benjamin Whiteman0%
Ched Evans0%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson0%
Lewis Gibson0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kian Best0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Millwall's squad is €42m more valuable than Preston's (€85m vs €43m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Millwall's attack is €13m more valuable than Preston's (€30m vs €17m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Millwall's midfield is €26m more valuable than Preston's (€29m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Millwall's defence is €3m more valuable than Preston's (€25m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
MIL wins
4
Draws
0
PRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs Preston · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/24HMIL Vs Preston1-1
21/10/23APreston Vs MIL1-1
15/04/23HMIL Vs Preston2-0
12/11/22APreston Vs MIL2-4
15/04/22APreston Vs MIL1-1
01/02/22HMIL Vs Preston0-0
02/03/21HMIL Vs Preston2-1
28/10/20APreston Vs MIL0-2

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24AQPR Vs MIL1-1
14/09/24HMIL Vs Luton0-1
31/08/24HMIL Vs Sheffield Weds3-0
27/08/24HMIL Vs Leyton Orient0-1
24/08/24AHull Vs MIL0-0
17/08/24ABristol City Vs MIL4-3
13/08/24APortsmouth Vs MIL0-1
10/08/24HMIL Vs Watford2-3
04/05/24ASwansea Vs MIL0-1
27/04/24HMIL Vs Plymouth1-0

PrestonPreston

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24HPRE Vs Blackburn0-0
17/09/24HPRE Vs Fulham1-1
14/09/24AMiddlesbrough Vs PRE1-1
31/08/24AOxford Vs PRE3-1
27/08/24AHarrogate Vs PRE0-5
24/08/24HPRE Vs Luton1-0
17/08/24ASwansea Vs PRE3-0
13/08/24HPRE Vs Sunderland2-0
09/08/24HPRE Vs Sheffield United0-2
04/05/24AWest Brom Vs PRE3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.22
HomeWLLWL1.28
AwayWWLDD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.262.362.16
Over 1.5 %64%68%60%
Over 2.5 %38%44%32%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.221.321.12
BTTS40%36%44%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners10.2110.2910.12
Cards4.104.004.21
Preston
Preston
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDD1.24
HomeLWWDD1.50
AwayLLWLD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.662.772.54
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored1.181.351.00
Conceded1.481.421.54
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners9.3810.338.39
Cards3.874.043.70

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches