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Millwall vs QPR Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 2-0
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
49%
28%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
QPR
QPR
England: Championship
Referee: T Nield
Match preview & prediction

Millwall are tipped to win, a 49% chance of triumph, with a 28% draw and 24% chance for QPR. The expected total goals sit at 2.6, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Millwall, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, while QPR, on the road, average 0.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 84.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.0%, Over 1.5 at 74.9%, Under 3.5 at 73.1%, and Under 4.5 cards at 70.8%. The match is expected to be a close affair, with Millwall’s recent form showing a win-win-win-draw-defeat streak after a heavy 1-5 loss to Southampton, while QPR come off a win, 2-1 over Blackburn, in a win-draw-win-draw-loss run.

Results analysis

The match saw Millwall extend their recent run, with a 2-0 win that matched the model’s prediction. The pre-match favourite was a Home win at 49 percent, and the model’s call proved correct. The suggested selections all hit: Under 5.5 cards at 84.5 percent, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.0 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 74.9 percent, Under 3.5 goals at 73.1 percent, and Under 4.5 cards at 70.8 percent. The final score of 2-0 confirmed the Home win outcome, and the game’s flow reflected the teams’ recent form, with Millwall’s home form improving after a defeat and QPR’s away form stabilising after a win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✓ Hit
48.5%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.68
Edge
-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.85
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
QPR win✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.74
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L30W20W31W10W12L11D21W12L00DH·POR21/02H·BIR25/02A·PRE28/02A·HUL07/03H·DER10/03H·BLA14/03A·IPS21/03A·MID03/04H·NOR06/04A·WES10/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.231.571.141.191.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.371.231.571.141.191.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W05L02L04L01L31W61W21W11D00DA·HUL21/02A·SOU24/02H·SHE28/02H·MID08/03A·BIR11/03A·LEI14/03H·POR21/03H·WAT03/04A·PRE06/04H·BRI11/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.432.001.600.871.27
vs Stronger (5)1.202.401.332.671.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.481.242.171.330.851.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
@ 1.73-5.4%
Under 2.5
51.3%
@ 2.04+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0 ✓
9.0%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
Millwall goals ↓
QPR goals →
01234
08.5%6.4%4.0%1.4%0.4%
110%13%6.2%2.2%0.6%
29.0%9.4%4.9%1.7%0.4%
34.8%5.0%2.6%0.9%0.2%
41.9%2.0%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = QPR goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Millwall is 0.49 points better than QPR in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Millwall is 0.01 goals better than QPR in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Millwall is 0.52 goals better than QPR in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Millwall is 1.7 percentage points better than QPR in terms of average possession (48% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 5.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

2305725617899762256275641272317168781210A·WESH·NORA·MIDA·IPSH·BLAH·DERA·HULA·PREH·BIRH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

6021121121113422311123323236523A·WESH·NORA·MIDA·IPSH·BLAH·DERA·HULA·PREH·BIRH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 7.6 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

28022612714413587713158161014813828191818152023262221A·WESH·NORA·MIDA·IPSH·BLAH·DERA·HULA·PREH·BIRH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QPRQPR

For 3.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

120366223196311038743548985109111111812H·BRIA·PREH·WATH·PORA·LEIA·BIRH·MIDH·SHEA·SOUA·HUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

100423164423142211364106440414H·BRIA·PREH·WATH·PORA·LEIA·BIRH·MIDH·SHEA·SOUA·HUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 8.9 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

