Millwall vs QPR Result & Analysis

The match between Millwall and QPR is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 39% for Millwall, 30% for a draw and 31% for QPR, so the most likely outcome is a Millwall victory. The expected total is 2.4 goals, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at 14.4%. Millwall’s home form shows they average 1.17 goals scored and 0.92 conceded against similarly strong opponents, while QPR on the road averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 85.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 81.4%, Under 3.5 goals at 78.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 72.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 72.4% and Over 1.5 goals at 70.0%. The model’s selection list is complete and each pick is presented with its probability.

The model’s prediction proved accurate as Millwall secured a 2-0 home win, extending their recent run of victories after two straight defeats. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 39% probability and the model’s call was correct. The match’s most likely score was 1-1 at 14.4% but the final tally matched the 2-0 outcome. The suggested selections performed well: Under 5.5 cards hit at 85.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 81.4%, Under 3.5 goals at 78.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 72.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 72.4%, and Over 1.5 goals at 70.0%. All picks settled in favour of the model’s choices.