35010138420151511159999381112614823123526241812191822H·BRIA·PREH·WATH·PORA·LEIA·BIRH·MIDH·SHEA·SOUA·HUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.810.93.63.33.821.320.322.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (49)10.910.811.03.63.33.921.420.322.4
vs Weaker (1)9.0-9.02.0-2.020.0-20.0
% over line54%54%54%46%33%58%36%25%46%
% under line46%46%46%54%67%42%64%75%54%
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.18.811.33.73.93.621.522.420.6
vs Stronger (9)12.19.014.63.12.83.421.419.822.8
vs Similar (41)9.78.810.53.94.23.621.522.920.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%42%58%54%54%54%52%58%46%
% under line50%58%42%46%46%46%48%42%54%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.6
Middlesbrough
10.9
Oxford
10.9
Millwall
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Norwich
10.7
Preston
10.6
Southampton
10.6
Hull
10.6
Stoke
10.5
Blackburn
10.5
Leicester
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
QPR
10.1
Watford
10.1
Birmingham
10.0
Coventry
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Derby
9.8
Bristol City
9.7
West Brom
9.5
Charlton
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Ipswich
4.2
Portsmouth
4.2
Hull
4.1
Derby
4.0
Southampton
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Swansea
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Charlton
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bristol City
3.7
Leicester
3.6
Birmingham
3.6
Millwall
3.6
Oxford
3.5
Preston
3.5
West Brom
3.4
Wrexham
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.6
Swansea
23.0
Southampton
22.9
Derby
22.6
Leicester
22.5
Birmingham
22.2
Portsmouth
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.1
Oxford
21.9
Hull
21.7
Blackburn
21.7
Sheffield United
21.6
Charlton
21.6
Sheffield Weds
21.5
QPR
21.5
Millwall
21.3
Watford
21.2
West Brom
21.2
Norwich
21.1
Coventry
21.1
Stoke
20.9
Bristol City
20.8
Preston
19.6
Wrexham
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.9%
Under 9.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
62.0%
Under 21.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W11D10W00D01L01L00D00DH·POR21/02H·BIR25/02A·PRE28/02A·HUL07/03H·DER10/03H·BLA14/03A·IPS21/03A·MID03/04H·NOR06/04A·WES10/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.570.290.190.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.530.570.290.190.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L02L01L01L11D31W10W00D00DA·HUL21/02A·SOU24/02H·SHE28/02H·MID08/03A·BIR11/03A·LEI14/03H·POR21/03H·WAT03/04A·PRE06/04H·BRI11/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.930.470.270.87
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.330.330.001.50
vs Similar (25)0.680.641.080.500.310.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W10W20W00D12L10W20W12L00DH·POR21/02H·BIR25/02A·PRE28/02A·HUL07/03H·DER10/03H·BLA14/03A·IPS21/03A·MID03/04H·NOR06/04A·WES10/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.701.000.861.000.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.000.701.000.861.000.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L00D03L00D20W30W11D11D00DA·HUL21/02A·SOU24/02H·SHE28/02H·MID08/03A·BIR11/03A·LEI14/03H·POR21/03H·WAT03/04A·PRE06/04H·BRI11/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.771.071.130.600.40
vs Stronger (5)1.001.601.002.331.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.800.601.080.830.540.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards70.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Coburn29%
Femi Azeez27%
Kamarl Grant25%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Luke Cundle12%
Ryan Leonard11%
Caleb Taylor10%
Camiel Neghli10%
Macaulay Langstaff10%
Massimo Luongo9%
Jake Cooper8%
Aidomo Emakhu6%
Tristan Crama6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Casper De Norre3%
Thierno Ballo3%
Zak Sturge2%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Leonard25%
Kamarl Grant25%
Joe Bryan24%
Jake Cooper20%
Billy Mitchell20%
Thierno Ballo20%
Zak Sturge19%
Massimo Luongo18%
Tristan Crama18%
Danny McNamara18%
Tom Watson17%
Raees Bangura-Williams17%
Femi Azeez16%
Casper De Norre16%
Alfie Doughty14%
Derek Mazou-Sacko12%
Camiel Neghli8%
Josh Coburn6%
Barry Bannan6%
Macaulay Langstaff5%
Mihailo Ivanović4%
Caleb Taylor3%
Luke Cundle3%
Max Crocombe0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Howland33%
Femi Azeez19%
Alfie Doughty18%
Casper De Norre12%
Thierno Ballo11%
Tristan Crama10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Camiel Neghli8%
Ryan Leonard7%
Caleb Taylor7%
Mihailo Ivanović6%
Barry Bannan6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Billy Mitchell3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Luke Cundle0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Femi Azeez24%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Aidomo Emakhu13%
Thierno Ballo11%
Josh Coburn10%
Caleb Taylor7%
Camiel Neghli4%
Casper De Norre3%
Luke Cundle3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tristan Crama0%
Zak Sturge0%
Derek Mazou-Sacko0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
QPR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rumarn Burrell29%
Richard Kone23%
Rayan Kolli16%
Paul Smyth14%
Harvey Vale12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Koki Saito9%
Nicolas Madsen8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Ilias Chair7%
Kieran Morgan7%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Amadou Salif Mbengue5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Steve Cook3%
Jonathan Varane3%
Rhys Norrington-Davies3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amadou Salif Mbengue33%
Liam Morrison25%
Paul Smyth24%
Rhys Norrington-Davies23%
Isaac Hayden20%
Richard Kone18%
Kieran Morgan17%
Jimmy Dunne15%
Jonathan Varane14%
Rumarn Burrell13%
Kealey Adamson12%
Ronnie Edwards12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Harvey Vale9%
Rayan Kolli8%
Jake Clarke-Salter7%
Ilias Chair7%
Steve Cook6%
Kwame Poku6%
Paul Nardi6%
Nicolas Madsen3%
Michael Frey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Koki Saito0%
Joe Walsh0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Harvey Vale16%
Nicolas Madsen15%
Ilias Chair13%
Liam Morrison8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Isaac Hayden7%
Rumarn Burrell6%
Esquerdinha6%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Koki Saito6%
Jonathan Varane6%
Paul Smyth5%
Sam Field5%
Daniel Bennie5%
Richard Kone5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Kieran Morgan3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Rayan Kolli0%
Tylon Smith0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Richard Kone25%
Rumarn Burrell19%
Harvey Vale12%
Rayan Kolli12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Ilias Chair7%
Paul Smyth5%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Nicolas Madsen0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jimmy Dunne0%
Koki Saito0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Kieran Morgan0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Millwall's squad is €14m more valuable than QPR's (€85m vs €71m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Millwall's attack is €1m more valuable than QPR's (€30m vs €29m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Millwall's midfield is €14m more valuable than QPR's (€29m vs €15m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Millwall's defence is €2m less valuable than QPR's (€25m vs €27m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
MIL wins
1
Draws
2
QPR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs QPR · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25AQPR Vs MIL1-2
01/02/25HMIL Vs QPR2-1
21/09/24AQPR Vs MIL1-1
20/01/24AQPR Vs MIL2-0
26/12/23HMIL Vs QPR2-0
11/02/23AQPR Vs MIL1-2
14/09/22HMIL Vs QPR0-2
15/02/22HMIL Vs QPR2-0

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/26AWest Brom Vs MIL0-0
06/04/26HMIL Vs Norwich1-2
03/04/26AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL1-2
21/03/26AIpswich Vs MIL1-1
14/03/26HMIL Vs Blackburn1-2
10/03/26HMIL Vs Derby1-0
07/03/26AHull Vs MIL1-3
28/02/26APreston Vs MIL0-2
25/02/26HMIL Vs Birmingham3-0
21/02/26HMIL Vs Portsmouth1-3

QPRQPR

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HQPR Vs Bristol City0-0
06/04/26APreston Vs QPR1-1
03/04/26HQPR Vs Watford2-1
21/03/26HQPR Vs Portsmouth6-1
14/03/26ALeicester Vs QPR1-3
11/03/26ABirmingham Vs QPR1-0
08/03/26HQPR Vs Middlesbrough0-4
28/02/26HQPR Vs Sheffield United0-2
24/02/26ASouthampton Vs QPR5-0
21/02/26AHull Vs QPR1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.72
HomeLWWLL1.88
AwayWWDWD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals2.582.582.58
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.341.461.23
Conceded1.241.121.35
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet36%42%31%
Corners10.8610.7910.92
Cards3.563.293.81
QPR
QPR
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.38
HomeLLWWD1.42
AwayWLLWD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.923.292.58
Over 1.5 %76%88%65%
Over 2.5 %62%75%50%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored1.381.621.15
Conceded1.541.671.42
BTTS66%71%62%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners10.108.8311.27
Cards3.743.923.58

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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